Monday, December 05, 2016
Our Future Economy, Jobs, Banking, And Governance / Economics / US Economy
By: Raymond_Matison
Part 1. Our Past and Present Experience
World leaders, central bankers, leading politicians, and economists are all clamoring for increased economic growth. If growth falls below a perceived minimum rate, financial or fiscal stimulus programs are initiated and maintained in order to accelerate it. The concept for necessity of continued growth is so engrained in our society, that few question under what kind of conditions, when, why, and for whom it is necessary or beneficial. The populace has been brainwashed for decades to believe if economic growth slows that it will have meaningful negative consequences for our quality of life. Contrariwise, we have been falsely led to believe that if the economy grows rapidly, everyone benefits.
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Monday, December 05, 2016
The Bond Bubble / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Gary_Savage
Is the bubble in the bond market about to burst? Even a move back to the 38% retracement level over the next several weeks would cause chaos in the global financial markets.
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Sunday, December 04, 2016
Gold and Silver Bullion Buying Opportunity for 2017? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Gold and Silver prices have recently taken quite a battering with the price having fallen form a 2016 high of $1378 to its last close of $1178 which is not far from the low for 2016 of $1071 set early on in the year which is perking my interest on whether it could now be time to accumulate some more of the shiny precious metals that mankind has been obsessed with ever since we sought out the gold / silver shimmering signs of water on the horizon of the sun baked parched east african savanna as has been imprinted into our very DNA.
Sunday, December 04, 2016
The World Prays for the End of America’s Global Hegemony / Politics / GeoPolitics
By: Dylan_Waller
America’s global hegemony was initially crafted in 1913, through the introduction of the income tax, the creation of the Federal Reserve, and the consequent rise of the military industrial complex. Since then, America now operates 800 military bases in more than 70 countries, which has forcefully been subsidized through the taxation of the American population. While the American government can not be held accountable for its countless and atrocious war crimes, failing to pay taxes to support the military industrial complex will land anyone else straight in jail. While the Federal Reserve and income tax has certainly been a catalyst for the slow, but steady deterioration of America’s middle class, the greater destruction has certainly manifested outside the shores of America.
Sunday, December 04, 2016
India Is Poised To Make A Quantum Leap Under Narendra Modi: Perspective Of A Political Economist / Politics / India
By: Dr_R_M_Mathew
Development of the National Economy and Welfare of the Common People or more specifically the Forgotten People - the Rural People, the Blue Color and Toiling People are the basic concern of a Political Economist. On the other hand, Corporate or Marxian or Keynesian Economists uphold a particular ideology and manipulate the economy for the sake of the Ideology or Elite, including the Left or Corporate Sector at the expense of the common people. I do belong to the category of Political Economist rather than the Corporate or Marxian or Keynesian EconomistsRead full article... Read full article...
Saturday, December 03, 2016
First UK BrExit then Trump, Next BrExit Tsunami Wave to Hit Italy HARD Sunday! / ElectionOracle / Italy
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The people of Britain voting for freedom from an emerging european super state on 23rd of June 2016 has ignited a fire in the people across the western world who had been increasingly been turned off by pass the parcel politics of the last 40 years, one of lying politicians that had long since detached themselves from the reality of the lives of ordinary people, where over time they came to believe their own lies, and so are primed to be repeatedly shocked by the impossible. BrExit was supposed to be impossible, Trump becoming President was supposed to be impossible and we don't need to look far to see that both were shock events that the establishment, politicians, pollsters, mainstream media, markets, and bookies never saw coming.
Saturday, December 03, 2016
The 10YR Yield and SPX Stocks Bull Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Tony_Caldaro
The week started at SPX 2213. After a lower opening on Monday the market pulled back to SPX 2198 by Tuesday. An OPEC pact to cut crude oil production helped the market rally to a marginal new high at SPX 2214 on Wednesday. After that the market pulled back to SPX 2187 on Thursday, and ended the week at 2192. For the week the SPX/DOW were mixed, and the NDX/NAZ lost 2.7%. Economic reports for the week were nearly all positive. On the downtick: the Q4 GDP estimate and weekly jobless claims rose. On the uptick: Q3 GDP, consumer confidence, the ADP, personal income/spending, the Chicago PMI, pending home sales, construction spending, ISM manufacturing, auto sales, monthly payrolls, the WLEI, plus the unemployment rate dropped. Fourteen positive and only two negative reports. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by consumer credit, ISM services, the ECB and factory orders.
Saturday, December 03, 2016
Gold And Silver – Do Not Expect Much Difference With Trump Compared To Obama / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Michael_Noonan
Obama was the “Yes, we can!” hope and change candidate that become the deep state elite’s presidential lackey. It was Obama’s choice to sell his political and personal soul in serving the globalists.
History has been somewhat hidden from the public but still in the open for those who take the time to look. The US went bankrupt in 1933 when Roosevelt declared the Bank Holiday. Its purpose was to eliminate any and all banking independence and give all control over to the Federal Reserve cartel. Every bankrupt entity has a bankruptcy judge to oversee the bankruptcy. That job went to the Secretary of the Treasury as agent for the globalists that took control over the United States.
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Saturday, December 03, 2016
Can Biotech's Trump Bump Last? / Companies / BioTech
By: TLSReport
In the weeks since Donald Trump's presidential election victory, the stock markets have ridden a wave into positive—and in the case of the Dow, record-breaking—territory. The so-called Trump Bump also sent biotech indices, flaccid for much of the year, up as much as 15%. With the election now nearly a month old, and hot-button issues such as drug pricing still in the press, industry watchers have begun to weigh in on what might happen in the biotech and pharma markets when Trump takes office.
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Friday, December 02, 2016
Gold, Currencies and Markets Critical 61.8% Retracements / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Zeal_LLC
As it is quite often said (but just as often forgotten when things get volatile), no market can move up or down in a straight line. There have to be corrections along the way as some traders cash in their profits, others get scared out of their positions etc. The question is – where (at what price) is such a reversal likely to take place. Focusing on news and fundamental analysis alone will not provide you with an answer here, simply because the markets are not logical in the short term, but emotional (it is also the case in the medium term, but to a smaller extent). Consequently, we need to apply technical tools to determine what is the most likely level at which the price will reverse.
Friday, December 02, 2016
Trump Nominee Will Politicize Dept. of Justice / Politics / US Politics
By: Walter_Brasch
In his successful run to the presidency, Donald Trump spent a lot of time talking about the Second Amendment and defending gun ownership. He spent very little time talking about the other amendments, other than to say he supported the Constitution. He knew his core support came from those who could effortlessly repeat a phrase, “Donald Trump supports my Second Amendment rights,” without knowing much more than that.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 02, 2016
Gold Junior Stocks Q3’16 Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: Zeal_LLC
The junior gold miners’ and explorers’ stocks have been crushed in recent months, collateral damage from enormous gold-futures selling. That’s naturally left investors and speculators extremely bearish on gold juniors. But lost in all this technical and sentimental tumult are important fundamentals from the juniors’ recently-reported third-quarter financial and operational results, which proved quite strong and bullish.
The junior gold stocks are rightfully considered the Wild West of the gold sector. Most of the hundreds and hundreds of these small companies won’t prove successful. They won’t be able to secure funding to explore sufficiently, won’t be fortunate enough to find an economic deposit of gold to mine, or won’t be able to make the herculean leap from explorer to miner. The odds are stacked heavily against the gold juniors.
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Friday, December 02, 2016
Adventures in Castro’s Cuba / Politics / Social Issues
By: David_Galland
Dear Paraders,
Some years ago my then girlfriend, now wife, Deirdre and I set off to search Planet Earth for our personal paradise.
Cuba was one of the places we seriously considered.
My logic at the time—and this would be about 1995—was that Castro’s regime couldn’t last. And that once his heavy grip on the throat of the economy was released, the country’s natural charms and resources, sited as they are just 90 miles off the coast of Florida, would assure an entrepreneurially-minded individual (me) a solid chance of profiting.
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Friday, December 02, 2016
We Are Putting Off the Inevitable / Economics / Recession 2017
By: John_Mauldin
Only two presidents in history did not see a recession, and they were inaugurated after single-term presidents. In every single instance at the end of a two-term presidency, there’s been a recession. This means there is a 100% chance of recession for the new president.
My friend Raoul Pal, in his latest Global Macro Investor, talks about the potential for a recession in 2017:
The following chart shows every recession since 1910 (in yellow) with the new president after a two-term election marked in white and the new presidents after a single-term presidency in red. Wilson and Eisenhower appear as both. Only Coolidge saw more than a year (sixteen months) from his second-term election and the onset of the subsequent recession at the end of WWI…
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Friday, December 02, 2016
Is the Yellen Fed TRYING to Crash Stocks To Hurt Trump? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Graham_Summers
Is Janet Yellen trying to crash stocks to screw Trump?
Ever since the $USD began its bull market run in mid-2014, the Fed, lead by Janet Yellen, has intervened whenever the $USD cleared 98.
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Friday, December 02, 2016
Is Japan About to Implode the $10T $USD Carry Trade? / Interest-Rates / Global Financial System
By: Graham_Summers
It is said that history has a sense of irony. The latest US election is not an exception.
Consider the following…
- Donald Trump campaigned aggressively on trade… particularly his opposing of the fact that the US gets taken advantage of by foreign nations via bad trade deals.
- Trump wins the Presidency on November 8, 2016.
- US trade gets royally screwed in the currency markets.
Friday, December 02, 2016
Shale-War is over so $60 Brent Crude Oil by Christmas is highly probable: Next $85? / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Andrew_Butter
In April this model (http://oilpro.com/...) predicted the Saudi’s would blink in Doha and Brent would see $60 by Christmas.Well they did blink in Doha; they stopped talking about pumping an extra two-million barrels per day into the pot; incidentally that was just bravado; unless the plan was to stop using oil to make electricity...which would have been unpopular during the summer.
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Friday, December 02, 2016
Macroeconomic Cycles & Demographics - A Fuse, An Explosive and The Igniting Catalyst / Economics / Demographics
By: Gordon_T_Long
Investors need to focus on the two key long term structural changes now underway which are going to ignite destructive global dislocations through early 2020. To better understand why this is going to occur we need to place them in context by first examining the major economic cycles currently underway.
Harry Dent's Macroeconomic Cycles & Demographics
This initial cycle chart is from an in-depth discussion I had with Harry Dent earlier this year. Since leaving Harvard, Harry has spent most of his adult working life studying demographics and cycles.
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Friday, December 02, 2016
Rising Populism in America, Russia and Europe & The Rise of India / Politics / Social Issues
By: Dr_R_M_Mathew
The entire west is in the grip of Populism. The Spectacular victory of Donald Trump acts as a catalyst for its rise and spread in France, Germany, Britain, Ireland, Italy and etc. The common people in Germany fear that if Angeline Merkel is elected again, Germany will be isolated from the rest of the West or Europe and they have to pay very great price. These rising trends have forced CNN and other media to discuss about the rising or spreading of Populism in the West.
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Thursday, December 01, 2016
Stock Market Possible Breakdown... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has overlapped Wave [i], greatly diminishing the probability of another probe to a new high. This strongly suggests that the Top is in. This is turning into a complex decline that still may have a risk of a final surge to 2122.00, but no higher.
Take the appropriate action you deem necessary, given your propensity for risk. Shorting a bounce above 2200.00 may lower the drawdown due to a possible incomplete Wave formation.
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