Monday, August 17, 2015

Stock Market Dumb Money Is Doing Something Smart / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: John_Rubino

At the peak of bull markets, when stock prices have been rising long enough for people who just recently started paying attention to conclude that they always go up -- that's when retail investors traditionally go all-in to snag some of that apparently easy Dow Jones money. That's also when markets tend to peak and then roll over, once again transferring a sizable chunk of societal wealth from late-to-the-party "dumb money" investors to the pros who have been here before and recognize a peak when they see one.

Sunday, August 16, 2015

Asset-Price Inflation Enters Its Dangerous Late Phase / Economics / Inflation

By: MISES

Brendan Brown writes: Asset price inflation, a disease whose source always lies in monetary disorder, is not a new affliction. It was virtually inevitable that the present wild experimentation by the Federal Reserve — joined by the Bank of Japan and ECB — would produce a severe outbreak. And indications from the markets are that the disease is in a late phase, though still short of the final deadly stage characterized by pervasive falls in asset markets, sometimes financial panic, and the onset of recession.

Sunday, August 16, 2015

Four Economic Myths that Perpetuate the Euro Crisis / Economics / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: MISES

Patrick Barron writes: Too much of the commentary about the Greek crisis has focused on whether or not Greece should drop the euro and not enough on the structural problems arising out of decades of socialism. Meanwhile, the Greek government has borrowed more money than the Greek people can possibly repay, and debased money will not make this fact disappear. On the contrary, more easy money will cause even more harm.

Sunday, August 16, 2015

Hillary Clinton - Does the Country Really Need Another Economic Ignoramus? / Politics / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Investment_U

Alexander Green writes: Readers sounded off on my column a couple weeks ago about Hillary Clinton’s plan to nearly double the top tax rate on long-term capital gains to 43.4%.

As this is a column by and for investors, most readers nodded in vigorous agreement with my view that this plan would hurt not just investors but the poor and middle class as well.

Sunday, August 16, 2015

Imploding Department Store Results / Companies / Sector Analysis

By: James_Quinn

The government issued their monthly retail sales this past week and four of the biggest department store chains in the country announced their quarterly results. The year over year retail sales increase of 2.4% is pitifully low in an economy that is supposedly in its sixth year of economic growth with a reported unemployment rate of only 5.3%. If all of these jobs have been created, why aren’t retail sales booming?

Sunday, August 16, 2015

The World's Most Hated Major Currency Hits an 11-Year Low / Currencies / Canadian $

By: DailyWealth

Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: Crashing oil prices, crashing commodity prices, and a super-strong U.S. dollar – these three have been the trifecta of pain for the Canadian dollar in recent years.

All three of these together have pushed the Canadian dollar to an 11-year low.

In today's essay, I'll show you why the Canadian dollar could bottom out soon and start a solid rally...

Sunday, August 16, 2015

Trade for Income in a Tax-advantaged Accounts / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade

By: DailyWealth

By Brian Hunt and Ben Morris: Today, we're going to show you how to make more money from your trading... with almost no extra work...

Sunday, August 16, 2015

The Boundaries and Future of Solution Space – Part 1 / Politics / Social Issues

By: Nicole_Foss

A great deal of intelligence is invested in ignorance when the need for illusion is deep. Saul Bellow, 1976

More and more people (although not nearly enough) are coming to recognise that humanity cannot continue on its current trajectory, as the limits we face become ever more obvious, and their implications starker. There is a growing realisation that the future must be different, and much thought is therefore being applied to devising supposed solutions for that future. These are generally attempts to reconcile our need to make changes with our desire to continue something very much resembling our current industrial-world lifestyle, with a view to making a seamless transition between the now and a comfortably familiar future. The presumption is that it is possible, but this rests on foundational assumptions which vary between the improbable and the outright impossible. It is a presumption grounded in a comprehensive failure to understand the nature and extent of our predicament.

Sunday, August 16, 2015

Next Stock Market Low Important / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 2078. After a gap up opening on Monday the SPX rallied to 2105. Then two gap down openings took it down to 2052 by Wednesday. After that the market worked its back up above where it started the week, and ended the week at SPX 2092. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.65%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.15%, and the DJ World lost 0.40%. On the economic front positive reports slightly outpaced negative reports. On the uptick: wholesale/business inventories, retail sales, the PPI, industrial production, capacity utilization, and long term investor sentiment. On the downtick: export/import prices, consumer sentiment, plus both weekly jobless claims and the treasury deficit increased. Next week will be highlighted by the FOMC minutes, the NY/Philly FED, and Leading indicators.

Saturday, August 15, 2015

Gold And Silver Market Bottoming? Big Rally Imminent? Reality Check Says NO / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Michael_Noonan

The developing events over the past few months are so varied, seemingly unrelated but are all tied in, just not in a cognitive manner that makes sense, and almost all them are based upon lies by one government after another, the worst offender being the US.

We find it hard to make a cohesive explanation as to their impact. This increasingly maze of events is mean to confuse, to deflect. It is a key element of the elites creating problems, reactions [usually confusion or panic by the masses], and offering solutions. Cyprus and Greece are similar examples. The Ukrainian coup by the US, sanctions against Russia that have so badly backfired. China an added part of the SDR, then maybe not. The list is much longer.

Saturday, August 15, 2015

The China Dollar Shot Not Heard Around the World / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Peter_Schiff

China's recent move to devalue the yuan has sent shock waves through the global financial markets and has convinced most observers that a new front in the global currency wars has begun. The move has caused many observes to envision a new round of competitive devaluations around the globe in which the race to the bottom will intensify. In this scenario they envision that the U.S. dollar will solidify its standing as the only strong currency. This misses the point entirely.

Saturday, August 15, 2015

What I Learned at This Year’s Biggest Silicon Valley Party / Companies / Tech Stocks

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Michael A. Robinson writes: Of all the avenues, boulevards, lanes and streets in Silicon Valley, the most important road – the one lined with gold – is a tree-lined thoroughfare in Menlo Park.

I’m talking about Sand Hill Road.

That’s the epicenter of the nation’s venture capital industry. I first started visiting Sand Hill in the mid-1980s when I covered VC as a tech analyst.

Saturday, August 15, 2015

The World is Awash in Oil / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: EWI

...But does that mean that oil prices will only go down from here?

In this new interview with Elliott Wave International's Chief Energy Analyst, Steve Craig, you'll learn where he sees prices going next.

*Editor's note: this interview was recorded on August 12; the price low cited in the video was broken on August 13.

Saturday, August 15, 2015

What Twitter’s Insider Buys Really Tell You / Companies / Tech Stocks

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: I committed the equivalent of financial heresy in late December 2013 and again in January 2015 when I said Twitter (NYSE:TWTR) was a bug in search of a windshield and recommended shorting the stock. The blogosphere went nuts and I was taken to task by Twitter-lievers.

Since then the stock has fallen 63.31% from a high of $74.73 to a low of $27.04. It’s rebounded slightly in recent trading and the rally cry has begun anew…

…Twitter Interim CEO Dorsey Buys More Shares In Show of Faith – Reuters

…Twitter Rebounds: Here’s Why You Should Be Buying Shares – Bloomberg

…Jack Dorsey and Other Twitter Insiders Make Show of Support – The New York Times

Saturday, August 15, 2015

Investors High-profit Guide to this Radical New Economy / Companies / Sector Analysis

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com William Patalon III writes: By any measure, we've experienced an extraordinary bull run, with the S&P 500 soaring as high as 2,134.72 since it bottomed out at 676.53 on March 9, 2009.

But the real story is in the catalysts that led the markets to better than triple over that relatively short time – the story beyond quantitative easing, cheap-as-free money, and tax breaks.

Rather, these extraordinary gains have come from a group of "hot spots" that have given rise to the creation of an entirely new economy.

Saturday, August 15, 2015

Gold and Silver Shaken, Not Stirred / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Submissions

Chart Freak write: After a solid 5 day rally, gold sold off on Thursday, and the precious metals miners were sold-off indescriminetly.   Both GDX and GDXJ were down almost 6%, leading many to be shaken out of position on the pullback.  For me, these events are expected and become opportunities, so lets examine the charts to see why.

Saturday, August 15, 2015

U.S. Stock Markets Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Gary_Tanashian

Reviewing the US stock market picture from a few different angles...

NFTRH been using the Equity Put/Call ratio to gauge pressure on the US stock market for all of 2015. Many people think that anxiety indicators like this and the VIX are contrary indicators (i.e. when they spike you buy the fear in the markets, which often does work well) but when smoothing out CPCE using a moving average (weekly EMA 20 in this case) you get a trend.

The market benefited over long stretches from the calm atmosphere and the down trend in put buying vs. call buying. One explanation is that the market felt safe in mommy and daddy's arms (Bernanke and Yellen, amidst 'peak confidence' in the Fed with a side of Goldilocks).

Friday, August 14, 2015

Gold Miners’ $1200-Cost Fallacy / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Zeal_LLC

The entire gold-mining sector was crushed last month, suffering a full-blown panic.  This was triggered by an extreme shorting attack on gold by American futures speculators.  As fear-blinded traders rushed for the gold-stock exits, they claimed their selling was rational because gold miners’ very existence was threatened by such low gold prices.  But that’s a total fallacy, this sector has no problem weathering sub-$1200 gold.

The recent pain in gold stocks has been excruciating.  This sector’s benchmark of choice these days is Van Eck Global’s Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF, better known by its symbol GDX.  It closely mirrors gold stocks’ long-time leading sector index, the NYSE Arca Gold BUGS Index that trades as HUI.  The carnage in these two gold-stock metrics has been incredible, shattering the resolve of most contrarian traders.

Friday, August 14, 2015

Will China Yuan Currency Devaluation Cause a Stock Market Crash? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com David Zeiler writes: Stocks tumbled again early today (Wednesday) after a second round of yuan currency devaluation by the Chinese central bank.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell as much as 250 points, or 1.5%, in Wednesday morning trading. That decline followed a 212-point loss (1.2%) Tuesday.

Friday, August 14, 2015

Fed will Cut 'Transitory' in September / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Ashraf_Laidi

A Russian saying goes "nothing is more permanent than temporary". At the Federal Reserve, "transitory" may mean "permanently", or could also mean "we have no clue". Oil has dropped by 57% since over the last 12 months but the +200 PhDs at the world's biggest central bank continue to describe lower energy prices as "transitory". At the June FOMC, the Fed made some progress and finally dropped its phrase from the FOMC statement that "energy prices have stabilized".