Thursday, August 13, 2015
The Fiat Yuan / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
Seth Lipsky/The New York Sun/8-11-2015
“If the Communist Chinese devalue the yuan against a dollar that is appreciating against gold, has the yuan gone up or down? We ask because the leading story on the New York Times Web site this morning reports not only that the Chicom authorities ‘sharply devalued’ the renminbi but also that the move ‘could raise geopolitical tensions and weigh on growth elsewhere.’ We ran the Times’ entire text through the Sun’s old hand-crank Von Mises brand language-specie prose separator. It failed to find any mention of — or even allusion to — gold.”
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Thursday, August 13, 2015
Gold & Silver Correlations for August 2015 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Correlation seems almost like a magical word. In fact, most people don’t have to use this term more often than a couple of times a year. In the world of investing, however, correlation is an important concept which has to do with how different assets move in relation to one another. Before we even dive into what correlation means in the world of statistics, we’ll focus on the intuition behind it.
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Thursday, August 13, 2015
Saudi Crude Oil Strategy: Brilliant Or Suicide? / Commodities / Crude Oil
In the last quarter of 2014, in the face of possible oversupply, Saudi Arabia abandoned its traditional role as the global oil market's swing producer and therefore it role as unofficial guarantor of existing ($100+ per barrel) prices.In October, Saudi sources first prepared the market with statements that the country would be comfortable with oil prices as low as $80 per barrel for "a year or two." At the November OPEC meeting, the Saudi oil minister, Ali Al-Naimi, publicly announced Saudi Arabia would allow market forces to set prices. He argued that rapidly growing production outside OPEC made the existing status quo unviable, and that lower prices in the short term would increase prices in the longer term through reduced investment and ultimately benefit all OPEC members.
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Thursday, August 13, 2015
Currency Devalution - It's China's Turn / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Devaluing currencies from the US to Japan, Eurozone and China. Although Japan started zero interest rate policy back in the mid-1990s, for a more relevant comparison, we start the analysis post-2008/9 crisis.
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Thursday, August 13, 2015
Cable Companies Hurting Amid Selloff / Companies / Sector Analysis
It all started with three words during Disney’s earnings call with analysts. When talking about the company’s ESPN segment, CEO Bog Iger mentioned that Disney had experienced “some subscriber loss.”The stock slid 8% and is currently down almost 10% from its high before the earnings report came out. Disney isn’t the only one hurting, though. Viacom fell 14% after reporting lower-than-expected revenue due to weakness in its cable TV business. Time Warner, Fox, Comcast and CBS were also hit hard.
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Thursday, August 13, 2015
Student Finance Bank Accounts - Choose Wisely / Personal_Finance / Student Finances
Within the next month, many students will be heading to university, and for some this could be the first time they will live away from home and be solely in charge of their money.
As a new chapter in their lives begins, students need to make sure they learn how to manage their finances throughout their further education, and one of the best starting points is picking a good student bank account.
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Thursday, August 13, 2015
U.S. Dollar/Chinese Yuan (USD/CNY) Surges Following China’s Devaluation / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
Following China’s devaluation on Tuesday of the yuan, the U.S. dollar/Chinese yuan currency pair (USD/CNY) has surged, reaching as high as 6.4485 so far today (Wednesday). It has now reached the most overbought level on a weekly basis since 2001 (based on weekly 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator), and is extremely overbought based on the daily chart, getting close to the maximum reading of 100.
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Thursday, August 13, 2015
Stock Market Crash Potential Over The Next 3-4 Weeks & Possible Final Low In Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
I’ve said all along that if the Fed didn’t get out of the way and let the market correct naturally it would have serious consequences. Well they have not let the market correct naturally. On the contrary ever since QE3 ended there have been more interventions than ever before, and more aggressive. This has kept the market propped up but it’s also built up extreme complacency. We now have a bubble in central bank confidence. When this bubble pops it’s going to unleash a tsunami of selling as everyone runs to the exits all at once.
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Thursday, August 13, 2015
The Saudi Crude Oil Price War Is Backfiring / Commodities / Crude Oil
Saudi Arabia has long enjoyed the status of being the top crude oil exporter in the world. With record production of 10.564 million barrels per day in June 2015, Saudi Arabia has been one of the major driving forces behind the current oil price slump.The Saudis have kept their production levels high since last year in order to drive other players (especially U.S. shale drillers) out of business. Equally clear is the fact that this strategy of maintaining the glut and driving out rivals hasn't worked so far.
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Wednesday, August 12, 2015
Investors Time to Cash in on Tech Breakthrough, Biggest Memory Leap in 25 Years / Companies / Tech Stocks
MoneyMorning.com Michael A. Robinson: Just a couple of weeks ago, we received news about a huge new breakthrough in computer memory.
The announcement has major ramifications for consumer products like smartphones and tablets as well as for the growth markets of cloud computing and Big Data.
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Wednesday, August 12, 2015
What China’s Surprise Announcement Means for Crude Oil / Commodities / Crude Oil
MoneyMorning.com Dr. Kent Moors writes: The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) just decided to cut the value of the Chinese currency, the yuan, by 2%.
The announcement took analysts by surprise and signaled that Beijing has decided to shore up a weakness in exports. It will now almost certainly usher in similar moves by other Asian countries that are China’s exporting competitors.
And behind that cut U.S. oil and gas producers face another painful period.
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Wednesday, August 12, 2015
Junk Bonds - The Next Financial Disaster Starts Here / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market
By Dan Steinhart
Individual investors take note…
Some of the world’s best money managers are betting on the biggest financial disaster since 2008.
You won’t hear about this from the mainstream media. Networks like NBC or CBS don’t have a clue… just like they didn’t have a clue the US housing market would collapse in 2007.
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Wednesday, August 12, 2015
U.S. and Canadian Mint Dysfunction Snowballs as Silver Coin Premiums Rise / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Clint Siegner writes: Lower precious metals prices on Wall Street aren't necessarily bringing lower prices on Main Street.
The retail market for gold and silver coins, bars, and rounds has been swamped with high demand since mid June. Both the U.S. Mint and the Royal Canadian Mint continue to run into serious issues keeping up with retail silver coin demand.
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Wednesday, August 12, 2015
Dow Death Cross / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The Dow just saw its 50-day Moving Average cross the 200-day Moving Average in the last day or so.
ZeroHedge reports, “Just as we warned yesterday, unless the Dow can miraculously rally over 17,850, The Dow will close in a Death Cross pattern. This is the first time that the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day moving average since August 2011 (which was followed by a 1300 point swing from high to low in The Dow)...
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Wednesday, August 12, 2015
10yr Treasury Notes / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
TNX, the yield on the 10 year Treasury note, fell for the fourth week in a row with a loss of 1.36% to close at 21.75 on Friday after challenging the 30-dma earlier in the week. TNX remains in the 2015 trend channel and should find support at the lower boundary and 200-dma both which are near 21.34.
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Wednesday, August 12, 2015
China is Lying About Its Economy / Economics / China Economy
I and a few brave experts such as Jim Chanos, Gordon Chang, and David Stockman (speaking at our upcoming IES conference) have been arguing for years that China has the greatest investment and overbuilding bubble in all of modern history.We’ve also warned that its economic statistics are not real – they are purposefully overstated and then revised later, if at all.
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Wednesday, August 12, 2015
Owing More Than Half Of The World's Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Gold has bottomed in terms of just about everything like oil (in 2005), platinum (2008) and the Dow (1999). One important measure in terms of which it has not bottomed is the amount of currency (US adjusted monetary base).
This monetary base, as the name suggests, is at the root of debt or money creation in this debt-based monetary system. If this system was honest, then this monetary base would basically reflect gold available at the Treasury or Federal Reserve to redeem currency issued by the Federal Reserve.
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Wednesday, August 12, 2015
Gold Holds Its Own As Media Stocks Collapse / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
Daily Prices
Today’s Gold prices were USD 1,113.25, EUR 1008.97 and GBP 713.74 per ounce.
Yesterday’s Gold prices were USD 1,094.80, EUR 998.50 and GBP 707.74 per ounce.
[LBMA AM prices]
Wednesday, August 12, 2015
Why Change in Tax Relief for Landlords is Going to Impact Everybody / Housing-Market / UK Housing
Peter Scully writes: In the most recent budget, George Osborne cut tax relief on private rental properties. In the budget, private landlords had their tax relief on mortgage payments cut from the current 45% (or 40% in some cases) to 20%. This is a change which will come into place by April 2020. As you can probably guess, a huge change like this in the industry is going to have an absolutely huge impact on many people.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 12, 2015
Are Stocks the Next Oil (or Uranium, Copper, Silver)? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
See: Oil collapse couldn't come at a worse time for industrySee: 2007, when everyone was convinced of 'Peak Oil' and there were websites named 'Peak Oil', 'Oil Drum', etc. constantly reinforcing the mania.
I remember being away on business one day in 2007, with nothing better to do in my hotel room than watch the congressional debates about 'peak oil' and what to do about the evil speculators that were driving prices up. I enjoy watching a good mania as much as the next guy. I realized that what we were seeing was 'Peak Hysteria' with respect to this phenomenon. I thought, 'Yup, Prechter's right'.
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