Thursday, July 16, 2020

From a Stocks Bull Market Far, Far Away, Virus Doomsday Scenerio! / InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest

By: Nadeem_Walayat

It took me some 6 years from late 1987 to Early 1994 before the cookie finally crumbled and I understood the how to invest in stocks that has subsequently been tested in EVERY bear market and market collapse since, an understanding that has proven to be RESILIANT, so unless the worlds is about to end, or the West turns communist and starts seizing or heavily taxing capital, then the contents of this extensive article should shine the way towards profitable investing for decades to come. With the usual disclaimer that investing in the stock market is high risk. And that you are responsible for your investing decisions and any profits or losses that may occur.

Investor psychology tends to be the exact opposite to that which is required for successful investing i.e. Investors tend to fail to buy when they should buy i.e. when stocks are relatively cheap, instead most tend to buy at the worst possible time in terms of the bull / bear market cycles. And even if they do manage to hit the buy button near the right time, soon afterwards tend to become fearful of every dip, bad news event that erodes the few percent of paper profit they may have gained and thus tend to sell out of their investments too early on hopes that they can buy back later at a lower price, which rarely happens, so are left chasing stock prices ever higher as good stocks are good because they tend to go UP in price!

Thursday, July 16, 2020

Fiscal Cliffs and the Self-destructing Treasury / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Michael_Pento

We can all be very confident that there will be no change to monetary policy for a very, very long time. But there is a fiscal cliff coming—and indeed has already begun.

 It is clear that Mr. Powell is all-in on his unlimited QE and ZIRP. And, that he is "not even thinking about thinking about raising interest rates." Therefore, the stock market does not have to worry about a contraction in the rate of money printing any time soon. However, equities could soon plunge due to the crash in the amount of fiscal support offered to the economy.

Thursday, July 16, 2020

Silver Is At A Critical Point Based On US Dollar Action / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Hubert_Moolman

Previously, I have shown how  there were virtually no significant Silver rallies over the last 50 years during a period when the US Dollar index has been rising.

Betting on a silver rally when the US Dollar index is in decline makes for great odds. There have been two significant Silver rallies in the last 50 years (marked out with rectangles on the chart below). During both of these, the US dollar index was in serious decline.

Thursday, July 16, 2020

Dow Stock Market Crash Watch - Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: readtheticker

Like 1929 the markets have bounced. This time it is on the back of the FED $6.5T money printing.

Previous Post: Dow 2020 Crash Watch

But can the FED blow $6T every time the market rolls down to test support.

Yes, maybe before the US 2020 elections the FED will do 'what it takes'. But post elections not so much, the year 2021 is a long way from the next election (presidential or congress) and defense of the markets may not be so supportive at $6T or $10T per market smash. The FED may hesitate, and that will be window for stocks to break lower.

The 36 month simple moving average (SMA) is a good indicator of the Dow Jones trend (36 months is three years). It has been a good indicator of Dow break outs over the last 100 years.

Thursday, July 16, 2020

Gold & Silver Gaining on US Dollar Weakness / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Richard_Mills

The US economy is nowhere near recovering from the lockdown measures imposed by cities and states during the covid-19 pandemic, and that is weighing on the US dollar, which has fallen sharply since March. 

The beneficiary, as expected, has been gold (and silver), which normally moves in the opposite direction as the greenback. Year to date, spot gold has risen 16% to $1,811/oz, while the US Dollar Index (DXY), a measure of its value against a basket of currencies, has slumped 6% to 96.60. 

Thursday, July 16, 2020

How to Find the Best Stocks to Invest In / InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest

By: Sumeet_Manhas

Everyone wants to get an extra buck for their livelihood. It enables one to pay their bills more comfortably, live a good life, and throw some pennies into their savings account. Now, as you may already know, the stock market has been and still is a cash cow for many. Apart from just a side hustle, many people earn a living from stock trading. Some have even managed to accumulate huge wealth, thanks to being strategic and resilient. If you’re just getting started in stock investing or are considering diversifying your investment basket, you probably can’t help but wonder which stocks are the most profitable.

If that sounds anything like you, you are definitely on the right track. But there’s one big challenge as far as stocks investment is concerned. Although you can profit massively from trading stocks, there’s always a certain degree of incurring a loss. This is because the market keeps fluctuating and considering the many stock options out there to pick from, choosing the most profitable stocks can be a real frustration. Read on to discover how to find the best stocks to invest in.

Wednesday, July 15, 2020

Overclockers UK Custom Build PC Review - 2. System Build Changes Communications / Personal_Finance / Computing

By: HGR

This is the second in a series of videos of what to expect when ordering a custom built PC from Overclockers UK (overclockers.co.uk), in terms of build quality and performance. In part 2 it's 15 days since the order was placed and we have some action in terms with overclockers requesting build changes, so find out how overclockers UK. communicates custom builts with customers.

Wednesday, July 15, 2020

Gold Amid Epidemiological and Economical Update / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Sometimes when we observe people on the streets, when we see crowded restaurants and pubs, it seems like the pandemic has ended. But is the global epidemic really over? Not at all. Please look at the chart below. As one can see, the daily number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 in the world is still in an upward trend.

Wednesday, July 15, 2020

Is it Time To Dump Gold Stocks? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020

By: Submissions

As a contrarian and long-term holder of Goldcorp. (now Newmont), the latest push higher in the price of gold begs the question: is now the time to sell? The concern, for the uninitiated, is that after the price of gold moves powerfully higher there is an uncanny tendency for forces to mysteriously align and push prices powerfully lower. These “forces” (excuse the conspiratorial flare), have been known to short paper gold contracts in seemingly unlimited quantities, and, according to some, with the implicit backing of the Federal Reserve…

Conspiracy or not, it is obvious that the paper-traded price of gold can have an impact on the physical price of gold and/or the sentiment of those that buy and sell precious metals. After all, just as “$1,800+ gold!” attracts attention, like it did today, so too can headlines like “COMEX gold suffers historic crash!”. In other words, while record inflows into gold ETFs this year are certainly noteworthy, the informed contrarian knows that record inflows can quickly lead to record outflows.

Wednesday, July 15, 2020

Retail Stock Market Traders & Investors Squeezed to Buy High-Risk Assets Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Yes, we certainly live in interesting times.  This, the last segment of our multi-part article on the current Q2 and Q3 2020 US and global economic expectations, as well as current data points, referencing very real ongoing concerns, we urge you to continue using common sense to help protect your assets and families from what we believe will be a very volatile end to 2020.  If you missed the first two segments of this research article, please take a moment to review them before continuing.

On May 24th, 2020, we published this research article related to our super-cycle research. It is critical that you understand what is really happening in the world as we move through these major 21 to 85+ year super-cycles and apply that knowledge to the data we have presented in the first two segments of this research post.  Within that article, we quoted Ray Dalio from a recent article published related to his cycle research.

“In brief, after the creation of a new set of rules establishes the new world order, there is typically a peaceful and prosperous period. As people get used to this they increasingly bet on the prosperity continuing, and they increasingly borrow money to do that, which eventually leads to a bubble. As prosperity increases the wealth gap grows. Eventually, the debt bubble bursts, which leads to the printing of money and credit and increased internal conflict, which leads to some sort of wealth redistribution revolution that can be peaceful or violent. Typically at that time late in the cycle, the leading empire that won the last economic and geopolitical war is less powerful relative to rival powers that prospered during the prosperous period, and with the bad economic conditions and the disagreements between powers, there is typically some kind of war. Out of this debt, economic, domestic, and world-order breakdowns that take the forms of revolutions and wars come new winners and losers. Then the winners get together to create the new domestic and world orders.”

Wednesday, July 15, 2020

SPX about to Challenge 8/08 High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – Having rallied well past a .618 retracement of the decline into March 2020, it is time to consider the possibility that the retracement was only an interruption of the bull market which originated in 2009.

Intermediate trend – Still in an uptrend since March

Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends. 

Wednesday, July 15, 2020

How to Grow Huge Fruiting Magical Indoor Grape Vines at Home UK / Personal_Finance / Gardening

By: Eliza_Walayat

Who says you can't grow grapes in the North of England? Find out how it's done in our latest gardening video.

Monday, July 13, 2020

Stock Market Dow 30k before End of 2020? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Looking at the way the Dow has behaved to date in the wake of the the Great Corona Crash of 2020.

Monday, July 13, 2020

Credit Market Investments Turned Into End-User Risk Again / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Continuing our research from Part I, into what to expect in Q2 and Q3 of 2020, we’ll start by discussing our Adaptive Dynamic Learning predictive modeling system and our belief that the US stock market is rallied beyond proper expectation levels.  The Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) modeling systems attempts to identify price and technical indicator DNA markers and attempts to map our these unique price setups.  Then, it attempts to learn from the past DNA markers and apply that learned price behavior to future price DNA markers.  In this manner, it learns from the past and applies that knowledge to the future.

Monday, July 13, 2020

Investors Are Going All-In on This Coronavirus Proof Industry / Companies / Investing 2020

By: Submissions

Monday, July 13, 2020

5 Vital Insights That You Can Gain From Instagram Trackers / Companies / Social Media

By: Submissions

The uses of Instagram has evolved today much beyond imagination. Today, it is one of the most powerful marketing tools that businesses seek to leverage.  

Today, most businesses seek to derive important insights to set straight their business expansion plans. And before venturing on Instagram for promotional activities, they usually adopt an Instagram tracker to dig deeper and find out more about their target audience and the market dynamics.

Sunday, July 12, 2020

Stop Believing The 'Economy' Is The Same As The Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Avi_Gilburt

There are so many fallacies perpetuated and regurgitated throughout the market, yet there is so little time to appropriately address them all.

Of late, almost all the “analysis” or comments you read or hear is based upon a superficial understanding of the market propagated through “common-speak.” And, that is exactly why they all seem to be so confused:

“The stock market is confusing a lot of people right now. It seems simple: news is bad, there's a pandemic for the first time in generations, people are dying, and the economy has taken a beating for the ages. Stocks should go down, right? But they're not. They've recovered so much of their March slide that they've produced the shortest bear market in history. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was in a bear market for just three days.”

Sunday, July 12, 2020

Spotify Recealed as The “Next Netflix” / Companies / Internet

By: John_Mauldin

By Justin Spittler : A sleeping giant tech stock has awoken. It’s already handing out monster gains. And as I’ll show you today, it’s just getting warmed up.

In fact, it won’t be long before this stock is mentioned in the same breath as hall-of-famers like Netflix (NFLX), Facebook (FB), and Google (GOOG). That’s right. The next great tech stock is growing up before our eyes.

I don’t say that lightly. Within a few years, this company should have over a half billion users and be worth hundreds of billions of dollars.

Sunday, July 12, 2020

Getting Ahead of the Game: What Determines the Prices of Oil? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Dylan_Moran

Oil is a commodity that plays an indisputable role in the global economy. At the start of the 20th century, the oil industry went into mass production, thus giving birth to what we refer to as the modern era of oil consumption. Gradually, coal was starting to take a backseat to it and oil became the world’s #1 fuel source and the undisputed king of commodity trading.

To this very day, this remains unchanged. The only question is, what drives the prices of oil?

Saturday, July 11, 2020

The Big Short 2020 – World Pushes Credit/Investments Into Risk Again / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

One thing is very certain right now – we live in very interesting times.  As the world rushes head-first into the 21st Century, it appears one of the most pressing issues before all of us is to navigate the risks and opportunities that continue to stack up ahead of us.  Within the first 20 years of this century, the global markets have experienced many shifts and big price rotations.  Emerging markets, Oil, Technology, Bio-Tech, Miners, Metals, Currencies, Cryptos – we can look at all of these on a longer-term basis and see a boom cycle and a moderate bust cycle event.

The current trends suggest global investors are pouring capital into the US technology stocks which is what is driving the NASDAQ to new all-time highs.  We published this article in late June suggesting a parabolic top pattern may be setting up in the global markets – which may be very similar to the DOT COM peak in 1999~2000 explained here.