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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Currencies

Wednesday, June 17, 2020

8 Rules for Forex Market Beginners / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Submissions

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 17, 2020

Gold Stocks Investment Strong / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold investment demand remains strong, buoying the yellow metal and its miners’ stocks.  Investors have continued actively diversifying into gold despite soaring stock markets and weaker summer seasonals.  The Fed’s extreme money printing fueling these precarious stock-market heights is perilously inflationary, making upping gold portfolio allocations essential.  This ongoing capital shift is likely to keep pushing gold higher.

The dominant driver of gold’s major price trends is investment demand.  While it isn’t the largest demand category, it varies greatly depending on global-financial-market conditions.  The best global gold supply-and-demand data is only published quarterly by the venerable World Gold Council, in its must-read Gold Demand Trends reports.  They highlight the big volatility inherent in gold investment demand in recent years.

From 2015 to 2019, jewelry demand averaged 51.2% of overall gold demand.  But the biggest jewelry year out of the last 5 was only 1.2x the smallest one in tonnage-demand terms.  Investment demand only averaged 29.0% of overall gold demand in 2015 to 2019, yet the difference between the best and worst years in this span was 1.7x.  The WGC’s latest GDT on Q1’20 again proved how important investment is.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 17, 2020

Silver Tops Gold in May, Setting up a Summer Surge / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: The_Gold_Report

Although the gold to silver ratio has tightened a bit, it remains elevated and could indicate more upside for silver, according to McAlinden Research Partners.

Silver and silver miners popped in May on the back of a rebound in industrial activity around the world. Ultra-low interest rates and expectations of a weaker dollar have compounded several political pressures that begun popping up at the end of the month. Though the gold to silver ratio has tightened a bit, it remains elevated and could indicate more upside for silver.

Silver futures capped a gain of nearly 24% for the month of May, the largest monthly gain since 2011. The metal jumped strongly on hopes of an upturn in industrial activity as economies around the world have begun to "reopen" in the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic.

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Companies

Wednesday, June 17, 2020

Google - Investing in Best Artificial Intelligence Stocks for 2020 and Beyond! / Companies / Google

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This analysis will now seek to update potential buying levels for AI stocks during Q2 of where stocks could trade down to in terms of technical support levels during the anticipated general stock market correction of about 15% that should be imminent.

Top 5 AI Stocks are all primary, the ordering of which is arbitrary for instance of the 3 Google, Amazon and Microsoft it's a toss up of which comes first. For instance If I was compiling the list today then I would likely put Amazon at No1 ahead of Google. So keep in mind that the rankings are more in terms of primary, Secondary and Tertiary rather than their number order.

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Companies

Wednesday, June 17, 2020

AMD Ryzen XT Refresh Very BAD Value for Money - 20% Price Hike for 2% Boost, 3900xt, 3800xt, 3600xt / Companies / Tech Stocks

By: HGR

The Ryzen XT Refresh has now been officially launched by AMD and so no more speculation about what to expect, furthermore whilst the brief worries of huge price hikes as implied by Amazon's Italian web page have not materialised, nevertheless these so called new processors are a huge disappointment that only deliver a 100mhz turbo clock speed for the 3600xt and 3900xt whilst the 3800xt turbo gets a 200mhz boost when compared to their X predecessors.

To further illustrate why these new processors are bad value for money lets take a case by case comparison for each processor.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 16, 2020

The AI Stocks Mega-trend - Moores Law is NOT Dead! / Stock-Markets / AI

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The stock market is finally showing signs of heading for a significant correction after bull run that has seen AI sector stocks retrace virtually all of their corona crash, with the Dow closing sharply lower Thursday to 25,128 that looks like targeting a trend to 23,000, so apt timing for this my latest analysis that seeks to answer why the number one priority for investors should be to accumulate into AI mega-trend stocks, and why one should embrace plunges in the stock market as buying opportunities. Though the tendency to wait for corrections before climbing onboard the AI mega-trend could result in fundamental errors that investors could come to regret for decades to come which is the primary focus of this article that seeks clear away the fog of future uncertainty to map out a trend for AI stocks and to a lesser extent the general stock market indices over the next 15 years!

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 16, 2020

Strong Demand Will Not Send Gold Price Higher / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Kelsey_Williams

Gold is original money. As such, it is the measure of value for everything else.

Gold was money before the US dollar and other paper currencies. All paper currencies are substitutes for gold, i.e., real money.

So, how much is money worth? Money is worth what you can buy with it. In my article A Loaf Of Bread, A Gallon Of Gas, An Ounce Of Gold, I compared the cost to purchase bread and gasoline over the past one hundred years using US dollars vs. gold.

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 16, 2020

Gold Stocks Correction and Upcoming Opportunity / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020

By: Gary_Tanashian

Before updating the status of the gold miner (HUI) correction, let’s take a quick review of the Macrocosm, because it’s always a good time to be clear on important macro considerations.

The graphic makes the following points that are the foundation of the NFTRH view on the right/wrong times to be fundamentally bullish on the gold stock sector. In order of priority, a bullish view needs:

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 16, 2020

Stocks Bulls Beware: A Dark Cloud Is Forming Over Oil Markets / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

Bullish sentiment appears to have returned to the stock markets with a vengeance. In a historic rally that has taken even die-hard bulls by surprise, the S&P 500 has managed to claw back all of its 2020 losses, taking just 53 sessions for the index to fully restore the nearly $10T in value it shed in an epic bear market. The oil markets have been nearly as impressive.

After entering negative territory for the first time in history, U.S. WTI prices have briefly touched $40/bbl amid record production cuts and an uptick in global demand. Oil and gas stocks have doubled from their March 23 nadir, marking a sharp reversal from the precipitous drop that wiped out nearly two decades of gains.

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Personal_Finance

Tuesday, June 16, 2020

AMD Ryzen Refresh Bad Value for Money - 3800xt 3900xt 3600xt Specs / Personal_Finance / Computing

By: HGR

Courtesy of a ***** up on Amazon's Italian website we now know the exact specs in terms of gig hz and pricing for AMD's XT Ryzen 3000 refresh cpus, for the 3900x that becomes the 3900XT, 3800x becomes the 3800XT and the 3600XT.

My video of over 2 weeks ago speculated that the 3900XT would be clocked at 4.1ghz base, 4.8ghz turbo. Which was pretty close to the actual spec with the turbo just 100mhz lower.

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Personal_Finance

Tuesday, June 16, 2020

How to Clip a Budgie / Parakeet Parrot's Wings Flight Feathers: Easy Steps! / Personal_Finance / Animals & Pets

By: N_Walayat

There are different ways to clip a bird's wings. This video demonstrates how I personally clip my budgies / parakeet parrots to stop them from flying away. . Budgies have 10 flight feathers, the more you trim of them your bird will have a lesser ability to fly, both for your birds safety in not flying to mirrors or windows or worse escape.

Also so that you can take your budgie outdoors for fun in the garden or local park without it flying away.

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Companies

Monday, June 15, 2020

XLF Financial Sector Stocks Under Pressure and What It Means / Companies / Banking Stocks

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The Financial sector is unique in that it is an essential component of global economics as well as local economic functions.  Consumers depend on banking services, credit, and all sorts of other financial services in their day-to-day lives.  The Financial sector is one of the components of the US stock market that can suddenly find itself under pricing pressure as an economic crisis event unfolds.  This happens because banks earn a large portion of their income from servicing debt and originating loans.

The recent rally in the Financial sector, over 47% from the March 2020 lows, has reached our proprietary Fibonacci price modeling system’s upside price targets and has also filled a major gap that was created in early March 2020.  Because of these factors, and the current downside price rotation within the Financial Sector, we believe this component of the US stock market could continue to see extended pricing pressure going forward as we learn just how damaging the past 70+ days of the economic shutdown have been for the economy.

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Politics

Monday, June 15, 2020

For History Unfolding To Stay Informed, Watch Less TV / Politics / Mainstream Media

By: Patrick_Watson

Pop math quiz: What is 1918 + 1932 + 1968?

Your calculator may say 5,818, but the real answer is 2020. This year has turned into a combination of those three historic years. In the US, we have

  • A deadly pandemic, like the one in 1918
  • An economic recession that could inspire major political change, as in 1932, and
  • Social unrest, public anger, and mass protests similar to 1968.

The good news: we’re not also engaged in a military conflict, as was the case in 1918 and 1968. But we have lesser involvements around the world, any of which could blow up any time. (Let’s hope they don’t.)

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Portfolio

Monday, June 15, 2020

Black Lives Matter Protests to Trigger US and UK 2nd Coronavirus Wave / Portfolio / Pandemic

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The protesting and rioting of the past week that has shown little signs of social distancing coupled with relaxation of lockdown's is likely to trigger a second wave of sorts that a few weeks down the road could result in a rising death tolls for both the US and UK.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, June 15, 2020

Staying Cautious & Staying Prepared With You Stocks Trading Account / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Over the past 30+ days, our researchers have been warning our friends and followers to stay cautious and to consider the risks within this market trend.  Certainly, we’ve received some emails and contact from some people suggesting we should become more active, but we’ve also received many emails from members that feel we’ve kept them safely removed from the volatility and risks associated with this wild price rotation during these uncertain times.  Additionally, we’ve been able to grow their accounts at the same time.

One of the reasons we’ve been able to accomplish this is because our research team identified a major supercycle event that was likely near August 2019 and continued to warn our members of this potential event well ahead of the projected event date.  We also issued a Black Swan warning on February 21, 2020 warning all of our members to “get into cash” and to prepare for a very big price event. 

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Commodities

Monday, June 15, 2020

Silver: How to Gauge the Crowd's Mindset / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: EWI


Watching out for sentiment extremes helps you avoid getting "caught up with the crowd"

Simply put, a market sentiment extreme is a situation when most everyone has already taken a bullish or bearish position in a financial asset, leaving almost no one left to buy or sell.

Silver provides an excellent case study.

Let's briefly go back to April 18, 2011, when Elliott Wave International's U.S. Short Term Update, which provides near-term forecasts for major U.S. financial markets thrice weekly, showed this chart and said:

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InvestorEducation

Sunday, June 14, 2020

When to Sell Your AI Tech Stocks Investments / InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest

By: Nadeem_Walayat

I get many comments asking when to sell the AI stocks given the sharp rallies over the past 6 weeks so as to capitalise on their gains. Which in my opinion defeats the whole point have having invested at deep discounts for 20-30% or so gains from March purchases, which is trading stocks rather than investing and in my opinion is nothing compared to what is to come, for instance imagine all those who bought Amazon at say $1700 and then sold it at $2000, and now are regretting doing so at $2375, hoping that it will fall to $2000 again so they can buy back in, which just illustrates investors in the AI mega-trend need to adjust their mindset.

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Commodities

Sunday, June 14, 2020

Gold and Silver Precious Metals Sector Correction Starts as Risk On and Seasonal Factors Weigh / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Clive Maund discusses the factors he sees weighing on precious metals in the near term.

The precious metals sector is now set up for a correction that could be quite severe, which is evident on the charts, but also made more likely by the fundamentals where we see a return to "risk on" as a result of ongoing massive money injection by the Fed coupled with this being a seasonally weak summer period for the metals ahead of their seasonally strongest time, which runs from late July through September. The return of "risk on" will be greatly encouraged by the stock market breaking out to new highs which will suck money out of the PM sector to be deployed in biotech, blockchain, the FAANGS and the better cannabis stocks, but it should return as the economy gets going again and all the newly created money starts to drive inflation sharply higher.

Starting with gold's 6-month chart we see that it is weakening following a failed upside breakout from a Symmetrical Triangle, and is it now close to breaking the first line of support shown. Once that fails it is likely to head down to the next support level near to its 200-day moving average.

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Companies

Sunday, June 14, 2020

What Happens When Cars Can “See”? / Companies / Self Driving Cars

By: Stephen_McBride

Dairy giant Land O’Lakes recently made history. It hired a Silicon Valley startup to deliver 20 tons of butter across America by truck. The 2,800 mile drive from California to Philadelphia took over 40 hours.

And here’s the kicker: the 18-wheeler drove itself the whole way! A safety driver sat along for the ride, but he didn’t have to put his hands on the wheel once. This was the first time a self-driving semi delivered goods for a paying customer.

A few weeks ago, 60 Minutes did a special on driverless trucks. The camera crew travelled to a warehouse in the heart of Arizona’s Sonoran Desert. Inside sat a fleet of 40 new, shiny self-driving 18-wheelers. Those big rigs belong to TuSimple, a robotruck startup valued at $1 billion.

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Personal_Finance

Sunday, June 14, 2020

Rolex Watches — a Store of Value / Personal_Finance / Investing

By: Kavinesh_A

Any avid watch enthusiast and collector can appreciate the amount of work that goes into designing a Rolex watch. Thanks to its impeccable design and high-quality, Rolex has become the most recognizable name in the industry, synonymous with classy, well-made watches. Thus, either new or vintage Rolex watches can be used as a unique store of value.

History shows that there were more than a few times when Rolex watches stole the show in world-class auctions and sales, with prices going up into the six-figure range.

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