Thursday, April 25, 2019
Stock Market Due for 9-10% Pull Back? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The December 24-26 low in the stock market finished an E-Wave xyz bullish flag, which itself was likely an X wave of larger degree. The move up to all time highs within only 4 months of a 20% pull back has been quite impressive. The xyz pattern is a very bullish e-wave pattern and the current Wave Y runs an abc type rally with “a” due in this general time frame. The 20-week low (“b”) is due around May 17-20 and it wouldn’t surprise me that an intermediate top forms shortly (within the next 1-4 trading sessions) and drops 9-10% into the mid May expected low. The 9 month top (“c” of Y) is due in early July and a move to above S&P 500 3100 would not surprise me at all, but like I said, a 9-10% pull back is likely first.
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Thursday, April 25, 2019
Dow Transportation Stocks Sector Is Testing Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The DOW Transportation Index continues to test resistance near $10,050 as earnings drive the NQ well past historical all-time highs. Our interest in the Transportation Index is because it acts as a fundamental indicator for the US and global economies in terms of future transportation/shipping expectations. When the Transportation Index rises, it is a good sign that business and consumers have faith in the future economy and the continued demand for goods to be supplied to retailers and distribution centers.
The fact that the TRAN is back to near December 2018 highs means we have reached an expected economic expansion level that equals that level just before Christmas 2018. A continued rally would push expectations even higher going into the Summer months. With earnings hitting the market hard today driving a strong rally in almost all the major US stock indexes, we are surprised that the TRAN did not move a bit higher on the news.
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Thursday, April 25, 2019
INSOMNIA i64 UK Best Games Festival Vlog of What it's Like to Attend - 2019 / Personal_Finance / Gaming
By: Sami_Walayat
Here's what it was like to attend Britain's biggest and best games festival, INSOMNIA 64 at the Birmingham National Exhibition Centre. There were loads of games to play across a range of ages, from kiddies and families games such as the Super Mario series, Splashtoon, to the 16 and over 18 games such as 5 Nights Freddy in VR and Mortal Combat, Bioshock etc. There were several stages and big screens to watch tournament action on as well as many displays such as a double decker Gaming Bus. So here's what its like to attend an Insomnia Gaming Festival for your future reference.
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Thursday, April 25, 2019
Silver Sentiment: Is It (Your) Friend or Foe? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: MoneyMetals
The gold and silver bull markets have been on a roller coaster ride for almost two decades. Gold came to life in 2000, with silver crawling along between $4 and $5 until late 2003, making its first print above $10 in March 2006. The next two years saw the last part of a 400% up-move for those who "kept the faith," before silver dropped below $9 during the 2008 global financial meltdown.
Then it was up, up and away, as silver rocketed to nearly $50 by April 2011. By then, "everyone knew" it was going to $100.
A blogger announced he had sold his house to buy silver and advised others to do the same.
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Thursday, April 25, 2019
Next Potential Targets for Saudi Stock Market (Tadawul) / Stock-Markets / Saudi Arabia
By: MarketsToday
Several weeks ago, the Tadawul All Share Index (TASI) went right through the 61.2% Fibonacci retracement (potential resistance) of the long-term downtrend that started off the September 2014 peak of 11,159.50 and kept going. Year-to-date the index is up 17.5%.
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Thursday, April 25, 2019
In Just 45 Mins., Learn to Spot New Opportunities in ANY Market for FREE! / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade
By: EWI
Dear Investor,
This free event is hosted by our friends at Elliott Wave International. The webcast features two of the world's leading technical analysts:
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Thursday, April 25, 2019
If This Pattern Holds True, the US Economy Could Face the Worst Stagnation in History / Economics / Great Depression II
By: John_Mauldin
I recently made a case that the Fed’s monetary policy is turning Japanese. Let’s examine how that worked for them.
From one perspective, it has done quite well. From another, they have paid a cost.
Is it worth it? I think many Japanese, likely a big majority, would say yes.
An Economic Miracle?
The Bank of Japan has more than 140% of Japanese GDP on its balance sheet.
Its laws let it buy equities not just in Japan but all over the world and it did. Yet the currency is roughly the same value as it was when the Bank of Japan got busy with that project.
Thursday, April 25, 2019
8 Reasons Why Investment in Education Always Pays Off / Personal_Finance / Student Finances
By: Submissions
University brings about so much imagination within us. Secondary school is over and we think of furthering our education and obtaining the great successes that await us. It seems anything can be possible as we transition into adulting. Picture having the help of an Oxbridge diploma with the highest accolades. Companies scrambling to offer the best career opportunities and suddenly the corporate ladder seems to be much shorter. But then we consider all the baggage that comes with uni. The need to find time for assignments, devoting 4+ years of life to courses, and the cost of a quality education in the UK is quite substantial. With skyrocketing tuition, many wonder if the financial investment for a degree makes sense. For those of you on the fence about higher education, let’s take a look at 8 reasons why an investment in education will always pay off.
“He who opens a school door, closes a prison.“ – Victor Hugo
Wednesday, April 24, 2019
Want To Earn A Safe 5% In Fixed Income? Buy Preferred Stocks / Companies / Dividends
By: Robert_Foss
Chances are you’re overlooking an entire class of safe, high-yield stocks…These stocks have dividend yields averaging 5.7%. Yet very few retail investors own them.
That’s a shame. It means you’re probably leaving a lot of (predictable) money on the table—a thought income investors should cringe at.
If you haven’t figured it out already, I’m talking about preferred stocks, the bond-like cousin of ordinary “common stocks.”
As I’ll explain, today’s interest rate environment makes now a great time to buy preferred stocks.
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Wednesday, April 24, 2019
Spring Has Arrived. Will Gold also Bloom? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Recent positive news suggest the US economy spring revival. But what about gold? Will it blossom? Will the gold love trade take reins from gold as a safe haven play?
Retail Sales Surge
Last week, the government has released its latest report on the retail sector. The retail sales jumped 1.6 percent in March, the best results since September 2017, as one can see in the chart below. The change was above expectations (the economists polled by MarketWatch forecasted sales to climb 1.1 percent) and it was solid (0.9 percent) even if we set gas and autos aside.
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Wednesday, April 24, 2019
Can Saudi Arabia Still Sway The Oil Market? / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: OilPrice_Com
Saudi Arabia, the world’s top oil exporter and OPEC's largest producer, has influenced the oil market and oil flows since the middle of the 20th century.
Shortly after the 21st century began, one of Saudi Arabia's key customers made its first steps toward becoming one of the Kingdom's main competitors on the global oil market: the United States began fracking for oil in the mid-2000s. By the end of the 2010s, the U.S. is now the world's biggest crude oil producer, having surpassed Russia and Saudi Arabia to claim the crown.
Sure, Saudi Arabia is one of the most important factors in global crude trade and oil market participants are lapping up every word and hint from the top oil officials in the Kingdom.
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Wednesday, April 24, 2019
UK Home Owners Motivation to Remortgage Expected to Increase / Housing-Market / Mortgages
By: MoneyFacts
The latest research from Moneyfacts.co.uk shows that the motivation for existing borrowers to remortgage from a lender’s standard variable rate (SVR) is increasing and is expected to reach a peak in October 2019. Borrowers who opted for a two-year fixed rate at an average rate of 2.30% in May 2017 could see their interest rate more than double when moved onto the average SVR of 4.89%.
Further Moneyfacts.co.uk research shows that the average two-year fixed rate reached a record low of 2.20% in October 2017 and if the average SVR remains constant at 4.89%, the projected average difference in the revert rate will increase from 2.59% to 2.69% by October 2019, increasing the motivation to remortgage even further.
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Wednesday, April 24, 2019
Can Gold Price Rise Without a Rate Cut? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
The downside potential in precious metals discussed last week is playing out as Gold and gold stocks have broken down technically.
The global economy appears to be firming and that is evidenced by a sustained rebound in global equity markets.
As a result, the potential for a rate cut which pushed precious metals higher is now unwinding. That has caused the breakdown in precious metals and there is more unwinding to go.
We have trumpeted the need (in precious metals) for a rate cut as a fundamental catalyst for the next bull market. But there is another scenario that plays well for Gold.
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Wednesday, April 24, 2019
Elliott Wave Analysis of SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (XSD) / Companies / Tech Stocks
By: WavePatternTraders
If you are an active trader, then you may well have been noticing the recent strength on the semiconductor stocks, particularly stocks like Broadcom (AVGO) Intel (INTC) and Microsoft (MSFT). Although there are a few more semiconductor stocks that have shown strength since the Dec 2018 low, based on the weighting, the stocks listed are the more important stocks to follow in my opinion.Taking a look at the ETF called XSD, it's pretty much the SOX in disguise, I favor the frenzy and euphoria that we are seeing now, is likely a 5th wave of a large impulse wave from the 2009 low. It's common to see Technology stocks being bid when traders and investors are chasing the market. We saw that into the Oct 2018 high as the FAANG stocks were being bid up. Today it's not so much the FAANG stocks, but the semiconductor stocks, which is very reminiscent to what was seen into the 2000 tech bubble top.
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Wednesday, April 24, 2019
Silver’s Next Big Move / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Kelsey_Williams
Eight years ago this month, silver started its “next big move”. And that move continues today. It is awesome to behold. See the chart (ten-year history of silver prices) below…
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Wednesday, April 24, 2019
How Can a College Student Invest Wisely? / Personal_Finance / Student Finances
By: Submissions
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Tuesday, April 23, 2019
Prepare For Unknown Stock Market Price Action As New Highs Are Reached / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The ES and NQ are very close to breaking out to new all-time highs this week and possibly over the next few weeks. The NQ is very close to these new high levels already. Traders must not take this move for granted as increased volatility and a very real chance for a price correction become even greater once we break into “new high territory”.
This upside move has taken almost 5 months to climb back from the December 2018 lows. It has been a very dramatic rally to say the least. We’ve seen dozens of professional analysts suggest the markets would rotate lower all the way up this rally. It seems as though everyone wanted to be right that the market top in October 2018 was going to be the start of something big. We were one of the few analysts that called the market accurately. Our September 17, 2018 analysis called for almost every leg of this price swing over the past 7+ months. We stuck by our research while others were skeptical and doubting our research. We stuck to it because we believe in our work and modeling tools.
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Tuesday, April 23, 2019
Mueller Report - Cover-up for Real Crimes / Politics / US Politics
By: BATR
If one listens to the Democrats or the mainstream media, the impression that is being fed to the American public is that the Trump investigation will just intensify. The sacred Grand Inquisitor, Robert Mueller once the darling of the witch hunt, is now a spineless hangman who failed to topple the king. After this tortured process of the Deep State cover-up, the central concocted reason for finding collusion with some imaginary Russian plot to fix the 2016 presidential election never provided the evidence to prove this establishment narrative. Pray tell; no boot licking toady would ever admit that the U.S. imperial empire ever intervened or staged subversion into foreign elections or governmental overthrows.
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Tuesday, April 23, 2019
Silver Plays a Small but Vital Role in Every Portfolio / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Jared_Dillian
Portfolio strategies like Modern Portfolio Theory and others tend to assume that market returns follow a normal distribution.
Not really.
Certain securities have high kurtosis. That is where out-of-the ordinary returns (larger or smaller) occur more frequently than the normal distribution predicts.
Of course, nobody who is stable and balanced puts 100% of their assets into something which has the possibility of extreme returns.
But risk 90 cents for the possibility of making 10 bucks? All day long.
Tuesday, April 23, 2019
Forecasting 2020s : Two Recessions, Higher Taxes, and Japan-Like Flat Markets / Economics / Recession 2020
By: John_Mauldin
I’m slowly losing confidence in the economy.
I still think the economy is okay for now. But I also see recession odds rising considerably in 2020. Maybe it will get pushed back another year or two, but at some point, this growth phase will end.
It will be either recession or an extended flat period (even flatter than the last decade, which says a lot). On top of that, we are headed toward a global credit crisis I’ve dubbed The Great Reset.
Let me give you the CliffsNotes version of how I think the next decade will play out.