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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Stock-Markets

Friday, November 09, 2018

Are We Entering a Stocks Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: John_Mauldin

I’ve gotten a lot of questions lately about whether I think we are entering into a bear market. The honest answer is I don’t know.
First, looking back in history, there are two types of bear markets:

  1. those that happen in a recession,
  2. and those that don’t.

Bear markets that happen in a recession are often deeper and the recovery is much longer. Those that happen simply because the market had gone “too far, too fast” tend to be “V”-shaped recoveries. Think 1987 or 1998.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 09, 2018

The Risk of Stock Market “Buy-and-Hold” Nobody Is Talking About / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: John_Mauldin

Investment advisers say we are “investing for the long run” and diversify among low-fee funds in various asset classes and indexes.

Then they trot out studies showing investors will average 8% or whatever in the long run. And those are true statements.

The problem is that most investors don’t have the 40 or 50 years those studies cover. And they have to experience the bear markets along with the bull markets.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 08, 2018

Is the Stock Market’s Rally “All Good To Go”? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The S&P 500 is just under its 200 dma.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 08, 2018

End in Sight for 'Unloved' Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Clive Maund charts silver and explains why he believes the metal's prospects are changing. Silver continues to be a singularly neglected and unloved investment, and has been for years now, but as we will proceed to see, this is not a situation that is likely to continue for much longer.

On its 10-year chart we can see that silver has basically been moving sideways marking out a low base pattern since late 2014–late 2015, following a severe bear market from its 2011 highs. For a while this year it was thought to be marking out a downsloping Head-and-Shoulders bottom, but with the renewed decline from June through late August, it was clear that the pattern had morphed into something else, and on the basis of what we are seeing in other metals, principally copper, gold and platinum, it now looks like it may instead be completing a large Double Bottom pattern, and if this is what it is, then it is very close to the second low of the Double Bottom here, and thus at an excellent point to buy.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 08, 2018

Outlook for Gold & Silver Precious Metals Sector is 'Positive' / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

The precious metals sector continues to be viewed with disdain, posits technical analyst Clive Maund, who discusses the factors that he sees are behind changes in the market. The precious metals sector continues to be viewed with disdain and skepticism by the vast majority of investors, which is exactly what you want and expect to see at the earliest stages of a major bull market. However, the charts continue to shape up well, as we will now see.

Starting with the long-term 10-year chart for gold, we see that it is approaching completion of a more or less symmetrical complex Head-and-Shoulders bottom, with multiple shoulders. It is now believed to be rising up to complete the final Right Shoulder, that should be followed by a breakout above the resistance at the top of the pattern, which will be a positive technical development of huge significance.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 08, 2018

A Great Day for Metals as Platinum Price Breaks Out / Commodities / Platinum

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Clive Maund tracks movements in the platinum, gold and silver markets.

It was a very good day for the metals Friday, as they rose sharply in response to the dollar going into reverse after a sizable run-up. A very significant development was that platinum broke out of its Head-and-Shoulders bottom on strong volume, a move which we had expected that marks the start of a bull market. Copper, gold and silver also rose with silver having a particularly strong day, and although copper and silver have yet to break out of their Head-and-Shoulders bottom patterns, the breakout by platinum is a sign that they will follow suit and break out soon. We can see the breakout by platinum out of its fine Head-and-Shoulders bottom on its latest 6-month chart below.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, November 08, 2018

Future US Interest Rates, Financial Markets, and the FED / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Raymond_Matison

Don’t fight the FED, is a long-established, oft-confirmed market proverb. The FED is indeed an incredibly powerful institution; in fact, it is perhaps the most powerful institution on the planet.  It is arguably more powerful than our combined air, sea, and land military forces.  These forces can reduce individual military targets to dust, they can flatten cities or even small countries killing thousands of people, but still it is no competition to the FED!  The FED with its power over interest rates and money creation, its expansion or contraction, its Petrodollar and global trading currency, its open market operations, and its foreign currency exchange markets can destroy the value of foreign currencies, and start revolutions. It can injure or even destroy economies of single countries or even whole regions of the developing world, in turn crippling the lives of tens or even hundreds millions of people.  It can finance wars, determining who will be victorious.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 08, 2018

Tale of Two Metals: One WAY More Valuable Than Gold, The Other Historically Undervalued / Commodities / Platinum

By: MoneyMetals

Gold is the metal of kings, the ultimate money, an eternal store of value, an untarnishable embodiment of beauty. Gold is all those things. But it is not the most valuable metal you can own on a cost-per-ounce basis.

Often, platinum commands a higher price than gold. Lately, platinum has traded at an abnormally large discount to the yellow metal.

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ConsumerWatch

Thursday, November 08, 2018

Buying an Approved Used Land Rover From a Dealer - What You Need to Know! / ConsumerWatch / Motoring

By: N_Walayat

Here's the resulting guide from my 10 month long experience of buying an owning an approved used landrover (Discovery Sport), my top tips of what you need to know and do before you buy that hopefully will make your choice to buy or not a much easier and better experience.

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Housing-Market

Thursday, November 08, 2018

Home Equity Release Interest Rates Are on the Rise / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: MoneyFacts

The equity release market has continued to evolve, not only by allowing customers to release more equity from their homes, but also in terms of providers offering more flexibility, such as the inclusion of drawdown options.

While the equity release market is nowhere near as volatile as the residential mortgage market in terms of interest rate changes, it has not been left unscathed by recent cost increases. The latest analysis by Moneyfacts.co.uk reveals that over the last quarter, more than half of the 11 lenders in the lifetime mortgage market have increased interest rates within their range (Aviva, Hodge Lifetime, Just, LV=, Legal & General, Vernon Building Society).

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, November 07, 2018

Arguing About Fed Policy Is A Waste of Time / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Kelsey_Williams

When government (or a President) claims that Federal Reserve policy is hurting the economy, they are either grandstanding, or are ignorant about the function and purpose of the Federal Reserve.

No one wants to see the economy suffer, anymore than they want to see a plague, or infectious disease, affect millions of people. And no President wants to be in office to preside over a recession or depression. But neither can they exercise any power or influence regarding the implementation of Fed policy; particularly when it comes to interest rates.

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 07, 2018

Is Oil's Freefall Over? Here's a FreePass to Find Out NOW / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: EWI

Dear Investor,

While most traders have been watching the S&P, oil plunged 18% in October. In the process, crude broke below a key long-term trendline. You know what that means: It's an exciting potential opportunity.

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 07, 2018

USD’s Weekly Breakout and the Gold Golden Spring / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

USDX’s Friday’s close was its highest weekly closing prices of 2018. This is an extremely significant confirmation of the bullish outlook for the US currency that followed the verification of the breakout above the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. The implications are clearly bullish for the US dollar. But are they clearly bearish for gold? The yellow metal ended the week close to its October lows and the SLV ETF closed at the highest level since late August. Is the outlook for the precious metals market really bearish?

Yes, it is. Precious metals’ reaction to the action in the USD could be delayed at times and it's most likely the case also this time. The current times are far from being calm due to the recent volatility on the stock market and because we are just before US elections. Consequently, it’s not that odd to see gold and silver hold up relatively well despite the build-up in the bearish implications from many long-term charts and from the USD Index.

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Personal_Finance

Wednesday, November 07, 2018

Here’s Why Most People Never Achieve Financial Independence / Personal_Finance / Learning to Invest

By: Jared_Dillian

Everyone strives to be financially independent. By “independent,” we mean not dependent on another person or another entity for our financial well-being.

When we are children, we are financially dependent on our parents.

At 16, some teenagers will get jobs and achieve a degree of financial independence. Although that is less and less common.
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Personal_Finance

Wednesday, November 07, 2018

UK Easy Access Savings Accounts Not So Easy After All! / Personal_Finance / Savings Accounts

By: MoneyFacts

Competition in the easy access market is starting to boom, with providers increasing rates in an effort to enter the Best Buy charts. However, these great rates seem to come with a catch, as the latest research from Moneyfacts.co.uk shows that the number of easy access accounts with either a withdrawal restriction, a bonus or those that revert to a lower paid account after 12 months is growing – with 32% of the easy access market now having one of these restrictions.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, November 07, 2018

Stocks Made a Post-crash Bounce. What’s Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The S&P 500 has made a correction and its bounce stalled at the 38.2% retracement.

Here’s our long term, medium term, and short term outlook for the U.S. stock market. As U.S. stock market investors and traders, our job is to separate the signal from the noise.

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Politics

Wednesday, November 07, 2018

The Fourth Turning & War Of The Worlds / Politics / US Politics

By: James_Quinn

“In retrospect, the spark might seem as ominous as a financial crash, as ordinary as a national election, or as trivial as a Tea Party. The catalyst will unfold according to a basic Crisis dynamic that underlies all of these scenarios: An initial spark will trigger a chain reaction of unyielding responses and further emergencies. The core elements of these scenarios (debt, civic decay, global disorder) will matter more than the details, which the catalyst will juxtapose and connect in some unknowable way. If foreign societies are also entering a Fourth Turning, this could accelerate the chain reaction. At home and abroad, these events will reflect the tearing of the civic fabric at points of extreme vulnerability – problem areas where America will have neglected, denied, or delayed needed action.” – The Fourth Turning– Strauss & Howe

The paragraph above captures everything that has happened, is happening, and will happen during this Fourth Turning. It was written over two decades ago, but no one can deny its accuracy regarding our present situation. The spark was a financial crash. The response to the financial crash by the financial and governmental entities, along with their Deep State co-conspirators who created the financial collapse due to their greed and malfeasance, led to the incomprehensible election of Donald Trump, as the deplorables in flyover country evoked revenge upon the corrupt establishment.

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Economics

Wednesday, November 07, 2018

The Economic Costs of Corruption in Philippines / Economics / Phillippines

By: Dan_Steinbock

The recent $200 million customs debacle may be just a tip of the iceberg. Due to illicit financial flows, Philippines has lost almost $10 billion annually. Tax evasion may be as costly. In this status quo, only a fully independent anti-graft campaign can succeed.

In August, 500 kilos of shabu (methamphetamine), estimated at ₱4.3 billion (over $80 million), that entered the country was intercepted by the Bureau of Customs at Manila’s container port. The next day, authorities found similar containers, but not the drugs estimated at ₱11 billion (almost $210 million).

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, November 07, 2018

Following The Stock Market "Heard" Can Get You Into Trouble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

So, I heard that good news is now bad news and bad news is now good news in the market. Or was that bad news is bad news and good news is bad news? Or, was that bad news is bad news and good news is good news? To be honest, I just can’t keep up with all the convoluted ways people try to explain how to view the market based upon news. And, it changes all the time.

Last week, I heard the dollar rally was causing the market to tank. Well, by Wednesday this past week we had rallied 130 points off the lows in the S&P 500, and the dollar continued to rise along with us at the time. This is another Foghorn Leghorn market moment for analysts:

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Economics

Wednesday, November 07, 2018

Zimbabwe's Road to Serfdom / Economics / HyperInflation

By: Steve_H_Hanke

In 1944, my good friend, the late Nobelist Friedrich Hayek (1899-1992), published the Road to Serfdom. It immediately became an international sensation. In it, Hayek argued that government interventions into markets, whether they be via regulatory mandates or the outright taking of private property, will lead to an initial failure. In short, they will be counterproductive. In an attempt to correct its initial errors, the government then does more of the same, only in greater detail. Further disappointments will lead to still more far-reaching and detailed interventionist measures, until socialism and a state of total tyranny are reached.

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