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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Saturday, August 24, 2013

U.S. Treasury Bonds Are Oversold / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Sy_Harding

Has there ever been an asset class bombarded by such intense negativity in such a short period of time? Fed Chairman Bernanke’s warning in May that the Fed would soon begin to ‘taper’ its QE bond-buying stimulus program brought ‘The End of Bonds’ headlines out in force. And bond investors responded.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, August 23, 2013

Shorting U.S. Treasury Bonds, Your No1 Choice for Big Gains / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_Morning

Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: As I'm writing this, halfway through Wednesday's session, stocks are in danger of closing in the red for a fifth straight day. And this is all you'll hear about today.

Yet bonds are telling you the real story.

In fact, at this point, they are the next best thing to the Holy Grail if you've got the right perspective and understand what's happening.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, August 23, 2013

Major Bond Market Top, Dangerous Myths About Rising Yields / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: EWI

Myth 1 of 3: Bond Yields Are Rising Due to the Fed's Insinuation at Tapering

Editor's note: The following article is the first in a series of three, reprinted with permission from market-leading financial forecasting firm Elliott Wave International. To read the full three-part report now, follow this link and download it for free

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, August 21, 2013

Dangerous Myths About Rising U.S. Treasury Bond Yields / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: EWI

Myth 1 of 3: Bond Yields Are Rising Due to the Fed's Insinuation at Tapering

Editor's note: The following article is the first in a series of three, reprinted with permission from market-leading financial forecasting firm Elliott Wave International. To read the full three-part report now, follow this link and download it for free

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, August 21, 2013

What Has QE Actually Accomplished? / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: John_Mauldin

The market is obsessed with “tapering.” The assumption is that all the “juice” in the economy is somehow the product of the Federal Reserve's actions. The headline on the front page of the Wall Street Journal today reads “Fear of Fed Retreat Roils India.” I suppose one has to come up with some kind of reason to explain the convergence of emerging equity markets and those of the US. My friend Dan Greenhaus over at BTIG sent out this ugly graph (if you are an emerging-market investor) this morning:

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, August 20, 2013

QE Party is Ending, Rising Interest Rates Means the Fed Could Go Bankrupt / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Graham_Summers

The QE party is ending. And the following hangover is going to be brutal.

Since 2007 the Central Bankers of the world have operated under the belief that they can hold the financial system together by engaging in round after round of Quantitative Easing (QE) without losing control of the bond markets/ interest rates.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, August 20, 2013

Rising Treasury Yields, Tight Money Has Already Started / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Clif_Droke

Aside from the fact that the 10-Year Treasury Yield Index (TNX) is rising, one reason for the recent equity market sell-off is the uncertainty generated by the Fed's latest announcement concerning the future of QE3.

At its latest press conference, Fed Chairman Bernanke indicated the central bank could start winding down its $85 billion/month asset purchase program in September. This has understandably caused a certain amount of consternation on Wall Street, especially given the feeling among many traders that QE has been largely responsible for the stock market's rebound.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, August 20, 2013

Fed QE Taper Talk, Act 2 / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Axel_Merk

While the Fed’s taper talk has been tapered and then un-tapered, the market may now be tapering the Fed rather than vice versa. Let’s assess Act 2 of the taper talk and the implications for the markets, including the dollar and gold.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, August 19, 2013

The Fed Can’t Afford to Taper QE / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: John_Handbury

The Federal Reserve Bank’s balance sheet looked pretty healthy in May this year.  On the asset side of the balance sheet is the large amount of paper that the Fed has bought to supposedly stimulate the economy.  This consists mostly of treasury bonds and notes and mortgage-back securities of a value approaching $3 trillion.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, August 16, 2013

Is the U.S. 30 year Treasury Bond Market Top Finally In? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: WavePatternTraders

After hitting my long awaited target, the reversal we have seen over the past 12 months strongly suggests a multi-decade top is now in for bonds.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, August 14, 2013

U.S. Debt Nears a Tipping Point, Dire Economic Consequences / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Money_Morning

Garrett Baldwin writes: As U.S. debt as a percentage of GDP hovers at levels not seen since World War II, concerns are growing that the American economy is susceptible to a debt crisis in the near future.

Here's why people are worried: If interest rates return to normal levels of around 5% as the U.S debt approaches $20 trillion, then servicing that debt each year will cost taxpayers $1 trillion.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, August 13, 2013

How to Play the Coming Bond Market Crash / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Investment_U

Alexander Green writes: You know it’s coming. Every experienced investor who is paying attention knows it’s coming. I’m talking about the upending of bonds that will take place in the months and years ahead. However, there is a smart, low-risk way to play it… and earn a decent return.

Let’s start with the basics. Picture a seesaw with interest rates on one side and bond prices on the other. When interest rates go down, investment-grade corporates and Treasuries go up. When interest rates go up, these same bonds go down.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, August 07, 2013

Bank of England 0.5% Interest Rates for 7% Unemployment, to Result in 7% Inflation, Ongoing Savings Theft / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

"We won't even begin to think about raising interest rates until we see the unemployment rate go to 7%" - Mark Carney. With that the new Governor of the Bank of England did away with over 4 years of Mervyn Kings smoke and mirrors propaganda of temporary emergency low interests of just 0.5%, and money printing of £500 billion, the consequence of which is theft of purchasing power from savings and worker wages by means of high real inflation, transferring this stolen wealth to the bankrupt banking crime syndicate, and the government so that it can continue to maintain vested interest voting blocks, by bribing the electorate with debt and printed money that is not backed by any economic activity.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, August 07, 2013

The Federal Reserve Relies on a Flawed Economic Model / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Casey_Research

By Lacy H. Hunt, Ph.D., Economist

In May 22 testimony to the Joint Economic Committee of Congress, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke issued another of many similar positive interpretations of central bank policy. Yet again, he continued to argue that quantitative easing has decreased long-term interest rates and produced other benefits. He called economic growth "moderate," a term that he has often used without acknowledging that the Fed's forecasts have repeatedly been far above the mark. Within less than two months—or by the time of the July FOMC meeting—the Fed had downgraded the economic growth to "modest," tacitly acknowledging that program of open-ended $85 billion purchases of government and federal agency security purchases had failed to boost economic activity.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, August 07, 2013

Debt, Income and Economy - Trying To Stay Sane In An Insane World / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2013

By: James_Quinn

“I mean—hell, I been surprised how sane you guys all are. As near as I can tell you’re not any crazier than the average asshole on the street.”R.P. McMurphy – One Flew Over the Cuckoo’s Nest

"Years ago, it meant something to be crazy. Now everyone's crazy." - Charles Manson 

"In America, the criminally insane rule and the rest of us, or the vast majority of the rest of us, either do not care, do not know, or are distracted and properly brainwashed into acquiescence." - Kurt Nimmo

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, August 04, 2013

If You're Worried About Rising Interest Rates, Look at This Chart / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: DailyWealth

David Eifrig writes: "Don't fight the Fed."

You can hear that phrase on bond-trading desks throughout Wall Street. It's a warning to investors and traders. Don't try to outthink the central bank or anticipate its next moves...

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Interest-Rates

Friday, August 02, 2013

Fed Says “No Way” to QE Tapering / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: InvestmentContrarian

George Leong writes: At the Federal Reserve meeting this past Wednesday, Chairman Ben Bernanke confirmed the bond buying would continue as economic growth was only modest and jobs remain an issue.

In other words, the Federal Reserve is planning to keep the money-printing press in full operation.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, August 02, 2013

Detroit Bankruptcy Could Shake Muni Bonds to the Core / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_Morning

Shah Gilani writes: Detroit went bankrupt, but so what?

Its own decades-long gross political mismanagement, corruption and incompetence pushed the city over the cliff into bankruptcy.

Why should we care?

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, August 01, 2013

FOMC Meeting See's Fed Backtrack on QE Taper Talk / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Money_Morning

Gary Gately writes: The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting ended today (Wednesday) with word that the Fed plans to the stay the course on QE for now, backtracking from earlier hints it might begin tapering this fall.

"For all those looking for clear guidance on when quantitative easing will end, well, you will have to wait a little longer," Joel Naroff, president and chief economist at Naroff Economic Advisors Inc., wrote in a research note. "Indeed, there may have been some walking backwards today."

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, August 01, 2013

Bernanke’s Gift - Tempering the Taper Tantrum / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Michael_J_Kosares

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — The Federal Reserve on Wednesday slightly downgraded its economic outlook but gave no hint about its plans for its $85 billion-a-month asset purchase program. The statement released after a meeting of the Fed’s policy making committee said that the economy was expanding at a “modest” pace, a change from the “moderate” pace seen in June. The Fed also noted that the rise in mortgage rates was a concern. It also said that persistently low inflation was a risk. There was only one dissent, by Kansas City Fed President Esther George.

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