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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Monday, September 29, 2008

Bailout Would Still Mean a Fragile US Economy / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis Bailouts

By: Paul_J_Nolte

Pre NO Vote Commentary - Wall Street's hopes and prayers have been at least partially answered, as the leaders have agreed on a bill that will be introduced into the House this morning. $250 billion now, another $100 if necessary, then the final $350 would have to go through Congress. What is left out of the bill is some real assistance to the economy and actually opening the loan process. The removal of the bad loans does nothing to the balance sheets of ailing banks as the equity has already been written down; the mere buying just removes the asset and does not add any equity back into the bank.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, September 29, 2008

China and the Middle East to Finance US Treasury Bailout? / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis Bailouts

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Wall Street Journal is reporting Financial Troubles Humble U.S.
The U.S. is turning to foreign governments and other overseas investors to buy a good chunk of what could total $700 billion in Treasury debt expected to finance the bailout. Foreign investors also are needed to shore up the depleted capital of the nation's financial institutions, seen in the plan by Japan's Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group to buy a large stake in Morgan Stanley, which is weighed down by bad debt and market distrust.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, September 29, 2008

Escalating Bailout Band-aids Hit US Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBonds traded mostly in negative territory all last week. It looks like it is just regular business these days: another week, another bail-out package. The figure that is bandied about for the latest and greatest deal is a cool $700 Billion. It is just another band-aid in a series of larger and larger band-aids that hopes to provide quick relief for the symptoms of this gigantic financial crisis without addressing the real problem of dealing with the excess credit that has been built up on the consumer, corporate and government fronts. It will be raining Treasury bonds in the foreseeable future, so it is no wonder that the increasing weakness on the fundamental front is not providing much support for lower yields in the long term maturities at this juncture.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, September 28, 2008

Mega-Trend: End of the Era of Falling Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / Global Financial System

By: Boris_Chikvashvili

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDear Reader,

In early CAPI(SOPI)TALISATION process of USSR/RUSSIA, they have searched the earth for a nice motto for a newly minted credit card called RUSSIAN EXPRESS. Their search has finally ended when they DISCOVER(ed) the AMERICAN EXPRESS ad with a motto: Do Not Leave Home Without It.

And Bingo. The choice was uncontested. The motto became...

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, September 27, 2008

Credit Markets Hit by Category 5 Financial Hurricane / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Money_and_Markets

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMike Larson writes: I'll never forget Hurricane Jeanne, which struck Florida four years ago this week.

My wife, young daughter, and I huddled in the shower of our older house as the battery-powered TV flashed tornado warnings and updates on the storm's 115-MPH winds.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 26, 2008

WaMu Goes Bust- The Credit Market Is CLOSED! / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMinyanville Professor Bennet Sedacca is the brightest fixed income mind I know. Inquiring minds are tuning in to see his take on the Credit Rout for Wachovia, WaMu .

Welcome to the credit market, folks, it is officially closed.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 25, 2008

Credit Stress Interbank Money Market Freeze Evident In TAF, Ted Spread, Everywhere / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCredit dislocations continue to fester. Evidence can be found in corporate bonds, preferred shares, hybrids, the Ted Spread, and even in the most recent Term Auction Facility (TAF) auctions. Let's take a look.

Inquiring minds are looking at a chart of the Ted Spread.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 24, 2008

Credit Crisis Bailout- Bill Gross Should be Ashamed of Himself! / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis Bailouts

By: Chip_Hanlon

I just got the chance to read the op-ed penned by Pimco's Bill Gross in this morning's Washington Post. Wow, have you read this mess?

He did get one thing right, and he backed up his math well enough: the government could potentially make some money on this plan by buying up securitized debt instruments at deeper discounts than they should otherwise be trading. But that actually points to a key, lynchpin part of the problem: mark-to-market accounting is undoubtedly preventing many free-market speculators from purchasing such securities today due to what it would immediately do to their balance sheets. Thus, government may get to scoop up this paper at a deeper discount than is warranted due to its own accounting rules! Ay, yi yi.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, September 22, 2008

Recommendation to Congress Not to Spread Financial Panic / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis Bailouts

By: Money_and_Markets

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis Article Martin D. Weiss writes: The proposal before Congress for a $700 billion mega-bailout is far too little to repair the damaged debt and derivatives markets ... and, at the same time, far too much for investors and taxpayers who must put up the money.

How big is the problem, really?

In the past, Congress has repeatedly asked us for data and analysis on these issues, and we have provided it in Congressional testimony and white papers. In that same tradition, below is a partial first draft of a white paper we will be submitting on this matter:

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Interest-Rates

Monday, September 22, 2008

US Treasury Bonds Experience Massive Volatility / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAlong with the rest of the financial markets, the US Treasury market experienced massive volatility during the past week. The Long Bond future traded up over 5 points before ending the week almost unchanged. The 30 year Treasury bond yield traded below 4%, which is the lowest level in over 40 years. Even more significantly, the US 3 month Treasury Bills yielded less than 0.1% for a couple of days as financial markets threatened to seize up. All of the sudden drawing comparisons – even in the main stream media - with the 1990s Japanese depression and the Great Depression of the 1930s does not seem so far fetched any more. It took us years if not decades to get into this mess, I expect it will take a little longer than 3 to 6 months to get out!

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, September 21, 2008

Bush Seeks Dictatorship Powers / Interest-Rates / Government Intervention

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBloomberg is reporting Treasury Seeks Authority to Buy Mortgages Unchecked by Courts .

The Bush administration sought unchecked power from Congress to buy $700 billion in bad mortgage investments from financial companies in what would be an unprecedented government intrusion into the markets.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, September 20, 2008

Incompetent Paulson Talks Up Price of Mortgage Backed Securities / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Michael_Pento

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI hope those who want to sharpen their skills at the art of negotiations are watching Hank Paulson and learning exactly what not to do. Rule number one when entering into a bargaining agreement to purchase an asset is: DO NOT commit to purchasing the asset before negotiating a price. Makes sense, right?

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, September 20, 2008

Financial Armageddon and the Re-pricing of Collateralized Debt / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2008

By: John_Mauldin

  • Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePricing in Financial Armageddon
  • Inside a RMBS
  • Ratings to Collateral to Ratings: A Vicious Cycle
  • This Too Shall Pass

My Dad used to tell me there is no accounting for standards when looking at something that seemed odd. Today, we have faulty standards for accounting that are ripping apart the fabric of the world's economy. How can a security that has a high probability of full repayment be downgraded from AA to junk levels?

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 19, 2008

US Taxpayer: A Giant Dumpster For Illiquid Assets / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePaulson, Bernanke, and Congress are conspiring to make the US taxpayer the fall guy for financial stupidity by banks and brokers. Congress is now willing to ram through legislation at the last moment, even though Senate Majority Leader Reid Says "No One Knows What to Do" .
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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 19, 2008

You Own Junk Bonds, Like it or Not / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Mike_Stathis

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor many years now we've all seen the reckless use of taxpayer funds by Washington . This irresponsible and unaccountable waste of tax dollars has been particularly prominent during President Bush's tenure - from billions going to blow up bridges, roads and buildings in Iraq , only to rebuild them - to the Department of Homeland Security, which is no more than a joke. Meanwhile, America 's own infrastructure is in badly need of repair, with current estimates anywhere between $1.5 to $3 trillion and growing each day.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 19, 2008

Time for Selective Buying of Mortgaged Backed Securities? / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Andrew_Butter

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhat's the difference between a TV rating and a bond rating? Answer: The TV rating is audited.

Putting the incompetence of the rating industry in USA and Nadeem Walayat's expression Tulip Backed Securities to one side, my granny always used to say, "Where there's Muck there's Brass"

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 17, 2008

Credit Freeze, 3 Month Treasury Yields Effectively Hit Zero, Gold Soars / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA massive global rally in treasuries is underway and gold may be headed for its biggest one day advance in history as global systemic distrust sets in.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 17, 2008

Federal Reserve Holds Interest Rates Defying Wall Street / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: The U.S. central bank's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) yesterday (Tuesday) left the benchmark Federal Funds rate target at 2.0%, after many had expected the central bank policymaking committee to cut rates in the wake of the Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. ( LEH ) collapse.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, September 15, 2008

Pimco, Vanguard Are Biggest Bond Fund Losers in Lehman Collapse / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Mike_Shedlock

It's payback time for betting on moral hazards as Pimco, Vanguard Are Biggest Bond Fund Losers in Lehman Collapse .
Pimco Advisors LP, Vanguard Group Inc. and Franklin Advisers Inc. are among the investment companies that will face losses of at least $86 billion stemming from the collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., the biggest bankruptcy in history.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, September 15, 2008

US Treasury Bonds Slide as Financial's Take Turns at Blowing Up / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe US Treasury market seems to be running out of steam here in spite of supportive data from economic fundamentals. Canadian long term bonds have kept pace with the trend to lower yields in the US market and seem to be poised for a breather as well.

The cream of the financial crop is relentlessly taking turns at blowing up. Last week it was Fannie and Freddie – the largest mortgage companies in the world, this week it was Lehman Brothers - another one of the largest investment dealers on the planet, next week it looks like it could be AIG – not long ago the largest insurance company around – that might be on the bankruptcy block.

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