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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Monday, April 13, 2009

Economic Weakness Supportive of Bond Prices / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

Before the start of this week’s column, I would like to make a quick announcement. I am not affiliated with MF Global any longer, so please note the new contact email below if you wish to reach me. The old email address and phone number that was published in previous editions is no longer functional. 

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Interest-Rates

Friday, April 10, 2009

How To Take Advantage of Low Mortgage Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / Mortgages

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePresident Obama declares "good news" and says Timing right for millions to refinance .
Declaring "good news" in the midst of an economic meltdown, President Barack Obama on Thursday urged families to take advantage of near-record low mortgage rates by refinancing their home loans.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, April 09, 2009

UK Interest Rates on Hold, the Easing of Quantitative Easing? / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUK Interest rates are expected to be kept on hold at today's MPC meeting at the record low of 0.5%, which is indicative of the FAILURE of monetary policy to counter the economic slump as the economy started to fall off the edge of the cliff during the summer months of 2008 in the wake of a housing market in freefall as bank after bank teetered on the edge of bankruptcy requiring literally a £1 trillion tax payer guarantee and capital injection bailouts to prevent financial armageddon.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, April 07, 2009

Corporate Bond Default Rate Highest Since Great Depression / Interest-Rates / Corporate Bonds

By: Mike_Shedlock

Moodys says Default Rate Surges to Highest Since Depression .
Thirty-five companies defaulted in March, the highest number in a single month since the Great Depression, according to Moody's Investors Service.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, April 06, 2009

Fed's Flawed Strategy of Buying Long Dated Treasuries to Force Rates Lower / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Shedlock

Bernanke thinks he can manipulate treasury yields by purchasing long dated treasuries. He can't. The market is simply too big. Please consider Treasurys slide after Fed purchases .

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, April 04, 2009

Debt is a drug...Danger of Overdose? / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Andrew_Butter

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKids are diff-erent today, I hear evry mother say...but there's a little yellow pill...Doctor please, some more of these...outside the door, she took four more. (Rolling Stones: Mother's Little Helper).

The problem with drugs is you develop a tolerance to the thrill part, without necessarily developing a tolerance to the addictive part.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, April 01, 2009

U.S. Debtor Meets G20 Creditors at the Dollar's Funeral / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis Article An historically unprecedented mess has been created by compromised central bankers and inept economic advisors, whose interference has irreversibly altered and damaged the world financial system, urgently pushed after the removed anchor of money to gold. Analysis features Gold, Crude Oil, US Dollar, Treasury bonds, and inter-market dynamics with the US Economy and US Federal Reserve monetary policy.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, April 01, 2009

Commercial Real Estate Market in Limbo as Lenders Ignore Defaults / Interest-Rates / Corporate Bonds

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere is a new twist in commercial real estate action today. Lenders are ignoring defaults of $billions on commercial real estate as if nothing happened, praying that credit conditions will improve.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, March 31, 2009

Bank Losses Spreading as Interest Rate Derivatives Start Imploding / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Weiss writes:For the first time in history, U.S. banks have suffered large, ominous losses in a giant sector that, until now, they thought was solid: bets on interest rates.

In a moment, I'll explain what this means for your savings and your stocks.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, March 31, 2009

Current Financial Crisis Russia Debt Default Risk Lower than 1998 / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Pravda

The current economic crisis will be a lot harder than the financial collapse of 1998, a recent report from the World Bank said. WB experts believe that Russia will have to deal with severe problems as a result of the crisis. The economic growth in the country will decline considerably and the recovery will take a much longer time in comparison with the critical period of 1998, when Russia declared default.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, March 30, 2009

The Thinking Behind the Stimulus and Bailout Programs / Interest-Rates / Economic Stimulus

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt is important to understand the thinking of those who are in fact making the decisions at the Fed and Treasury. In today's Outside the Box, Paul McCulley, Managing Director at PIMCO, gives us some insight into the thinking that is driving the massive stimulus and bailout programs. Whether or not you agree, it is important to have a handle on what is actually happening and the thinking behind it.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, March 28, 2009

The SEVEN "Values" of Toxic Assets FAQ / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Andrew_Butter

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Hiesenburg Uncertainty Principle says the more you know about the weight of something the less you know about how fast it's moving. A toxic asset follows the same principle, which is presumably why investment banks used to hire rocket scientists.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, March 28, 2009

Do Bonds Beat Stocks Over the Long Run? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhy Bother With Bonds?
So Then, Bonds for the Long Run?
P/E Ratios at 200? Really?
Mark-to-Market Slip Slides Away
Housing Sales Improve? Not Hardly

Investors, we are told, demand a risk premium for investing in stocks rather than bonds. Without that extra return, why invest in risky stocks if you can get guaranteed returns in bonds? This week we look at a brilliantly done paper examining whether or not investors have gotten better returns from stocks over the really long run and not just the last ten years, when stocks have wandered in the wilderness. This will not sit well with the buy and hope crowd, but the data is what the data is. Then we look at how bulls are spinning bad news into good and, if we have time, look at how you should analyze GDP numbers. Are we really down 6%? (Short answer: no.) It should make for a very interesting letter.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, March 28, 2009

How the Free Market Mortgage Bond Scam Works / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis Bailouts

By: Submissions

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMichael Hudson writes: Newspaper reports seem surprised at how high banks are bidding for the junk mortgages that Treasury Secretary Geithner is now bidding for, having mobilized the FDIC and Fed to transfer yet more public funds to the banks. Bank stocks are soaring – thereby bidding up the Dow Jones Industrial Average, as if the “financial industry” really were part of the industrial economy.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, March 27, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bonds Heading for Day of Reckoning / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMike Larson writes: The U.K. Treasury held a bond auction on Wednesday morning. On the offer were 1.75 billion pounds ($2.55 billion ) worth of 40-year “Gilts” — the U.K. equivalent of U.S. Treasuries. There was just one problem …

Buyers went on strike! They offered to purchase just 1.63 billion pounds ($2.37 billion) of debt.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, March 26, 2009

Quantitative Easing Begins; "Operation Twist" Revisited / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleQuantitative easing in the US has begun. The Fed Buys $7.5 Billion of Debt to Cut Borrowing Costs .
The Federal Reserve bought $7.5 billion of Treasuries in the first outright purchase of U.S. government debt by the central bank to keep consumer borrowing costs low since the 1960s. It is the first step in a six-month program to buy up to $300 billion in Treasuries.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, March 25, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bond Yields: Government Intervention Breeds Uncertainty / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor many months, I have been tracking US Government 10 year Treasury bonds essentially stating that they have topped out. In my most recent article on Treasury bonds, I stated: "the upside for Treasury bonds is limited, and there is a high degree of certainty that a new secular trend is developing that favors higher yield pressures. "

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, March 25, 2009

How China Will Deal with the Growing U.S. Debt Mountain / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWilliam Patalon III writes: Although there's a veritable laundry list of obstacles that could blunt the U.S. government's ongoing economic turnaround efforts, its single-biggest challenge may come from its single-biggest creditor - China.

When China announced a new array of stimulus measures earlier this month , this very important plan was overshadowed by China Premier Wen Jiabao's concerns about the United States' quickly growing debt load.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, March 24, 2009

Fed Debt Monetization- Creating Credit Out of Thin Air / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast week the Fed announced that it would purchase $300 billion of longer-maturity Treasury securities. The mainstream media got all excited, talking about the Fed "printing money." But the Fed figuratively "prints money" or creates credit whenever it acquires assets - loans or investments. For example, when the Fed purchases a mortgage-backed security, it pays for the security simply by crediting the deposit (reserve) account of the security seller's bank.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, March 23, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bond Market Jolted by Panic Mode Quantitative Easing / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe bond market was jolted up by the “surprise” (not entirely for the readers of this column) announcement that the Fed will be buying not only additional boatloads of Mortgage Backed Securities and Agency bonds, but also up to $300 Billion Treasury paper during the next 6 months in order to keep a lid on interest rates for the foreseeable future. As previously discussed, the Fed has already taken the Fed Funds Rate down to zero, so they are “all in” on that front. Now they opened a new kettle of fish by joining the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan in what is called Quantitative Easing – i.e. purchasing Treasury bonds in the Fed's case.

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