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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Thursday, June 18, 2009

UK Fixed Rate Mortgages Interest Rate Increases / Interest-Rates / Mortgages

By: MoneySupermarket

Louise Cuming, head of mortgages at moneysupermarket.com, said: "There has been a flurry of activity in the mortgage market, but unfortunately mostly to the detriment of borrowers.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, June 15, 2009

How to Profit From Front-Running the Government Bond Auctions / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: DailyWealth

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTom Dyson writes: Front-running is illegal.

Here's how it works: A crooked broker receives a large order from a customer. Before he executes the customer's order, he'll buy the stock in his own account. The customer's order pushes the price of the stock up and gives him an easy profit.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, June 15, 2009

The Secular Trend Change in U.S. Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI am on record stating that yields on the 10 year Treasury bond will move higher over the next 12 months, and this will represent a secular trend change.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, June 15, 2009

Fixed Rate Mortgage Interest Rates About to Rise / Interest-Rates / Mortgages

By: MoneySupermarket

  • Rising swap rates may herald a new wave of costlier fixed rate mortgage deals
  • Two years of decreasing fixed rates have to come to an end
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Interest-Rates

Sunday, June 14, 2009

Interest Rate Hikes Coming as Investors Return to Risky Assets / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBloomberg: Pimco says “rate hikes will be some time in coming” “Pacific Investment Management Co., which runs the world’s biggest bond fund, said the economic outlook ‘looks bad’ for most of the world and central banks will refrain from raising interest rates.

“‘Rate hikes will be some time in coming,’ Andrew Balls, a managing director for the company in London, wrote in a report on the company’s web site.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, June 13, 2009

Ben Bernanke's Next Parlor Trick on U.S. Debt Financing / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBen Bernanke is getting ready to pull another rabbit out of his hat and he's hoping no one figures out what he's up to. Here's the scoop; the Fed chief needs to "borrow up to $3.25 trillion in the fiscal year ending Sept. 30" (Bloomberg) without triggering a run on the dollar. But, how? If the stock market keeps surging, investors will turn their backs on low-yielding US Treasuries and move into riskier securities hoping for better returns. The only way to attract more buyers to US debt is by raising interest rates which will kill the "green shoots" of recovery and make it harder for people to buy homes and cars. It's a conundrum.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, June 13, 2009

U.S. Fed in Trouble as Falling Dollar Risks Bond Investors Revolt / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Submissions

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFrank Shostak writes: A growing concern for Fed policy makers is a weakening in the US dollar against major currencies. The price of the euro in US-dollar terms climbed from a low of $1.27 in November last year to around $1.41 in May and $1.43 in early June – an increase of 12.6% from November. The major currencies dollar index fell to 78.89 in May from 82.3 in April – a fall of 4.1%. If the declining trend in the US dollar were to consolidate, this could cause foreign holders of US-dollar assets to divest into non-dollar-denominated assets and precious metals. This in turn could spark another financial crisis.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, June 13, 2009

Bond Yields Soaring is Not Always an Inflationary Event / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Adam_Brochert

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBond yields soaring is not always an inflationary event. The traditional teaching is that rising bond yields indicate economic recovery and/or inflation. This is true until it isn't. The problem is that the best parallel for when it ain't true is what's happening right now. Damn, this investing stuff gets complicated when you look through actual history.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, June 12, 2009

Technical Rally in Treasury Bonds TLT ETF / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NYSE: TLT) continues to climb off of yest.'s new low of 87.45 (that occurred ahead of the 30 year auction results), which has triggered buy signals in my work (above 89.30/40) for upside continuation to 92.00 next. Has anything changed that has all of a sudden made longer term Treasury bonds more attractive FUNDAMENTALLY? For the time being, the upmove is mostly considered a sling-shot from a very oversold condition.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, June 12, 2009

Is Short Sterling Topping Out? / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Technical Trader’s view:

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, June 11, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bonds Volatility and Interest Rate Swaps / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe rising long-term USTreasury Bond yield continues to capture attention. The breakout chart for the 10-year Treasury shot up to 3.75% last week, but zoomed to touch 4.0% this week. Less attention has been directed at the short-term USTreasury Bill yields. What was a reasonably steady 2-year TBill yield in the 0.80% to 1.0% range has made a big move to 1.35% suddenly. Few have noticed, since mortgage rates are tied to the 10-year USTreasury. Much talk came in the last few weeks that China was rebalancing its USTreasury hoard, selling some long-term maturity bonds and buying shorter-term maturity bills. The rise in bond yields has actually been attributed to a USEconomic recovery, but that is absurd on its face, with a dozen statistics to debunk it. This China story was intended to mask the real events, to blame them in part for the US bond instability, and to divert attention away from a potentially important threat. Not only has the housing market stalled, with new mortgages and refinanced loans hitting a brick wall.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, June 11, 2009

Profit from Rising Interest Rates with ETFs / Interest-Rates / Exchange Traded Funds

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRon Rowland  writes: Have you looked at interest rates lately? They’re soaring! Back on March 18, the 10-year Treasury bond yield dropped as low as 2.54 percent. This week it went above 3.90 — a huge move in less than three months. The same thing is happening in all but the very shortest maturities.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, June 11, 2009

U.S. Government to Issue $2 Trillion of Debt This Year / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Axel_Merk

In our estimate, the U.S. Treasury will have to raise over $2 trillion dollars this year to finance new obligations. In addition, over $2 trillion in government debt held by the public is coming due and has to be re-financed this year.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, June 10, 2009

Anatomy Of A Treasury Bond Market Top / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne of the major themes that I have been highlighting on this blog since its inception 6 months ago is the potential for a secular trend change in long term Treasury bonds. Starting back in December, 2008, there was a high likelihood of higher yields and lower bond prices. Last month provided technical confirmation that the top is in for Treasury bonds, and we should see yield pressures in the long end of the curve lasting at least 12 months.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, June 10, 2009

Parabolic U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Warning of Hyper Inflation / Interest-Rates / HyperInflation

By: Gary_Dorsch

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEverything depends upon proper judgment. Of ten people who examine the same chart, or listen to the same speech, each person may well understand it differently - perhaps only one of them will understand it correctly. How then should traders interpret the shape of the US Treasury yield curve, which has gone parabolic in recent weeks, steepening to its highest level since 2004? Similarly, in Australia, the Treasury yield curve is at its steepest in history.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, June 10, 2009

Printing Debt not Money / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Adam_Brochert

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe often hear and read about the government “printing money” like there’s no tomorrow. Our federal government has certainly passed out enough money to the people who got us into this mess that it seems as though hyperinflation is theoretically possible. But every US Dollar printed in our current fiat monetary system is actually a debt.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, June 10, 2009

Regional Central Banker Blows the Whistle on the Fed / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: LewRockwell

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGary North writes: "In the long run, we are all dead but our children will be left to pick up the tab." ~ Thomas Hoenig

Thomas Hoenig is the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. In a recent speech, he laid out a scenario for what the Federal Reserve ought to do and what the U.S. government ought to do, and what will happen if they refuse. You can read it here.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 09, 2009

As Treasury Bond Yields Rise, Why Are Other Yields Falling? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere is a lot in the press these days about how the recent rise in Treasury bond yields has the potential to abort a nascent economic recovery. To this I say, nonsense! Chart 1 shows that as the Treasury bond yield has risen in recent weeks, the yields on privately-issued debt have declined in absolute levels. Chart 2 shows that the stock market has been trending higher since March as the Treasury bond yield has risen.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 09, 2009

Mortgage Borrowers Suffer as Lenders Charging Extortionate Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / Mortgages

By: MoneySupermarket

Despite the Base Rate continuing to hold at 0.5 per cent, providers are increasing average mortgage rates, and the margin above the Libor rate is rising, proving that the Bank of England is increasingly toothless when it comes to regulating the cost of mortgages, with lenders increasing profit margins at the expense of their customers.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 09, 2009

Seasonal's and Fundamentals Supportive of Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market sold off another four and a half points during the course of last week.  Market participants seem to be convinced that the worst is behind us as they were busy selling more bonds and buying whatever else they could get their dirty paws on.  This week there is another set of 3, 10 and 30 year Treasury auctions on deck.  That ought to hold the market back at the outset, but perhaps not after Thursday’s long bond auction.

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