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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Wednesday, October 15, 2008

U.S. Forcing Banks to Resume Lending at Bazooka Point / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis Bailouts

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor now, you can force banks to take money, but you can't force them to lend it. Let's explore this theory starting with a look at the Drama Behind a $250 Billion Banking Deal .

The chief executives of the nine largest banks in the United States trooped into a gilded conference room at the Treasury Department at 3 p.m. Monday. To their astonishment, they were each handed a one-page document that said they agreed to sell shares to the government, then Treasury Secretary Henry M. Paulson Jr. said they must sign it before they left.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, October 14, 2008

US Treasury Bond Market Crash / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin here with an urgent update on these wild, wild markets.

The key factor many investors seem to be forgetting: While stock markets have enjoyed a historic rally, bond markets are suffering a dramatic decline.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, October 14, 2008

Treasury Bonds ETF Inverse Trend to Stock Market Indices / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTo some degree, the TLTs (Lehman 20 Yr T-bond, ETF) trades inversely to the equity indices like the SPYs (for instance); however, my sense is the recent upside explosion in the stock averages and the recent plunge in TLT prices have "corrected" and defused the bulk of that relationship, which if accurate, means that a new relationship is forming based less on flight-to-safety and more on the still-challenging (to put it mildly) economic fundamentals that will not be corrected any time soon.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, October 13, 2008

How Credit Crises Begin and End / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Clif_Droke

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFrom the standpoint of investor sentiment the credit crisis has reached the point of maximum saturation. Every TV news program and political commentator, every newspaper and every magazine in town is writing about it. It is being depicted as a virtual apocalypse that can't be stopped.  For example, the headline for the latest cover of Time magazine reads: "The New Hard Times.” It features a photograph of a soup line from the Great Depression.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, October 13, 2008

Rising Bond Yields Despite Interest Rate Cuts / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Levente_Mady

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe bond market traded sharply lower last week despite the ever intensifying turmoil in world financial markets. The Treasury decided to auction a special $40 Billion 10 year Notes to ease the demand for Treasury paper in the bond market. So all of the sudden it appears that in spite of the safe haven qualities of US Treasury Bonds and Bills, the market has realized that with all the government bailouts and guarantees, there will be no shortage of government bonds going forward.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, October 13, 2008

$62 Trillion Credit Default Swaps Threaten U.S. Government Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mark_OByrne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold experienced sharp falls on Friday but was still up by more than 3% on the week. This was a very impressive performance considering that major equity indices crashed some 20% to 25% for the week (see Performance table).

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 10, 2008

U.S. Fed Fears Loss of Power in Preventing Financial Collapse / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleShah Gilani writes: The truth? You can't handle the truth.”

The truth is, the U.S. Federal Reserve does not directly control the Federal Funds rate, and its efforts to reduce the benchmark rate from 2.0% to 1.5% may do more damage than good – though for reasons you'd never guess. Attempts to lower the Fed Funds rate could irreparably damage Fed credibility and may actually narrow the Fed's credit-crisis-management options.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, October 09, 2008

Dollar Libor Jumps to New Credit Crisis Extreme / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLending remains in a deep freeze as the Libor Dollar Rate Jumps to Highest in Year .

The cost of borrowing in dollars for three months in London soared to the highest level this year as coordinated interest-rate reductions worldwide failed to revive lending among banks for any longer than a day.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, October 09, 2008

LIBOR Interbank Money Market Earthquake Signals UK Debt Recession / Interest-Rates / UK Economy

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe LIBOR interbank money market rates have FAILED to respond to the co-ordinated and unprecedented interest rate cuts across the world by key central banks which includes the U.S. Fed, Bank of England and the European Central Bank (ECB), in conjunction with extra liquidity and in Britain's case a bank bailout package that could total as much as £500 billion or 41% of GDP which is on par with the amounts as a percentage of GDP the United States required to recover from the 1930's Great Depression.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, October 09, 2008

Credit Crisis Commercial Paper Disaster / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleShah Gilani writes: The commercial paper market is the thoroughfare where Wall Street merges into Main Street. Corporations, finance companies and banks rely on Main Street investors for the cash they deposit into money-market funds and other short-term investment vehicles. Ultimately, that cash buys the commercial paper that's issued to help fund everything from corporate payrolls to a manufacturing company's production inventories.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, October 09, 2008

UK Interest Rate Forecast 2009 / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: NewsLetter

October 8th , 2008 Issue #33 Vol. 2

Dear Reader,

The credit crisis has intensified during the last few weeks to a new manic stage as entire countries are put at risk of bankruptcy due to their banking system rescue attempts exploding liabilities, as the demand goes out for 100% guarantees of depositors and country after country buckles under the pressure so as to prevent a collapse of their individual banking systems.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, October 08, 2008

Credit Default Swaps Weapons of Financial Mass Destruction / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Gary_Dorsch

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe latest downward spiral in the global commodity and stock markets, coinciding with several high profile bank failures, is conjuring up fears of the calamities of the Great Depression of the 1930's. European and Asian stock markets are plunging as terror and panic hits Wall Street. The US Congress finally passed a massive $700 billion rescue package to unclog the credit markets, yet US stock markets have continued to plummet, shedding $1.5-trillion in value last week.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, October 08, 2008

UK Interest Rate Cut Surprises Markets / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Bank of England took emergency action ahead of the scheduled Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) rate setting meeting tomorrow to cut the UK base interest rate by 0.50%.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, October 08, 2008

Unprecedented Global Coordinated Interest Rate Cut / Interest-Rates / Global Financial System

By: Joseph_Brusuelas

The US Federal Reserve along with the Bank of Canada, Bank of England, the European Central Bank, Sweden Riksbank and the Swiss National Bank acted in concert to reduce short term lending rates in pre-market hours this morning.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, October 08, 2008

UK Interest Rate Forecast 2009 / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe credit crisis has intensified during the last few weeks to a new manic stage as entire countries are put at risk of bankruptcy due to their banking system rescue attempts exploding liabilities, as the demand goes out for 100% guarantees of depositors and country after country buckles under the pressure so as to prevent a collapse of their individual banking systems. However ever increasing and desperate government bailout cash in the form of escalating amounts of daily interbank liquidity, capital injections, and mortgage bond buy back schemes in addition to issuing depositor guarantees increases the liabilities of ALL countries the immediate consequences of which are being played out in ever increasing volatility in the currency markets and stock exchanges as record breaking points swings take place on alternative days. In such a panic stricken climate there are increasingly deafening calls are for immediate interest rate cuts across the western world including for an Imminent UK Interest Rate Cut.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, October 07, 2008

LIBOR OIS Spread Signals Credit Crisis Earthquake / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeith Fitz-Gerald writes: More than a year ago, even before the subprime-mortgage crisis had revved itself up into the full-fledged credit crisis that's now threatening global growth, we pointed to the London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) and other interbank rates that suggested that the worst was yet to come.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, October 06, 2008

Bailout Bill Will Do Nothing for the Real Economy / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis Bailouts

By: Michael_Swanson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe are on the edge of pure fear and panic when it comes to the stock market. By just about every indicator you may use to measure the market it is extremely oversold and ready for a bottom. The number of stocks below their 20, 50, and 200 day moving averages are at extremely low levels not seen in decades. The ratio of down to up volume on the Nasdaq was over 95% two days last week, hitting 97% last Monday, which is a level I've never seen before. The VIX is above 40 and has been at an elevated level for the past three weeks. According to the Investors Intelligence Survey there are more bears than bulls in the market, which is a positive from a contrarian standpoint.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, October 06, 2008

Government Bonds Strong Rally on Grim Economic Outlook / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe bond market traded up last week as panic in financial markets intensified. The latest and greatest $700 Billion bailout package was finally passed by the US authorities last Friday, but it did not seem to make much difference as stocks dropped another 3-4% once the deal was officially passed. As previously mentioned in this here column, it is just another band-aid that hopes to provide quick relief for the symptoms of this gigantic financial crisis without addressing the real problem of dealing with the excess credit that has been built up on all fronts. European governments have also been busy with various rescue plans. Ireland and Germany are leading the charge by declaring that those governments now will guarantee all deposits in their respective banking systems. Surely other countries, including the US , will not be far behind adopting this drastic measure.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, October 05, 2008

$700 Billion Printing of Bailout Monopoly Money, Hedge Your Wealth! / Interest-Rates / Fiat Currency

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLarry Edelson writes: If you think the biggest cost of the $700-billion bailout package is going to be higher taxes down the road, you're wrong.

The biggest cost is going to be the sheer destruction of the purchasing power of your money, an outright devaluation of the dollar that's going to occur, no matter what.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, October 04, 2008

LIBOR Gone Crazy as Commercial Paper Market Implodes / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2008

By: John_Mauldin

  • Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Curve in the Road
  • Necessary but Not Sufficient
  • Why the Government Had to Step In
  • All the King's Horses
  • How Can I Be 59?

The "Bailout Plan" was passed. Will it work? The answer depends on what your definition of "work" is. If by work you mean no more government intervention and no further costly programs and a functioning market, then the answer is no. But there are things it will do. This week I try to help you see what might lie ahead around the Curve in the Road. We look at how the rescue plan will function, see what is happening in the economy, and finally muse as to whether Muddle Through is really in our future. It will make for an interesting, if not very upbeat, letter, so strap in. I would like your promise to not shoot the messenger. I am just trying to give you some of my thoughts as to what may lie in our future. And remember, as you read this, we will get through it. There are better days "a'coming."

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