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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Thursday, January 08, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bills, Can you hear the Bond Market POP!? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Daniel_Smolski

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeynesian capitalism continues to bring with it a saga of never ending bubbles. In just the past decade, we have been faced with the internet bubble bursting of 2000 and a massive real estate bubble that has brought the American economy to its knees. All are examples of a gross misallocation of resources caused by an excess money supply searching for home. The recent credit crunch has provided us with an opportunity to deflate and wipe away all unnecessary liquidity but the Federal Reserve, along with their posy of world bankers, have chosen instead to attempt to reflate a balloon that has already burst. Turning on all the world's liquidity taps has thus far proven to be working. We have beaten down the “evil” that is deflation and we look forward to an era of continued inflation. Inflation that will, undoubtedly, spiral out of control and potentially lead to a period of hyper-inflation.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, January 07, 2009

Your Country Needs You to Buy Government Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"Are you 100% American? Prove it! Buy US government bonds..." - Poster from the US Treasury promoting the Third Liberty Loan, 1918

THE BRITISH PRIME MINISTER, David Lloyd George, joked in 1915 that it was Britain's political and financial stability which would always enable it to raise "the last million".

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, January 07, 2009

U.S. Dollar Dead Bounce Ends, Treasury Bond Bubble Begins to Dissipate / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe marquee line best describing the past two to three months has been that the Dollar Death Dance has been fueled by failure of US banks & corporations, along with sponsored assaults against speculative hedge funds. The climate has changed from liquidation and bankruptcies, obviously steered and exploited by the Powerz, toward more legitimate attempts to have a recovery initiative take root across the landscape, It is fast approaching a wasteland. The most vivid signal of market manipulation, intended to benefit the USGovt borrowing costs, and designed to promote the totally false notion of a Flight to Safety, has been the USTreasury bubble.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, January 07, 2009

Long-term U.S. Treasury Bonds Update / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI have been bearish on long term Treasury bonds long before it was fashionable, and this past week, Barron's has a cover story on Treasuries entitled, "Get Out Now!" It is their belief that "the bubble in Treasuries looks ready to pop, sending prices on government debt sharply lower."

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, January 07, 2009

Zero Interest Rate Policy and the Liquidity Trap / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Mick_Phoenix

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWelcome to the Weekly Report (published 4 Jan 09). I had a nice break over Christmas and the New Year, having spent a week in Norway skiing enjoying guaranteed snow and a good exchange rate to Sterling, thus avoiding the horrible reality of a less than 1:1 Sterling/Euro tourist rate. Sometimes all this macro-econobabble has its uses.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, January 07, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bond Bubble Bursting?  / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Captain_Hook

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThey've done it now. The Fed has revealed the level of panic they are in behind the scenes by cutting rates to zero and promising unbounded quantitative easing . Here, it should be noted that based on remarks from the Fed Policy Statement Tuesday, quantitative easing is now set to go beyond the bailout style monetiziations of financials that have primarily characterized re-inflation efforts under the gaze of Bernanke and Paulson so far to include just about anybody who needs ‘social assistance', which apparently includes all degrees of bad investors / speculators these days. Make a bad investment. No worries if you're an American apparently as ‘the check is in the mail'.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, January 06, 2009

U.S. Banks Refuse to Detail How They’re Spending Federal Bailout Money / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis Bailouts

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWilliam Patalon III writes: After receiving hundreds of billions of dollars in taxpayer-funded federal bailout money, the biggest U.S. banks say they can't track how that money is being spent. Some of the banks are outright refusing to discuss the matter, a new study has found.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, January 05, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bond Bubble Primed for Inevitable Crash / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Paul_Lamont

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs Treasury Bill yields fell during the early 1930's, Treasury Bonds moved in the opposite direction . As you can see from Table 48 (also from A History of Interest Rates ), Bonds rose in yield (fell in price) during the banking crises of 1930-32.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, January 02, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bond Bubble Ripe for Explosion / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: John_Browne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBonds in 2009: A Tough Call - The second half of 2008 will be remembered as the era in which justifiably panicked investors fled the global equity markets and flooded into the bond markets, particularly the U.S. Treasury market. As I write this, the migration largely continues.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, December 29, 2008

Investment Opportunity in Municipal Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: John_Derrick

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe all know that 2008 has been a rough year for virtually all investors, and the municipal market has not been immune. Municipals, however, have weathered the storm better than most asset classes.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, December 29, 2008

Grossly Overbought Bond Markets Continue Chugging Higher into New Year / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe bond market just keeps on chugging higher. Yields on the 30 year Treasury Bond decreased for an 8th consecutive week as the Long Bond future continues its unstoppable march higher. There are a couple of undercurrents that I would like to discuss heading into the New Year.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, December 28, 2008

U.S. Corporate Bonds Show Recovery Progress / Interest-Rates / Corporate Bonds

By: Richard_Shaw

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSeveral US bonds types have mostly recovered from the steep losses of October.  The differences in recovery generally correspond to the position of the bonds in the capital structure, or to credit quality.

After this difficult year, we expect more investors will consider bonds as part of their portfolio and a volatility moderator.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, December 28, 2008

ETF Bond Yields Confirm Deflation / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Richard_Shaw

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe table below presents the SEC 30-day yield and the portfolio yield-to-maturity reported for most of the Barclay's iShares bond ETFs.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, December 26, 2008

Treasury Inflation Protected Securities Investment Tip / Interest-Rates / Investing 2009

By: Richard_Shaw

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTreasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) are more attractively priced than ordinary Treasuries of the same maturity.

About Ordinary Treasuries

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, December 24, 2008

Credit Crisis Watch: Credit Market Freeze Continues to Thaw / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAre the various central bank liquidity facilities and capital injections having the desired effect of unclogging credit markets and restoring confidence in the world's financial system? This is precisely what the “Credit Crisis Watch” is all about – a regular review of a number of measures in order to ascertain to what extent the thawing of credit markets is under way.

Updating the report at this time is also to gauge the credit markets' reaction to the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) announcement of a week ago about a Fed funds rate cut and specific actions that would move the Fed further towards a quantitative easing approach to monetary policy. (Also see my “ Words from the Wise ” review.)

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Interest-Rates

Monday, December 22, 2008

Fiscal Insanity Virus Rapidly Spreading The Globe (Part 2) / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis Bailouts

By: Mike_Shedlock

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis post is a continuation of Dangerous Virus Rapidly Spreading The Globe (Part 1) .

If you have not yet done so, please read part 1. The symptoms of the FIV disease are complex. Part 1 addresses the symptoms and part 2 below continues with more symptoms and a discussion about preventative measures and cures.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, December 22, 2008

U.S. Treasury Bond Steamroller Keeps Chugging Higher / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe bond market just keeps on chugging higher. Yields on the 30 year Treasury Bond decreased for a 7th consecutive weeks as the Long Bond future rallied an unprecedented 29 points since the end of October. If it looks like a duck, walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, then it must be just another blow-off top. It is really no big deal, blow-offs have been a dime a dozen this year, so there is no reason to get too excited. I apologize for plagiarizing my own work from last week, but I just could not think of presenting it in a more appropriate manner. Heading into the year end, the signs of extreme distress remain evident in the bond market.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, December 22, 2008

Bank of England's Failure at Handling of the Financial Crisis / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHaving watched and written about the increasing failure of the Bank of England to act throughout the crisis that broke way back in September 2007 as the run on Northern Rock Bank began, having always acted too little too late that was most recently evident during the summer of 2008 when the BoE was paralysed by the fear of inflation into a state of inaction on interest rates, the MPC members basically sat twiddling their thumbs whilst the economy burned. It took until a frustrated Gordon Brown effectively took away control of Monetary policy from the BoE on the eve of financial armageddon on 8th of October when he announced the first 0.5% cut in interest rates at the Prime Ministers question time despatch box.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, December 21, 2008

Panorama: The Year Britain's Credit Bubble Burst / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2008

By: BBC

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHappy Christmas? For many people the holiday season is more likely to be a fearful one as they worry about their finances and job security after a year of global economic turbulence.

The last 12 months have seen house prices tumble and repossessions rise, with banks needing billion-pound bailouts. Such has been the speed of the economic crisis that the notion of the credit crunch has been replaced by the very real prospect of a recession.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, December 21, 2008

Global Recession, Crashing Interest Rates Igniting Government Bond Bubbles / Interest-Rates / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDuke University: CFO Survey – historic recession to last another year
“Chief financial officers in the United States and around the world are more pessimistic than at any time in the history of the Duke University/CFO Magazine Global Business Outlook Survey. The majority of chief financial officers in the US and Europe say their firms will slash spending and employment in 2009, and their firms will post losses. The recession will last another year, according to nearly two-thirds of CFOs.

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