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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Wednesday, October 20, 2010

China Interest Rate Hike, Once Is Never Enough / Interest-Rates / China Economy

By: James_Pressler

In a move that caught international markets flatfooted, this morning the People's Bank of China (PBoC) tightened two key interest rates by 25 basis points, its first rate hike since December 2007. Few analysts expected a rate hike any time before Q1 2011, so such a sudden hike - that lacked any accompanying discussion or explanation - triggered a wave of uncertainty as everyone scrambled to explain the move. So, along with the mob, we offer our own interpretation of today's events. 

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, October 19, 2010

U.S. Treasury and Junk Bonds, A Casino Royale? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Kieran_Osborne

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Federal Reserve’s (Fed) extraordinarily low interest rate policies have encouraged fixed income investors to take on evermore exposure to credit risks. With the global economic recovery looking more and more unstable with every new piece of economic data released, fixed income investors may be following a strategy akin to gambling at the roulette table. Investors may want to be careful not to let this transpire into a bad vacation in Vegas; we are concerned many investors may find themselves left out of pocket, hung-over with a bad taste in their mouth.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, October 19, 2010

Further Limiting Your Risk with CDs or Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Nilus_Mattive

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt’s now official: As I suggested last week, Social Security recipients are not getting any cost-of-living increase in 2011. This marks the second straight year of flat monthly checks.

That fact, combined with the paltry interest rates on many traditional income investments, is certainly causing a lot of people major angst right now.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, October 18, 2010

What Can We Expect Next from the Bernanke Fed? / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: MISES

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRoger Garrison writes: On October 15, Ben Bernanke spoke at the Boston Fed's conference, "Monetary Policy in a Low-Inflation Environment." His remarks were long and ponderous and consisted mostly of "Fedspeak" along with seeming excerpts from a typical intermediate-macroeconomics textbook. He rehashed the Fed's statutory mandate of maximum employment and price stability — which comes from the Keynes-inspired Full Employment Act of 1946.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, October 16, 2010

U.S. Debt Pie, A Nation of 300 Million Suckers / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Seth_Barani

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLets analyze what is happening to the fixed-income instruments, mainly Treasury Bonds. There are two likely scenarios. One is, (scenario #1) Bernanke tries to salvage the economy. The other is (scenario #2), he only cares for US government's ability to service its debt.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 15, 2010

Bernanke Ponders The "Nuclear Option" / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBen Bernanke's speech on Friday in Boston could turn out to be a real barnburner. In fact, there's a good chance the Fed chairman will announce changes in policy that will stun Wall Street and send tremors through Capital Hill. Along with another trillion or so in quantitative easing, Bernanke is likely to appeal to congress for a second round of fiscal stimulus, this time in the form of a two-year suspension of the payroll tax. That's what he figures it will take to jump-start spending and rev-up the flagging economy. It could be the most radical intervention in history; Bernanke's version of “shock and awe”.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 15, 2010

The Fed Has Gone Insane, So I'll Just Pick Up Some More Gold and Silver / Interest-Rates / Inflation

By: Richard_Daughty

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMy stomach was hurting, so I decided to take a little time off and soothe the old midsection with a few medicinal brews and a dose of pizza. The reason that my stomach hurt was because I had just read the stupidest economic essay, which was, unbelievably, penned by another lackluster university professor, and surprisingly printed by The Financial Times newspaper.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, October 14, 2010

Will QE2 Go Corporate? / Interest-Rates / Corporate Bonds

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Our friends on the bond markets have put their money where their mouths are with huge positions made in the past few weeks on short term government debt, demonstrating the likeliness that the Federal Reserve will force quantitative easing round two and buy up billions—maybe trillions—of dollars of debt.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, October 14, 2010

A Plunge into a Monetary No Man’s Land / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Bob_Chapman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe question keeps swirling around regarding the Fed and just how much Treasury paper they can buy from the market under current rules. Our guess is about $1.7 trillion. A good part of that may well be in notes, which will probably keep long dated rates low. On the other hand they may increase the current limit, and buy everything in sight.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, October 14, 2010

America's Bright Future After U.S. Treasury Debt Default / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Gary_North

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt is easy to make a case for east Asia's economic success, but only over the next two decades. East Asia's economies are growing because their economies are being freed by decisions by politicians to reduce government regulations. But they all have two major problems: (1) the extreme boy/girl birth ratio of at least 120 to 100; (2) the threat of a rapidly aging population after 2025 or 2030. Economist Nick Eberstadt has been writing about this for a decade.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, October 14, 2010

Key U.S. Treasury Bond Yields When QE1 Was Put in Place / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Asha_Bangalore

The Fed announced plans to purchase government-sponsored enterprise (GSE) debt [$100 billion] and mortgage backed securities [$500 billion] on November 25, 2008 and increased the size of these purchases on March 18, 2009 to $200 billion and $1.25 trillion, respectively. Purchase of $300 billion of longer-term Treasury securities was also announced on the same day in March 2009.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, October 13, 2010

Investors Inflating the U.S. Treasury Bond Bubble / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Richard_Daughty

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast week, bond prices were so high that a two-year government note yielded a miniscule 0.43%. To get more than one percent interest, you have to accept the five-year Treasury note yield of 1.32%. The ten-year yield? 2.60%. The 30-year long bond? A laughable 3.78%! Hahaha! This is insane!

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, October 10, 2010

$2 Trillion False Flag Event at the U.S. Treasury, The Fed’s Furtive Filching / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Barry_M_Ferguson

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article$2,000,000,000,000.00 dollars has been stolen from the US Treasury!! What happened? Who did it? Did they get away with it?

The answers: A ‘false flag’ event, the Federal Reserve, and yes.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, October 09, 2010

Bernanke's Declaration of Independence, U.S. Treasury Junk Bond Future / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Gary_North

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBen Bernanke gave a grim speech on October 4. It did not get media attention. That was because it was so grim.

It was on the looming fiscal crisis of the Federal government. There will be no easy way to avoid it, he said. Congress has to decide what spending to cut. This means that Congress must decide which special-interest groups to alienate. Then it must decide which taxes to raise. Whose ox will get gored?

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, October 09, 2010

The Golden-Real Estate Project / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Richard_Daughty

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJapan has taken an interesting approach to preventing people from accumulating so much debt that they default; The Wall Street Journal reports that Japan has a new law "restricting total loans from all lenders to one-third of a borrower's income." Hmmm! Criminal penalties for accumulating too much debt? Wow!

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 08, 2010

The Fed’s Big Money Printing Tease Continues! / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Sy_Harding

The Fed is not saying whether it will or won’t.
After its worst August in years the stock market has rallied back strongly in spite of growing indications that the economic recovery has stalled and is now slowing at a disturbing pace. The catalyst has been the market’s expectation that the Federal Reserve will initiate a second round of policy ‘easing’ that will re-stimulate the recovery.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 08, 2010

The Incredible Two-Day $144 Billion Jump in US Treasury Debt / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Richard_Daughty

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThings are getting so, so, so weird that I was locked inside the Mogambo Bunker Of Panic (MBOP), looking through the periscope to keep a vigilant watch for the social explosion outside that was coming, I figured, so, so soon, with my finger on the trigger of something fully loaded and reassuringly .45 caliber, and a slice of yummy pizza in my one free hand to keep my energy level up via the universal Magic Of The Pepperoni (MOTP).

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 08, 2010

As QE2 Money Printing Looms, Is the Fed Focusing on the Wrong Things? / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke is looking forward to 1932.

That's not a misprint. Actually, Bernanke is looking forward to a point when the challenges facing today's U.S. economy mirror the problems of that particular Great Depression-era year. And he wants that to happen for a very simple reason.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 08, 2010

Fed QE2 Rhetoric Tied to Mandate of Full Employment and Inflation Stability / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFinancial markets are largely convinced the Fed will embark on QE2 at the November 2-3 FOMC meeting.  Bernanke's speech on August 27 was the trigger, followed by the FOMC policy statement on September 21 and recent rhetoric of Fed officials Dudley, Evans, and Rosengren.  The dollar has lost significant ground vis-à-vis its major trading partners and others (see chart 1) in a short span to time. 

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, October 07, 2010

Debt Alarm, Financial Toxic Waste Continues to Unravel, Loan Assets Created Out of Thin Air / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Matthias_Chang

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDEBTCON-1 (as in DEFCON-1, the highest level of the alarm system for impending military threats/crisis) have been triggered, but the FED, global central banks and regulatory authorities are still in deep denial and treat the ongoing global financial crisis as still in the state of DEBTCON-5 (i.e. DEFCON-5, the lowest threat alert).

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