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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Thursday, June 17, 2010

Vanguard 10-Yr U.S. Treasury Yield Interest Rate Forecast / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Richard_Shaw

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAccording to Vanguard projections (made 3/29/10 for, AAII Journal, June 2010, page 7) 10-yr Treasury rates are implied by the current yield curve to be 4.4%, 5.2% and 5.6% by 1 year, 3 years and 5 years into the future. The current rate (June 15) is 3.32%.

They don't do a great job of explaining just how they got to those projections, but given their huge bond asset base, we think they should be presumed to be well qualified to make the projections.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, June 16, 2010

U.S. Debt Bomb Detonation Expedited by 5 Years / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Michael_Pento

A Treasury Department report to Congress last week stated that total U.S. debt will climb to $19.6 trillion by 2015, as opposed to the 2019 date previously estimated. Treasury also estimated that total U.S. debt will top 13.6 trillion this year and would rise to 102% of GDP by 2015 as well. And most astonishingly, the report projected that the publicly traded debt (debt excluding intragovernmental obligations) would rise to $14 trillion by 2015, up from last year’s debt of “just” $7.5 trillion.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, June 13, 2010

Is There Really a Debt Crisis? / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Clif_Droke

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne of the most debated topics today concerns the level of debt as it concerns consumers, corporations and governments. Government debt has commanded a particularly large share of the limelight in recent weeks. Among those who are concerned that debt levels have reached "crisis" proportions, there's seems to be a consensus that the debt balloon has reached well night the bursting point, and further, we have reached the point of no return when it comes to the servicing of the debt.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, June 11, 2010

In-Disposable Income and The Long Road out of Debt / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: HRA_Advisory

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Bank of Canada just doubled its overnight lending rate, to 0.5%, and became the first G8 country to do so since the Crunch.  That came after a +6% growth rate in Q1 that brings Canada’s GDP to within 0.4% of its peak valuation, and strong employment gains in April.  Of course the loonie dropped nearly a cent against the US$ after the rate hike was announced.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, June 11, 2010

Sovereign Contagion Spreads to UK, Britain's Debt Facade Cracking / Interest-Rates / UK Debt

By: Mike_Larson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen Greece’s markets first started cracking wide open, a lot of claptrap spewed forth from Wall Street. The general consensus:

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, June 10, 2010

A Problem for the U.S. Dollar Worse than Debt / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Q1_Publishing

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article$19.6 trillion. That’s the Treasury Department’s latest estimate of the national debt to reach by 2015.

The debt has many folks concerned, and rightly so. There is, however, a much bigger problem facing the country and the U.S. dollar.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, June 09, 2010

Misreading Economic Indicators Leads to Bad Policy / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Tim_Iacono

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAll this talk about how borrowing costs are so low that Washington couldn’t possibly be facing any sort of a debt crisis – that the 3.2 percent yield on the ten-year note is somehow a vote of confidence in policies coming out of the nation’s capitol – makes me think that, just as the insane fixation on a low consumer price index was a major contributor to the financial crisis, signals coming from U.S. debt markets are being similarly misinterpreted today and this may ultimately lead to an even bigger crisis in our not-too-distant future.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, June 09, 2010

Debt Can Never Be Repaid, By Bankster Design / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Jason_Hamlin

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleYou really have to hand it to the banksters. As was painstakingly detailed in the book Creature from Jekyll Island, the banking elite devised a brilliant plan in November of 1910 on Jekyll Island in which to take over control of the United States, steal the wealth from the taxpayers and the resources from the country.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 08, 2010

Fitch UK Debt, Deficit and Ratings Warning Publicity Stunt / Interest-Rates / UK Debt

By: Nadeem_Walayat

“The scale of the United Kingdom’s fiscal challenge is formidable and warrants a strong medium-term consolidation strategy, including a faster pace of deficit reduction than set out in the April 2010 budget,” Fitch said.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, June 06, 2010

Rating Agency BubbleOmics: Time For the Regulators to Take Away Their Ball / Interest-Rates / Market Regulation

By: Andrew_Butter

Writing in Barron’s under the title “The Credit Umpires Blew It, Too”, Randall W. Forsyth concluded:

…the leading ratings agencies aren't seen as venal, stupid or hopelessly conflicted by the way they're compensated. No, it's even worse. They're seen as irrelevant.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, June 05, 2010

Navigating the Other Side of the Debt Storm / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Casey_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBy Doug Hornig, Editor, Casey Research : The trillions in U.S. federal debt now exceed 85% of gross domestic product – and that’s not counting unfunded liabilities. Unemployment is breaking 20% as the government used to calculate it. The Federal Reserve is printing money like the paper it is. And the supposedly recovering housing market sees as many foreclosures in a month as new builds.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, June 03, 2010

Euro-zone Credit Crisis and China Shanghai Commodites Market Shakeout / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2010

By: Gary_Dorsch

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUntil mid-April, few traders knew much about the credit default swap (CDS) markets. They’re traded on an unregulated, over-the-counter market, and far from the public’s view. Yet nowadays, the CDS market has become a major battleground between high-stakes speculators and Euro-zone politicians, with the fate of the Euro currency hanging in the balance. In turn, the violent swings in the CDS markets are having a profound impact on the global bond, commodity, currency, and stock markets.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, June 03, 2010

The Central Banker’s Dilemma How To Ride A Dying Debt Saddled Elephant / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Darryl_R_Schoon

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEconomics isn’t rocket science. It’s common sense and economists don’t have any.

Bankers have a problem and because they do, so do we. In modern economies, bankers have two roles. As central bankers, overseers of the financial system, they are charged with maintaining economic order. As investment bankers, i.e. opportunistic predators, they profit from whatever opportunity presents itself. In the US, the former have now succumbed to the latter.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 01, 2010

Australia Holds Rates at 4.5%; Canada is First G-7 Country to Hike / Interest-Rates / Financial Markets 2010

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAustralia may have seen its last rate hike for quite some time. Today the Reserve Bank of Australia Holds Rate at 4.5% to Gauge Market Turmoil.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 01, 2010

Bond Market Takes a Breather as Yields Rise / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market took a breather last week after signs of exhaustion following a 12 point move during the past 2 months.  US bonds remain in decent shape for the time being.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 01, 2010

European Commission Fires Big Guns, Euro TARP! / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2010

By: HRA_Advisory

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe European Commission brought out the big guns.  In a move intentionally reminiscent of the US TARP program, leaders of the continent’s major economies promised to keep throwing money at the problem in bulk until some of it stuck.  The set of charts below (courtesy of the Financial Times of London) gives a good graphical representation of the crisis to date.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, May 31, 2010

OECD UK Interest Rates Must Rise to 3.5% During 2011 To Combat Inflation / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe OECD academic economics institution says that UK interest rates should rise to 3.5% by the end of 2011 to combat inflation. The OECD inline with other academic economics institutions remains as much as 6 months behind the curve by stating the obvious that inflation is too high AFTER inflation has risen to a 19 year high with RPI hitting 5.3% and CPI at 3.7%, by warning of higher UK interest rates AFTER market interest rates have already risen.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, May 29, 2010

Sovereign Debt Defaults Equal Social Unrest Plus Much Higher Gold Prices / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Arnold_Bock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe magnitude of current private and government debt, coupled with massive unfunded contingent liabilities for promises of future services to their citizens, will prove to be impossible for many nations to fund.  Massive inflation in the money supply will become the preferred vehicle to deflect the default monster and will result in vastly devalued currencies and price inflation as a prelude to default.  Such action will be a desperate attempt to buy time to stave off the inevitable and will result in social unrest caused by persons whose comfortable lifestyle and elevated standard of living is about to disintegrate before their very eyes.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, May 29, 2010

The Broken Euro Club Bailout, Calling All Martians / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Jonathan_Pain

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen the due diligence team from the IMF arrived in Athens to determine how much money was needed, they were not surprised by what they found. They had for many years been watching events in Europe and had wondered how long it would take the Germans to find out how the Greeks had not been playing by the rules of the Euro club. In fact the citizens of Mars had been watching the reality show, „Euro club‟ for many years. What concerned them most was that the last time they had seen the Europeans get so angry with each other, many horrible, horrible things had happened.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, May 29, 2010

Pity the Greeks, Should the U.S. Bail Out European Banks? / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSix Impossible Things
Delta Force
Reduce your Deficits!
Pity the Greeks
Should the US Bail Out European Banks?
Alice laughed. "There's no use trying," she said" One can't believe impossible things."

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