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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Thursday, May 28, 2015

The ECB and the Negative-Interest-Rate Game / Interest-Rates / ECB Interest Rates

By: Frank_Hollenbeck

The ECB is now two months into its bond buying binge but the European Central Bank (ECB) never clearly explained the goal and purpose of its own version of quantitative easing. The deflation bogeyman was never a serious threat, nor was it based on any solid theoretical foundation.

A possible justification may have been to make the 1 percent much wealthier so that their extravagant lifestyles trickled benefits down to the average working stiff. Another possible reason may have been to lower the value of the euro to benefit exporters at the expense of the rest of European consumers, the middle class, and the poor. This would be a violation of the unwritten rule that monetary policy should not be targeting the value of the currency directly.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, May 28, 2015

We're Now Frighteningly Vulnerable to a Bond Market Crash / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Shah Gilani writes: Water doesn’t flow uphill.

It’s a lesson in physics so basic that even schoolkids know it.

In fact, everyone knows it…

Everyone except – apparently – the world’s central bankers.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, May 26, 2015

U.S. Fed Considers a More Seasoned Approach / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Peter_Schiff

Just as the steady torrent of awful economic data, which began in the First Quarter and continued well into April and May, had forced many market analysts to grudgingly concede that 2015 would not see the robust economic growth that most had expected, the statisticians arrived on the scene like a cavalry charge and routed the forces of pessimism with a wave of their spreadsheets.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, May 25, 2015

Janet Yellen is Right: She Can't Predict the Future / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Dr_Ron_Paul

This week I found myself in rare agreement with Janet Yellen when she admitted that her economic predictions are likely to be wrong. Sadly, Yellen did not follow up her admission by handing in her resignation and joining efforts to end the Fed. An honest examination of the Federal Reserve's record over the past seven years clearly shows that the American people would be better off without it.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, May 24, 2015

Mario Draghi’s Slippery Downward Slope / Interest-Rates / ECB Interest Rates

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Mario Draghi made another huge faux pas Thursday, but it looks like the entire world press has become immune to them, because it happens all the time, because they don’t realize what it means, and because they have a message if not a mission to sell. But still, none of these things makes it alright. Nor does Draghi’s denying it was a faux pas to begin with.

And while that’s very worrisome, ‘the public’ appear to be as numbed and dumbed down to this as the media themselves are -largely due to ’cause and effect’, no doubt-. We saw an account of a North Korean defector yesterday lamenting that her country doesn’t have a functioning press, and we thought: get in line.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, May 23, 2015

Are We in Another Credit Bubble? And Is It Different than Before? / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: EWI

Part 1 of our FREE report on the recent build-up in credit includes a chart of U.S. corporate debt issuance since 1998 you don't want to miss

Whatever your politics, creed or nationality -- we can all agree that a huge catalyst for the 2008-9 global financial meltdown was the universal binge of bad credit.

A huge part of that bad-debt pile were the "don't-ask-don't-tell" high-yield bonds -- a.k.a. junk bonds -- which were used to fund a lot of things, including corporate takeovers.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, May 23, 2015

Yellen Interest Rate Hike If Economy Improves....Really? / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Jack_Steiman

I didn't know that already? Fed Yellen made sure she reminded us today of this reality. A bad economy means no rate hikes and a good means there will be. I'm glad I understand things better now. So if we get a bad GDP, possibly even a negative one next week, the market will love it? It just may work out that way. It almost seems as if the bulls can't lose. A good number means things are getting better so let's celebrate that with some upside action.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, May 22, 2015

Inaccurate Economic Statistics and The Threat to the Bond Market / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Alasdair_Macleod

Statistics have become very misleading: in particular we are being badly misled into believing that the US is teetering on the edge of price deflation, because the US official rate of inflation is barely positive, a level that US bonds and therefore all other financial markets have priced in without accepting it is actually significantly higher.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, May 21, 2015

Illusions of Time and a Ship of Fools / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Tom_Naysburn

Election success has handed Mr Cameron and the Conservatives sole charge of the ship and the opportunity to fashion a new rudder with which he can chart a course through these shark invested waters.

It’s been said many times before that the only conversation ever worth having in politics or intellectual discourse is about “the money”, not because it in itself has any great value to society, but because we value everything we do in it.  This is undoubtedly true yet so few want to talk about it, just look at the mainstream media who appear to feign the belief that the economics world is flat and the sun rises twice a day.  Most of them maybe blissfully ignorant of their acquiescence but those who do stand on the bridge of the ship of fools in a grubby and tawdry garb.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, May 20, 2015

Will Interest Rates Ever Rise? / Interest-Rates / Global Financial System

By: BATR

Wrapped in a worldwide currency depression, the intentional zero interest rate strategy has fostered great damage to the practice of saving. Nevertheless, not everyone believes or blames central banksters for enacting a deliberate policy. Reporting on one such denier is UK columnist Jeremy Warner. He writes in the Telegraph article, When will interest rates rise? The way things are going, maybe never.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, May 18, 2015

Interest Rates Spiking Everywhere / Interest-Rates / Global Financial System

By: John_Rubino

Just as ultra-low interest rates start to seem normal, the markets decide otherwise. US 10-year Treasury bonds yielded about 1.9% in April and are now above 2.20%:

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Interest-Rates

Monday, May 18, 2015

Global Bond Bubble Will Explode Violently / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Michael_Pento

Central banks are incapable of saving economies or creating growth. The only thing a central bank can do is create inflation. These market manipulators set forth on a journey seven years ago to save the world by engaging in massive monetary manipulation, euphemistically called Quantitative Easing (QE), and a Zero interest rate policy known as (ZIRP).

As I could have told them before they started, all this easy money will fail to create viable growth. The economy, held back by massive debt levels, initially clocked in at 0.2% for the first quarter. This number is set to be revised down to negative territory due to a huge increase in the trade deficit during March. And the second half isn’t setting up to be much better either.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, May 18, 2015

Bond Market Chaos Is Spinning Out of Control / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Michael Lewitt writes: A few weeks ago, the man formerly known as the Bond King, Bill Gross, tweeted that shorting German bunds would be the trade of the century.

I was gratified to see that he was reading my mind, as readers of my Credit Strategist newsletter already know.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, May 17, 2015

Velocity of Money - The Chart the Fed Doesn’t Want You to See / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Investment_U

Andrew Snyder writes: The folks at the Fed are getting desperate. Their patient is slowly healing, but he refuses to do it without a big dose of painkillers. It’s clear that if the money manipulators hide their pills now, our addict will throw an economic fit none of us is eager to experience.

On Wednesday, markets were shaken when the world’s top pill pusher Fed Chief Janet Yellen boldly told us that stocks are overpriced. It was a half-cocked assertion that Alex Green quickly overcame (read his argument here).

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Interest-Rates

Friday, May 15, 2015

Double Black Diamond - What a Bond Bear Market Looks Like / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: John_Mauldin

I was a halfway decent skier when I was a kid. Good enough that I could navigate every trail on the mountain except for one or two. Good enough that I could do the double black diamonds.

My grandfather built a cabin on the access road to Sugarbush, Vermont, in the ‘80s and sold it in the ‘90s. Makes me weep when I think what that thing would be worth now. I wasn’t kidding when I said I come from a financially unsophisticated family.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, May 13, 2015

Debt Bomb - Big Volatility Shakes Bond Market Investors / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: EWI

Is the debt bomb about to go off?

Editor's note: You'll find the text version of the story below the video.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, May 12, 2015

U.S. Bond Bear Market Still Underway? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Tony_Caldaro

The has been lots of talk lately of a Bond market top. This type of talk has actually been going on, and off, for a few years. To our surprise we find we have not written a Bond specific report in nearly three years: https://caldaro.wordpress.com/2012/07/02/bonds-and-long-term-rates/. In that report we detailed why we expected Bond yields to be bottoming in 2012. The 10YR did make a new yield low that year at 1.39%, and it has remained above that low ever since – currently 2.27%. The 30YR also made a new low yield that year at 2.45%. It then rose to 3.98% in 2014, but renewed its decline into a lower low at 2.23% in February of this year – currently 3.04%.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, May 09, 2015

Credit Insanity: The Biggest Debt Bomb in History and the Fuse is Lit / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2015

By: EWI

Dear investor,

Exclusive invitation: Our friends at Elliott Wave International have just released a new subscriber-level summary report, Credit Insanity: The Biggest Debt Bomb in History and the Fuse is Lit, for their paying subscribers. Once I read it, I asked EWI if I could share it with you, too, and they graciously agreed, but asked that I don't make too big of a deal about it, because it was intended for subscribers only.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Interest-Rates

Thursday, May 07, 2015

Global Bond Markets in Perspective / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Gary_Tanashian

The world is getting hyped up about bond yields lately with bonds of all stripes declining, as if we are in the midst of a debt Armageddon (we are and have been in the midst of a decades-long and still intact 'debt for growth' Ponzi operation). Here is some perspective...

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, May 07, 2015

U.S. Fed Embarrassment of Transparency / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Peter_Schiff

Over the past decade or so, "transparency" has become one of the buzzwords that has guided the Federal Reserve's culture. The word was meant to convey the belief that central banking was best done for all to see in the full light of day, not in the murky back rooms of Washington and New York. The Fed seems to be on a mission to prove that its operations are benevolent, fair, predictable, and equitable. Part of that transparency movement took shape in 2007 when the Fed began publicizing its Gross Domestic Product (GDP) forecasts, which previously (to the frustration of investors) had been kept under wraps. Most of the Fed's policy moves are tied to how strong, or how weak, it believes the economy will be in the coming year. As a result, its GDP forecast is perhaps the single most important estimate it make.

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