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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Friday, May 27, 2016

The 5 Fatal Flaws of Trading / Interest-Rates / Learn to Trade

By: EWI

Close to ninety percent of all traders lose money. The remaining ten percent somehow manage to either break even or even turn a profit -- and more importantly, do it consistently. How do they do that?

That's an age-old question. While there is no magic formula, Elliott Wave International's own Jeffrey Kennedy has identified five fundamental flaws that, in his opinion, stop most traders from being consistently successful. We don't claim to have found The Holy Grail of trading here, but sometimes a single idea can change a person's life. Maybe you'll find one in Jeffrey's take on trading. We sincerely hope so.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, May 26, 2016

Cash Holdings of Apple and Other Tech High Fliers Are A Massive Risk in This Debt Jubilee Era / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2016

By: Jeff_Berwick

Throw every “norm” out the window.  This Keynesian, central banking world has everything so distorted that nothing makes sense anymore.

There are currently more than $7 trillion in bonds, worldwide, offering a negative interest rate. Wrap your head around that!  People are actually paying trillions of dollars to give their money to mostly bankrupt governments with the promise they will receive less at a later date.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, May 26, 2016

Bill Gross on the Fed, Short Credit, Japan and more / Interest-Rates / Global Financial System

By: Bloomberg

Janus Capital Management Fund Manager Bill Gross was interviewed by Erik Schatzker at the 2016 Blooomberg Fixed income Event at the Beverly Hills Hotel in California.

Gross shared his thoughts on: whether the Fed will move in June, how much that matters, Janus’ performance, trying to short credit, hedge fund fees, Japan’s fiscal policy and the currency market.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, May 25, 2016

U.S. Household Debt Still Below 2008 Peak / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Mike_Shedlock

Household Debt Summary

  • Household debt for the first quarter of 2016 is up $136 billion.
  • Mortgage debt, up $120 billion, accounts for most of the gain.
  • Student loan debt, up $29 billion, accounts for most the rest.
  • Total household debt still below 2008 peak
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Interest-Rates

Monday, May 23, 2016

Why Aren't Venezuelan Interest Rates Going Negative Like in Europe? / Interest-Rates / Venezuela

By: Mario_Innecco

Monday May 23rd 2016 I'm gonna talk about Venezuela is mainly because we've
been you know bombarded in the last few months which stories in the mainstream
and alternative media about hyperinflation Venezuela societal
collapse people killing packs to eat you know loads of horrible stories and I'm
not saying they're not true they are and Venezuela though is a fairly rich
country know you look at their GDP per capita has hired in China I know they
have a lot of oil revenue but it's still not a poor country and the main theme
and even Zero Hedge who blog I read it and I really enjoy what they talked
about and how you analyze things they've caught you know they've been trapped by....

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, May 19, 2016

Bank Bail-Ins Pose Risks To Retail Depositors / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2016

By: GoldCore

Bank bail-ins pose risks to retail investors and especially savers throughout the western world. The new bail-in rules have been made operational since the beginning of this year in the EU and in many other countries yet the risks and ramifications of bail ins have been largely ignored in most of the media.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, May 19, 2016

The Federal Reserve is Not Going To Raise Interest Rates and Destroy Gold / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Michael_Swanson

Yesterday the stock market and gold prices fell into their closing bells after the release of minutes of the Federal Reserve’s April meeting.

The Federal Reserve did not raise interest rates at that meeting, but the minutes showed that some Federal Reserve Board members hope to raise interest rates in June.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, May 18, 2016

An Incredibly Simple, Rarely Used Way to Book 170% Investing Gains / Interest-Rates / Learning to Invest

By: Casey_Research

By Dan Steinhart

Editor’s note: You’ll find a very important theme running through the Dispatch over the next five days…

We’re going to discuss the secrets of Casey Research founder Doug Casey’s wildly successful investment strategy…one that has made him tens of millions of dollars in the markets. For each of the next five days, you’ll receive an essay about how this strategy can potentially add tens of thousands of dollars a year to your investment returns…

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, May 17, 2016

Could the National Debt Really Grow as High as $31 Trillion by 2023? / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Harry_Dent

It just seems like human nature to ruin a good thing.

As much as I am a strong proponent of free market capitalism, and against complex regulations and central planning, I understand government’s role in all this.

Capitalism and democracy teamed up in the late 1700s to form the big bang in economics, or what I call “When Harry met Sally.”

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Interest-Rates

Monday, May 16, 2016

How Stupid Do You Have To Be, Part 2: 100-Year Bonds / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2016

By: John_Rubino

“Of course there are true copper bottomed mistakes, like spelling the word “rabbit” with three m’s, or wearing a black bra under a white blouse, or, to make a more masculine example, starting a land war in Asia.” — John Cleese

We all make mistakes, but some are bigger than others. An example of a serious one that’s both potentially catastrophic and easily avoided is to lend money for long periods during a time of rising debt and financial instability. Who, for instance, would commit capital for 30 years to Italy by buying that country’s long-dated government bonds? “No one” is the sane answer, yet those bonds do find buyers.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, May 16, 2016

Why Puerto Rico Defaulted and Greece Did Not / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2016

By: Michael_Pento

The Caribbean island of Puerto Rico is in the throes of a debt crisis that recently reached a breaking point when it missed a $422 million bond payment due May 2nd. When asked in a subsequent interview about the likelihood of making future payments on the remaining $72 billion of debt, Puerto Rican Governor Alejandro Garcia Padilla noted that the U.S. territory “does not anticipate having the money.”

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, May 14, 2016

The Fed Is Finally Coming Clean About Inflation / Interest-Rates / Inflation

By: Graham_Summers

For years the Fed has been lying about inflation.

There are many methods of doing this, but the simplest was to use a “measure” of inflation that did not actually measure inflation at all.

This is the famous Consumer Price Index of CPI. It is meant to measure inflation, but ignores obvious costs of living items like food and energy usage.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, May 06, 2016

Print or Die. The Central Bankers' Dilemma - Video / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Mario_Innecco

Hi its Friday May 6th 2016 so it's the first Friday of the month and usually
that means non-farm payrolls in the us- or the jobs data and yeah was
disappointing number for the you s economy jobs rose by a hundred non-farm
payrolls rose by a hundred and sixty thousand I was expected to be above
$200,000 $205,000 employment rate which is totally fictitious number status 5%
to reel in double double digits the other thing that's pretty bad for the economy and it shows that the USA
economy not only us' but you know the Western world economies are you know
haven't recovered from the collapsible wait prime age workers this is a story

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, May 05, 2016

Struggling Global Economy It's the Debt, Stupid! / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2016

By: Mike_Shedlock

For those still wondering why the global economy is struggling, the simple answer is "It's the debt, stupid."

We will return to the global economy in a moment, but first consider the plight of Greece.

A detailed study shows that of €215.9 billion in Greek aid, only €9.7 billion went to Greece. The rest went to banks and other creditors.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, May 04, 2016

Interest Rates: Ten-year US Treasury / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Ed_Carlson

TNX (the yield on the 10 year, US Treasury note) fell 3.65% to close at 18.19 on the 30-dma last week. Look for a bounce with equities early this week but don’t expect it to be sustained as the daily Coppock is still high enough to expect a top, not a bottom. Resistance is near 20.00. Look for support at Friday’s close. A break of this level opens the door for a return to the April low near 17.00.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, April 29, 2016

Fed's Kaplan: Brexit to Factor in US June Interest Rate Decision / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Bloomberg

Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Robert Kaplan spoke with Bloomberg Television's Betty Liu, Mark Barton, and Michael McKee today. He discussed his expectations for a consumer rebound, his support of a rate hike if GDP and jobs data come together, and how the U.K. Brexit debate will factor into the Fed's next interest rate decision.

On how much Brexit will influence the Fed, Kaplan said: "It'll be a factor...Our meeting is the 15th and 8 days later is the vote. I'm going to have to make an assessment on June 15 what the likelihood is, and right now, it's a little bit unclear -- or it's unclear. Forget a little bit, it's unclear. And if it's still unclear on June 15, that's going to be a factor."

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, April 28, 2016

Monetary Policies Misunderstood / Interest-Rates / Money Supply

By: Steve_H_Hanke

Ever since the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) began to consider raising the federal funds rate, which it eventually did in December 2015, a cottage industry has grown up around ­­­taper talk. Will the Fed raise rates, or won’t it? Each time a consensus congeals around the answer to that question, all the world’s markets either soar or dive.

This obsession with taper talk – the interest rate story – is simple, but strange. Indeed, it is misguided – wrongheaded. So, why the obsession? It is, in part, the result of a Keynesian hangover. The Keynesians focus on interest rates. The mainstream macro model that is widely in use today is referred to as a “New Keynesian” model. The thrust of monetary policy in this model is entirely captured by changes in current and expected interest rates (the price of money). Money is nowhere to be found, however.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, April 27, 2016

BlackRock’s Fink: Fed to Raise Interest Rates by Quarter Point ‘at Best’ / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Bloomberg

Larry Fink, Chairman and CEO at BlackRock, spoke with Erik Schatzker on 'Bloomberg <GO>' this morning.

Fink said governments need to embark on fiscal stimulus to boost the economy: "If we continue to have what I would call a dependency on monetary policy worldwide, I think it is very grim. We are harming savers worldwide with low and negative interest rates." He said monetary policy has "run out of runway" and called the Bank of Japan's negative rate policy an "outright mistake."

He said the Fed will raise interest rates "at best" by another quarter point this year because of weak corporate earnings and uncertainty about the global economy: "I would probably lean more towards a 25 basis point increase. Let's see what happens with the Spanish elections in June, the Brexit elections in June, how the U.S. economy performs in the second quarter. And importantly, what is the consumer's mood into the primaries and after the primaries?"

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, April 26, 2016

Fed Induced Bond Bubble Will Devastate Financial System - Video / Interest-Rates / Liquidity Bubble

By: Mario_Innecco

Transcript Excerpt:Hi it's a Tuesday April 26 2016 I'm gonna be talking about a subject a
little bit technical but I think people need to know about this and it's to do
with central banks and you know what the bond markets so in my opinion central
banks they planted or clean been planting the seeds of a bond market
meltdown with the zero interest rate policy and the negative interest rate
policy and by the bond markets I mean government bond markets which are
supposedly risk-free assets are not of course and then corporate bonds you know
all kinds of ratings you know junk bonds but our focus on the bond market
government bond market because that's the biggest market in the world so the
policy observed with zero interest rates implemented through quantitative easing
and officially set raids has resulted in the bond market but never seen before in
the history of financial markets basically the only way to get interest
rates were is to buy bonds because the ruling bond bond prices and yields is
that the bond price goes up goes down if the deal goes up ...

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Interest-Rates

Monday, April 25, 2016

US Bonds Nearing Their All-time High / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

USB futures are lingering at their lows from Friday.  The Cycles Model suggests a Trading cycle low may be made at any time in the next 72 hours.  What may follow is a ramp to the average target of the Bullish Flag formation. 

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