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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Friday, September 30, 2016

The Fed Is Leading Us to Economic Hell / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: John_Mauldin

The Fed argues that low rates have worked. The economy emerged from recession. Unemployment drifted back down. “Yay for us,” said the Fed.

Don't buy that statistical economic garbage. The economy recovered in spite of Fed policy, not because of it. The economy recovered because business owners, entrepreneurs, and workers rolled up their sleeves and made things happen.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 30, 2016

Today’s Fed Makes Volcker Look Timid / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: John_Mauldin

Let’s look at the Fed’s (and other central banks’) magnitude of monetary manipulation in recent years and the very constrained maneuvering room they now have as a consequence.

Of course, it’s questionable whether they should even be trying to maneuver the economy to the degree that they are. The current problem is a direct result of mistakes made during and after the last financial crisis.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 29, 2016

FED Goes from ZIRP to NIRP! / Interest-Rates / NIRP

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The FED has not followed through on their numerous promises of a rate increase that Yellen and other FED officials have made over the past several years. She spoke about purchasing assets of private companies and also mentioned that the FED could modify its inflation target.

Investors will most likely purchase shares in companies whose assets have been purchased by the FED since it is likely that Congress and federal regulators would treat these companies as “too big to fail.” Federal ownership of private companies would also strengthen the movement to force businesses to base their decisions on political rather than economic considerations.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 28, 2016

Massive Chinese Debt And Why They Are On A Gold Buying Binge! / Interest-Rates / China Debt Crisis

By: Chris_Vermeulen

China’s debt is a staggering $24 trillion with 247% of annual GDP as of last year, which is, in fact, an increase of an astounding 465% within a decade. The total borrowing by both the financial and non-financial sectors was only 78% of the GDP in 2007 and has since increased to 309% of GDP according to economists at Nomura Holdings Inc. led by Yang Zhao and Wendy Chen.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, September 26, 2016

Wells Fargo or the Federal Reserve: Who's the Bigger Fraud? / Interest-Rates / Banksters

By: Dr_Ron_Paul

The Wells Fargo bank account scandal took center stage in the news last week and in all likelihood will continue to make headlines for many weeks to come. What Wells Fargo employees did in opening bank accounts without customers' authorization was obviously wrong, but in true Washington fashion the scandal is being used to deflect attention away from larger, more enduring, and more important scandals.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, September 26, 2016

BoJ, FOMC and Where To Now? / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Gary_Tanashian

The Bank of Japan gave us a glimpse as to just how far down the rabbit hole we may have to follow global policy makers as we try to make sense of ever more complex and shall we say, innovative ‘tools’ being used in the effort to engineer individual economies and asset markets within the global financial system. BoJ announced it would conduct “JGB purchase operations” in order to “prevent the yield curve from deviating substantially from the current levels”.

The market initially interpreted this to mean BoJ stood in support of a rising yield curve, which would for example, help the banks (ref. MTU and SMFG, which exploded higher off of the support levels we had projected), but by the end of the week the Japanese Yield Curve had eased substantially and there seemed to be confusion about what the policy’s intent, or would-be effects, actually were. I wonder if the BoJ even fully knows what it is doing now. Lots of moving parts in a complex system.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, September 24, 2016

Global Bonds: Why Our Analyst Says Things Just Got "Monumental" / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: EWI

Our interest rates strategist explains more in this new interview

Peter DeSario, editor of our Interest Rates Pro Service, explains why this was a "monumental" week in the bond markets -- and offers a preview of which markets he's keeping his eye on.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 22, 2016

Yellen’s Oversight of the Fed Is Not Producing Monetary Policy but Disbelief / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Jeff_Berwick

The real product of the Fed these days is not monetary policy but disbelief. People can’t believe the amount of speculation, conversation and outright complexity that results in… nothing.

Yellen is basically presiding over the deflation of the Fed’s reputation. Every month more and more credibility leaks away.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 22, 2016

Gutless Fed Bails On A Rate Hike Yet Again.... / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Jack_Steiman

Fed Yellen is gutless and very transparent. She does the same nonsense over and over. She talks about the need to normalize rates and tells us that things are improving economically. We all know that she's not telling the truth and we all know by now that she's a phony. She never had any intention of raising rates, and found the usual excuses she knows will be there for her. Poor numbers as the year moves along on the economic front. She smiled from ear-to-ear when manufacturing stunk. She smiled more when services nosedived, and celebrated when retail sales were a major disappointment. Three beautiful excuses not to raise rates in September.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 22, 2016

Federal Reserve, US Interest Rates - America Needs A Brain / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Barry_M_Ferguson

Like the scarecrow in the ‘Wizard of Oz’, America needs a brain. Otherwise, it will never get out of the corn field.

The Federal Reserve Bank met today and again left interest rates and the fed funds rate as is. No change. But, they said a rate increase before the year is out is still a very real possibility. Ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha!!!!!! These mendacious meddlers of monetary policy are hilarious. Stan Fisher has lost all credibility since he was so adamant a few weeks ago about rate increases. Janet Yellen? A complete joke. The Fed apparently uses the same ‘red line’ that obama uses. Threats and nothing more. They don’t have the guts and they sure don’t have the intellect to know what to do. Of course, we all know if the Fed really wanted to help they would follow the advice of Jim Rodgers. They should all resign immediately and terminate the Fed bank. But that ain’t going to happen.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, September 20, 2016

Global Bond Bubble has Finally Reached its Apogee / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Michael_Pento

Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren recently rattled markets when he warned that low-interest rates were increasing the temperature of the U.S. economy, which now runs the risk of overheating. That sunny opinion was echoed by several other Federal Reserve officials who are trying to portray an economy that is on a solid footing. And thus, prepare investors and consumers for an imminent rise in rates.  But perhaps someone should check the temperatures of those at the Federal Reserve, the idea that this tepid economy is starting to sizzle could not be further from the truth.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, September 19, 2016

Yellen’s Footnote 8 Would Put Interest Rates on Autopilot / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: John_Mauldin

Yellen’s Jackson Hole speech was widely reported, so I’ll spare you the summary.

What wasn’t widely reported was her Footnote 8. Yellen cited approving a mathematical formula that could put interest rates on autopilot. The Fed hasn’t yet followed the rule, but its presence in Yellen’s paper suggests its use is on the table.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 15, 2016

The Fed’s Monetary Monkeying Is Ruining Your Retirement and the Economy / Interest-Rates / Negative Interest Rates

By: John_Mauldin

The Fed’s mission is to maintain a stable inflation rate while spurring employment. Its main tools are the money supply and interest rates.

What is an interest rate? You might describe it as the price of money. Or in investment terms, it’s the price of liquidity. You don’t have cash now, but you expect to have it in the future.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 15, 2016

The Fed Used Jackson Hole to Plan Negative Rates / Interest-Rates / Negative Interest Rates

By: John_Mauldin

Jackson Hole revealed things that did not make it into reports by the mainstream media. Turns out, the academic and philosophical underpinnings were being laid down for a radical expansion of the Federal Reserve’s toolbox.

The unthinkable policy that I’ve been warning about since last May—yes, we’re talking negative rates—was not only discussed at Jackson Hole, it was discussed in a positive, even slavishly approving, manner.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 15, 2016

Unprecedented Global Bond Bubble Threatens Holders of Cash / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: MoneyMetals

As big as previous real estate and stock market bubbles have been, the current global bubble in government debt dwarfs them all. Not only is it far bigger in size and scope (some $60 trillion in sovereign bonds now trade globally); it is also unprecedented in character.
The world has rarely seen a bond bull market that is not only 36 years old, but also shows few signs of ending. And never before in recorded history have interest rates gotten so low across the board.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 14, 2016

The Most Political Fed in History / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Graham_Summers

Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari wants us to believe that the Fed is not a political entity.

Kashkari is either ignoring reality or simply providing cover for the single most political Fed in history. This is not a Left vs. Right issue, this is an establishment vs. legitimate reform issue.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, September 10, 2016

Negative Interest Rates Will Kill Economic Growth / Interest-Rates / Negative Interest Rates

By: Peter_Schiff

For years I have argued that ultra-low interest rates act more as an economic sedative than a stimulant. This idea has elicited laughter from the economic establishment. But it is becoming clearer that rates set by central banks that are far below the levels that free markets would have otherwise determined have dragged the world into the economic mud. The simple proof is currently arising in Europe where negative interest rates are now transforming companies from agents of growth, production, and employment into financial sloths that exist solely to borrow money.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 09, 2016

‘Helicopter Money Coming’ – Exclusive Interview With Top Hedge Fund Manager Tom Conrad / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Jeff_Berwick

TDV: Hello, Tom, thanks for sitting down with us once again. We last talked to you more than a year ago. At the time you predicted a significant stock market crash and only a month later the Dow reflected your position with a huge intra-day crash. There was huge volatility throughout the fall.

Tom Conrad: Yes, and then again in at the beginning of January of 2016.

TDV: It’s not over yet, of course.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 08, 2016

Delusional Mark Carney Claims Success for Bank of England's Worthless BrExit Forecasts / Interest-Rates / BrExit

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Britain's very own Tyrion Lanister, The Master of Coin, migrant banker Mark Carney, Governor of the Bank of England stepped forward Wednesday to claim success both for Banks dire forecasts of economic doom, a technical recession in store for the UK economy should Brexit happen AND now also for subsequent surprisingly strong performance of the UK economy that has seen record numbers across several economic measures such as the Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) for August recording its largest jump in its 25 year history, or that the house price crash of 18% has failed to materialise, or that new car sales have leapt 3% against a year ago which is a sign of consumer confidence.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 07, 2016

How I Got Mark Cuban to Concede That Central Banks Have Cornered the Bond Markets / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Graham_Summers

Mark Cuban just conceded to me that Central Banks have cornered the bond market.

Cuban is a billionaire investor, owner of the Dallas Mavericks, and reality TV star from Shark Tank.

He’s also begun making a series of strange media appearances in which he claims that if Donald Trump wins the US Presidency in November, “I have no doubt in my mind that the market tanks.”

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