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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Saturday, December 21, 2013

The Great QE Taper Caper / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Andy_Sutton

Let’s do a little flashback this week and then look at some things and try to make some sense of what happened yesterday as the Great Taper Caper unfolds. We go back to March 3rd, 2009. Ben Bernanke was in front of Congress. He was allegedly under oath. He was asked directly by Senator Bernie Sanders this important question: “Will you tell the American people to whom you lent $2.2 trillion of their dollars?” Bernanke gave a one-word answer – “No”.

There are a couple of problems with all this obviously, but let’s get the more subtle ones first. This is yet another golden opportunity to point out who really runs the show from a monetary perspective. Those ‘dollars’ aren’t even dollars. That is the first problem. They are ‘not-so-USFed’ notes. They are debt. They don’t belong to the people, rather they hang like a millstone around the collective neck of We the People. Second problem, why was Bernanke allowed to leave that hearing without being charged, at a minimum with obstruction? Because the banksters run the show, that’s why. Those hearings everyone pays such rapt attention to are theater.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, December 20, 2013

Ben Bernanke Tapers, Tinkers and then Leaves / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Fed Chairman Bernanke tapers by $10 bln, tinkers with forward guidance and leaves Janet Yellen with the possibility of an inflation target.

By reducing monthly purchases of agency mortgage-backed securities and long term treasuries by $10 bn, the Federal Reserve has successfully integrated the price stability component of its dual Forward Guidance into traders' psyche by further delinking tapering of asset purchases from tightening conditions in the bond market.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, December 17, 2013

Burning Money at the Rate of $113 Billion a Month; How Can They Stop Printing? / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Profit_Confidential

Michael Lombardi writes: In the month of November, the U.S. government registered a budget deficit of $135 billion. Over the course of the month, it spent $318 billion and only took in $182 billion. So far for the fiscal year 2014, which began in October, the U.S. government has registered a budget deficit of $227 billion; that’s an average of $113.5 billion a month so far this fiscal year. (Source: Department of the Treasury; Bureau of Fiscal Service, December 11, 2013.)

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Interest-Rates

Monday, December 16, 2013

Bernanke Seeing the Difference Between QE Tapering and Tightening / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Matt_Machaj

On November 19th at National Economists Club Annual Dinner Bernanke gave a speech which could be seen as a sort of testimony or farewell (probably one of many coming soon). The message he has sent was in perfect compliance with what was being communicating to the public. Firstly he offered a “forward guidance”, which was to reassure us that low short term interest rates are here to stay for the longer term. The possible boundary line, as we repeatedly heard, is lower unemployment and/or significantly higher inflation rate. Until then we are still in the ZIRP – zero interest rate policy – scenario.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, December 12, 2013

Taper Quantitative Easing Interest Rates Derivatives Reality Check / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Dan_Amerman

The potential "tapering" of quantitative easing can be likened to a lessening of chemotherapy treatments when a cancer patient's symptoms change.  It means one thing if the patient is being cured.  It means something quite radically different when there has not been a cure, and the underlying cancer remains as bad as ever.

We are told that quantitative easing (QE), a.k.a. "cheap money", exists for the purpose of stimulating economic growth and corporate profits, and is thereby helping the United States and other nations that are struggling with persistent and deep-rooted economic and unemployment problems.  If this were the whole truth, then QE is a temporary and technical fix, a mere "accommodative policy" that can be stepped down and then eliminated altogether once markets improve and economies no longer need assistance.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, December 11, 2013

Investors You’re Getting Robbed / Interest-Rates / Learn to Trade

By: Investment_U

Alexander Green writes: A Note From the Editorial Director: We received a question recently from a regular Investment U reader on a subject that comes up too often: The costs he’s paying his broker. He writes:

“I recently had a very frustrating conversation with my broker. I wanted to know how much I’m paying in fees and commissions to work with him. And I couldn’t get a straight answer! I still don’t have it sorted out. Is this a common experience? Should I fire him?”

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, December 10, 2013

10-Year U.S. Treasury Note Trades Near 6%; If Taper Is For Real / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Michael_Pento

The most important question for investors at this time is to determine how high interest rates will rise; if indeed the Fed's artificial suppression of yields is truly about to end. To accomplish this we first must consider where yields last were outside of central bank debt monetization, a recession and the Eurozone debt crisis. Then, we need to factor in the increased risks to inflation and solvency, in order to arrive at an appropriate estimation for the level of interest rates during 2014.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, December 10, 2013

Why What’s Happening in the U.S. Bond Market Now Is So Important to Stock Investors / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: InvestmentContrarian

George Leong writes: Taper or no taper? When? How much? These are the worries that are currently driving tensions in the stock market on a daily basis. As I wrote in a previous article, no one seems to care that corporate revenue growth is muted and consumers aren’t spending.

Last week, we saw jobs market data that helps support the Federal Reserve’s reasons to begin tapering its bond buying program.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, December 08, 2013

How to Trade Markets Using Moving Averages / Interest-Rates / Learn to Trade

By: EWI

The moving average is a technical indicator which has stood the test of time. It's been 27 years since Robert Prechter described this vital tool in his famous essay, "What a Trader Really Needs to be Successful." What he said then remains true today:

A simple 10-day moving average of the daily advance-decline net, probably the first indicator a stock market technician learns, can be used as a trading tool, if objectively defined rules are created for its use.

What is a moving average? Here's how EWI's Jeffrey Kennedy puts it:

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Interest-Rates

Friday, December 06, 2013

How to Develop a Trading System From Novive to Profitable Investor / Interest-Rates / Trading Systems

By: Chris_Vermeulen

When it comes to becoming a successful investor or your, automated trading system development process for that matter, there are some big picture things that you must have figured out. Here are some tips that will help you get started in becoming a long term consistent and profitable trader, investor or automated trading system developer.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, December 04, 2013

How to Get Higher Interest Rates on Safer Bonds / Interest-Rates / Corporate Bonds

By: Investment_U

Steve McDonald writes: The bond market is a difficult place to earn a livable income during times of very low interest rates. The only way to earn a decent yield is to take risks on lower-quality bonds or to accept much longer maturity curves than good sense dictates.

But if you know where to look, there’s a virtually unknown feature in some bonds that can significantly increase your current income and beat the biggest threat to your money in the current bond market, while offering the increased level of safety that bonds are known for.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, December 04, 2013

When Saving Interest Rates Go Negative / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: BATR

What is more frightening, then the loss of your money. Since most people have, some meager amount held in some form of a financial institution, the prospect of the banksters' cabal placing a charge against your account for the mere privilege of maintaining a deposit, is horrible. The Business Insider warns, In The Future, You May Have To Pay The Bank To Hold Your Money, and raises a very dreadful prospect.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, December 03, 2013

Is the Fed Increasingly Monetizing U.S.Government Debt? / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Axel_Merk

Fed Chair Bernanke vehemently denies Fed “monetizes the debt,” but our research shows the Fed may be increasingly doing so. We explain why and what the implications may be for the dollar, gold and currencies.

What is debt monetization? A central bank is said to monetize a government’s debt if it helps to finance its deficit. The buying of Treasuries by the Federal Reserve is a clear indication that the Fed is doing just that, except that Bernanke argues the motivation behind Treasury purchases is to help the economy, not the government.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, December 01, 2013

Why Traders Lose Money Trading Markets / Interest-Rates / Learn to Trade

By: Chris_Vermeulen

How to turn your trading into a simple automated trading strategy: you know the difference among a winning and losing trade – we have all experienced both and know the excitement and the frustration associated with it.

The brutal honest truth is a tough pill to swallow. The fact that most of the time it’s not the strategy that has failed; it’s you (the trader) which is why you need a simple trading strategy drawn out on paper with detailed rules for you to follow.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, December 01, 2013

Janet Yellen, U.S. Interest Rates and Market Psychology at Major Market Turns / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: EWI

Janet Yellen just moved closer to her place in history when the Senate Banking Committee approved her nomination to lead the Federal Reserve. The full Senate is expected to confirm. If so, she will be the first chairwoman in the central bank's 100 year history.

But when her term concludes, gender may be secondary to the narrative about her time at the helm. The larger focus could be that Yellen was at the helm of economic disaster.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, November 29, 2013

How to Find Safe Yields in an Interest Rate Sensitive World / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Don_Miller

While Mr. Bernanke's policies have taken a toll on seniors and savers, his mere mention of the word "taper" last spring did us all a favor. It sent interest rates rising, bond and stock prices tumbling, and in the days that followed, the Fed went into damage control—quite a lot of hubbub for something the Fed was only pondering. What happens when they announce they actually did something?

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Interest-Rates

Monday, November 25, 2013

U.S. Money Supply Soars as Fed Eyes QE Taper / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Michael_Pento

The money supply as measured by M2 is now rising at a 12.1% annualized rate, which is causing the fickle Fed to renew its threats about ending QE. The minutes released from the latest FOMC meeting indicate the tapering of asset purchases could once again begin within the next few meetings.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, November 20, 2013

How to Profit from Fed’s Easy Money Mistake by Shorting U.S. Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: DailyGainsLetter

Mohammad Zulfiqar writes: The Federal Reserve has been very accommodative. Its goals are very simple: it wants economic growth in the U.S. economy. As a result, the Federal Reserve is taking extraordinary measures, printing $85.0 billion a month and using it to buy U.S. bonds and mortgage-backed securities (MBS). The hope is that the money will go to the banks, which will lend it to consumers who then spend it, leading to economic growth.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, November 19, 2013

A Requiem for the Bond Market / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Michael_Pento

The central banks of Japan and the U.S. are killing the private market for government debt. The massive and unprecedented bon-buying programs for Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs) and Treasuries have driven yields so low that investors are now simply stepping aside from involvement in that market entirely.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, November 17, 2013

Code Red - The Unintended Consequences of ZIRP, Zero Interest Rates Policy / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: John_Mauldin

Yellen's coronation was this week. Art Cashin mused that it was a wonder some senator did not bring her a corsage: it was that type of confirmation hearing. There were a few interesting questions and answers, but by and large we heard what we already knew. And what we know is that monetary policy is going to be aggressively biased to the easy side for years, or at least that is the current plan. Far more revealing than the testimony we heard on Thursday were the two very important papers that were released last week by the two most senior and respected Federal Reserve staff economists. As Jan Hatzius at Goldman Sachs reasoned, it is not credible to believe that these papers and the thinking that went into them were not broadly approved by both Ben Bernanke and Janet Yellen.

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