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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Thursday, May 29, 2014

BRICS Gold Source & Belgium U.S. Treasury Bonds Bulge / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Jim_Willie_CB

The detection of the rapid rise in USTreasury Bonds in the Belgium official central bank account has aroused broad and deep suspicions. Finally an open sore is visible that cannot be explained away easily. It first appeared a couple months ago. The initial knee-jerk reaction was that the USFed was colluding with the Euro Central Bank to hide heavy bond monetized purchases in New York, in effect demonstrating the Jackass point that the QE volume was huge, that the Bernanke and Yellen Fed were astute liars using deception. Next the evidence pointed to Russia having embarked on a significant dump of USTBonds using the proxy of EuroClear. It all made so much sense, the Russian account having declined in roughly the same volume as the Belgium account rose. Be sure to know that tiny Belgium has a rather notable current account deficit, no surplus funds to invest. Belgium has a GDP of $480 billion, the bulge fast approaching the size of their entire economy. Their chief export is tied closely to the hot air emanating from the EU Commission and Parliament, neither body possessing a scintilla of global integrity.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, May 28, 2014

European Bonds Front Running ECB Setup for Disappointment / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: EconMatters

June 5th ECB Meeting

There has been a lot on Bond Buying in Europe and that enthusiasm has transferred over to the United States with the thought that European Central-bank President Mario Draghi is going to embark on some massive bond buying stimulus program similar to the US Federal Reserve`s Bond Buying stimulus program. These moves in some of these European Bonds and even the US 10-Year Yield moving 20 basis points ahead of the announcement sure are setting bond markets up for some massive disappointment compared to the actual much hyped bond buying program announcement scheduled for June 5th.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, May 27, 2014

Hot Inflation Reports to Dominate Next Fed Meeting / Interest-Rates / Inflation

By: EconMatters

Important Econ-Inflation Events

The Federal Reserve meeting begins Tuesday June 17th with the FOMC meeting announcement the following day Wednesday June 18th which will be followed by their forecasts and the Fed Chair press conference.

In the last Fed meeting a weak housing concern cropped up on the Fed`s agenda, but all the housing data has rebounded in the latest economic reports with the spring weather, and the new concern at next month`s Fed meeting will be inflation.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, May 22, 2014

Don’t be Fooled by QE Taper Talk / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Steve_H_Hanke

                Since last June, most thought the U.S. Federal Reserve’s so-called taper was just around the corner. Well, the Fed’s large-scale asset purchasers did finally begin to take action, but they did so later than most anticipated. It now appears that the door will close on the Fed’s massive asset purchase program late this year. With this in mind, talk has turned to another aspect of the taper – just when will the Fed start to increase the federal funds interest rate? It probably won’t be anytime soon. Yes, the massive distortions created by the Fed’s interest rate manipulations (read: carry trade, among others) will be with us for longer than most anticipate. Why?

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, May 21, 2014

Did U.S. Fed Launder $141 Billion Through Belgium to Hide Massive Increase In Quantitative Easing? / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Washingtons_Blog

Did the Fed Take Drastic and Covert Action to Hide a Large Country Dumping U.S. Bonds?

That’s what former Assistant Treasury Secretary and Wall Street Journal editor Paul Craig Roberts alleges:

Is the Fed “tapering”? Did the Fed really cut its bond purchases during the three month period November 2013 through January 2014?

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, May 20, 2014

May The Interest Rate Rise With You / Interest-Rates / Financial Markets 2014

By: Raul_I_Meijer

If global financial markets cannot set interest rates, they are distorted and dysfunctional by definition. Of course one may argue that they have long been distorted regardless, and there’s plenty merit to that, but without being able to determine interest rates, it is impossible for markets to become functional again, other than through a collapse so severe nobody wants to be seen dead with any paper ‘assets’ anymore. That is the inevitable fork in the road: either you allow interest rates to be – freely – set by markets, or you run head first into a market crash. There are other requirements too, like getting rid of bad debt, restructuring, allowing defaults and throwing out bankrupt zombifies market participants, but none of that will do much good as long as central banks and governments can claim the right of granting themselves the authority to set rates at whim.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, May 20, 2014

U.S. Treasury Bonds - The Belgian Connection / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Peter_Schiff

One of the biggest questions at the end of 2013 was how the Treasury market would react to the reduction of bond buying that would result from the Federal Reserve's tapering campaign. If the Fed were to hold course to its stated intentions, its $45 billion monthly purchases of Treasury bonds would be completely wound down by the fourth quarter of 2014. Given that those purchases represented a very large portion of Treasury bond issuance at that time, it was widely assumed by many, me in particular, that the sidelining of such huge demand would push down the price of Treasury bonds. Without the Fed's bid, interest rates would have to rise.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, May 18, 2014

Fed to Raise U.S. Interest Rates in 9 Months / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: EconMatters

James Bullard Speech

The biggest news to come out of Friday`s financial market activity was James Bullard’s thoughts on when he expects the Fed to start raising rates, he believes the Fed will start raising rates sometime near the end of the first quarter of 2015.

He also said, “While first-quarter GDP growth was weak, growth in coming quarters is still predicted to be robust,” according to slides for his speech. He added, “the average quarterly pace of growth in 2014 may still be an improvement relative to 2013.”

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, May 14, 2014

Can U.S. $17 Trillion In Debt Survive Higher Interest Rates? / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Dan_Amerman

The United States federal government currently has about $17.5 trillion in debt outstanding. What this means is that if the interest rate on that debt were to rise by even 1%, the annual federal deficit rises by $175 billion. A 2% increase in interest rate levels would increase the federal deficit by $350 billion, and if rates were 5% higher, the annual federal deficit rises by $875 billion.

Clearly, the federal government cannot afford substantially higher interest rates. 

At the very same time, because of the current extremely low interest rate environment, tens of millions of retirees and long term investors have seen their returns slashed, with potential reductions in their standard of living as well.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, May 13, 2014

PIMCO See's Slow Interest Rate Rise in 'New Neutral' - Video / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Bloomberg

Richard Clarida, global strategic adviser at Pacific Investment Management Co., talks about the outlook for the global economy and implications of the "new neutral." Clarida speaks with Bloomberg's Tom Keene, Scarlet Fu and Adam Johnson on Bloomberg Television's "Surveillance." James Lockhart, vice chairman of WL Ross & Co., also joined the discussion.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, May 09, 2014

What the Fed’s Inflation Mania Means For Investors / Interest-Rates / Inflation

By: Graham_Summers

The signs of inflation continue to appear in the economy.

The Fed is ignoring this because the Fed is afraid of deflation… despite food prices, energy prices, healthcare costs, home prices and stocks soaring.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, May 06, 2014

How to Find Junk Bonds That Don’t Stink / Interest-Rates / Corporate Bonds

By: Casey_Research

By Andrey Dashkov, Research Analyst

Riddle me this: Why would anyone ever buy junk bonds or a junk bond fund? Before we get to the answer, I would like to point something out that seems to be a given, but that astonishingly few investors think about: bonds are debt instruments, so investing in bonds means investing in debt, governmental or corporate.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, April 28, 2014

European Bond Market Sentiment Gauge in Reaches Epic Proportion / Interest-Rates / Euro-Zone

By: EWI

A visual history of complacency and fear as seen by the 10-year spread over German Bunds

The one-two punch 2014 winter storms that battered the southeastern United States left $13.5 million in damages in Georgia alone and thousands of residents displaced due to burst pipes and power outages. I am one of the displaced. Three months after the flood, I'm still living out of suitcases in a hotel while my apartment gets rebuilt.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, April 25, 2014

Bond Market Investing - Not All Debt Is Created Equal / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Don_Miller

Optimal diversification: We all want it. Diversification is, after all, the holy grail of portfolio management. Our senior research analyst Andrey Dashkov has said that many times before, and he echoes that refrain in his editorial guest spot below.

A brief note before I hand over the reins to Andrey. The last time the market tanked, many of my friends suffered huge losses. They all thought their portfolios were well diversified. Many held several mutual funds and thought their plans were foolproof. Sad to say, those funds dropped in tandem with the rapidly falling market. Our readers need not suffer a similar fate.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, April 24, 2014

The Central Banks Have Realized Their Worst Nightmares Are Approaching / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Graham_Summers

Central Bankers will never openly admit that they or their policies have failed. Moreover, they do not rush into sudden tightening (more on this in a moment). But one can begin to notice subtle changes in their language and actions that indicate they have noticed what’s happening in Japan (the failure of the BoJ’s “shock and awe” QE program to generate growth).

Nowhere is this more clear than at the US’s Federal Reserve or Fed. Indeed, starting in August 2013, various Fed officials began questioning the efficacy of QE.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, April 23, 2014

QE Is A Fraud Perpetrated By Made Men / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Raul_I_Meijer

A lot of words are being spent again these days on deflation and the QE measures that are supposed to “cure” it. Paul Krugman, who when it comes to stimulus is a hammer seeing nails only, now has it in for Sweden’s central bank, which he labels monetary sadists for not opening the spigots. But it’s all a hugely deceptive false flag; it’s not an issue of whether you launch QE or not. There’s a third, and much more valid, way of looking at this.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, April 23, 2014

G-20 and the US Tell the Bank of Japan to End Quantitative Easing / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Mike_Whitney

It looks like QE is going to end with a whimper instead of a bang.

The bigwigs in the G-20 have put the kibosh on Japan’s money printing extravaganza. While most analysts expect the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to announce more “easing” in the days ahead to counter weakening economic data and droopy stock prices; it’s not going to happen. Why? Because the big boys have told the BoJ to knock it the hell off, that’s why? Here’s the scoop from the Japan Times:

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, April 22, 2014

Rates are NOT Rising! / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Jonathan_Davis

Back in December our firm noted that ‘everyone’ was saying interest rates would soon rise.  After all, they said, The Governor of the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve of the US had all but announced it.

We also noted that rates had been falling for getting on for 40 years.

We wondered if those saying higher rates are coming were looking in the wrong places.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, April 17, 2014

Amazing Story From Japan - Bond Market Liquidity Dries Up / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2014

By: John_Rubino

Here’s something you don’t see very often: For a day and a half this week, the Japanese government’s benchmark 10-year bonds attracted not a single successful private sector bid. At today’s artificially-depressed yields, no one wants this paper — except of course the Bank of Japan, which is buying up the bonds with newly-created yen. As the Gulf Times noted:

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, April 16, 2014

Glaring Q.E. Failure Spotted - Money Velocity Is Falling Rapidly / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Sometimes pictures are far more effective in communicating an important point. They are extremely effective in undermining respect and confidence, when in the cartoon format. A sequence of graphics struck the cognitive circuits recently. Long explanations will not serve well. The US Federal Reserve has been printing money since 2011 to cover USGovt debt securities in a frenetic manner. They have lost control. They call it stimulus, when it is actually the opposite. It does assist the speculators with nearly zero cost money to borrow, but one must be a club member to win loan grants.

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