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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Saturday, January 16, 2010

Rising Interest Iates and Lower Stock Market Before End of 2010 / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Lorimer_Wilson

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"The unprecedented run in the equity markets has boosted confidence among households and helped solidify the economy's shaky foundations. The improving economic outlook undoubtedly applies increasing pressure on the U.S. Federal Reserve and Bank of Canada to hike interest rates from record-low levels. Are traders and investors ready for the end of nearly free money?" asks Paul Vieira of The Financial Post in an article entitled 'The End of Free Money'. Below are edited excerpts from Vieira's article examining the repercussions such increased rates would have on the economies of Canada and the United States.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, January 15, 2010

UK Interest Rates Rise 2010 Sentance / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe mainstream press this week is starting to fragment from its near consensus view that interest rates would remain unchanged or little changed well into 2011 following a few sentences from Andrew Sentance, a member of the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee who's comments have been jumped upon to now generate headlines of interest rate rises this year though backed up with little or no actual analytical substance, which is highly suggestive of the press again flip flopping in the opposite direction every other week going forward.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, January 15, 2010

Technical Update On IEF And TLT / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen we last looked at longer term Treasury yields, I stated that longer term Treasury yields were likely to undergo a secular trend change from down to up, but I had reservations because significant resistance was overhead, sentiment was too bullish for higher yields, and Treasury yields were greatly overbought. Honestly, last week I was not sure which way the bond market was going to go but I did offer up a game plan. This article will review the game plan that now have me more constructive on bonds or bearish on Treasury yields.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, January 13, 2010

UK Interest Rate Forecast 2010 and 2011 / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe British Economy as with other developed economies entered 2009 in recession and on the brink of Depression which triggered a series of panic interest rate cuts all the way to 0.5% by March 2009 and they have stayed there right into the start of 2010. This in-depth analysis is third in a series of analysis that seeks to generate accurate forecasts for UK Inflation, GDP Growth and Interest Rates for 2010 and beyond. The whole analysis and implications of which will be published as an ebook that I will make available for FREE, ensure you are subscribed to my always free newsletter to get the completed scenario in your email in-box.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, January 12, 2010

UK, U.S. and Euro Interest Rate Trends Analysis / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis analysis forms part of a series that aims resolve in an accurate UK interest rate forecast for 2010 which follows in depth analysis and forecasts for UK inflation and economy. Ensure you are subscribed to my always free newsletter to receive the final analysis and forecast in your email in box.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, January 12, 2010

British Pound Currency Trends and the UK Base Interest Rate / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis analysis forms part of a series that aims resolve in an accurate UK interest rate forecast for 2010 which follows in depth analysis and forecasts for UK inflation and economy.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, January 12, 2010

Improving UK Mortgage Lending Feeding the House Prices Bounce / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis analysis forms part of a series that aims resolve in an accurate UK interest rate forecast for 2010 which follows in depth analysis and forecasts for UK inflation and economy.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, January 11, 2010

LIBOR / UK Base Interest Rate Spread Analysis / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis analysis forms part of a series that aims resolve in an accurate UK interest rate forecast for 2010 which follows in depth analysis and forecasts for UK inflation and economy.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, January 10, 2010

UK Interest Rates and GDP Growth Trend Relationship / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis analysis forms part of a series that aims resolve in an accurate UK interest rate forecast for 2010 which follows in depth analysis and forecasts for UK inflation and economy.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, January 10, 2010

Bill Gross Say FED Will Exit Easy Monetary Policy, Quantitative Easing in March 2010 / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: G_Abraham

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe latest PIMCO newsletter suggests that 2010 will be year of caution and change. And yet he gives ample suggestions to the coming holocaust in financial markets if things do not go as planned.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, January 10, 2010

U.S. Treasury Bonds Supported by Strong Seasonal Factors / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market remained range bound last week.  The New Year started off with a full slate of economic data, but the impact on the longer maturities was minimal.  It looks like we have a stalemate between weak fundamentals that are supportive and supply concerns that present a headwind for the market for now.  Meanwhile – in spite of the weak fundamentals – the risk trade continues to hum along.  The market action on Friday was prime example that at this point one can throw the fundamentals out the window and the best strategy is to just buy anything you can get your dirty paws on.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, January 09, 2010

UK interest Rates and M4 Money Supply Relationship / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis analysis forms part of a series that aims resolve in an accurate UK interest rate forecast for 2010 which follows in depth analysis and forecasts for UK inflation and economy.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, January 09, 2010

Do UK Interest Rates Lead or Lag Inflation? / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis analysis forms part of a series that aims resolve in an accurate UK interest rate forecast for 2010 which follows in depth analysis and forecasts for UK inflation and economy.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, January 08, 2010

Could the British Pound Bear a Fresh Slug of Quantitative Easing? / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRearranging the Deck chairs on the QEII - The BANK of ENGLAND's asset purchase program – better known as "quantitative easing" – was maintained at its £200 billion limit ($318bn) at this week's policy meeting in London.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, January 08, 2010

Bank of England UK Quantitative Easing Money Printing to Hit £275 Billion 2010 / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Bank of England cut UK interest to a historic low of 0.5% in March 2009 for the objective of boosting the economy so as to enable it to SELL government bonds, however this did not work as bond auctions started to FAIL in March, which therefore triggered the Bank of England hitting the panic button and igniting Quantitative Easing or Quantitative Inflation, having received the green light from the Government a few months earlier.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, January 08, 2010

Cutting Through the Fed U.S. Interest Rate Tightening Claptrap / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Mike_Larson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere’s a real debate waging on Wall Street. Just like that famous scene from the 1974 movie Chinatown, where Faye Dunaway’s Evelyn Mulwray goes back and forth saying “She’s my daughter … She’s my sister,” today’s pundits keep debating the Fed. “The Fed will tighten” … “The Fed won’t tighten” … “The Fed will tighten” — the commentary shifts with each new data point that crosses the transom.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, January 08, 2010

UK Government Gilt Bond Selling is Spirited, Buying is Muted  / Interest-Rates / UK Debt

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Technical Trader’s view:

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, January 06, 2010

The Fed Did NOT Cause the Credit Crunch, It Was Securitization: Here Is Proof! / Interest-Rates / Credit Crunch

By: Andrew_Butter

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn Ben’s big speech the other day he said that it wasn’t the Fed’s fault, and that only 5% of the problem was caused by Greenspan dropping the base rate.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, January 06, 2010

Baum Makes Mincemeat of Bernanke's Twisted Zero Interest Rate Logic / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn Ivory Tower Doesn’t Have a Mortgage, Bloomberg columnist Caroline Baum makes mincemeat out of Bernanke's twisted defense of Fed policy.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, December 31, 2009

U.S. Dollar and Treasury Bonds At Risk Following Fannie and Freddie Debt Monetization / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe background noise has been considerable. The US Congress, the august body that often passes legislation without reading it, evaluates a new initiative to reinstitute the Glass Steagall Act. Pass it, don't read it! Great idea! In the wisdom from post-Depression seven decades ago, the same Congress imposed firewall separation among the commercial banks, the brokerage houses, and the insurance firms in order to prevent systemic financial sector failure. That is precisely what happened in the last two years, without proper recognition or diagnosis, except by this and some analysts. Insolvent systems do not spring back to life with grandiose infusions of phony money and complete covers for fraud. They remain insolvent.

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