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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Thursday, June 11, 2009

Profit from Rising Interest Rates with ETFs / Interest-Rates / Exchange Traded Funds

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRon Rowland  writes: Have you looked at interest rates lately? They’re soaring! Back on March 18, the 10-year Treasury bond yield dropped as low as 2.54 percent. This week it went above 3.90 — a huge move in less than three months. The same thing is happening in all but the very shortest maturities.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, June 11, 2009

U.S. Government to Issue $2 Trillion of Debt This Year / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Axel_Merk

In our estimate, the U.S. Treasury will have to raise over $2 trillion dollars this year to finance new obligations. In addition, over $2 trillion in government debt held by the public is coming due and has to be re-financed this year.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, June 10, 2009

Anatomy Of A Treasury Bond Market Top / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne of the major themes that I have been highlighting on this blog since its inception 6 months ago is the potential for a secular trend change in long term Treasury bonds. Starting back in December, 2008, there was a high likelihood of higher yields and lower bond prices. Last month provided technical confirmation that the top is in for Treasury bonds, and we should see yield pressures in the long end of the curve lasting at least 12 months.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, June 10, 2009

Parabolic U.S. Treasury Yield Curve Warning of Hyper Inflation / Interest-Rates / HyperInflation

By: Gary_Dorsch

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEverything depends upon proper judgment. Of ten people who examine the same chart, or listen to the same speech, each person may well understand it differently - perhaps only one of them will understand it correctly. How then should traders interpret the shape of the US Treasury yield curve, which has gone parabolic in recent weeks, steepening to its highest level since 2004? Similarly, in Australia, the Treasury yield curve is at its steepest in history.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, June 10, 2009

Printing Debt not Money / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Adam_Brochert

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe often hear and read about the government “printing money” like there’s no tomorrow. Our federal government has certainly passed out enough money to the people who got us into this mess that it seems as though hyperinflation is theoretically possible. But every US Dollar printed in our current fiat monetary system is actually a debt.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, June 10, 2009

Regional Central Banker Blows the Whistle on the Fed / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: LewRockwell

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGary North writes: "In the long run, we are all dead but our children will be left to pick up the tab." ~ Thomas Hoenig

Thomas Hoenig is the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. In a recent speech, he laid out a scenario for what the Federal Reserve ought to do and what the U.S. government ought to do, and what will happen if they refuse. You can read it here.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 09, 2009

As Treasury Bond Yields Rise, Why Are Other Yields Falling? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere is a lot in the press these days about how the recent rise in Treasury bond yields has the potential to abort a nascent economic recovery. To this I say, nonsense! Chart 1 shows that as the Treasury bond yield has risen in recent weeks, the yields on privately-issued debt have declined in absolute levels. Chart 2 shows that the stock market has been trending higher since March as the Treasury bond yield has risen.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 09, 2009

Mortgage Borrowers Suffer as Lenders Charging Extortionate Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / Mortgages

By: MoneySupermarket

Despite the Base Rate continuing to hold at 0.5 per cent, providers are increasing average mortgage rates, and the margin above the Libor rate is rising, proving that the Bank of England is increasingly toothless when it comes to regulating the cost of mortgages, with lenders increasing profit margins at the expense of their customers.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 09, 2009

Seasonal's and Fundamentals Supportive of Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market sold off another four and a half points during the course of last week.  Market participants seem to be convinced that the worst is behind us as they were busy selling more bonds and buying whatever else they could get their dirty paws on.  This week there is another set of 3, 10 and 30 year Treasury auctions on deck.  That ought to hold the market back at the outset, but perhaps not after Thursday’s long bond auction.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, June 08, 2009

U.S. Debt Crisis as Treasury Bond Prices Collapsing and Interest Rates Surging / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Weiss writes: Just as we’ve been warning, the United States Treasury is the next and largest victim of this great debt crisis.

Right now, the Treasury’s finances are collapsing … its bond prices plunging … its interest rates surging.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, June 06, 2009

Huge Budget Deficit Producing New Debt to Force Interest Rates Higher / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe New, New Normal
A Different Perspective on Health Care
Staying Rich in the New Normal

We are coming to a critical inflection point, perhaps the most critical point that we have had in 70 years for the US and to a great extent the global economy. The choices we make (or that Congress and the Fed make for us) will affect not just our investment portfolios but business and our jobs for a very long time. Last week I talked about the three paths we face as a nation. I want to go back to that theme and expand upon it. You need to clearly understand what the risks are so that you can interpret the actions and data that will be coming at us in the next few quarters. I am feeling a little tired today, so I am going to take the liberty to reproduce Bill Gross's latest comments as well, which are somewhat in line with my own.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, June 05, 2009

Team Obama Charm Offensive on U.S. Treasury Bond Holders / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Peter_Schiff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis week, Team Obama took their dog and pony show on the road. Treasury Secretary Geithner went to China, Fed Chairman Bernanke to Capitol Hill, and the President himself began a Mideast tour in Saudi Arabia. This full-court press is not coincidental, and comes just as the federal government has begun unloading trillions of dollars in new Treasury obligations. The coordinated charm offensive is meant to assure the world-at-large that the United States can repay these obligations without destroying the dollar.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, June 04, 2009

Germanies Merkel Cautions European Central Bankers on Debt Monetization / Interest-Rates / Euro-Zone

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGerman Chancellor Angela Merkel caused a stir when warning the European Central Bank not to engage in asset purchases. She has received a lot of attention as it is an unwritten rule not to infringe upon the independence of central bankers. While we would typically agree that the independence of central bankers is of paramount importance, we believe it is not only appropriate, but also her duty to speak out. Let us elaborate.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, June 03, 2009

Why Interest Rates are Rising / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Marty_Chenard

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleToday ... I must speak about long term interest rates and mortgages.

Yesterday, the 30 year yields closed at 44.89. At the end of December, the 30 year yields were only 25.19 ... that was a significant rise (see the chart below). 30 year mortgage rates got down as low as 4.5%, and yesterday they ranged from 5.25% to 5.375%.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, June 03, 2009

Geithner's Debt Dialogue With China, but the U.S. Dollar May Still be Doomed / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJason Simpkins writes:Two days of talks between U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner and Chinese officials culminated yesterday (Tuesday) with both parties reaffirming their confidence in the value of the dollar, and the viability of U.S. debt.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 02, 2009

Fed Fears Treasury Bond market Collapse / Interest-Rates / Financial Crash

By: Global_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRobert Wenzel writes: The Federal Reserve appears to be increasingly nervous about the long term bond market. This is serious. How panicked are they? After leaking a story on Friday, they are back at it on Sunday.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 02, 2009

Quarterly $1 Trillion Monetization / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe rising long-term USTreasury Bond yield has captured attention. The breakout chart for the 10-year Treasury was pointed out here when it rose over 3.1%, hardly a high level. In the first week of May, a target of 3.5% was cited, one easily surpassed. It zoomed to 3.75%, enough to create some waves in the stock market distracted and preoccupied by nonsensical Green Shoots talk on the psychological side and by falsified bank balance sheets on the accounting side. Bigtime stress has come to the USTreasury complex, a story difficult to mask and conceal, since it is at the epicenter of the credit markets.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 02, 2009

Geithner & China on U.S. Treasury Bonds Sales Trip: Who Are You Fooling? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTreasury Secretary Tim Geithner’s trip to Asia has been heralded as a sales trip aimed at convincing the Chinese to keep buying U.S. Treasuries and thereby finance U.S. deficits. Such headlines are, in my humble opinion, an insult to the Chinese. Over and over again, we fall victim of the temptation to believe that Chinese leaders act in a vacuum, dictating policies out of a closet. Chinese leaders know very well the state of the Chinese, the U.S., and the world economy; they don’t need a sales pitch. So what’s the purpose of Geithner’s trip then?

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Interest-Rates

Monday, June 01, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bond Market Oversold, Strong Seasonal Influences Supportive of a Rally / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe bond market sold off another three and a half points during the course of last week before managing to recover to almost unchanged for the week.  It was one of the strangest weeks of trading activity that I have seen in a long time.  While the economic data offered no major surprises to drive substantial moves in yields, the focus appeared to be on the Treasury auction calendar. 

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, May 31, 2009

U.S.Treasury Bonds in the Eye of the Financial Storm / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBryan Rich writes: The U.S. Treasury bond market has become the focal point of financial markets for the past several trading days. And when Treasury bonds move, so does the dollar.

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