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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Thursday, May 28, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bond Market Massacred; Yield Curve Steepest On Record / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBernanke cannot have his cake and eat it too. If the economy is recovering the yield curve should steepen. And steepen it has. The Yield Curve Is Steepest On Record.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, May 28, 2009

Quantitative Easing Pushes U.S. Treasury Bonds Into Secular Bear Market / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA monthly close over 3.432% confirms the secular trend change in the 10 year Treasury bond that I have been expecting and writing about for over 6 months. I am expecting yields pressures to persist for the next 12 months.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, May 25, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bond market Severely Damaged / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market was severely damaged last week.  The theme from my previous note about the continued deterioration of the credit quality of government bonds and the consequent increase in real yields is certainly coming to fruition in swift fashion.  It all started on Wednesday when the Standard and Poor’s rating agency issued a credit watch (with negative implications – i.e. potential downgrade from the best available AAA rating) for bonds issued by the United Kingdom – also known as Gilts. 

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, May 24, 2009

Fed Admits No Credit Crisis Bailouts TARP Exit Strategy / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis Bailouts

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFederal Reserve Board Vice Chairman Donald Kohn is yapping complete nonsense about interest rates floors, the Fed's balance sheet, risk, exit strategies and other items.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, May 24, 2009

Bond and Foreign Exchange Markets Forcing Governments Debt Hand / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Michael_Pento

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast week Standard and Poor’s announced that the AAA credit outlook of the United Kingdom was lowered to “negative” from “stable.” The action caused many in the US, including Bill Gross, to impugn the United States’ AAA credit rating and wonder if the same devaluation should be applicable here.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, May 22, 2009

Triple-A Credit Rating or Bond Markets Bust? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Andy_Sutton

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIf you take a short walk down memory lane, it will not take you very long to find the carcass of New Century Financial along the side of the road back in March 2007. It would be a full 12 months before the word recession would be mentioned in the US mainstream media and stock markets would roar into their all-time highs six months after the disintegration of New Century. Much of the early portion of the credit crisis as it was called focused on mortgages and after that, mortgage-backed securities. Wow, haven’t heard that term in a while, have we?

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Interest-Rates

Friday, May 22, 2009

Investors Should Seek Maximum Safety in U.S. Treasury Bill ETF's / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRon Rowland writes: I’ve just finished reading Martin’s new book, The Ultimate Depression Survival Guide. I highly recommend it. Martin says — and he’s exactly right — that the safest place in the world for your money is U.S. Treasury bills. In his book you’ll find a very handy list of money market funds that invest strictly in short-term Treasury securities: No commercial paper, bank notes, or other risky bonds.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, May 22, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bond Bear Market Picking Up Steam? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Michael_Pollaro

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAt the risk of repeating myself, this author is bearish on long dated US Treasuries.  Yes, despite the best efforts of the Fed to monetize the federal government’s ballooning borrowing needs and hold long rates at bay, this author is bearish on long dated US Treasuries. 

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, May 21, 2009

Government Debt Downgrades vs. Gold / Interest-Rates / Global Financial System

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe word for today is "downgrade". Inquiring minds may wish to count the instances of downgrade in the following paragraphs.

UK and US Debt Face Downgrades

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, May 21, 2009

Delusions of Endless Credit Something Very Bad is Going to Happen / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2009

By: LewRockwell

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRichard Daughty writes: James Howard Kunstler, famous author and speaker, opines, “For now, the ‘bottom’ is in” which took me completely by surprise! I mean, how could anybody in their Right Freaking Mind (RFM) think that “the bottom is in” as far as the economy is concerned?

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, May 20, 2009

Are We ‘Back from the Fiscal Abyss’ as Dallas Fed Claims? / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Lorimer_Wilson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRichard W. Fisher, president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas,  was once one of the most expressive economist imaginable often using graphic and sensationalist words and expressions to get our attention when describing the nightmarish predicament’ and ‘monstrous challenge that has finally engulfed us. It was only a year ago that he warned that a ‘frightful storm is brewing’‘the mother of all financial storms’ – that could well plunge the U.S. government deeper into a ‘fiscal abyss’ causing the country to become submerged in a ‘vast fiscal chasm’. Fisher has not always been so dramatic in spite of saying recently ‘I am a Texan and Texans speak plainly and directly’ and he is not being very direct these days either.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, May 19, 2009

Barrons on U.S. Treasury Bond Bubble Bursting / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis is the second cover story in 5 months for Barron's on the bursting of the bubble in Treasury yields. I have been closely following the yield on the 10 year Treasury since December, 2008, and I would agree that Treasury yields are ripe for a secular trend change. However, this won't be confirmed until there is a monthly close over 3.43% in yield.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, May 19, 2009

Credit Crisis Freeze Thawing Following Massive Reflation Efforts / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAre the various central bank liquidity facilities and capital injections having the desired effect of unclogging credit markets and restoring confidence in the world’s financial system? This is precisely what the “Credit Crisis Watch” is all about - a review of a number of measures in order to ascertain to what extent the thawing of credit markets is taking place.

First up is the LIBOR rate. This is the interest rate banks charge each other for one-month, three-month, six-month and one-year loans. LIBOR is an acronym for “London InterBank Offered Rate” and is the rate charged by London banks. This rate is then published and used as the benchmark for bank rates around the world.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, May 19, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bonds Recovery from Deeply Oversold Levels / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market recovered from deeply oversold levels last week.  Former support at 3% on the 10 Year Treasury Note will be the first major resistance level to watch.  The yield curve on the other hand maintained its steepness as yields declined across the maturity spectrum.  The economic data might look good from far but it is far from good so the main concern for the bond market is not an imminent recovery but a continued deterioration of the credit quality of government bonds as more and more of the excesses of this enormous credit bubble continue to migrate from the private to the public sector.  Look for real yields to expand.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, May 15, 2009

Non-Existant U.S. Economic Recovery Bullish for Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGiven that Bernanke's green shoots are withering on the vine it was a sure bet that someone else would find another feel good term to describe what is essentially not happening. That term is "pre-recovery".

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, May 14, 2009

Russia Cuts Interest Rates to 12%, 2nd Cut for May / Interest-Rates / Russia

By: Pravda

Russia's Central Bank cut key interest rates by half a percentage point to 12 percent to help the ailing economy and borrowers amid signs that inflation is slowing.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, May 13, 2009

Credit Card Crisis as Huge Losses Cause Lending to Stop / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe credit card industry is in huge stress and things are about to get worse. Please consider Advanta Halts Credit-Card Lending Amid Surging Losses.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, May 12, 2009

Here's How to Make Far More Money in Bonds than Stocks in 2009 / Interest-Rates / Investing 2009

By: DailyWealth

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePorter Stansberry writes: In the past two weeks, I've spent a considerable amount of time researching the corporate bond market.

I think it's one of the greatest opportunities to make a substantial amount of capital gains – and earn high income – you'll ever see.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, May 11, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bonds Break Below Short-term Support / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market gave up a major support level 2 weeks ago as the 10 Year Treasury Note moved decisively through 3%.  Last week the bond market followed through with yields rising and prices falling further.  The stocks for bonds switch also continued unabated.  The yield curve also broke out of its trading range around 200 basis points to steepen toward the 230 level.  Long term rates rose from 2.5% just before year end to 4.27% as of last weekend.  That is a 71% rise in a little over 4 months.  That is about double the measly 35% rise in the stock market.  The record debt to GDP level maybe changing in its composition but it is not going away.  Any “green-shoot” that might be fixing to sprout will be nipped in the bud by rising yields.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, May 11, 2009

Quantitative Easing Aka Counterfeiting Money / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: LewRockwell

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMichael S. Rozeff writes: I begin by describing quantitative easing in technical terms. I go on to describe what it means when a central bank and its government engage in quantitative easing. What is quantitative easing? It is a central bank’s "purchase" of government securities (bills, notes, bonds) directly from the government.

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