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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Wednesday, May 13, 2009

Credit Card Crisis as Huge Losses Cause Lending to Stop / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe credit card industry is in huge stress and things are about to get worse. Please consider Advanta Halts Credit-Card Lending Amid Surging Losses.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, May 12, 2009

Here's How to Make Far More Money in Bonds than Stocks in 2009 / Interest-Rates / Investing 2009

By: DailyWealth

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePorter Stansberry writes: In the past two weeks, I've spent a considerable amount of time researching the corporate bond market.

I think it's one of the greatest opportunities to make a substantial amount of capital gains – and earn high income – you'll ever see.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, May 11, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bonds Break Below Short-term Support / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market gave up a major support level 2 weeks ago as the 10 Year Treasury Note moved decisively through 3%.  Last week the bond market followed through with yields rising and prices falling further.  The stocks for bonds switch also continued unabated.  The yield curve also broke out of its trading range around 200 basis points to steepen toward the 230 level.  Long term rates rose from 2.5% just before year end to 4.27% as of last weekend.  That is a 71% rise in a little over 4 months.  That is about double the measly 35% rise in the stock market.  The record debt to GDP level maybe changing in its composition but it is not going away.  Any “green-shoot” that might be fixing to sprout will be nipped in the bud by rising yields.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, May 11, 2009

Quantitative Easing Aka Counterfeiting Money / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: LewRockwell

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMichael S. Rozeff writes: I begin by describing quantitative easing in technical terms. I go on to describe what it means when a central bank and its government engage in quantitative easing. What is quantitative easing? It is a central bank’s "purchase" of government securities (bills, notes, bonds) directly from the government.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, May 08, 2009

The Clock is Ticking on the U.S. Dollar and Bond Markets! / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Ty_Andros

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis is the beginning of the third edition of the “Fingers of Instability” series.  The first edition was in the winter/spring of 2007, the second in the winter/spring of 2008, and now the third in the spring of 2009.  The Fingers of Instability are ANALOGOUS to nature as seen in a sand pile.  In August 2006, John Mauldin (John@frontlinethoughts.com) commented on a study of sand piles by three physicists who created a sand pile with a computer program that dropped one grain of sand on top of another to study critical states:  NON-EQUILIBRIUM systems and uncertainty.  When I read this, I immediately realized the debt bubbles throughout the world were an analogy to these studies and explained a great deal about the last three decades of debt creation.  It reinforced my observations about Ponzi finance and asset-backed economies.  It explained quite nicely what was transpiring and what to expect at some point in relation to PILES of DEBT and the FAKE prosperity and growth caused by EASY MONEY and runaway credit expansion.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, May 08, 2009

Bursting Of The U.S. Treasury Bond Bubble: Not So Fast! / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe yield on the 10 year Treasury bond has spiked 10% in the past two weeks, and many are now jumping on the "bonds are the next bubble to burst" bandwagon. I was one of the first to be bearish on Treasury bonds calling for the likelihood of a secular trend change back in December, 2008 and a top in back in February, 2009. Higher Treasury yields are in our future, and it isn't a matter of if but when.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, May 07, 2009

Will Interest Rates Sky Rocket as Inflationary Pressures Build? / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: U.S. Treasury bond yields are going higher - much higher. And that’s even before we factor in the likely effects of rising inflation, which we haven’t seen yet, but can certainly anticipate.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, May 06, 2009

Inflation or Deflation: Who is the Winner? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Q1_Publishing

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn this environment, we anticipate that inflation will remain low. Indeed, given the sizable margin of slack in resource utilization and diminished cost pressures from oil and other commodities, inflation is likely to move down some...

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, May 06, 2009

Bernanke Warns of Danger of Credit Crisis Relapse / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Mike_Shedlock

While Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke Warns of a Credit Market 'Relapse', Congress is increasingly willing to stand up to the Fed Chairman.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, May 06, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bonds Break Below Support / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe bond market gave up a major support level last week as the 10 Year Treasury Note moved decisively through 3%.  The stocks for bonds switch continued unabated, where it stops, nobody knows.  As the short end remains anchored, any back-up in long term rates causes the yield curve to steepen.  This is a good news – bad news story in the present environment.  It is excellent news for financials that can still afford to borrow short and lend long as they can earn a significant carry on that trade. 

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, May 05, 2009

Some Corporate Bonds Looking Better than U.S. Treasuries / Interest-Rates / Corporate Bonds

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNilus Mattive writes: I think Mike Larson did a great job outlining the dangers of longer-term U.S. Treasury bonds in his past two Money & Markets columns. And like Mike, I continue to believe there is more pain ahead for that category of bonds.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, May 04, 2009

Sorry Ben Bernanke, You Don’t Control Long Term Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Michael_Pento

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt is disappointing to discover that the Harvard- and M.I.T.-educated Ben Bernanke did not learn while attending school that long-term interest rates must be set by the free market. Belatedly, the Chairman of the Federal Reserve is about to learn this valuable and costly lesson because these rates cannot be manipulated lower by any central bank for a great length of time.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, May 01, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bond Debt Bubble Bursting! / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMike Larson writes: You’d think that after the dot-com bubble … the housing bubble … and the bubbles in commercial real estate and private equity, investors would have learned their lesson.

Nope! They did the same stupid things this fall …

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, April 28, 2009

Bond Vigilantes are Fighting the Fed By Pushing Up Yields / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCant' fight the Fed? Bond vigilantes are fighting the Fed and winning at bidding up bond yields. Short of another shock-&-awe policy announcement this Wednesday, the FOMC decision is likely to generate fresh dollar strength against risk currencies (non-JPY).

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, April 28, 2009

Falsifying Bank Balance Sheets / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis Bailouts

By: Professor_Emeritus

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOur title is borrowed from a caption of the Chicago economist and monetary scientist Melchior Palyi (1892-1970) writing on the fiscal and monetary legerdemain of the U.S. government in his Bulletin #401, dated February 27, 1960, as follows.

Faking balance sheets legalized

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Interest-Rates

Monday, April 27, 2009

Obama Says Short US Treasuries, an Update / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Michael_Pollaro

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBack in March, I penned this essay, Obama Says Short US Treasuries, making the bear case for the US government’s fiscal position and the Treasury long bond: http://mises.org/story/3364

Then I wrote this follow-up, Inflection Point in US Treasury Bond Interest Rates Near: http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article9294.html

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Interest-Rates

Monday, April 27, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bonds Fall Despite Supportive Fundamentals / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe bond market is testing the line in the sand drawn by the Bernanke Fed at 3% on the 10 Year Treasury note yield.  While stocks held their own with the Nasdaq closing positive for the 7th week in a row, bonds continued to trade in a leaky fashion.  There was all sorts of chatter about the government stress tests being flunked by most financial institutions, but until we see an official announcement, rumours of across the board insolvencies remain just that: rumours! 

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, April 23, 2009

LIBOR Interest Rate Nudges Below 1.5% On Quantitative Easing and Price Deflation / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe 3 Month Inter bank Money Market Interest Rate (LIBOR) drifted below 1.5% for the first time in over 50 years despite the budget busting deficit budget delivered on Tuesday. The prime drivers of lower LIBOR rates are the Bank of England providing near unlimited liquidity to the Banking System coupled with the 0.5% base rate coupled with Quantitative Easing (monetization of debt) with the prime aim of driving down interest rates across the curve i.e. from the short end to the long-end. This is further reinforced by the deflationary driven sentiment following RPI of -0.4% for March.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, April 21, 2009

UK Savings Interest Rates in Free Fall, Pensioners Pay the Price / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: MoneyFacts

Savings rates are still in freefall with the average no notice rate currently at 0.64%, just above bank base rate.

The recent published inflation figures shows that the real return after basic tax and inflation on an average no notice savings account is 1.06 per cent for RPI, but is at a worrying minus 2.24 per cent for CPI.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, April 19, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bonds Now 2 Standard Deviations Cheaper than Stocks / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market continues to chop around aimlessly.  The market was stronger most of the week, but a 2 point sell-off on Friday destroyed all the gains and then some.  The fundamental news turned considerably weaker – even in relation to expectations - but the stock market managed to show further gains for the 6th week in a row now.  That generated further outflow from bonds to stocks.  Based on the Fed model which compares the 10 year Treasury note to the dividend yield in the stock market, stocks made a close to 4 standard deviation move relative to bonds in a little over one month. 

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