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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Thursday, November 19, 2009

What If the Foreigners Stop Buying Our Debt? / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Doug_Horning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBy Doug Hornig, Senior Editor, Casey Research - “I have always depended on the kindness of strangers,” said Blanche DuBois, in the final words of the play A Streetcar Named Desire. Well, don’t we all.

Many citizens probably still cling to the old saw that public debt doesn’t matter because “we owe it to ourselves.” Wrong. Debt always matters. And as for whom we owe it to, it is a lot of kind (or, at least, not yet unkind) strangers.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, November 16, 2009

The Fed's Policy of Near Zero Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Bob_Chapman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne of the outcomes of Fed policy of near zero interest rates is that seniors cannot live on an income of 1-1/% and that pension funds, insurance companies and endowments cannot fulfill their commitments. As yields eventually rise, although the Fed has signaled that is at least a year away, and if Japan is any guideline, we could be 19 years away from solving the problem of fiduciaries.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, November 16, 2009

Are U.S. Treasury Bond Yields Headed Lower? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI am beginning to see signs that there is a high likelihood of this occurring over the next couple of weeks. Figure 1 is a weekly chart of the Ultra Short Lehman 7-10 Year Treasury (symbol: PST); this is an ETF that corresponds to the inverse of the daily performance of the Barclays Capital 7-10 Year U.S. Treasury index.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, November 16, 2009

Fixed Interest Rate Bonds Shelf Life Hits New Low / Interest-Rates / Savings Accounts

By: MoneyFacts

Savers looking to take out a fixed rate bond need to act fast after the average bond shelf-life fell to a new low of 23 days last month.

At its peak in March 2006, the average shelf-life of a fixed rate bond was 158 days.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, November 14, 2009

Origins of the Federal Reserve Banking System- Part 3 / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Murray_N_Rothbard

Jacob Schiff Ignites the Drive for a Central Bank

The defeat of the Fowler Bill for broader asset currency and branch banking in 1902, coupled with the failure of Secretary of Treasury Shaw's attempts of 1903–1905 to use the Treasury as a central bank, led the big bankers and their economist allies to adopt a new solution: the frank imposition of a central bank in the United States.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, November 14, 2009

Origins of the Federal Reserve Banking System-Part 2 / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Murray_N_Rothbard

Continued From Part 1

Charles A. Conant: Surplus Capital and Economic Imperialism

The years shortly before and after 1900 proved to be the beginnings of the drive toward the establishment of a Federal Reserve System. It was also the origin of the gold-exchange standard, the fateful system imposed upon the world by the British in the 1920s and by the United States after World War II at Bretton Woods. Even more than the case of a gold standard with a central bank, the gold-exchange standard establishes a system, in the name of gold, which in reality manages to install coordinated, international, inflationary, paper money.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, November 14, 2009

Origins of the Federal Reserve Banking System / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Murray_N_Rothbard

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Progressive Movement

The Federal Reserve Act of December 23, 1913, was part and parcel of the wave of Progressive legislation on local, state, and federal levels of government that began about 1900. Progressivism was a bipartisan movement that, in the course of the first two decades of the 20th century, transformed the American economy and society from one of roughly laissez-faire to one of centralized statism.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, November 13, 2009

The Sterling Interest Rate Yield Curve Steep and Steepening / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Technical Trader’s view:

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Interest-Rates

Friday, November 13, 2009

Buying Government Bonds is a Mugs Game / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Michael_S_Rozeff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSuppose that I am thinking about buying a bond and its yield is 3.5 percent. This is a nominal yield before taxes and before accounting for price inflation. To estimate my real return, I need to estimate future price inflation. If, for example, I think that price inflation is going to be 3.0 percent, then I expect my before-tax yield will be only about 0.5 percent.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, November 11, 2009

Governments in a Hurry to Borrow Cash to Re-Finance Debt / Interest-Rates / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"With 30-year bond yields still lower than they were before last winter's wipe-out, there's an urgency about refinancing debt as 2010 draws near..."

IT'S NOT JUST the US Treasury that needs to borrow more, for longer, over the next few months and years.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, November 11, 2009

Monetary Policy Outlook / Interest-Rates / Global Economy

By: RGE_Monitor

Deleted.

 


Interest-Rates

Sunday, November 08, 2009

Municipal Bonds A Dangerous Investment For 2009 / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Andrew_Abraham

Many times just using logic an investor can steer away from problems. It seemed forever municipal bonds were considered one of the safest investments. One did not get rich by investing in municipal bonds however they were consistent and the default possibility was almost not a possibility. Fast forward to 2009 municipal bonds have to be one of the scariest investment choices. All one has to do is to look at State by State finances to be aware.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, October 28, 2009

Are US Treasuries About to Rally… or Crash? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Graham_Summers

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHistorically, because the US was the #1 superpower (and the largest economy in the world), Treasuries have generally held to be one of the very few “risk free” investments on the planet. Consequently, Treasuries are where money runs to hide when the rest of the financial world is in trouble.

You can see this in the below chart: as soon as the Financial Crisis began in earnest with the credit market lockup in July 2007, 30-Yr Treasuries broke above 112: a point of historical resistance. This told us two things:

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Interest-Rates

Monday, October 26, 2009

Bailed Out Banks Continue to Raise Loan Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2009

By: MoneyFacts

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSince Bank Rate dropped to the historic low level of 0.50% in March, loan rates have continued to increase.

In this period half of all lenders offering personal loans, have upped their rates.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, October 26, 2009

Confusing Bond Markets / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe US, UK and European bond markets have all experienced recent double failures at long-term all-time highs. So the long-term technical outlook is bearish. But those failures occurred nearly a year ago. They have fallen since, but from June this year they have lacked any bear impetus at all. Any medium and long-term structures that have developed are far from completion and  markets are locked in trading ranges. Traders should stand aside and await events.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, October 22, 2009

Affordable Mortgage Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / Mortgages

By: LiveCharts

Neil Kokemuller writes: While most banks aren’t currently offering rates at the historically low levels seen earlier this year, overall, mortgage rates are still very affordable.  According to bankrate.com, the national average cost for a 30-year fixed rate loan Wednesday (October 21) is 5.23 per cent, compared to 4.99% one week ago.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, October 21, 2009

U.S. Interest Rates Set to Rocket with Falling Dollar? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

See our comparison chart between Cash Dollar Index (DXY) and the Proshares Ultrashort 20+ Year T-bond, ETF (NYSE: TBT), in which I am trying to show that right now the vulnerable juxtaposition of the dollar is creating nervousness among bond traders and investors. Once the bond vigilantes get their meat hooks into the bond market, the Fed will have one heck of a challenge on its hands.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, October 20, 2009

If Bernake Doesn’t Raise The Fed Interest Rate Very Soon There Will Be BIG Trouble / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Andrew_Butter

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe debate about whether it was Alan Greenspan’s “fault” will continue for generations, the “other side” summed up their position nicely in a quip that came up in the debate about whether to let the Fed have more power, “ That’s like buying your teenager a sports car after he wreaked the family saloon”.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, October 20, 2009

Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPs) Breakout / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI last mentioned Treasury Inflation Protected Securities or TIPs in an article written on September 10 entitled, "If You Don't Like 'em, Then Don't Trade 'em". In that article, I discussed the fact that there were other places to look for that "fat pitch" besides U.S. equities. If you didn't like the risk in equities, then play in another sandbox.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, October 19, 2009

Bernanke Gone Berserk! Bank Reserves Explode! Fed Money Printing Gone Wild! / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Martin_D_Weiss

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin here with the most shocking new numbers I’ve seen in my lifetime.

My conclusion: Fed Chairman Bernanke has dumped so much funny money into the U.S. banking system and has done so little to manage how that money is used, the fate of our entire economy has now been cast under a dark shadow of doubt.

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