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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Saturday, June 06, 2009

Huge Budget Deficit Producing New Debt to Force Interest Rates Higher / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe New, New Normal
A Different Perspective on Health Care
Staying Rich in the New Normal

We are coming to a critical inflection point, perhaps the most critical point that we have had in 70 years for the US and to a great extent the global economy. The choices we make (or that Congress and the Fed make for us) will affect not just our investment portfolios but business and our jobs for a very long time. Last week I talked about the three paths we face as a nation. I want to go back to that theme and expand upon it. You need to clearly understand what the risks are so that you can interpret the actions and data that will be coming at us in the next few quarters. I am feeling a little tired today, so I am going to take the liberty to reproduce Bill Gross's latest comments as well, which are somewhat in line with my own.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, June 05, 2009

Team Obama Charm Offensive on U.S. Treasury Bond Holders / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Peter_Schiff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis week, Team Obama took their dog and pony show on the road. Treasury Secretary Geithner went to China, Fed Chairman Bernanke to Capitol Hill, and the President himself began a Mideast tour in Saudi Arabia. This full-court press is not coincidental, and comes just as the federal government has begun unloading trillions of dollars in new Treasury obligations. The coordinated charm offensive is meant to assure the world-at-large that the United States can repay these obligations without destroying the dollar.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, June 04, 2009

Germanies Merkel Cautions European Central Bankers on Debt Monetization / Interest-Rates / Euro-Zone

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGerman Chancellor Angela Merkel caused a stir when warning the European Central Bank not to engage in asset purchases. She has received a lot of attention as it is an unwritten rule not to infringe upon the independence of central bankers. While we would typically agree that the independence of central bankers is of paramount importance, we believe it is not only appropriate, but also her duty to speak out. Let us elaborate.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, June 03, 2009

Why Interest Rates are Rising / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Marty_Chenard

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleToday ... I must speak about long term interest rates and mortgages.

Yesterday, the 30 year yields closed at 44.89. At the end of December, the 30 year yields were only 25.19 ... that was a significant rise (see the chart below). 30 year mortgage rates got down as low as 4.5%, and yesterday they ranged from 5.25% to 5.375%.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, June 03, 2009

Geithner's Debt Dialogue With China, but the U.S. Dollar May Still be Doomed / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJason Simpkins writes:Two days of talks between U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner and Chinese officials culminated yesterday (Tuesday) with both parties reaffirming their confidence in the value of the dollar, and the viability of U.S. debt.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 02, 2009

Fed Fears Treasury Bond market Collapse / Interest-Rates / Financial Crash

By: Global_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRobert Wenzel writes: The Federal Reserve appears to be increasingly nervous about the long term bond market. This is serious. How panicked are they? After leaking a story on Friday, they are back at it on Sunday.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 02, 2009

Quarterly $1 Trillion Monetization / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe rising long-term USTreasury Bond yield has captured attention. The breakout chart for the 10-year Treasury was pointed out here when it rose over 3.1%, hardly a high level. In the first week of May, a target of 3.5% was cited, one easily surpassed. It zoomed to 3.75%, enough to create some waves in the stock market distracted and preoccupied by nonsensical Green Shoots talk on the psychological side and by falsified bank balance sheets on the accounting side. Bigtime stress has come to the USTreasury complex, a story difficult to mask and conceal, since it is at the epicenter of the credit markets.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 02, 2009

Geithner & China on U.S. Treasury Bonds Sales Trip: Who Are You Fooling? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTreasury Secretary Tim Geithner’s trip to Asia has been heralded as a sales trip aimed at convincing the Chinese to keep buying U.S. Treasuries and thereby finance U.S. deficits. Such headlines are, in my humble opinion, an insult to the Chinese. Over and over again, we fall victim of the temptation to believe that Chinese leaders act in a vacuum, dictating policies out of a closet. Chinese leaders know very well the state of the Chinese, the U.S., and the world economy; they don’t need a sales pitch. So what’s the purpose of Geithner’s trip then?

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Interest-Rates

Monday, June 01, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bond Market Oversold, Strong Seasonal Influences Supportive of a Rally / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe bond market sold off another three and a half points during the course of last week before managing to recover to almost unchanged for the week.  It was one of the strangest weeks of trading activity that I have seen in a long time.  While the economic data offered no major surprises to drive substantial moves in yields, the focus appeared to be on the Treasury auction calendar. 

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, May 31, 2009

U.S.Treasury Bonds in the Eye of the Financial Storm / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBryan Rich writes: The U.S. Treasury bond market has become the focal point of financial markets for the past several trading days. And when Treasury bonds move, so does the dollar.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, May 31, 2009

Government Bond Markets Plunge Under Weight of Debt Issurance / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGovernment bonds dominated action on financial markets during the past holiday-shortened week, as angst about inflation and massive issuance propelled yields to six-month highs in the US, Europe and Japan.

Bonds and other safe-haven assets such as the US dollar were out of favor as signs of a bottoming of global economies, albeit tentative, emboldened investors’ appetite for reflation trades like equities and commodities, including oil and precious metals.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, May 29, 2009

The Next Debt Landslide: Lessons from Andrew Carnegie / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Doug_Wakefield

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHere we are, sitting in our homes or businesses reading commentary about the craziness of the world in which we live. While our collective response to rising markets has always been, “this is good,” never before have we been asked to trust so implicitly in ideas that are so far removed from the lessons of world history. While our political and financial leaders keep telling us that the capacity for debt production is eternal, Andrew Carnegie disagrees. If your friends don’t recognize that name, remind them that Carnegie had a little money in the 1800s. Carnegie Hall, Carnegie Mellon University, the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, and the Carnegie Foundation for the Advancement of Education all bear his name.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, May 29, 2009

Treasury Bond TLT ETF Rallying / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt is interesting that the iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NYSE: TLT) is rallying with the commodity sector today.  Yes, the TLTs are very oversold, so let’s not read too much into today’s strength.  However, I am suspicious that the strength just might be a reflection of anticipated Fed activity and buying interest in the long end – to prevent a back-up in mortgage rates and/or a derailment of fledgling economic recovery regardless of an increase in inflationary perceptions. 

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Interest-Rates

Friday, May 29, 2009

Why Government Bonds Are No Longer A Safe Investment / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: With budget deficits on the rise and inflation almost certain to follow, it’s getting easier to see why British or U.S. government bonds are no longer a truly safe investment.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, May 29, 2009

Which of these Global Bond Markets is the Most Bearish? / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Technical Trader’s view:

TNotes:

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, May 28, 2009

Mortgage Market Locks Up as Interest Rates Soar / Interest-Rates / Mortgages

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleYesterday 10 year treasury yields went soaring and the mortgage market literally seized up. Mark Hanson at the Field Check Group has this report that I can share.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, May 28, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bond Market Massacred; Yield Curve Steepest On Record / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBernanke cannot have his cake and eat it too. If the economy is recovering the yield curve should steepen. And steepen it has. The Yield Curve Is Steepest On Record.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, May 28, 2009

Quantitative Easing Pushes U.S. Treasury Bonds Into Secular Bear Market / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA monthly close over 3.432% confirms the secular trend change in the 10 year Treasury bond that I have been expecting and writing about for over 6 months. I am expecting yields pressures to persist for the next 12 months.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, May 25, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bond market Severely Damaged / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market was severely damaged last week.  The theme from my previous note about the continued deterioration of the credit quality of government bonds and the consequent increase in real yields is certainly coming to fruition in swift fashion.  It all started on Wednesday when the Standard and Poor’s rating agency issued a credit watch (with negative implications – i.e. potential downgrade from the best available AAA rating) for bonds issued by the United Kingdom – also known as Gilts. 

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, May 24, 2009

Fed Admits No Credit Crisis Bailouts TARP Exit Strategy / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis Bailouts

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFederal Reserve Board Vice Chairman Donald Kohn is yapping complete nonsense about interest rates floors, the Fed's balance sheet, risk, exit strategies and other items.

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