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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Sunday, November 29, 2009

Dubai Debt Default illustrates Financial Crisis Not Over / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe default in Dubai is not the beginning of Financial Meltdown 2. Don't look for dominoes here. Yes, it does raise serious questions about the vast debt-overhang in emerging economies--particularly East Europe. But, this is not a "sovereign default" in the strict sense, nor is there any great risk of contagion.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, November 27, 2009

Greece Tests the Limit of Sovereign Debt As it Grinds Toward Slump / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Trader_Mark

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI've been reading quite a bit of handwring over Greece in the UK papers, and came upon this piece from one of my favorite writers, Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, early this week.  It was in the "to do pile" to put on the website, but I never got around to it.  It appears with events in the past 48 hours, there is no time like the present.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, November 27, 2009

New Record Low Two Year Treasuries Yield, Is This Start Of U.S. Dollar Rally? / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn the wake of the Dubai default (please see Dubai Defaults - Deflation In Action - Watched Pot Theory Revisited for details), I am up watching treasury yields.

Two year treasury yields plunged to an new all-time record low as the following Bloomberg table shows.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, November 26, 2009

Zero Interest Rates, the Cruelest Tax of All / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Sarel_Oberholster

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe zero-interest-rate policy of the Fed is sold to the public as a benign economic rescue in the public interest. The stark reality is that this policy is a disguised tax implemented by the Fed. It takes income from savers and hands it as a subsidy to borrowers. It also facilitates and funds the fiscal deficit policies of central government. Such a well disguised tax is a boon for governments. The cruelest tax of all is this 100 percent tax on interest income, disguised and rationalized as "good" policy.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, November 23, 2009

Average Two Year Fixed Mortgage Interest Rate Falls to Lowest Since June / Interest-Rates / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

The average two year fixed has fallen to 4.99%, the first time it has been below 5.00% since 23 June 2009.

A string of rate rises during July saw the average quickly rise, peaking at 5.21% by the end of the month.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, November 23, 2009

Fundamental Backdrop Remains Supportive of Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe bond market crept up toward the middle of the 118 to 124 trading range of recent months as per our advertisement in last week’s issue.  3 month Treasury Bills are back to negative yields again heading into the year end, just like last year.  While 3 month Bills are back under 0, the swap market is telling us that sovereign risk is on the increase.  Credit Default Swap spreads for most of the largest developed nations (think G7) have widened noticeably over the past few weeks.  With the front end literally at 0, it looks like long rates will dictate the shape of the yield curve for the rest of the year. 

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, November 21, 2009

The Unintended Consequences of the Federal Reserve's Low Interest Rate Policy / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: John_Mauldin

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhere the Wild Things Are
It Is Not Just Japan
The Euro-Yen Cross and the Dollar Carry Trade

Where the Wild Things Are is a beloved children's book and now a beautiful movie. But in the investment world there are really scary wild things lurking about in the hidden recesses of the economic landscape. Today we look at one of the unintended consequences of the Federal Reserve's low interest rate policy.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, November 19, 2009

What If the Foreigners Stop Buying Our Debt? / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Doug_Horning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBy Doug Hornig, Senior Editor, Casey Research - “I have always depended on the kindness of strangers,” said Blanche DuBois, in the final words of the play A Streetcar Named Desire. Well, don’t we all.

Many citizens probably still cling to the old saw that public debt doesn’t matter because “we owe it to ourselves.” Wrong. Debt always matters. And as for whom we owe it to, it is a lot of kind (or, at least, not yet unkind) strangers.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, November 16, 2009

The Fed's Policy of Near Zero Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Bob_Chapman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne of the outcomes of Fed policy of near zero interest rates is that seniors cannot live on an income of 1-1/% and that pension funds, insurance companies and endowments cannot fulfill their commitments. As yields eventually rise, although the Fed has signaled that is at least a year away, and if Japan is any guideline, we could be 19 years away from solving the problem of fiduciaries.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, November 16, 2009

Are U.S. Treasury Bond Yields Headed Lower? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI am beginning to see signs that there is a high likelihood of this occurring over the next couple of weeks. Figure 1 is a weekly chart of the Ultra Short Lehman 7-10 Year Treasury (symbol: PST); this is an ETF that corresponds to the inverse of the daily performance of the Barclays Capital 7-10 Year U.S. Treasury index.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, November 16, 2009

Fixed Interest Rate Bonds Shelf Life Hits New Low / Interest-Rates / Savings Accounts

By: MoneyFacts

Savers looking to take out a fixed rate bond need to act fast after the average bond shelf-life fell to a new low of 23 days last month.

At its peak in March 2006, the average shelf-life of a fixed rate bond was 158 days.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, November 14, 2009

Origins of the Federal Reserve Banking System- Part 3 / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Murray_N_Rothbard

Jacob Schiff Ignites the Drive for a Central Bank

The defeat of the Fowler Bill for broader asset currency and branch banking in 1902, coupled with the failure of Secretary of Treasury Shaw's attempts of 1903–1905 to use the Treasury as a central bank, led the big bankers and their economist allies to adopt a new solution: the frank imposition of a central bank in the United States.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, November 14, 2009

Origins of the Federal Reserve Banking System-Part 2 / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Murray_N_Rothbard

Continued From Part 1

Charles A. Conant: Surplus Capital and Economic Imperialism

The years shortly before and after 1900 proved to be the beginnings of the drive toward the establishment of a Federal Reserve System. It was also the origin of the gold-exchange standard, the fateful system imposed upon the world by the British in the 1920s and by the United States after World War II at Bretton Woods. Even more than the case of a gold standard with a central bank, the gold-exchange standard establishes a system, in the name of gold, which in reality manages to install coordinated, international, inflationary, paper money.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, November 14, 2009

Origins of the Federal Reserve Banking System / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Murray_N_Rothbard

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Progressive Movement

The Federal Reserve Act of December 23, 1913, was part and parcel of the wave of Progressive legislation on local, state, and federal levels of government that began about 1900. Progressivism was a bipartisan movement that, in the course of the first two decades of the 20th century, transformed the American economy and society from one of roughly laissez-faire to one of centralized statism.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, November 13, 2009

The Sterling Interest Rate Yield Curve Steep and Steepening / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Technical Trader’s view:

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Interest-Rates

Friday, November 13, 2009

Buying Government Bonds is a Mugs Game / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Michael_S_Rozeff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSuppose that I am thinking about buying a bond and its yield is 3.5 percent. This is a nominal yield before taxes and before accounting for price inflation. To estimate my real return, I need to estimate future price inflation. If, for example, I think that price inflation is going to be 3.0 percent, then I expect my before-tax yield will be only about 0.5 percent.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, November 11, 2009

Governments in a Hurry to Borrow Cash to Re-Finance Debt / Interest-Rates / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"With 30-year bond yields still lower than they were before last winter's wipe-out, there's an urgency about refinancing debt as 2010 draws near..."

IT'S NOT JUST the US Treasury that needs to borrow more, for longer, over the next few months and years.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, November 11, 2009

Monetary Policy Outlook / Interest-Rates / Global Economy

By: RGE_Monitor

Deleted.

 


Interest-Rates

Sunday, November 08, 2009

Municipal Bonds A Dangerous Investment For 2009 / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Andrew_Abraham

Many times just using logic an investor can steer away from problems. It seemed forever municipal bonds were considered one of the safest investments. One did not get rich by investing in municipal bonds however they were consistent and the default possibility was almost not a possibility. Fast forward to 2009 municipal bonds have to be one of the scariest investment choices. All one has to do is to look at State by State finances to be aware.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, October 28, 2009

Are US Treasuries About to Rally… or Crash? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Graham_Summers

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHistorically, because the US was the #1 superpower (and the largest economy in the world), Treasuries have generally held to be one of the very few “risk free” investments on the planet. Consequently, Treasuries are where money runs to hide when the rest of the financial world is in trouble.

You can see this in the below chart: as soon as the Financial Crisis began in earnest with the credit market lockup in July 2007, 30-Yr Treasuries broke above 112: a point of historical resistance. This told us two things:

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