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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Wednesday, May 06, 2009

Inflation or Deflation: Who is the Winner? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Q1_Publishing

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn this environment, we anticipate that inflation will remain low. Indeed, given the sizable margin of slack in resource utilization and diminished cost pressures from oil and other commodities, inflation is likely to move down some...

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, May 06, 2009

Bernanke Warns of Danger of Credit Crisis Relapse / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Mike_Shedlock

While Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke Warns of a Credit Market 'Relapse', Congress is increasingly willing to stand up to the Fed Chairman.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, May 06, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bonds Break Below Support / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe bond market gave up a major support level last week as the 10 Year Treasury Note moved decisively through 3%.  The stocks for bonds switch continued unabated, where it stops, nobody knows.  As the short end remains anchored, any back-up in long term rates causes the yield curve to steepen.  This is a good news – bad news story in the present environment.  It is excellent news for financials that can still afford to borrow short and lend long as they can earn a significant carry on that trade. 

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, May 05, 2009

Some Corporate Bonds Looking Better than U.S. Treasuries / Interest-Rates / Corporate Bonds

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNilus Mattive writes: I think Mike Larson did a great job outlining the dangers of longer-term U.S. Treasury bonds in his past two Money & Markets columns. And like Mike, I continue to believe there is more pain ahead for that category of bonds.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, May 04, 2009

Sorry Ben Bernanke, You Don’t Control Long Term Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Michael_Pento

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt is disappointing to discover that the Harvard- and M.I.T.-educated Ben Bernanke did not learn while attending school that long-term interest rates must be set by the free market. Belatedly, the Chairman of the Federal Reserve is about to learn this valuable and costly lesson because these rates cannot be manipulated lower by any central bank for a great length of time.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, May 01, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bond Debt Bubble Bursting! / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMike Larson writes: You’d think that after the dot-com bubble … the housing bubble … and the bubbles in commercial real estate and private equity, investors would have learned their lesson.

Nope! They did the same stupid things this fall …

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, April 28, 2009

Bond Vigilantes are Fighting the Fed By Pushing Up Yields / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCant' fight the Fed? Bond vigilantes are fighting the Fed and winning at bidding up bond yields. Short of another shock-&-awe policy announcement this Wednesday, the FOMC decision is likely to generate fresh dollar strength against risk currencies (non-JPY).

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, April 28, 2009

Falsifying Bank Balance Sheets / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis Bailouts

By: Professor_Emeritus

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOur title is borrowed from a caption of the Chicago economist and monetary scientist Melchior Palyi (1892-1970) writing on the fiscal and monetary legerdemain of the U.S. government in his Bulletin #401, dated February 27, 1960, as follows.

Faking balance sheets legalized

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Interest-Rates

Monday, April 27, 2009

Obama Says Short US Treasuries, an Update / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Michael_Pollaro

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBack in March, I penned this essay, Obama Says Short US Treasuries, making the bear case for the US government’s fiscal position and the Treasury long bond: http://mises.org/story/3364

Then I wrote this follow-up, Inflection Point in US Treasury Bond Interest Rates Near: http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article9294.html

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Interest-Rates

Monday, April 27, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bonds Fall Despite Supportive Fundamentals / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe bond market is testing the line in the sand drawn by the Bernanke Fed at 3% on the 10 Year Treasury note yield.  While stocks held their own with the Nasdaq closing positive for the 7th week in a row, bonds continued to trade in a leaky fashion.  There was all sorts of chatter about the government stress tests being flunked by most financial institutions, but until we see an official announcement, rumours of across the board insolvencies remain just that: rumours! 

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, April 23, 2009

LIBOR Interest Rate Nudges Below 1.5% On Quantitative Easing and Price Deflation / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe 3 Month Inter bank Money Market Interest Rate (LIBOR) drifted below 1.5% for the first time in over 50 years despite the budget busting deficit budget delivered on Tuesday. The prime drivers of lower LIBOR rates are the Bank of England providing near unlimited liquidity to the Banking System coupled with the 0.5% base rate coupled with Quantitative Easing (monetization of debt) with the prime aim of driving down interest rates across the curve i.e. from the short end to the long-end. This is further reinforced by the deflationary driven sentiment following RPI of -0.4% for March.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, April 21, 2009

UK Savings Interest Rates in Free Fall, Pensioners Pay the Price / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: MoneyFacts

Savings rates are still in freefall with the average no notice rate currently at 0.64%, just above bank base rate.

The recent published inflation figures shows that the real return after basic tax and inflation on an average no notice savings account is 1.06 per cent for RPI, but is at a worrying minus 2.24 per cent for CPI.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, April 19, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bonds Now 2 Standard Deviations Cheaper than Stocks / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market continues to chop around aimlessly.  The market was stronger most of the week, but a 2 point sell-off on Friday destroyed all the gains and then some.  The fundamental news turned considerably weaker – even in relation to expectations - but the stock market managed to show further gains for the 6th week in a row now.  That generated further outflow from bonds to stocks.  Based on the Fed model which compares the 10 year Treasury note to the dividend yield in the stock market, stocks made a close to 4 standard deviation move relative to bonds in a little over one month. 

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, April 14, 2009

Bernanke's Un-shrinkable Fed Balance Sheet / Interest-Rates / Money Supply

By: Michael_Pento

As he stated again clearly today, the Chairman of the Federal Reserve has deluded himself into thinking that when the time comes, he will be able to shrink the size of the Fed’s balance sheet and reduce the monetary base with both ease and impunity. He also has deluded himself into thinking inflation will be easily contained.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, April 14, 2009

What to Do When the U.S. Treasury Bond Market Falls / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: DailyWealth

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTom Dyson Writes: Jesse Livermore called it "the path of least resistance." Livermore is probably the greatest trader that ever lived. He made his first fortune in the stock market as a teenager... in the late 1890s. The book of his trading techniques – Reminiscences of a Stock Operator – is the best book on stock market trading ever written. You shouldn't buy another stock until you've read it. (Just don't copy his money-management techniques. By overtrading, Livermore made and lost several multimillion-dollar fortunes in his lifetime.)

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Interest-Rates

Monday, April 13, 2009

Economic Weakness Supportive of Bond Prices / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

Before the start of this week’s column, I would like to make a quick announcement. I am not affiliated with MF Global any longer, so please note the new contact email below if you wish to reach me. The old email address and phone number that was published in previous editions is no longer functional. 

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Interest-Rates

Friday, April 10, 2009

How To Take Advantage of Low Mortgage Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / Mortgages

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePresident Obama declares "good news" and says Timing right for millions to refinance .
Declaring "good news" in the midst of an economic meltdown, President Barack Obama on Thursday urged families to take advantage of near-record low mortgage rates by refinancing their home loans.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, April 09, 2009

UK Interest Rates on Hold, the Easing of Quantitative Easing? / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUK Interest rates are expected to be kept on hold at today's MPC meeting at the record low of 0.5%, which is indicative of the FAILURE of monetary policy to counter the economic slump as the economy started to fall off the edge of the cliff during the summer months of 2008 in the wake of a housing market in freefall as bank after bank teetered on the edge of bankruptcy requiring literally a £1 trillion tax payer guarantee and capital injection bailouts to prevent financial armageddon.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, April 07, 2009

Corporate Bond Default Rate Highest Since Great Depression / Interest-Rates / Corporate Bonds

By: Mike_Shedlock

Moodys says Default Rate Surges to Highest Since Depression .
Thirty-five companies defaulted in March, the highest number in a single month since the Great Depression, according to Moody's Investors Service.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, April 06, 2009

Fed's Flawed Strategy of Buying Long Dated Treasuries to Force Rates Lower / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Shedlock

Bernanke thinks he can manipulate treasury yields by purchasing long dated treasuries. He can't. The market is simply too big. Please consider Treasurys slide after Fed purchases .

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