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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Friday, March 18, 2016

Is This The Debt Jubilee? / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2016

By: John_Rubino

Not so long ago the financial world viewed certain numbers as limits beyond which lay trouble. Interest rates near zero, for instance, were thought to risk destabilizing the banking system. And government fiscal deficits above 3% were considered so dangerous that exceeding this level was prohibited by the Maastricht treaty that all euorzone members were required to sign.

Those numbers -- 0% and 3% -- are still considered bad. But now for the opposite reason: They're insufficiently aggressive.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, March 16, 2016

FOMC Statement - Backing Off On the Rate Increases, Lowering Forecasts / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Jesse

The Fed recognized that growth is slow, and that inflation remains subdued.

I include a chart of the real median household income to demonstrate why the recovery is so wobbly.  Demand and investment are weak because people have less money to spend.  Wow, what a surprise.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, March 15, 2016

Runaway Credit is the Biggest Threat to Life as We Know It - Video / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2016

By: Mario_Innecco

Transcript excerpt: Tuesday March 15 2016 today I'm gonna be talking about runaway credit
and how life as we know is under threat from runaway credit debt I don't wanna
sound alarmist but I think I need to cover this subject
I'll start out with a comment John Pierpont Morgan JP Morgan back in 1912 the poo poo joe meat committee
hearing at the EUS House of Representatives here he was asked what
gold was and he said money is gold and nothing else they they don't have a
variations that this and some people say that he said money is golden everything
else is credit but I think he was that's a misquote patient but it still serves

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, March 15, 2016

The Next Level of Monetary Policy / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Rodney_Johnson

There’s an old adage in economics that the best way to cure deflation is to drop money from helicopters. Clearly this phrase isn’t older than mid-20th century, because before that time we didn’t have helicopters… we also didn’t have manipulative central banks. But now we have both, and they are about to join forces.

The helicopter statement isn’t meant literally. It conveys how central banks approach an economy when mainstream – and even out of the mainstream – monetary policies have failed.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, March 15, 2016

The World’s Worst Central Bank - Banco Central de Venezuela / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Steve_H_Hanke

The Banco Central de Venezuela (BCV) wins the prize as the world’s worst central bank – at least for the time being.  Venezuela’s annual inflation has been in triple-digit territory for more than three years.  As the accompanying chart shows, the implied annual inflation rate soared as high as 800% last summer.  Since then, inflation has fallen to its current 320% annual rate.  This is still well above the phony 180.9% annual rate reported by the BCV in December.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, March 14, 2016

Bail-Ins And Negative Interest Rates, The Ultimate Admission Of Failure.... / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Submissions

Mike Hoy writes: ... Cash and Physical Gold, Standing in The Way of a Lifetime of Financial Servitude and Slavery!

For the last several decades, the out-of-control growth of US Government spending when combined with the unlimited printing policies of "The Fed" has set the stage for "The Perfect Storm!"

Anyone with a simple calculator can easily understand how it is virtually impossible for 320,000,000 people to retire a current and rapidly growing debt of $19,000,000,000,000. This is a sum which equates into $60,000 worth of debt per man, woman and child in the US today. Please ignore the fact that half of the population pays no income tax at all. Forget about the $100,000,000,000,000-$200,000,000,000,000 in future entitlement obligations as only a dreamer could believe this debt has any chance of ever being funded with anything other than more worthless paper!!

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, March 13, 2016

Money Velocity Proves Q.E. Failure / Interest-Rates / Money Supply

By: Jim_Willie_CB

The current monetary policy is stuck in place. It is highly destructive to banking systems, working capital, and financial markets. Yet it continues ad infinitum, actually until the great collapse. A systemic Lehman event is in progress, as the global financial structure is collapsing. The only remedy is the Gold Standard installation, which is happening, but its architects are from the East. They are labeled as enemies, when the root problem is in the Western banking hive.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, March 11, 2016

Negative Rates and Money Heaven Financial Wonderland Q&A / Interest-Rates / Negative Interest Rates

By: Mike_Shedlock

Questions on negative rates keep coming in: Where does the money go? Who benefits? Will the Fed do the same? What's Draghi up to?

A quick refresher course on paying interest on excess reserves vs. charging interest on excess reserves is in order.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, March 11, 2016

Mario Draghi Got Lost In A Rabbit Hole / Interest-Rates / ECB Interest Rates

By: Raul_I_Meijer

I’ll try and keep this gracefully short: Mario Draghi ‘unleashed’ a bazooka full of desperate tools on the financial markets yesterday and they blew up in his face faster than you could say blowback or backdraft (and that’s just the start of the alphabet). This must and will mean that Draghi’s stint as ECB head is for all intents and purposes done. But…

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Interest-Rates

Friday, March 11, 2016

ECB Panic Money Printing to Save Euro-zone from Economic Collapse as BrExit Looms / Interest-Rates / Negative Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

A little over a month on from the Bank of Japan's panic announcement of negative interest rates and money printing. Now it's the turn of the ECB to PANIC by firing it's own inflation bazooka in what is commonly termed as the currency wars (competitive devaluations) as nations attempt to import inflation and export deflation by means of manipulating exchange rates. This weeks ECB PANIC followed euro-zone inflation turning negative again (CPI -0.2%) and with virtually the whole of southern europe in a permanent economic depression, with debt mountains continuing to balloon in a perpetual state of imminent bankruptcy of the whole of southern europe as ALL central banks ONLY really have ONE objective which is to INFLATE debt mountains away for which they CREATE INFLATION by means of MONEY PRINTING and so without inflation the debt cannot be serviced.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, March 08, 2016

U.S. Treasury Shorts Pounded into the Ground / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

This has got to be a decline for the records. There is nothing else like it in this chart. The treasury shorts are getting nailed.

ZeroHedge reports, “Over the past week we have been following a disturbing development in the US Treasury market: while the repo rate on the 10Y has been sliding deep into negative territory for a while, on Friday it finally hit the "fails charge" of -3.00%, suggesting there is a massive shortage of Treasury paper as a result of wholesale shorting by various market participants.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, March 05, 2016

More and More Fed Officials Calling For NIRP / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Graham_Summers

The Fed Vice-Chair has begun laying the groundwork for NIRP.

The US Federal Reserve is obsessed with market reactions to its policies. Because of this, anytime the Fed plans to announce a major change in policy, it preps the markets via numerous leaks and hints… oftentimes for months in advance.

An excellent example of this concerns the Fed’s decision to taper QE back in 2013.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, March 05, 2016

Financial Repression - Margin Rules Changes Force New Private Funding of Public Debt / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Gordon_T_Long

FRA Co-Founder Gordon T. Long and Dan Amerman have an in-depth conversation covering various topics such as Financial Repression, Quantitative Easing, devious actions of the Fed and much more.

Daniel R. Amerman is a Chartered Financial Analyst, author, and speaker, with BSBA and MBA degrees in Finance, and over 30 years of professional financial experience. As an investment banking vice president in the 1980s he did groundbreaking work in the security originations and asset/liability management areas, including CMO/REMIC originations as part of portfolio restructurings for financial institutions, as well as the creation of synthetic securities for institutional clients. As an independent quantitative analyst in the 1990s and 2000s, he structured mortgage-backed bond financing and provided analytical services for real estate acquisitions by multifamily and commercial real estate owners, investment banks, and tax-exempt issuers.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, March 04, 2016

Short Squeeze in Treasuries? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Day 43 came and went with a small throw-over of the trendline at the close. This final thrust made 21 waves (an impulse) from 1931.88 to today’s close, so I don’t see how they can add any more waves to it.

The normal amount of time in a counter-trend rally is 21 days in a bear market, and often much shorter. Today is day 21 from the February 11 low, so it appears to have fulfilled the time requirement. One of my Swing Models suggested February 26 would give us the turn, but it is now 6 calendar days overdue. Since tomorrow is 4.3 market days from my projected “swing high,” I had originally suggested that tomorrow would be the first low of the decline. I will eat crow over that call.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, March 03, 2016

Fed Stuck Between Hard Place and a Grenade / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Sol_Palha

He who trims himself to suit everyone will soon whittle himself away. Raymond Hull

The Fed is stuck in between a hard place and a grenade, given this option, they will choose the hard place as unless you are looking for a one-way to ticket to nowhere you won’t choose the grenade. The Fed has nowhere to go; there is only one option available inflate the money supply or die trying to.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, March 03, 2016

How Does Sam Afford to Buy So Much Stuff? / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: MISES

Mark Brandly writes: Lately, I’ve wondered how my neighbor, Sam, affords to buy so much stuff. He appears to have an unlimited budget. When I asked him about this, Sam asked, “Do you think I’m spending too much?”

“That depends,” I said, “How much money do you make?”

“I take home $100,000 a year.”

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, March 02, 2016

Understanding the Federal Reserve’s Shell Game / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: MISES

Dan Sanchez writes: The Federal Reserve is a key component of the American Transfer State. Under the guise of “macroeconomic management,” it redistributes vast amounts of wealth on an ongoing basis through inflation. The victims of these transfers are ordinary Americans. The beneficiaries are the government and its elite cronies.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, February 29, 2016

Irish Bonds Fall as Election Creates Political and Economic Uncertainty / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: GoldCore

Irish bonds fell today and the yield on ten-year Irish bonds rose to 0.908 pc, up from 0.891 pc in early trading this morning after a divisive general election and inconclusive result threw Irish politics into disarray and created considerable political and economic uncertainty.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, February 28, 2016

The Fed is Working to Implement NIRP / Interest-Rates / NIRP

By: Graham_Summers

The Fed Vice-Chair has begun laying the groundwork for NIRP.

The US Federal Reserve is obsessed with market reactions to its policies. Because of this, anytime the Fed plans to announce a major change in policy, it preps the markets via numerous leaks and hints… oftentimes for months in advance.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Interest-Rates

Thursday, February 25, 2016

Central Banks Should Stop Paying Interest on Reserves / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: MISES

Brendan Brown writes: In 2008, the Federal Reserve began paying interest on reserve balances held on deposit at the Fed. It took more than seven decades from the US leaving the gold standard — in 1933 — for the fiat regime to do this and thus revoke a cardinal element of the old gold-based monetary system: the non-payment of any interest on base money.

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