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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Saturday, November 07, 2015

US Dollar Surges, December Rate Hike Odds Soar Following Strong Jobs Report / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Mike_Shedlock

Following today's jobs report the odds of a December rate hike approached 70% and the US dollar index surged.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, November 06, 2015

Bill Gross: '100% Chance' Fed will Raise U.S. Interest Rates in December / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Bloomberg

Bill Gross of Janus Capital spoke with Bloomberg's Tom Keene and Michael McKee on Bloomberg Radio and Television this morning to respond to today's jobs report.

Gross said there is a "100 percent chance" the Fed will raise interest rates in December after jobs surged. "They're ready to go." He said: "100 percent that they go in December and then try and tamp it down with mild, gradual language that will keep the dollar from strengthening even further."

On dollar strength, Gross said: "I think the Fed fears it...They took it out of their statement last month. But prior to that, they were cognizant of the fact that a very strong dollar has negative implications for emerging markets... It's certainly a negative for the global financial system because there are many bets and much dollar denominated debt in terms of emerging market corporations and sovereigns will be impacted by this."

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Interest-Rates

Friday, November 06, 2015

Worlds Largest Debtor Ever Raises U.S. ‘Debt Ceiling’…Again / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: GoldCore

The US government has once again agreed to increase it’s so-called debt “ceiling” – this time from $18.5 trillion to $20 trillion.  The so-called debt ceiling is recognized industry-wide as a complete misnomer.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, November 05, 2015

The Bank of England Keeps Interest Rates at 321-Year Lows / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Mario_Innecco

We hear constantly from the U.K. government and mainstream publications like the Financial Times that the economy of Great Britain is recovering strongly and that the labour market is robust so it is probably surprising for many people that in spite of the strong growth in the U.K. economy that the Bank of England has kept its base rate at 0.5%. This almost zero interest rate has been kept since March 5th, 2009 when the MPC or Monetary Policy Committee cut the base rate from 1% to 0.5% and at the time it was understandable as the U.K. financial system was on the brink of a total meltdown and the U.K. government had to write a cheque and issue loan guarantees for £500 billion to bail out the big banks.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, November 03, 2015

QE's Creeping Communism / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Peter_Schiff

Most economists and investors readily acknowledge that the current period of central bank activism, characterized by extended bouts of quantitative easing and zero percent interest rates, is a newly-blazed trail in economic history. And while these policies strike some as counterintuitive, open-ended, and unimaginably expensive, most express comfort that our extremely educated, data-dependent, central bankers have a pretty good idea as to where the trail is going and how to keep the wagons together during the journey.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, November 02, 2015

Global Fiscal and Monetary Madness / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Michael_Pento

Last week China’s central bank (the PBOC) cut borrowing costs for the sixth time in a year and eased the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) for the third time this year, in a desperate attempt to achieve the prescribed growth target of 7% off the back of ever-increasing credit issuance. The PBOC lowered the one-year benchmark bank lending rate by 25 basis points to 4.35%, the one-year benchmark deposit rate was also lowered by 25 basis points to 1.5%.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 30, 2015

Fed’s US Debt Bomb and Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Zeal_LLC

With the Federal Reserve’s first rate-hike cycle in nearly a decade looming, traders are working overtime trying to divine its timing and impact on the markets.  They are closely monitoring the same employment and inflation data the Fed will use to start tightening.  But there’s another little-discussed concern for the Fed, the solvency of the US government.  The Fed’s zero-interest-rate policy has spawned a grave US debt bomb.

Back in late 2008, the US stock markets suffered their first true stock panic since 1907.  This once-in-a-century fear superstorm proved catastrophic.  In a single month leading into October 2008, the flagship S&P 500 stock index plummeted 30.0%.  Over 6/7ths of these losses happened in 2 weeks, a massive 25.9% cratering!  That exceeded the threshold for a stock panic, which is a 20%+ plunge in a couple weeks.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, October 27, 2015

Fed Headed into Inflation Overdrive / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Michael_Pento

Seven years of extraordinary fiscal and monetary stimuli are proving ineffective towards achieving the growth and inflation targets laid out by the Federal Reserve. The Consumer Price Index (CPI), the Producer Price Index (PPI) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) have all failed to grow over 2%. This is because asset prices, at these unjustified and unsustainable levels, need massive and ever increasing amounts of QE (new money creation) to stave off the gravitational forces of deflation. Fittingly, it isn't much of a mystery that the major U.S. averages have gone nowhere since QE officially ended in October of 2014.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 23, 2015

ECB Putting Federal Reserve in a Bad Spot / Interest-Rates / ECB Interest Rates

By: EconMatters

ECB Policy Press Conference

I was watching a little of the ECB policy press conference this morning and there were a lot of thoughts that came out of that event which I may write about at a later date. However after the ultra-dovish ECB decision to signal to financial markets that they are going to add more stimulus in December with more bond buying in order to weaken the Euro currency, the US Dollar is back up to the 96.30 area on the DX, and financial markets haven`t really thought about the implications of this move by the US Dollar.
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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 23, 2015

Europe Admits QE Has Failed, Promises More Of It / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: John_Rubino

New Age monetary policy has begun to resemble the form of insanity in which a patient repeats the same behavior while expecting a different outcome.

Throughout the developed world, interest rates are at record lows and central banks continue to pump out newly-created currency. Yet growth remains tepid, inflation is nonexistent and debt of every type continues to mount. And instead of recognizing that somewhere in their guiding theory lurks a fatal flaw, governments and central banks just keep upping the ante. Today it was Europe, where central banks have been expanding their balance sheets (i.e. running the printing presses) aggressively…

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, October 21, 2015

Insane “Trillion Dollar Platinum Coin” Option Ruled Out By U.S. Treasury To Avert New Debt Crisis / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: GoldCore

The silly and somewhat insane uber Keynesian “Trillion Dollar Platinum Coin” appears to be now firmly off the table.

The US Congress has once again ruled out the possibility of issuing a “trillion dollar platinum coin” floated as a possible solution to the looming US Debt Crisis.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 16, 2015

Can the Fed Really Print Money? What Would Negative Interest Rates Do? / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Mike_Shedlock

Most people believe the Fed can print money. Caught on tape, former Fed chair Ben Bernanke once admitted the Fed prints money.

However, in Hoisington's Third Quarter 2015 Review, economist Lacy Hunt makes the claim the Fed cannot print money. Let's take a look, emphasis mine.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, October 15, 2015

What the 'Junk-Bond Crisis' Means for Muni Bonds / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: DW

Dr. David Eifrig writes: It could happen next week... or next month...

Wall Street is already sending warning signals about the next financial cataclysm. Analysts are using phrases like "liquidity crunch" and "crisis situation."
 
I'm talking about the impending crisis in high-yield ("junk") corporate bonds. When this crisis happens, some investors will get wiped out... while others will make a killing...
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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, October 14, 2015

US Interest Rate Hike Odds For March 2016 Fall Below 50% / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Mike_Shedlock

3rd Quarter GDP Forecast Slips to 0.9%

Following today's retail and business sales reports, the Atlanta Fed GDPNow Forecast for third quarter GDP slipped 0.1 percentage points to 0.9%.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, October 13, 2015

Brainard's Wake-up Call to Fed on U.S. Rate Hike Calls / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Ashraf_Laidi

The growing inverse correlation between the frequency of Fed speeches and uniformity of the message on monetary policy action cannot be ignored. The newest member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors hasn't made too many speeches, but her message has been on point since her first speech in June.

In her speech yesterday, Lael Brainard, Federal Reserve Governor since June of this year, dealt a prominent blow to the hawks at the Fed, by contradicting three major premises upon which calls for a 2015 rate hike are built. Having served as Undersecretary of the Treasury for International Affairs for over three years, she knows a few things about international developments. Here are some of the central points of her speech:

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, October 13, 2015

The Mindless Stupidity of Negative Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: MM

MoneyMorning.com By Lee Adler, Editor's Note: We're sharing this Wall Street Examiner column with you today because negative interest rates are destroying trillions of dollars in wealth in Europe right now, cheered on by some of the "smartest" economists in the world – who want to bring NIRP here. Here's Lee Adler with some facts that show why negative rates are a horrible idea…

There are troubling signs that the doves at the Federal Reserve are considering a negative interest rate policy (NIRP) as a way to handle "the next crisis" – and there's always a next crisis…

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Interest-Rates

Monday, October 12, 2015

Move over ZIRP... Here Comes NIRP! / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: MoneyMetals

Precious metals prices enter the new week looking to extend the rally that began Oct. 2nd. Silver has gained nearly 10%, and gold is up almost 3.5%. The notion that the Federal Reserve governors may have missed their window to raise interest rates is beginning to sink in with investors.

In fact, if the U.S. economy should fall into recession, investors may see central planners move from zero interest rate policy (ZIRP) to the launch of negative interest rates.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, October 12, 2015

IMF Fears $3 Trillion Credit Crunch; Lagarde Warns 'IMF Credibility at Stake' / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2015

By: Mike_Shedlock

IMF head Christine Lagarde says "IMF credibility is at stake". She blames the US for that development, and calls on US to give more voting power to China to solve the problem.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, October 11, 2015

Negative Interest Rates Tantalizing Stupidity and the Case for Gold / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Mike_Shedlock

Financial Repression Insanity

Purportedly the Fed is ready willing and able to go to next step of financial repression insanity.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, October 08, 2015

What Trump and Other Pessimists Don’t Understand About U.S. Debt / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Investment_U

Alexander Green writes:I received still more blowback from my last few columns about Donald Trump and the economic pessimists.

Some readers are in no mood to hear anything positive about the state of the country or our current economic situation.

Others realize that the economy is growing, the dollar is strong, inflation is low, American corporations are reporting record profits and U.S. household net worth just hit an all-time high.

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