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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Tuesday, March 08, 2011

UK Interest Rate Forecast 2011 - Conclusion and Implications - Part 2 / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis analysis continues from Part 1 Here

Bank of England Remains Paralysed By Fear of Financial Armageddon

Since August 2007 when the credit crisis first broke the Bank of England has been in near perpetual state of panic, always opting to do nothing rather than something. For instance during 2008 the Bank of England should have been cutting interest rates but instead it kept them on hold at 5% as it remained paralysed by the fear of inflation right up until the world peered over the abyss at financial armageddon.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, March 08, 2011

UK Interest Rate Forecast 2011, Paralysed Bank of England Still Fears Financial Armageddon / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBritain's coalition government pressed the reset button on the UK Economy during summer 2010, as it has continued to make a plethora of tax raising and spending cut economic austerity announcements over the past 9 months in an attempt to get a grip on the Labour government's legacy of an out of control annual budget deficit of over £150 billion per year that risked bankrupting Britain.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, March 07, 2011

What's Wrong with Government Debt / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Robert_Murphy

The news abounds with arguments and even riots over so-called austerity measures. Whether in the Middle East, Europe, or even certain US states, the public is realizing just how deep a hole various governments have dug for themselves. In this article I'll outline Uncle Sam's position and then explain why it's such a problem.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, March 04, 2011

Fed Emperor Nakedly Monetizing Debt, Desperately Seeking Stability / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Jesse

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Fed is monetizing debt, colloquially known as 'printing money.'

At this point you either understand this or you do not,  and if not it is probably because you will not to do so.  Read full article... Read full article...

 


Interest-Rates

Friday, March 04, 2011

Fed and ECB - A World Apart / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Axel_Merk

The U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) and the European Central Bank (ECB) are divided by a common goal: price stability. Fed Chairman Bernanke has made it clear in his recent testimony and speeches that the Fed would react should food and commodity inflation lead to an increase in core inflation. Let's spell this out: the Fed is ready to R E A C T. We are not aware of any central bank that is proud of reacting, but rather acting preemptively to mitigate inflationary concerns; naturally, a central bank may often be forced to react, but to do so by design puts the cynical view that central bankers are too far behind the curve into a new light.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, March 04, 2011

Trading the U.S. Treasury Bond Market With Success / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: readtheticker

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIf you are an avid reader of financial articles, you will have seen many stock charts with all types of technical analysis drawn upon it. You name it, you're seen it, trend lines, moving averages, oscillators, Elliot wave counts, etc. Yet you fail to see a simple technique that assisted a young trader to make millions.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, March 04, 2011

ECB President Trichet’s Remarks Beg Questions on Eurozone Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / ECB Interest Rates

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePresident Trichet of European Central Bank (ECB) noted at this morning's press conference that "strong vigilance is warranted with a view to containing upside risks to price stability." This statement implies that the ECB is considering tightening monetary policy in the very near term. President Trichet's hawkish stance is based on the region's inflation rate of 2.3% in January and inflation excluding food and energy was 1.2%. The all-items inflation reading exceeds the ECB's target of 2.0% and reflects a jump in energy prices. So, at the top of Trichet's to-do list is to prepare markets for a higher policy rate from the current level of 1.0%.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, March 03, 2011

How to Profit From the Muni Bond Market Collapse and Subsequent Rebound / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_Morning

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleShah Gilani writes: Hedge funds are stalking the $2.9 trillion municipal-bond market like an alley cat stalks a mouse.

In their public statements, Wall Street shills continue to dismiss warnings about "deadbeat states" - and the horrific impact that budgetary shortfalls at the state and local level are going to have on this stodgy slice of the debt market. Anyone who tries to buck this Wall Street view is ridiculed and dismissed as a financial Cassandra.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, March 02, 2011

A No-win Situation for the Fed / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Clif_Droke

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA situation is developing the global markets which threatens to undo the recovery of the past two years. The price spikes in fuel and especially agriculture prices is the Achilles’ heel of the recovery and may well serve as its death knell before the year is through.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, March 02, 2011

Monetizing Governmental Debt AKA Money Printing or in Bernanke’s Vernacular - Quantitative Easing / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: D_Sherman_Okst

Here are some realities on Quantitive Easing:

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, March 01, 2011

China Holdings of U.S. Treasuries Revised Up An Unsustainable 30% / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAnnual revisions released Monday show that China's holding of US treasuries is 30% greater than reported just weeks ago.

I am not surprised given that persistent rumors of China dumping treasuries made little mathematical sense from a balance of trade standpoint. Instead, I suggested China was accumulating treasuries via trading desks in the UK. We now see that is precisely the case.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, February 28, 2011

German Economic Growth Miracle is Not Miraculous Enough for an ECB Rate Hike / Interest-Rates / ECB Interest Rates

By: ECR_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe case for an interest rate increase by the ECB is building. Inflation in the euro zone is creeping up, and tensions in the Middle East are adding fuel to the ‘inflation fire’ by sending oil prices higher. The biggest worry of the ECB is that, although the inflationary effects of higher oil prices are mostly temporary, it will lead to a positive wage-price spiral in Europe’s biggest economy: Germany.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, February 28, 2011

European Sovereign Debt Crisis Wake Up Call for US? / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: ECR_Research

Andy Langenkamp writes: The American fiscal condition faces a perfect storm. The outlook for the medium term has deteriorated markedly. Some important causes are the Big Recession and the extension of the Bush tax cuts. Nor are the projections cheerful in the long term. In the coming period these issues will come to a head.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, February 27, 2011

Ireland Crippled by Debt Votes for More of the Same / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: John_Mauldin

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen Irish eyes are smiling,
Sure, 'tis like the morn in Spring.
In the lilt of Irish laughter
You can hear the angels sing.
When Irish hearts are happy,
All the world seems bright and gay.
And when Irish eyes are smiling,
Sure, they steal your heart away.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, February 26, 2011

U.S. Treasury Bonds TLT Technical Take / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt is my belief that we have seen the high in long term Treasury yields at least for a while, and I expressed this opinion in yesterday's article on Treasury yields. Today, I thought it would be instructive to look at the bullish technical patterns developing in the i - Shares Lehman 20 plus Year Treasury Fund (symbol: TLT).

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Interest-Rates

Friday, February 25, 2011

How Strong is the German Bonds Bund Rally? / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Technical Trader’s view:

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, February 24, 2011

Long Term U.S. Treasury Yields Heading Lower / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLost in all the noise about crude oil this week and its effect on the economic recovery (i.e., the equity rally) has been the top in Treasury yields. This article will cover the technical aspects of the Ultra Short Lehman 20 plus Year Treasury Fund (symbol: TBT).

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, February 24, 2011

Three Ways to Dodge the Looming Bear Market in U.S. Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeith Fitz-Gerald writes: Put 100 investors in a room and most will tell you how worried they are that the still-bullish U.S. stock market is going to betray them for a third time in slightly more than a decade.

But I submit that it’s the bonds that these folks are right now holding that should be the real focus of their concern - and for one very good reason: Most investors view the global bond market as a stodgy source of fixed income, when it’s actually the largest, most complex and most sensitive capital market in the world today.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, February 23, 2011

Municipal Bond Market Score Card / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Fred_Sheehan

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMeredith Whitney has kicked up a storm with her 600-page, municipal-bond report. She was one of the first analysts on Wall Street who warned the banks were going to topple well before they toppled. (Standard & Poor's downgraded Bear Stearns three notches - to BBB - on March 14, 2008, two days before J.P. Morgan acquired Bear's carcass.) Whitney told 60 Minutes on December 19, 2010: "You could see...50 to 100 sizable [municipal] defaults.... This will amount to hundreds of billions of dollars' worth of defaults." The municipal bond CABAL (issuers, fund managers, analysts, the municipalities) denounced Whitney and her predictions.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, February 23, 2011

Unsustainable and Simply Unpayayable Global Sovereign Public Debt / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Bob_Chapman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePublic debt has become a problem worldwide. What is becoming more and more evident is that it is unsustainable and simply unpayable. It could be compared to a giant Ponzi scheme. We see no meaningful debt reductions thus, government will have to raise taxes, which will further suppress the economy, or people and companies will be forced to buy such bonds, or perhaps pension and retirement funds will be seized to continue the game for a while longer.

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