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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Tuesday, October 05, 2010

Still Bullish on Bonds, Don't Buy the Stock Market Yet / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs readers know, I was in Europe a few weeks ago, making a LOT of presentations. My London-based partners seem to feel that an hour or two of down time is wasted and only for sissies. I learn as much as I impart, and come away with lots of interesting information. Every now and then I learn something that gets into the category of what in the wide, wide world of (multiple expletives deleted) economics is going on? Subprime was like that when I first read about it. Could you really design CDOs that were so patently absurd and then sell them to the Europeans and Asians? Turns out you could.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, October 03, 2010

Crisis of US Monetary Policy, Quantitative Easing Doesn't Work / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Washingtons_Blog

Ed Yardley notes: Two economists, Seth B. Carpenter and Selva Demiralp, recently posted a discussion paper on the Federal Reserve Board's website, titled "Money, Reserves, and the Transmission of Monetary Policy: Does the Money Multiplier Exist?" [Here's the link.]

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, October 03, 2010

The Bernanke Treasury Bond Market Put / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Peter_Navarro

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAccording to Market Edge: “After four weeks of impressive gains, stocks took a breather last week as both the DJIA and the NASDAQ ended the period with minor losses. The DJIA started the week with a 48.22 point (-0.4%) loss which was just the fifth losing session in September. Traders bought the dips throughout the week as the DJIA saw triple digit intra-day swings on both Tuesday and Thursday. Despite several disappointing economic reports, traders kept a bullish outlook throughout the week. For the period, the Dow lost 30 points (-0.3%) to close at 10829, snapping its four week win streak.&r

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, October 02, 2010

QE2 Money Printing, Why This Time Is Different / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Bryan_Rich

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSince the Fed’s most recent meeting, everyone seems to have an opinion about another round of extraordinary monetary stimulus and the economic and market reactions such a move could leave in its wake.

Many believe “this time is different” … words that tend to have a very poor track record of coming true.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, October 02, 2010

Irish Financial Crisis Worsens, Peter Sutherland and Ireland’s Sovereign Wealth Fund / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2010

By: Christopher_Quigley

Last week, on “black Thursday” the Irish government in essence finally nationalized Allied Irish Bank. In response to the horrific national financial picture painted by Mr. Brian Lenihan, Ireland’s finance minister, Peter Sutherland, former Irish attorney general, hit the media road. Mr. Sutherland’s mantra was similar to that previously presented by his acolyte Mr. Honohan (head of the Irish Central Bank). This mantra stated that though the figures were lamentable they were “manageable.”

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 01, 2010

Regime Uncertainty and Treasury Bond Yields / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Robert_Higgs

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRegime uncertainty has gained increasing recognition as the current economic troubles have persisted with little or no improvement since the economy reached a cyclical trough early in 2009. As described in my 1997 paper, regime uncertainty pertains to the likelihood that investors' private property rights in their capital and the income it yields will be attenuated further by government action.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 01, 2010

World Sovereign Debt Map / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Seth_Barani

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDebt creates problems. It is seldom known to solve problems, especially in the long run. Countries with high debt are vulnerable to currency weakening as debt drives assets out of those countries towards low risk, high yielding countries.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 30, 2010

How Bar Chart Patterns Signal High-probability Trade Setups / Interest-Rates / Learn to Trade

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere's a little known joke among the trading community that goes like this: "A trader walks into a bar... pattern: 'Ouch!' "

Fact is, if you don't know what you're doing, price bar analysis can be a bit "painful." Finding a discernable pattern in their grouping can feel like finding a hair in a hay stack.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 29, 2010

U.S. Debt Options of Default or Hyperinflation / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Graham_Summers

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe big financial myth-buster of the week is that the alleged deleveraging of the US consumer has in fact been a giant myth. According to the Wall Street Journal, if you account for defaults, US consumers have only pared down their debts by an annual rate of 0.8% since mid-2008.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, September 28, 2010

Could Debtflation Cause Gold's Big Sell Off? / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: David_Galland

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDavid Galland, Managing Editor, The Casey Report writes: We recently received the following comment in our Q&A Knowledge Base.

Investors should be prepared to sell gold as either increased inflation expectations or doubts around debt sustainability force a sharp increase in US Treasury bond yields. Simply put, in an environment of high real interest rates, the allure of gold could disappear as quickly as it did in the early 1980s when Paul Volcker took control of the Federal Reserve.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, September 28, 2010

The Risks of Buying U.S. Treasury Bond Funds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Nilus_Mattive

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA number of us here at Weiss have been warning you about the dangers of buying bonds in this ultra-low-interest-rate environment, especially longer-dated U.S. Treasuries.

But as I recently told my Dad’s Income Portfolio subscribers, I think mainstream investors are still ignoring the risks they’re taking with bonds, particularly when it comes to fixed-income mutual funds and exchange-traded funds.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, September 27, 2010

Bank of England Confirms Policy of Stealing Savers Wealth via Negative Real Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / Savings Accounts

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Deputy Governor of the Bank of England Charlie Bean effectively told savers to forget about receiving inflation beating interest rates and therefore should seek to spend their savings to boost the economy. The BoE's strategy continues to transfer wealth from savers to borrowers, with more than £20 billion transferred to date by means of negative real interest rates which typically pay savers half the rate of inflation CPI (3.1%) and 1/3rd the rate of the more recognised RPI inflation rate (4.7%) with the trend not relenting as rates continue to be cut all the way towards the bank base rate of just 0.5%.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, September 27, 2010

Are German Bunds Recovering? / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe story of the Bund throughout much of September was one of decline as traders first took profits and then went short. The Bund had enjoyed a long rally as traders fretted over the global economy and more specifically the US economic recovery, but sentiment changed early in September. Why was that?

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, September 25, 2010

Leveraging Junk Debt Off the Charts / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Richard_Daughty

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe massive door of the Mogambo Bug-Out Bunker (MBOB) was locked, and I was taking a little break, leisurely looking through the periscope/range finder/fire-control module, calmly reconnoitering the perimeter and keeping an eye on the neighbors, watching them acting like they are innocently mowing their lawns and washing their stupid cars, but who are actually spying on me, like I am too stupid to notice their treachery and perfidy.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 24, 2010

Fed Money Printing a Definition of Insanity, Doing the Same Thing and Expecting a Different Result / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Mike_Larson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis week, Federal Reserve officials did it. They jumped the shark. Crossed the Rubicon. Bought a ticket on the express train to financial Never Never Land. Whatever you want to call it.

I say that because Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and the rest of the members of the Federal Open Market Committee opened the door to a new round of quantitative easing, or “QE2.” Specifically, they said (with the important passages bolded by me):

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 24, 2010

U.S. Money Printing Presses at Warp Speed, Stealth Monetization of U.S. Debt / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: LewRockwell

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGonzalo Lira writes: Insofar as money is concerned, governments and central banks should be kept as far away from one another as a pedophile from Dakota Fanning. If ever the twain should meet, very bad things would happen. This is because of the disparate natures of government, on the one hand, and the central bank, on the other.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 24, 2010

Long Term Bonds, Inflation and Deflation / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Tony_Caldaro

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBeen thinking about Bonds, inflation, deflation, etc recently. Everyone seems to have a different opinion these days. Checking around all I could find on long term Gov't Bond rates was at the St. Louis FED. Could not find anything elsewhere. After reviewing the charts of Long Term Gov'ts since 1925, Moody's AAA since 1919, and Moody's BAA since 1919 ... I found a pattern.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 23, 2010

Have You Considered International Bond ETFs For Income and Diversification? / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Ron_Rowland

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn these turbulent times, plenty of investors just want steady income. Others realize they need to look outside the U.S. as they ride out the storm. Yet in a world where some once-stable economies are starting to look like emerging markets, they also see the need for diversification.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 22, 2010

PIMCO's Bill Gross' $8.1 Billion Bet on Inflation / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: DailyWealth

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: "Bill Gross's PIMCO made an $8.1 billion wager," Bloomberg news reported last week.

Bill's bet is simple: He's betting inflation will return to the U.S. in the next 10 years. And he's willing to risk billions on the idea.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 22, 2010

FOMC Policy Statement, Fed's Level of Uneasiness Up Several Notches, Postpones Action / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs expected, the target federal funds rate was left unchanged.  President Hoenig of Kansas City cast the lone dissenting vote; he has taken the opposing stance in all meetings year-to-date. 

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