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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Thursday, July 08, 2010

State of the European Banking System / Interest-Rates / Euro-Zone

By: STRATFOR

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSummary - In the last six months, the eurozone has faced its biggest economic challenge to date — one sparked by the Greek debt crisis which has migrated to the rest of the monetary union. But well before the sovereign debt crisis, Europe was facing a full-blown banking crisis that did not seem any closer to being resolved than when it began in late 2008. With investors and markets focused on European governments' debt problems, the banking issues have largely been ignored. However, the sovereign debt crisis and banking crisis have become intertwined and could feed off each other in the near future.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, July 08, 2010

ECB Urges Bank Recapitalizations / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis Bailouts

By: Axel_Merk

European Central Bank (ECB) President Jean-Claude Trichet, in his press conference following the central bank’s monthly meeting, built on the more confident tone set in recent weeks. Mr. Trichet suggested improved market conditions are a reflection of the decisive and constructive actions taken by eurozone governments.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, July 08, 2010

The Case For U.S. Treasury Bonds Rally / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWith the economy softening and the Federal Reserve unable to provide a positive catalyst in the form of lower rates, the bond market has taken up of the slack producing lower yields. For example, mortgage rates have dropped over the past month enticing homeowners to refinance. It may not clear the glut of homes on the market or get us back to the old days of your house as an ATM machine, but lower rates do help. This appears to be a trend that will continue especially since Washington and the Fed no longer have the political will to expand the deficit.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, July 07, 2010

You're Crazy to Hold Government Bonds... Here's a Safer, Growing Yield / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: DailyWealth

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDan Ferris writes: Investors are scared.

During the week of June 23-June 30, the American Association of Individual Investors Survey indicated investors are much more fearful than usual. On average, 31% of individual investors are bearish. These days, 42% of investors are bearish. On average, 39% are bullish. Today, just 25% are bullish.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, July 07, 2010

Municipal Finance Pathologies Come to a Head / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Fred_Sheehan

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDiscussions about municipal finance generally assume three absolute conditions. First, the principal and coupon of municipal bonds are guaranteed: "Municipal bonds don't default," according to trusted experts. Second, the guarantees are backed by the taxing authority of the state or municipality. Third, accrued pension benefits are guaranteed.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, July 07, 2010

Fed Audit Failure Lends Credence to QE Rumors / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Just last week, Congress had a critical piece of legislation before it.  Congress, through House bill HR 1207, could pass the bill in its entirety with a simple majority vote, and it would be included in the Financial reform overhaul bill which is currently being pushed through Congress.  Should the audit bill have been added to the financial reform legislation, upon passage, the books at the Federal Reserve would be opened for audit by the GAO – at which point every citizen, politician, and investor would know within six months the extent of the actions taken by the Fed over the past 97 years of pure secrecy.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, July 06, 2010

Inflation Isn’t Dead, Just Sleeping, Protect Your Wealth With TIPS / Interest-Rates / Inflation

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLarry D. Spears writes: Investors are always on the lookout for hot tips. The best tips highlight investments that pack a big potential profit punch, but that haven't yet started their move.

That's just what we have for you here.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, July 05, 2010

U.S. Treasury Bonds Rally on Disturbingly Weak Fundamental Data / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market was stronger again last week as bonds rallied with help from more, persistent disturbingly weak fundamental data and an equity market that is still in search of a bottom.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, July 02, 2010

The Link Between Public Debt and Private Wages / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Adrian_Ash

BETWEEN V.E. Day in 1945 and June 1947, the United States shrank its armed forces from twelve million people to around 1.5 million.

The impact on the economy – and on the US Treasury's then record debts – is hard to overstate...

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Interest-Rates

Friday, July 02, 2010

Euribor’s Wobble, How Nervous Should We Be? / Interest-Rates / Euro-Zone

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSince the beginning of May, Euribor has traded in a clearly defined sideways pattern. Our analysis of this contract had broadly been that it had little room to rally further due to the economic recovery clearly underway, but no reason to turn into a bear market yet since that recovery was still too fragile.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, July 01, 2010

US Treasury Bond Holders Have Nothing to Fear today, Just Look How Low Yields Are! / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"BOY, the bond vigilantes are really on the warpath," jokes Paul Krugman, noting in his blog at the NY Times that 10-year Treasury yields ended Tuesday below 3.0%.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, July 01, 2010

Municipal Bonds Crisis, I Get A Pat On the Back From Warren Buffett / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Graham_Summers

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBack in February 2010 ago, I wrote an article titled, The Municipal Bond Crisis is About to Begin. The main points presented in that piece were all based on simple common sense. The were:

  1. Most state governments are broke or in the process of going broke
  2. Tax receipts were falling (so less money for state coffers)
  3. Muni bonds would collapse as governments chose to default rather than honor their payments
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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, June 30, 2010

Eurozone and U.S. LIBOR Interbank Interest Rates Divergence / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2010

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA Tale of Two Cities - New York vs. Frankfurt - Chart 1 shows the recent behavior of the 3-month interbank loan rates in U.S. dollars and euros. Both in dollar and euro terms, these interest rates began drifting up in the second half of April as the Greek, Portugal and Spain (GPS) sovereign debt challenges came to the fore. If GPS were to default on its sovereign debt, this would have an adverse impact on some European banks. These potential losses for European banks caused interbank lending to "tighten up," thereby driving up interbank loan rates.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 29, 2010

Facing Debt Reality, Most of the So-called Developed World is Broke / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: David_Galland

Best Financial Markets Analysis Articleby David Galland, Managing Editor, The Casey Report writes: Scanning through a local newspaper this week, I came across a letter to the editor that speaks volumes about the popular misconceptions that are dragging this country, and the world, to its knees.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 29, 2010

Four Reasons Why the Fed Will Try Quantitative Easing / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

While we were led to believe that the Fed would begin tightening upon recovery, new fears of a double dip have sparked the Keynesian clan into moving in the opposite direction.  Soon enough, we believe, a new quantitative easing program will be unveiled.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 29, 2010

The Social Function of Credit Default Swaps / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2010

By: Philipp_Bagus

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhenever the government causes a mess, chances are high that it will accuse speculators of being responsible.[1] In the recent financial crisis, speculators and their financial instruments have been under attack again. Some famous investors have even supported governments' attacks on speculators. Warren Buffet has called derivatives "financial weapons of mass destruction."

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Interest-Rates

Monday, June 28, 2010

Fed Credit, Inflation and the Idiots in the Middle / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: LewRockwell

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA whole series of alarms occurred after I got the news, although I lost the source, that “food stamp usage just soared to a new record high” of 40.2 million persons.

This number is alarming in itself because it means that the economy is so bad that more and more hungry people cannot afford to even feed themselves, sort of like teenagers, but with hopefully better manners and dietary choices.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, June 28, 2010

Weak Economic Data Sends Treasury Bond Prices Higher / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market was stronger last week as bonds rallied with help from disturbingly weak fundamental data and a fading equity market.  The final release of the first quarter GDP figure was revised down from the first cut of 3.5% to 3.0% on the second look and finally to 2.7% on last week’s figure.  Honestly it is beyond me how consensus can still be looking for 3-4% growth during the second half of 2010 in the US and Canada!  From my vantage point we will be lucky to print a positive number by the last quarter on either side of the border.  The front end of the economy is in shambles, the Fed is out of easing bullets as it is already at 0% and the newly found fiscal responsibility across the globe is certainly highly advisable but its short term impact will most likely be quite painful.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, June 25, 2010

U.S. Treasury Bond TLT ETF Pressuring Resistance / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The iShares 20+ Yr T-Bond ETF (NYSE: TLT) continues to trade in a high-level coil-type pattern that is putting increasing upward pressure on the 100.00 resistance plateau amidst deteriorating economic data, an uncertain business environment, and defensive equity markets.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, June 25, 2010

When It Comes to Increasing Aggregate Demand, What's Fiscal Policy without Monetary Policy? / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Not much. Suppose the central government decides to increase spending without increasing taxes. Where do the funds come from? From entities who are willing to lend. If those lending entities are the nonbank public, for the most part, all this does is transfer spending power to the central government from these entities. Net, net, total spending in the economy does not increase. Rather, there is just a change in the distribution of spending.

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