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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Wednesday, February 09, 2011

Ben Bernanke and The Confidence Men / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Jeff_Berwick

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBarack Obama, Ben Bernanke and other government officials always talk about the importance of "confidence" to the economy. But that is because they are confidence men (aka. conmen) playing a confidence game (congame).

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, February 09, 2011

Special Delivery Message from the U.S. Bond Markets! / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Brian_Bloom

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhat happened on the bond markets today was very significant from a technical perspective.

Pure logic dictates that if investors are expecting “inflation” in the future, then the gap between long dated yields and short dated yields would be GROWING. Money in the future will be worth less than money today. Therefore the price of future money needs to be higher in order to compensate. The unarguable technical fact is that the markets signed off today that the gap between short and long yields is NARROWING. Expectations of inflation cannot be the reason for such a development.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, February 09, 2011

Muni Bonds: Matt Taibbi's Antidote to Meredith Whitney / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Janet_Tavakoli

The credit-worthiness of specific muni bonds, particularly non-general obligation project bonds, has become a hot topic since "AAA" bond insurers imploded, partly due to mispriced risk premiums on protection they wrote on value-destroying CDOs for Wall Street banks.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, February 08, 2011

Chinese Puzzle, U.S. Debt Holdings / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Professor_Emeritus

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePosition papers of professorfekete #4, February 7, 2011

There is really just one question about China, the Western mindset's "enigma wrapped in mystery". How could the Chinese have made the colossal mistake of investing their hard-earned savings in the debt of the U.S. government -- to the tune of $ 1 trillion, the largest sum one country has ever loaned another in all history. (There is only one other puzzle greater than this: How could the U.S. government in good faith allow its debt to accumulate in Chinese hands? But we leave that question for another occasion to discuss.) U.S. debt is easy to buy but hard to get rid of. The harder, the larger are the sums involved.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, February 08, 2011

U.S. Low Interest Rates and High Deficits Aren't Helping Jobs Growth / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: When the government released its latest jobs report last week, economists were initially cheered because it showed that the nation's unemployment level had dropped much more sharply than anyone expected.

But that cheer immediately turned into concern when the report also revealed that the U.S. economy created only 36,000 new jobs in January. That's so far below the norm for this stage of an economic recovery that it would take us 10 years to put back to work all the folks who have lost their jobs since 2007.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, February 08, 2011

Meredith Whitney Is Right About Munis, And her Critics are Con men / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: LewRockwell

Mark R. Crovelli writes: Imagine for a second that you are a financial analyst, financial advisor, institutional investor, or trader who specializes in municipal bonds. Your goal, presumably, is to determine which municipalities in the United States are creditworthy enough to justify lending money to them.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, February 08, 2011

UK Fixed Mortgage Interest Rates Hit 6 Month High / Interest-Rates / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

Average mortgage rates today stand at their highest level in six months as lenders pass on rising funding costs to borrowers.

The cost to lenders of raising funding on the swap rate market has soared in recent months. At the end of November, the two-year swap rate stood at 1.35%, today it stands at 1.98% - 47% higher.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, February 07, 2011

Global Credit Crisis Contagion On the Verge Again / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Captain_Hook

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleApparent disparities and idiosyncrasies between Western economies and China (at center of the emerging market model) continue to grow more profound, which will eventually end badly by popping the larger global credit bubble for good this time. This is of course not to say that our ambitious and greedy bankers and their crony politicians will disappear overnight, however if the serial bubbles in stocks, bonds, and anything that moves are popped, they will definitely have a great deal less currency to work with moving forward.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, February 07, 2011

Bond Market, The Most Dangerous Bubble of All / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Martin_D_Weiss

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIf you agree that the tech bubble of the 1990s and the housing bubble of the 2000s were extreme, then you must not ignore a bubble that could be the most dangerous of all — grossly overvalued bonds.

That’s precisely the bubble we have right now! And in just a moment, I’ll tell you why it’s going to bust. But first, consider …

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Interest-Rates

Friday, February 04, 2011

Junk Bonds Sending a Warning Signal to Stock Market / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleShah Gilani writes: Junk bonds got issued at record rates in 2009 and again in 2010. And that pace has carried over into the New Year.

While the ability to raise money in the less-than-investment- grade bond market indicates that the market is getting back to where it used to be, there are reasons to be worried.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, February 04, 2011

Bernanke Reiterates January FOMC Policy Statement and Defends Fed’s Unconventional Monetary Policy / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleChairman Bernanke reiterated the main thrust of the January FOMC policy statement for the most part today. In addition, he defended the large-scale asset purchases that the Fed has undertaken. His remarks also included the fiscal policy challenges the nation currently faces.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, February 03, 2011

Bond Markets Delayed Reaction to Inflation, A Moment of Clarity / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIs the bond market finally catching on to the "forced risk" trade...?

AS NIALL FERGUSON never tires of reminding us, bond markets rarely react early to bad news, no matter how plain it looks to everyone else.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, February 01, 2011

Moodys Warns U.S. May Get Credit Rating Downgrade / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Money_Morning

Don Miller writes: The United States' AAA credit rating may be at risk sooner than previously thought as the nation fails to deal with its growing debt, Moody's Investors Service warned last week.

Moody's said December's extension of the Bush-era tax cuts, combined with results from the November elections, may lead to further gridlock in Congress, increasing its doubts about the federal government's determination to reduce its debt.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, February 01, 2011

U.S. Bond Prices Being Driven by Good News for a Change / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: John_Handbury

Treasury Bond prices usually flourish during bad times.  Joblessness, recessions, lack of spending, usually drive bond prices up because a stagnating economy usually means lower interest rates and disinflation.  These times are different however.  Over the last few months we have seen a large drawdown in bond prices without a whiff of inflation.    Why aren’t bond prices higher?

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Interest-Rates

Monday, January 31, 2011

Quantitative Easing is Nothing New / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Mike_Hewitt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe term 'quantitative easing' is just the newest term to describe the on-going central bank policy of increasing money supply.

Greetings. There has been an increasing amount of news covering the activities of The US Federal Reserve and other central banks. The newest expression being bantered about is "quantitative easing".

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, January 29, 2011

U.S. Bond Markets Deflation Whispers / Interest-Rates / Deflation

By: Brian_Bloom

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn an inflationary environment, the longer dated yields should be in a bull trend relative to the shorter dated yields – because the time value of money rises in periods of inflation. Conversely, when there is deflation then money in the future is worth less than cash in the hand.  Therefore the ratio should fall if deflation is being anticipated.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, January 29, 2011

Debt and Deficits, “The New Humpty Dumpty” / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Andy_Sutton

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIrony is a wonderful thing sometimes. It has a habit of framing things exactly the way they need to be framed. Unfortunately, this is a knife that cuts both ways and irony sometimes points out awful realities. I am not a political animal per se, but I find it incredibly ironic how the avalanche of bad news on the deficit, Social Security, and essentially most of the things wrong with our economy was saved until after Tuesday’s SOTU speech. Make no mistake, this has happened before, and each time I find the timing to be absolutely incredible. It is very clear at least at this point that our leaders prefer to pay lip service to the idea of reducing the deficit rather than actually trying to rectify the situation. I say this because, with very few exceptions, the rhetoric centers around a silver bullet solution that will allow programs and spending to remain pretty much on the same path as what got us here, but at the same time, ‘fixing’ things.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, January 28, 2011

Rate Hike Rumblings Increasing in the Interest Rate Market / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Mike_Larson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePsst! I have a secret for you. Central bankers in developed markets may actually start raising interest rates some day!

Shocker, I know! But if you follow the latest market moves — and listen to some of the chatter coming out of places like Europe — that’s the inevitable conclusion you arrive at.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, January 28, 2011

No respite for German Bunds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe safe haven days of the Bund are clearly in the past. After the frenetic buying that peaked in August, the Bund has been on a clear trend lower and it hasn’t been alone.

But given the Eurozone sovereign debt crisis still remains a live issue, and it was that very crisis that sent the Bund and other Bond markets soaring on safe haven trading, what has changed?

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Interest-Rates

Friday, January 28, 2011

S&P Slashes Japan's Credit Rating / Interest-Rates / Japanese Interest Rates

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDon Miller writes: Standard & Poor's yesterday (Thursday) reduced Japan's long-term sovereign debt rating for the first time in nine years, saying Tokyo lacked a plan to deal with its mounting debt and persistent deflation.

The agency cut Japan's rating by one notch to AA minus, the fourth-highest level, citing the country's political gridlock for undermining efforts to reduce an $11 trillion (943 trillion yen) debt burden.

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