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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Tuesday, November 22, 2011

Financial System Doomsday, What Happens If the Eurozone Breaks Up? / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: The time has come to confront an ugly truth: The possibility that the Eurozone will break up, or rather fall apart, is growing increasingly likely.

In fact, I'd say given recent developments in Italy the probability of a breakup is as high as 40%.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, November 22, 2011

Paper Banknotes and the Indebting Of Nations, Banking, War And Bankruptcy / Interest-Rates / Fiat Currency

By: Darryl_R_Schoon

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOn April 3, 1024, “the imperial Sung Dynasty began to print and circulate chiao-tzu notes [paper money] in the province of Szechwan”.

p. 11 Ralph Foster, Fiat Paper Money: the History and Evolution of Our Currency, 2nd ed., 2008

In China, paper money was a monetary form of ‘Hamburger Helper’, an addition to the royal treasury that allowed Chinese dynasties to stretch their budgets by allowing them to spend what they didn’t have.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, November 22, 2011

Italy Proves Simplest Reform Most Difficult to Pass / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Never mind Berlusconi's resignation.  The story coming from the European Debt Crisis is hardly fixated around one leader of one country.  Instead, the biggest story should be that even the most simple measures of government reform continue to be the most impossible to pass.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, November 21, 2011

European ERM 1992 Currency Crisis Replay, Government Bond Interest Rates Come Full Circle / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTonight I received a thoughtful email from reader Rick Cameron who made some observations and notes way back in 1992 and recently went back to review those notes.

His notes are regarding the European ERM, the Exchange Rate Mechanism, that was supposed to reduce exchange rate variability and achieve monetary stability in Europe.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, November 20, 2011

The European Bank Run Downward Spiral, Final Phase Of Goldman’s World Domination Plan / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: PhilStockWorld

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCourtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here. Submitted by Tyler Durden.

"Nervous investors around the globe are accelerating their exit from the debt of European governments and banks, increasing the risk of a credit squeeze that could set off a downward spiral. Financial institutions are dumping their vast holdings of European government debt and spurning new bond issues by countries like Spain and Italy. And many have decided not to renew short-term loans to European banks, which are needed to finance day-to-day operations. "

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, November 20, 2011

Euro-zone Will Print or Perish / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEurope is again at center stage. At conferences and meetings and in private conversations, it is the topic of the hour. I have thought a lot this week about Europe and its impact, so once again we delve into what is an evolving situation. This time, we look at possible impacts on the markets, as we ponder the questions, “Are we back to 2008?” and “Is there a Lehman in our future?” and I try once again to keep from making this a book-length letter. And I close with some brief thoughts I brought back from DC on the Super Committee and the deficit cuts.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, November 18, 2011

The Mother of All Dreads, Global Economy on the Brink / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Submissions

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRamy Saadeh writes: The World is on the brink of a cataclysmic spiral that could make the Greek crisis look like a walk in the park. Interestingly, markets still seem very hushed about the emerging risks ahead; the final bell hasn’t rung yet, can this be it?

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Interest-Rates

Friday, November 18, 2011

Rising Government Bond Yields Push Eurozone Debt Crisis to the Precipice of Collapse / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDavid Zeiler writes: Rising government bond rates are making it increasingly costly for several key Eurozone nations to borrow money, stoking fears that the sovereign debt crisis has reached a critical stage.

Yields on 10-year Spanish Treasury bonds rose to 6.8% during yesterday's (Thursday's) auction - uncomfortably close to the 7% level at which many experts feel is unsustainable. When the 10-year bond yields of Portugal, Ireland, and Greece passed 7%, each was forced to seek a bailout.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, November 17, 2011

Spain Debt Crisis Bailout Imminent as Spanish Bond Auction Hits 6.975% Yield on 10-Year Debt / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe ECB stepped into the fray once again today but the the results of the Spanish debt auction today speak for themselves. The rate on 10-year bonds is close to touching the 7% mark.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, November 17, 2011

Credit Storm Batters Europe / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSo, how bad will the EU credit crunch get?

Credit conditions in the eurozone continue to deteriorate while yields on French, Spanish, Belgian and Italian bonds move higher. Italy’s 10-year yield increased 19 basis points to 6.89 percent on Tuesday, just a stone’s throw from the “unsustainable” 7 percent. French debt is also under increasing pressure. The spread between France’s 10-year debt and German bund hit a new high on Tuesday, widening by 174 basis points. If yields continue to rise,  European Central Bank (ECB) chief Mario Draghi will be forced to either expand his bond buying program (Securities Markets Programme) or watch while defaulting sovereigns domino through the south taking most of the EU banking system along with them.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, November 17, 2011

European Bond Traders Are Going For the Sovereign Debt Jugular / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeith Fitz-Gerald writes: If you look at the crisis in Europe, the key questions to ask are clear: Will this crisis continue to spread? And will the United States get singed by the fallout?

In both cases, the answer is a very clear "Yes."

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, November 16, 2011

U.S. Debt Reality Check / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Rob_Kirby

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTic, Tac, Toe, Three Clowns in a Row

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, November 16, 2011

Europe's 'time is running out fast', Why the ECB hasn't acted yet / Interest-Rates / Euro-Zone

By: Bloomberg

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWillem Buiter, Citigroup's Chief Economist, spoke with Bloomberg Television's Tom Keene today about the crisis in Europe.

Buiter said that "time is running out fast" and that "it could be weeks, it could be days, before there is a material risk of a fundamentally unnecessary default by a country like Spain or Italy which would be a financial catastrophe dragging down the European banking system and North America with it."

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, November 16, 2011

ECB Slows Italy Debt Crisis Meltdown, but No End in Sight / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe European Central Bank admitted earlier today that it had taken part in asset purchases intended to give lift to the Italian debt markets.  Through the week ending November 4, the ECB says it spent $13.1 billion to push down Italian yields against other European governments.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, November 14, 2011

The Coming Global Systemic Collapse and its Implications​ / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Sam_Chee_Kong

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe European Union’s failure to solved Greeks and now Italy’s debt crisis is sending shockwaves through the financial, currencies, equities and derivatives markets.

Europe needs to increase its bailout fund in the EFSF to more than €1 trillion by next year when waves of Eurozone debts matures. Among them are Italy €307 billion (19.3% of GDP, Germany  €273 billion (10.6% of GDP), France €240 billion (12% of GDP) and Spain €132 billion (12.2% of GDP). This is excluding new debts to be issued to fund its deficits spending and bank bailouts. Europe is now in between a rock and a hard place because it can start printing money but the ECB treaty prevented it from doing so.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, November 14, 2011

How Do we Solve the Eurozone Crisis, Where Is the ECB Printing Press? / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEurope remains the focus of markets, and rightly so. But the picture is not as clear as one would like. Different analysts point to different problems – if only this one problem could be solved, then all this would go away, they tend to say. Sadly, it is not one problem but three that must be solved, and none of them is easy. In today’s letter I try and offer a basic primer on the problems facing Europe. My challenge to myself is to do it in a short piece rather than the book-length tome it could easily become. Thus, in the pursuit of brevity, we will not be as in-depth as usual, but I think it helps us to step back a few feet and look at the larger picture before we focus on minutiae.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, November 13, 2011

Euro-Zone: Up the Creek without a Helicopter and Paralyzed By Hyper-Inflation Phobia / Interest-Rates / Euro-Zone

By: Andrew_Butter

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI don’t know why but when I watch the drama of the Euro crisis unfold my mind wanders to a scene in “Nashville” about a “country girl” who got a gig to jump out of a cake at a function, and didn’t quite understand what was supposed to happen next. I can’t help thinking that at some point in this whole sad scenario someone will have to stand naked.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, November 11, 2011

Charting Euro Macro, Yields and LIBOR Interest Rate Spreads / Interest-Rates / ECB Interest Rates

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWednesday's 2% decline in EURUSD was the only 3rd of such magnitude over the past 3 years. There have been five of + or 2% in the last 3 years, 2 of which occurred last month; (-2% Oct 31 after referendum announcement and +2% on Oct 27 after the EFSF/Troika/recap deal). Yesterdays 13% surge in EURUSD 1-month volatility typified the broadening rise in the currency's volatility as of late.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, November 11, 2011

World has Major Funding Gap, IMF Begs Russia and China for Money / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSaxo bank chief economist Steen Jakobsen pinged me with an interesting set of comments regarding Italian interest rates....

World has Major Funding Gap

Our estimation shows that on the 2012 interest payment alone Italy now needs to find additional 10 billion EUR to pay for the rise in interest rates.
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Interest-Rates

Thursday, November 10, 2011

Italy the One Country That Could Destroy the Eurozone / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: It's been a rough few weeks for the Eurozone.

Portugal is still in trouble, Spain will be back on the coals after its Nov. 20 election, and if I were a bond trader, I would be shorting Belgium, which has serious deficit and debt problems, runs for months at a time without a government and is in some danger of splitting apart into its French and Flemish bits.

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