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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Monday, April 25, 2011

U.S. Waking Up to Economic Realities / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Dr_Ron_Paul

Last week the financial markets were roiled by Standard & Poor's announcement that they will change their outlook on the fiscal health of the United States over the next two years from "stable" to "negative". The administration decried this decision as political. However, it seems the only political thing about this decision is the fact that it took so long. The Washington Post recently reported that the White House and the Treasury Department put tremendous pressure on S&P not to do this.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, April 25, 2011

Warning: Investors Still Confident in the US Bond Market / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Bill_Bonner

First let us catch up with a news report from earlier this week. Bloomberg:

April 18 (Bloomberg) – Standard & Poor’s put a “negative” outlook on the AAA credit rating of the US, citing a “material risk” the nation’s leaders will fail to deal with rising budget deficits and debt.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, April 24, 2011

Global Monetary Policy Tightening / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Submissions

centralbanknews writes: Global monetary policy tightening continued through the past week.  Central Banks that increased interest rates included those of: Thailand +25bps to 2.75%, Sweden +25bps to 1.75%, and Brazil +25bps to 12.00%.  Meanwhile those that opted to hold interest rates unchanged were: Hungary at 6.00%, Iceland at 4.25%, and Turkey at 6.25%.  Aside from interest rate changes the week also saw another 50 basis point increase in China's required reserve ratio, bringing the average ratio for large banks to 20.50%, and the Central Bank of Turkey increased two of its reserve ratios by 100bps.  Elsewhere the Belarusian central bank instituted a secondary currency market, taking a step in the direction of a freely floating currency.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, April 24, 2011

Why the Fed Must End QE2 on April 27th / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Dian_L_Chu

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Federal Reserve has lost all credibility on Wall Street, and most of the American public with the absolute refusal to recognize the dire effects on asset prices that QE2 has created. But the refusal is part of the problem. It reinforces the wide spread belief of investors that the Fed is out of touch with reality, and that they sit in their Ivory Tower implementing an exceedingly loose monetary policy, with the stated goal of inflating asset prices.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, April 23, 2011

Downgrades Galore, U.S. Debt Becomes Scary / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

As if there weren’t already ample reasons not to purchase US Treasury securities, the ratings agency Standard and Poors’ has provided investors with another reason: it may soon be downgraded.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, April 22, 2011

Bernanke Strikes Again, QE2 sends margin debt soaring to new highs / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInterest rates are the Fed's main tool for implementing policy, but when interest rates are already at zero and activity is still weak, then the Fed may try other unconventional strategies to rev up the economy. Quantitative Easing (QE) is one such strategy. In practice, it works like this; the Fed purchases some type of financial asset (stocks, bonds, mortgage-backed securities) which adds to the money supply thereby creating (in effect) negative interest rates. The Fed believes that this "monetary easing" can stimulate the economy.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, April 22, 2011

Does the United States Still Deserve its "AAA" Credit Rating? / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Money_Morning

Kerri Shannon writes: Could the United States lose its status as the world's premier safe harbor for global investors?

Credit-rating heavyweight Standard & Poor's this week threatened to cut the United States' top-tier credit rating, saying the country's political infighting and burgeoning debt may warrant a downgrade.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, April 22, 2011

Raising U.S. Debt Ceiling Spells Economic Disaster / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: LewRockwell

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJeff Scribner writes: Nero fiddled while Rome burned. The President and the Congress are playing political games while the national debt grows to out of control proportions. We should hold the government’s feet to the fire and force an end to spending using borrowed money. An opportunity to do this will arise in a month or so.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, April 21, 2011

Uncle Sam Busted, The S&P U.S. Debt Rating Announcement / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Robert_Murphy

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOn Monday, Standard and Poor's (S&P) announced that although the US government would retain its AAA debt rating, the outlook for the United States' future was being downgraded from "stable" to "negative." The move is a welcome if tepid acknowledgement of the fiscal train wreck of which Austrians have been warning for years.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, April 21, 2011

Bernanke's QEx Money Printing Box / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Gordon_T_Long

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleChairman Bernanke has placed himself in a box. It is not a box of his choosing, but rather the result of his misguided economic beliefs, use of flawed statistical data, geo-political events occurring during his watch, poor decisions and a penchant for political pandering. Some of these may be requirements for academia success but not for leading global financial markets during turbulent times.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, April 21, 2011

How to Dodge the Coming U.S. Treasury Bond Market Crash / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: We're on a collision course with the worst bond market collapse in decades.

The warning signs are as clear as day.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, April 21, 2011

Understanding the Fed, Explaining Common and Misleading Myths about the U.S. Federal Reserve Bank / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhat exactly is the function of the Fed? If it's to help the U.S. economy grow steadily, then how come in 2007-2009 we had the biggest stock market crash in decades followed by "the Great Recession" and a worldwide financial crisis?

For answers, let's turn to someone who has spent a considerable amount of time studying the Fed and its functions: EWI's president Robert Prechter.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, April 20, 2011

Quantitative Easing and the Fed Balance Sheets 50% Contraction / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDr. John Hussman is no stranger to Outside the Box readers. And his recent posting has my mind reeling. In essence he is saying that if the Fed wants to stop the QE and allow rates to rise, they must either reverse the QE or bring on inflation. And he does it with numbers and his usual strong reasoning. I really did read this 3-4 times, thinking through the implications.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, April 20, 2011

Government Debt Bubble Targeted with S&P Outlook / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Jason_Kaspar

Washington has been placed on notice that it’s reckless spending and unfathomable fiscal debt is not immune to the censure of Wall Street.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, April 20, 2011

Standard & Poor’s US Sovereign Debt Downgrade Initial Reflections / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleStandard & Poor's changed in its outlook on US sovereign debt to "negative" but reaffirmed the AAA rating of the nation's debt.  Today's financial market response to this action includes equity prices viewing this in negative light.  As of this writing the S&P 500 was down 1.1% at 1305.  At the same time, the Treasury market posted a significant rally, with the 10-year Treasury note yield trading around 3.37% after closing at 3.43% on April 15.  The dollar has gained ground vis-à-vis the euro and pound sterling.  Gold prices moved ahead to nearly $1500 per ounce and oil prices have edged down. 

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, April 19, 2011

S&P Downgrade Shows U.S. Debt Crisis Could Have Dire Consequences / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: The latest development in the U.S. debt crisis came yesterday (Monday) when Standard & Poor's finally downgraded its outlook for U.S. debt to "negative," from "stable."

That's right: Of the 17 countries that S&P has rated AAA, the United States is the only sovereign that carries with it a negative outlook.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, April 19, 2011

Standard & Poor's U.S. Sovereign Debt Downgrade Watershed Event / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Richard_Mills

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"Common sense tells us that a government central bank creating new money out of thin air depreciates the value of each dollar in circulation." ~ Congressman Ron Paul (R-TX)

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Interest-Rates

Monday, April 18, 2011

U.S. Sovereign Debt Downgrade, S&P Late to the Party Once Again / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Peter_Schiff

The only thing more ridiculous than S&P's too little too late semi-downgrade of U.S. sovereign debt was the market's severe reaction to the announcement. Has S&P really added anything to the debate that wasn't already widely known? In any event, S&P's statement amounts to a wake up call to anyone who has somehow managed to sleepwalk through the unprecedented debt explosion of the last few years.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, April 18, 2011

Next Phase of Global Sovereign Debt Crisis, Greek Government in Denial / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA Greek newspaper reported that Greece is in talks with the IMF regarding debt restructuring. However, Greek Finance Minister issued this denial "Restructuring is not an issue we’re discussing".

Last week, the media went gaga over a no-news announcement from German officials that restructuring was on the table. It should not have caused a stir because anyone watching the market knows perfectly well a restructuring is coming. Denials from Greece cannot stop it.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, April 18, 2011

Fed U.S. Treasury Bond Market Manipulating Fraud, How Long Can it Continue? / Interest-Rates / Market Manipulation

By: Jesse

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI have had this video on the manipulation of the debt markets by the Fed in the Matières à Réflexion links since last week, but moved it here on request because apparently many missed it, and did not understand its importance.

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