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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Friday, June 03, 2011

U.S. Treasury Bond Market Bears Continue to Lose / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Adam_Brochert

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI understand fundamental convictions when investing. Fundamental convictions have caused me to lose lots of money in the past. What is the point of being intellectually superior in your own mind and then losing money trading? Does it really make you feel better in the end to "be right" and lose money? Personally, I have decided it is better to be agnostic and make money. It has been a journey, believe me.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, June 02, 2011

Russia’s Interest Rate Hike is Negative for US Dollar / Interest-Rates / US Dollar

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

While the US markets were closed to observe Memorial Day, Russia’s central bank acted to raise interest rates to cool inflation.  This may have ordinarily registered as a normal event for a central bank, but nothing is normal when the US central bank, the Federal Reserve, refuses to hike rates in the United States.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, June 02, 2011

Near-term Correction in U.S. Treasury Bond Market Yield / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

If the upmove in 10-year yield from the October 2010 low at 2.33% to the February 2011 high at 3.74% represents the first upleg of a new bull phase (higher yield), then all of the action since the February high is a correction that should be bought ahead of a resumption of the prior upmove.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, June 01, 2011

Why Greece Debt Default Could be Worse than the Lehman Collapse / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: The 2008 collapse of Lehman Bros Holdings Inc. (PINK: LEHMQ) ignited a financial meltdown that resulted in widespread bank failures and caused the Dow Jones Industrial Average to lose 18% of its value in just one week.

Yet a Greek default - which (even with a bailout) becomes increasingly likely with each passing day - would actually be much, much worse in many respects.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, May 31, 2011

Record Low Interest Rates Triggers Corporate Bonds Issuance Stampede / Interest-Rates / Corporate Bonds

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDavid Zeiler writes: With interest rates at or near historic lows, companies have been issuing corporate bonds at a breathtaking pace, setting a weekly record this month.

Excluding financial services companies, corporate borrowing for the week ending May 20 reached $29.7 billion, which beat the previous weekly record of $29.04 billion set last September.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, May 30, 2011

Euro Debt Crisis, Greece, Portugal, Spain Debts Are Unpayable / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Bob_Chapman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe hope all of our appearances on Greek TV, radio and in the press have helped the educational process and to allow the Greeks to identify who the real culprits are, and what to do about it. It has just been over a year since this tragedy became reality, but we reported on Greece and Italy ten years ago. They both bent the rules to enter the euro zone. We knew then that Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase were assisting them by creating credit default swaps. There were a few European journalist who reported on the issue, but the elitists control the media and few noticed that Greece and Italy were beyond bogus.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, May 30, 2011

Japan Shows How to Defuse Debt Time Bomb / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Ellen_Brown

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article[T]hreatening to default should not be a partisan issue. In view of all the hazards it entails, one wonders why any responsible person would even flirt with the idea. - Alan S. Blinder, Princeton professor of economics, former vice chairman of the Federal Reserve

A game of Russian roulette is being played with the national debt ceiling. Fire the wrong chamber of the gun, and the result could be the second Great Depression.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, May 30, 2011

Shorting U.S. Treasury Bonds, Wither TBT / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Peter_Navarro

A loyal reader asked me about TBT – the exchange traded fund to short the long bond. As you may remember, I was very bullish on TBT last year; but it turned out to be one of my worst trades.

The best thing to do when a trade goes the wrong way is to learn from it. In this case, TBT serves a dual function for me – as both a potential trade as well as a leading indicator of the business cycle.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, May 28, 2011

Central Banks Monetary Policy Week in Review / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: CentralBankNews

The past week in monetary policy saw six emerging market central banks announce interest rate decisions. Those that altered interest rate levels were: Israel +25bps to 3.25%, and Nigeria +50bps to 8.00%. Meanwhile those that held interest rates unchanged were: Pakistan 14.00%, Turkey 6.25%, Georgia 8.00%, and Mexico 4.50%. The Central Bank of Nigeria also raised its bank cash reserve requirement by 200bps to 4% from 2%.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, May 27, 2011

$70 Trillion U.S. Debt Means The Door is About to Shut for Americans / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Jeff_Berwick

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAnyone aware of the US Government's real financial situation knows that time is running out.  The Government has $15.5 trillion in admitted debts but those debts, when calculated under Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP), or 'honest accounting', is over $70 trillion.  $70 trillion divided by 300 million+ Americans works out to $233,000 per person in US Federal Government debt and obligations.  Or nearly $1 million per family of four.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, May 27, 2011

Endless Money Printing Quantitative Easing / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Puru_Saxena

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOver the past few weeks, we have spent a lot of time digging into the macro data pertaining to the world's developed economies. After careful analysis, our research has convinced us that quantitative easing (money creation out of thin air) will not end anytime soon.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, May 27, 2011

Implication of U.S. Low Borrowing Rates for Savers, Don't Cry for PIMCO / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Bloomberg

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePIMCO's Bill Gross spoke to Bloomberg Television’s Tom Keene today. Gross said that “savers are being disadvantaged” 5 to 15 years when compared to creditors, as the U.S. keeps borrowing rates low to reduce its debt burden and that investors should look to corporate bonds instead of U.S. debt.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, May 26, 2011

Eyeing the UltraShort Treasury TNX ETF / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

My near and intermediate-term technical work on the 10-year yield is warning me that the correction in yield off of the Feb 9 high at 3.74% is nearing completion ahead of the initiation of a new, powerful upleg.

Let's notice that all of the action during the past two weeks has carved out a "falling wedge" formation within the lower portion of the larger, corrective pattern that has dominated the price action since early February.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, May 26, 2011

Economic Green Shoots, Exit Strategy, No QE3 Money Printing / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt is not clear whether the American financial community has the ability to observe and conclude that the US Federal Reserve is adrift and relies upon deception as policy in revealing its directions. Its position is to hold steady, inflate to oblivion, support financial markets in heavy volume secretly, and lie about leaving its trapped policy corner. The USFed is a propaganda machine that deals with ruses as a substitute for transparent policy discussion in the public forum. Two years ago the ruse disseminated widely was the Green Shoots of an economic recovery that had no basis at all.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, May 25, 2011

Eurozone Debt Crisis, Euro Dead on Arrival / Interest-Rates / Euro-Zone

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI am attending the Global Interdependence Center’s latest conference here in Philadelphia, writing you from the Admiral’s Club on my way to Boston. The chatter last night at dinner and between sessions was focused on the risks in Europe. I did an interview with Aaron Task on Yahoo’s Daily Ticker, where I noted that European leaders are starting to use the word containedwhen they talk about Greece. Shades of Bernanke and subprime. This too will not be contained.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, May 24, 2011

Debt Ceiling Jeopardizes U.S. Dollar’s Reserve Currency Status / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleU.S. Treasury Secretary Geithner has warned that delays in extending the U.S. debt ceiling may cause irreparable harm. While borrowing costs for the U.S. government have not yet risen, irreparable harm may have already been done to the U.S. dollar and its status as a reserve currency. Ironically, it’s not a plunging, but a rallying bond market that is a symptom of the problem. Let us explain.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, May 24, 2011

U.S. Sovereign Debt Risk Re-Rating, Technical Default is Virtual Certainty / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Bloomberg

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDavid Stockman, budget director under President Reagan, appeared on Bloomberg Television to discuss the latest developments in the deficit/debt debate. Stockman said there is sovereign risk on the debt of the United States and that both political parties in the U.S. are advocating “de facto default” by pointing fingers at each other.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, May 23, 2011

How China Stiffs Its Creditors, Debt Default / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Ian_Fletcher

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI examined in a previous article the ethical case for America repudiating its financial obligations to China. While considering this tempting possibility—which makes for a better bargaining position if nothing else—we should recall the fact that China has, in fact, repudiated its own financial obligations to other nations.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, May 21, 2011

Central Bank Monetary Policy Update / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: CentralBankNews

The past week in monetary policy was relatively quiet with only 5 central banks announcing monetary policy decisions, and of those, only 1 adjusting its policy stance. Vietnam was the only bank to adjust monetary policy settings; increasing its reverse repurchase rate by 100 basis points to 15.00%. Meanwhile those that held their monetary policy interest rates unchanged were: Serbia (12.50%), Hungary (6.00%), Sri Lanka (7.00%), and Japan (0.10%). Elsewhere in monetary policy news, the Reserve Bank of Australia, Bank of England, and US Federal Open Market Committee all released the minutes from their recent monetary policy meetings.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, May 20, 2011

ECB Pushing Greece Over Brink / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Axel_Merk

Disagreements on how to address Greece's reform process boiled over this week when European Central Bank (ECB) President Trichet walked out of a meeting. Trichet warned if Greece were to extend the maturity of existing debt, the ECB would stop supporting Greece.

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