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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Monday, December 21, 2009

Government Reports Reveal Economy Faces Unprecedented Risk of Rising Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Martin_D_Weiss

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNever before have I seen a broader range of investment opportunities as those opening up early in January!

But if you’re among those throwing caution to the wind … or if you’re slashing your keep-safe holdings to practically zero, then take a long, hard look at the …

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Interest-Rates

Friday, December 18, 2009

Crumbling U.S. Treasury Bond Market Suggests Spike in Interest Rates 2010 / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Larson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe holiday season is here — and in just a couple of weeks, 2009 will fade into the history books. I truly hope that you and your family enjoy these happy times.

But before I sign off for the year, I feel obligated to address one of the biggest threats to your wealth that’s looming in 2010. I’m talking about the very real prospect of “failed” Treasury auctions, plunging bond prices, and a big spike in long-term interest rates.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, December 18, 2009

UK Government Bonds, Gilts On Edge of Bear Market Triggers / Interest-Rates / UK Debt

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Technical Trader’s view:

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, December 17, 2009

Fed Tightening U.S. Interest Rates? Give Us a Break! / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Axel_Merk

At the end of its scheduled two-day meeting, the Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee (FOMC) confirmed it will leave its target range for the federal funds rate unchanged and is on schedule to phase out various special liquidity programs. The Fed also confirmed it will continue to buy mortgage backed-securities (MBS) and expects to gradually slow the pace of these purchases; the Fed expects the entire $1.25 billion of MBS purchases to be executed by the end of the first quarter of 2010.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, December 16, 2009

Could the Fed Hike U.S. Interest Rates Sooner than Expected? / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Gary_Dorsch

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne more Dance before Midnight Strikes, “As the old saying goes, what the wise man does at the beginning, fools do in the end,” said Warren Buffett, at Berkshire Hathaway’s Annual Meeting, in May 2006. “It’s like Cinderella at the ball. You know that at midnight everything’s going to turn back to pumpkins and mice. But you look around and say, one more dance, and so does everyone else. Everyone thinks they’ll get out at midnight. The party does get more fun, dance partners get prettier, - one more glass of champagne. And besides, there are no clocks on the wall. And then suddenly, the clock strikes 12, - and everything turns back to pumpkins and mice,” the sage of Omaha said.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, December 16, 2009

Why You Should Expect U.S. Interest Rates to Rise Soon / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Claus_Vogt

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article

Last December, the yield on the 10-year Treasury bond fell to 2 percent, the lowest level in 40 years. The financial and economic crisis had investors heading for a safe harbor … and Fed members panicked. Deflation was the buzz word of the time.

If market forces had been allowed to take over and purge the system of all the imbalances, malinvestments, and excesses that characterized the bubble years, a deflationary wave would have swept the world. And after this sharp and deep cleansing process, a new healthy recovery would have begun.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, December 11, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bonds Interest Rate Yield Curve Steepest Since 1980 / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe bond market is starting to show signs of concern over budget deficits and the corresponding supply of treasuries. Please consider Treasury Yield Curve Steepest Since at Least 1980 After Auction.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, December 10, 2009

Short Treasury Bond TBT ETF on the Rise / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs the market awaits the results of the 30-year bond auction today, let’s notice that the ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NYSE: TBT) is climbing towards a confrontation with the Sep-Dec resistance line, now at 48.25, which if hurdled and sustained should trigger additional strength that tests the prior rally peak at 48.57. The 48.57 level is important technically because if the TBT’s take out that resistance plateau, the Aug-Dec rounded baselike pattern will project an eventual target zone of 53.70-54.20.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, December 08, 2009

Bankrupting Britain's AAA Credit Rating at Risk / Interest-Rates / UK Debt

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe credit ratings agency Moody's in late as usual move woke up to the fact that Britain's public sector net debt looks set to mushroom to more than 100% of GDP and therefore threatens Britain's AAA credit rating status, which currently stands at AAA "resilient" below that of AAA "resistant" as enjoyed by the likes of Germany and France. Especially as Britain lags virtually all other major economies in terms of economic recovery.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, December 08, 2009

Banks Cut UK Mortgage Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

Mortgage lenders have continued to cut fixed rates, causing the average two year fixed mortgage rate to continue to tumble.

Last week Moneyfacts.co.uk reported that the average two year fixed had fallen below 5.00% for the first time since June 2009, but since then rates have fallen further, standing at 4.86% today.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, December 06, 2009

Australian Luxury of High Interest Rates, Should the U.S. Follow Suit? / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Oakshire_Financial

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMany are quick to question the logic behind Australia's recent pattern of raising interest rates, citing the risk involved with this strategy and the "danger" it puts Australia's economy in by lowering housing demand and making financing more difficult for businesses. Some call it an outright mistake.

Boo hoo. The finance gurus of the world sound like a bunch of children jealous that their little brother opened a Christmas present that they asked for. 'Tis the season.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, December 06, 2009

David Malpass: Near Zero Interest Rates are Hurting the Economy / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Trader_Mark

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFollowing up some excellent commentary he has been doing as a guest on CNBC (see video here) [Oct 16, 2009: The Inverse Correlation Between Stocks and the US Dollar in 1 Chart] David Malpass makes an eloquent argument on how near zero interest rates are hurting the US economy in a Wall Street Journal opinion piece

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, December 05, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bond Yields Setting Up for Advance / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe 10-Year Treasury Bond yield commanded our attention this past week, and we see it as one of the most important charts entering 2010. Why? Purely from a technical perspective, let's notice that three distinct instances in the past 12 months, yield pressed to 3.50% or lower, only to see an upside reversal back above 3.50% very quickly thereafter. In other words, the "beachball effect" kicks in under 3.50%. With the foregoing as a backdrop, let's also notice that yield has been declining since June even though nonfarm payrolls have been improving.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, December 04, 2009

World Debt Crisis, Dubai is Not Alone / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Michael_Pento

The Persian Gulf emirate Dubai is seeking to defer debt payment on nearly $90 billion in liabilities from their state-run companies. Like many other over-leveraged enterprises and some countries across the globe, the government of Dubai made massive bets on real estate that have since gone sour. But no matter where in the world such a case occurs, the ramifications of taking on too much debt are always the same.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, December 03, 2009

Is the Fed Engaged in Quantitative or Qualitative Easing? / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs I define it, qualitative easing. If the Fed were pursuing a quantitative easing policy, its balance sheet would be growing at an unusually high rate. The Fed allegedly began to engage in quantitative easing at its mid-March FOMC meeting this year.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, December 03, 2009

ECB, The Reluctant Interest Rate Hawk? / Interest-Rates / ECB Interest Rates

By: Axel_Merk

The European Central Bank (ECB) kept its main refinancing rate unchanged at 1%, but announced that it will phase out its six-month and one-year refinancing facilities and move to an index-based interest rate rather than a fixed or auction based rate for future refinancing operations.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, December 03, 2009

Long-Term U.S. Treasury Yield Setting Up for Powerful Advance / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The daily chart of the 10-Year T-Bond Futures could be one of the most important charts we discuss entering 2010. Why? Purely from a technical perspective, let’s notice that three distinct instances in the last 12 months YIELD pressed to 3.50% or lower, only to see an upside reversal back above 3.50% very quickly thereafter. In other words, the “beachball effect” kicks in under 3.50%. With the foregoing as a backdrop, let’s also notice that YIELD has been DECLINING since June even though nonfarm payrolls have been improving.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, December 03, 2009

Pension Annuity Interest Rates at Record Lows / Interest-Rates / Pensions & Retirement

By: MoneyFacts

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe prospects of securing a comfortable retirement have taken a further blow with news that pension annuity rates have hit an all time low. Research from Investment Life & Pensions Moneyfacts has revealed that, after holding firm during the summer, annuity rates have fallen steadily over the last two months.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, December 01, 2009

Treasury Bonds Signal Inflation Pressures Moderating / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe composite indicator that measures the trends in gold, crude oil, and yields on the 10 year Treasury has moderated significantly. See figure 1 a weekly chart of the S&P500 with the indicator in the lower panel.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, November 30, 2009

Dubai Debt Bubble Bursting Triggering Financial Shock Waves / Interest-Rates / Global Economy

By: Washingtons_Blog

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleYou know about Dubai's economic crisis. But do you know the background to - and fallout from - the crisis?

A Brief History

Historically, Dubai had an oil-based economy.

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