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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Wednesday, August 26, 2009

Long Term U.S. Treasury Yields, Someone Is Going To Be Wrong / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor over 8 months now, I have been chronicling the plight of the 10 year Treasury bond. Based upon the "next big thing" indicator it was my expectation that yields on the 10 year Treasury bond would rise once there was a monthly close above a yield of 3.342%. This occurred at the end of May, 2009.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, August 26, 2009

Understanding Money Market Funds / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Paul_Petillo

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePaul Volker doesn't like them much. Institutional investors use them frequently. And individual investors, particularly those of the smaller variety don't really understand what they do and in many instances, use them for the wrong reasons. They are like banks but are not regulated as such. The Securities and Exchange Commission currently oversees their activity as per the Investment Company Act of 1940.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, August 24, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bond Market Kept Positive by Friendly Inflation Data / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market ended flat after spending most of the time trying to move up last week.  Friendly inflation data and a confirmation of solid international demand kept the market in positive territory for most of the week.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, August 24, 2009

Global Debt Bubble, Steve Keen on Causes and Solutions / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAustralian economist Steve Keen is one of the very few who have called this economic crisis correctly. What distinguishes Keen is that his economic forecasts are based on levels of debt and changes in levels of debt as opposed to money supply, output capacity and other things that led most economists astray.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, August 23, 2009

Big Interest Rate Move Around the Corner? / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Marty_Chenard

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInterest rates ... housing demand ... housing affordability ... bank loans ...

Headline confusion? ... Here are the current housing related headlines on a Yahoo news search:

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, August 22, 2009

Even Warren Buffett Is Now Saying U.S. Treasury Bonds Could Crack! / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMike Larson writes: I’ve made no secret about my view on U.S. bonds and the U.S. dollar …

I’ve minced no words, and cut no corners …

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, August 20, 2009

Monetization of U.S. Treasury Bonds In Isolation / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEvery few months a chart comes along that needs almost no follow-on paragraphs to make the point of the issue. The chart provided by CIGA Eric covers several important types of US$-based bonds, their inflow and outflow, and the aggregate GrandNet. The financial data is publicly available from the USGovt TIC Reports. The messages are clear. Inflows of foreign funds are dwindling.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, August 19, 2009

Ruining Public Credit with Imaginary Fiat Money / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"Expect more 'imaginary money – with or without negative bank rates – often and soon..."

IT'S NOT OFTEN that Sweden gets to lead the world. Saab mimicked BMW. Nokia improved on Motorola. Abba took The Carpenters and added a hi-hat.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, August 19, 2009

Broke FDIC Squeezes Banks for More Insurance Cash / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHere is an interesting Email from a Bank Owner and CEO regarding As of Friday August 14, 2009, FDIC is Bankrupt

ABO, who as been in the business 30 years, writes:

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, August 18, 2009

Bernanke’s Federal Reserve Interest Rate Indecision Meeting / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNilus Mattive writes: Last week, the Federal Reserve held a two-day interest rate policy meeting, and nobody was surprised by their lack of action. Heck, it’s unlikely that we’re going to see a real change in their target rate for a while yet.

But I do think there were some important suggestions buried in their comments, and I want to talk about those today. Plus, I want to throw my hat into the ring on the “Will Bernanke get another term?” debate as well.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, August 17, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bond Yields, Where to From Here? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast week's treasury rally was the biggest in eight months notes Bloomberg in Treasuries Rise Amid Flat Consumer Prices, Declining Confidence.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, August 17, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bonds Positive Seasonal Influences / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market bounced back last week.  We went through another 3-10-30 year auction cycle, but the restless natives did not even wait for the auctions to be out of the way as the bond started its move up first thing on Monday.  Needless to say the supply was well received.  Not only was the bidding substantial and aggressive, but also the closely watched “International Buyers” showed up in force again.  They took over 50% of all the bonds auctioned and were especially aggressive in buying the 30 year tranche on Thursday. 

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, August 15, 2009

FDIC Depositor Insurance Scheme is Bankrupt! / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBank Failure Friday is in full swing. Tonight there were 5 more failures, numbers 73 through 77 on the year. In the biggest failure since WaMu, BB&T Takes Over Colonial.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, August 15, 2009

U.S. Debt as a Percentage of GDP Means No Growth for 50 Years / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Andy_Sutton

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleApparently, a bazooka wasn’t enough. Last summer, that is what then Secy. of the Treasury Henry Paulson asked for when he made his case for sweeping financial powers. Instead, Congress gave him a nuke, and apparently that wasn’t enough either. Making the jump from completely absurd to the absolutely ridiculous, Timothy Geithner became the latest in a long line of Treasury Chiefs to run to Congress to ask for an increase in the nation’s debt ceiling.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, August 14, 2009

Moment of Truth for U.S. Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The moment of truth for the iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NYSE:  TLT).  If current strength continues to propel prices into and ABOVE a key near-term resistance plateau between 94.15 and 94.85, then prices should explode even more rapidly towards 97 thereafter (and I will be forced to chase the long side). 

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, August 13, 2009

The Federal Reserve is Immoral / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Tim_Iacono

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDuring the first few days of each month comes a task that is increasingly approached with dread around here and, unfortunately, that condition is likely to persist for some time.

Shortly after banks make their month-end update to various short-term savings accounts that we hold, these balances are queried, only to find that, almost without exception, interest credited is less than it was in prior months and far less than it was eight or ten months ago.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, August 13, 2009

Fed a Rudderless Ship? / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Axel_Merk

How much excitement can a statement by the Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee (FOMC) generate? Given that the Fed has been printing over a $1 trillion of fresh currency over the past year, more are indeed taking note when the Fed speaks.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, August 13, 2009

Bernanke, Do You Have The Cojones To Raise U.S. Interest Rates? / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Mike_Whitney

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMike Whitney writes: Booyah. It's morning in America. The jobless numbers are stabilizing, the stock market is sizzling, quarterly earnings came in better than expected, traders have turned bullish, housing is showing signs of life, and clunker-swaps have given Detroit a well-needed boost of adrenalin. Even Cassandra economists --like Paul Krugman and Nouriel Roubini--have been uncharacteristically optimistic. Is is true; did we avoid a Second Great Depression? Is the worst really behind us?

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Interest-Rates

Monday, August 10, 2009

Treasury Bond Holders Receive a Pasting, Though Seasonal Influences Remain Bullish / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market got pasted last week.  While the trend in bonds has been sideways, it is noticeable that there has been a fairly predictable cycle within the course of each month related to the Treasury auction calendar.  The first week of the month has the announcement for the long auction cycle consisting of 3-10-30 year auctions to be conducted during the second week. 

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, August 04, 2009

Derivatives Interest Rate Swaps, The Elephant In the Room: More Pieces of the Puzzle / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Rob_Kirby

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis following article was an address by Rob Kirby at the Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc., GATA Goes to Washington -- Anybody Seen Our Gold?, at the

Hyatt Regency Crystal City Hotel, Arlington, Virginia, Saturday, April 19, 2008.  The original address has been updated and added to since new information has come to light. 

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