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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Saturday, November 14, 2009

Origins of the Federal Reserve Banking System- Part 3 / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Murray_N_Rothbard

Jacob Schiff Ignites the Drive for a Central Bank

The defeat of the Fowler Bill for broader asset currency and branch banking in 1902, coupled with the failure of Secretary of Treasury Shaw's attempts of 1903–1905 to use the Treasury as a central bank, led the big bankers and their economist allies to adopt a new solution: the frank imposition of a central bank in the United States.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, November 14, 2009

Origins of the Federal Reserve Banking System-Part 2 / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Murray_N_Rothbard

Continued From Part 1

Charles A. Conant: Surplus Capital and Economic Imperialism

The years shortly before and after 1900 proved to be the beginnings of the drive toward the establishment of a Federal Reserve System. It was also the origin of the gold-exchange standard, the fateful system imposed upon the world by the British in the 1920s and by the United States after World War II at Bretton Woods. Even more than the case of a gold standard with a central bank, the gold-exchange standard establishes a system, in the name of gold, which in reality manages to install coordinated, international, inflationary, paper money.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, November 14, 2009

Origins of the Federal Reserve Banking System / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Murray_N_Rothbard

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Progressive Movement

The Federal Reserve Act of December 23, 1913, was part and parcel of the wave of Progressive legislation on local, state, and federal levels of government that began about 1900. Progressivism was a bipartisan movement that, in the course of the first two decades of the 20th century, transformed the American economy and society from one of roughly laissez-faire to one of centralized statism.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, November 13, 2009

The Sterling Interest Rate Yield Curve Steep and Steepening / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Technical Trader’s view:

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Interest-Rates

Friday, November 13, 2009

Buying Government Bonds is a Mugs Game / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Michael_S_Rozeff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSuppose that I am thinking about buying a bond and its yield is 3.5 percent. This is a nominal yield before taxes and before accounting for price inflation. To estimate my real return, I need to estimate future price inflation. If, for example, I think that price inflation is going to be 3.0 percent, then I expect my before-tax yield will be only about 0.5 percent.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, November 11, 2009

Governments in a Hurry to Borrow Cash to Re-Finance Debt / Interest-Rates / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"With 30-year bond yields still lower than they were before last winter's wipe-out, there's an urgency about refinancing debt as 2010 draws near..."

IT'S NOT JUST the US Treasury that needs to borrow more, for longer, over the next few months and years.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, November 11, 2009

Monetary Policy Outlook / Interest-Rates / Global Economy

By: RGE_Monitor

Deleted.

 


Interest-Rates

Sunday, November 08, 2009

Municipal Bonds A Dangerous Investment For 2009 / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Andrew_Abraham

Many times just using logic an investor can steer away from problems. It seemed forever municipal bonds were considered one of the safest investments. One did not get rich by investing in municipal bonds however they were consistent and the default possibility was almost not a possibility. Fast forward to 2009 municipal bonds have to be one of the scariest investment choices. All one has to do is to look at State by State finances to be aware.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, October 28, 2009

Are US Treasuries About to Rally… or Crash? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Graham_Summers

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHistorically, because the US was the #1 superpower (and the largest economy in the world), Treasuries have generally held to be one of the very few “risk free” investments on the planet. Consequently, Treasuries are where money runs to hide when the rest of the financial world is in trouble.

You can see this in the below chart: as soon as the Financial Crisis began in earnest with the credit market lockup in July 2007, 30-Yr Treasuries broke above 112: a point of historical resistance. This told us two things:

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Interest-Rates

Monday, October 26, 2009

Bailed Out Banks Continue to Raise Loan Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2009

By: MoneyFacts

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSince Bank Rate dropped to the historic low level of 0.50% in March, loan rates have continued to increase.

In this period half of all lenders offering personal loans, have upped their rates.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, October 26, 2009

Confusing Bond Markets / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe US, UK and European bond markets have all experienced recent double failures at long-term all-time highs. So the long-term technical outlook is bearish. But those failures occurred nearly a year ago. They have fallen since, but from June this year they have lacked any bear impetus at all. Any medium and long-term structures that have developed are far from completion and  markets are locked in trading ranges. Traders should stand aside and await events.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, October 22, 2009

Affordable Mortgage Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / Mortgages

By: LiveCharts

Neil Kokemuller writes: While most banks aren’t currently offering rates at the historically low levels seen earlier this year, overall, mortgage rates are still very affordable.  According to bankrate.com, the national average cost for a 30-year fixed rate loan Wednesday (October 21) is 5.23 per cent, compared to 4.99% one week ago.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, October 21, 2009

U.S. Interest Rates Set to Rocket with Falling Dollar? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

See our comparison chart between Cash Dollar Index (DXY) and the Proshares Ultrashort 20+ Year T-bond, ETF (NYSE: TBT), in which I am trying to show that right now the vulnerable juxtaposition of the dollar is creating nervousness among bond traders and investors. Once the bond vigilantes get their meat hooks into the bond market, the Fed will have one heck of a challenge on its hands.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, October 20, 2009

If Bernake Doesn’t Raise The Fed Interest Rate Very Soon There Will Be BIG Trouble / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Andrew_Butter

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe debate about whether it was Alan Greenspan’s “fault” will continue for generations, the “other side” summed up their position nicely in a quip that came up in the debate about whether to let the Fed have more power, “ That’s like buying your teenager a sports car after he wreaked the family saloon”.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, October 20, 2009

Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPs) Breakout / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Guy_Lerner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI last mentioned Treasury Inflation Protected Securities or TIPs in an article written on September 10 entitled, "If You Don't Like 'em, Then Don't Trade 'em". In that article, I discussed the fact that there were other places to look for that "fat pitch" besides U.S. equities. If you didn't like the risk in equities, then play in another sandbox.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, October 19, 2009

Bernanke Gone Berserk! Bank Reserves Explode! Fed Money Printing Gone Wild! / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Martin_D_Weiss

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin here with the most shocking new numbers I’ve seen in my lifetime.

My conclusion: Fed Chairman Bernanke has dumped so much funny money into the U.S. banking system and has done so little to manage how that money is used, the fate of our entire economy has now been cast under a dark shadow of doubt.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, October 17, 2009

The Fed Does Not Care About the Dollar, Easy Money is Here to Stay / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Mike_Larson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEvery so often, someone decides to pick a fight with me over the Federal Reserve. They say I’ve got it all wrong. They say the Fed is going to prove its mettle. They say that foreign central banks are crying “Uncle” over the dollar, and that this will force the Fed to reverse course and start raising rates.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, October 12, 2009

CEBR UK Interest Rate Forecasts 0.5% Until 2011, Below 2% until 2014 / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR) is forecasting that UK interest rates will stay at 0.5% into 2011 and not reach 2% until 2014.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, October 12, 2009

Bank of England MPC UK Inflation Forecasting Track Record Analysis / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Lloyds_TSB

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEach year, in the August Inflation Report, the Bank of England reviews the accuracy of the inflation forecasts made by the UK Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). The reports have become of increased interest, as there has been a suspicion that the policy committee has been unduly conservative about the inflation risks facing the UK economy. If true, this would suggest that over the past decade monetary policy may have been tighter than it should have been given the MPC’s strict inflation remit. By extension, GDP growth may have been commensurately, but unnecessarily, weaker. However, some also argue that the MPC has underestimated inflation. If so, there is a risk that policy has been too loose, potentially leading to higher inflation.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, October 10, 2009

On CNBC: Will Japan Drive Our Interest Rates Higher? / Interest-Rates / Japan Economy

By: Vitaliy_Katsenelson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI was on CNBC a few days ago discussing the Japan debt situation. Here are my talking points and some additional thoughts – a lot of them I did not have a chance to cover in the previous note or the interview.

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