Monday, May 17, 2021
Gold Mining Stocks Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2021
The gold miners’ stocks have powered higher in recent months, solidifying a strong young upleg. But the extended-correction low leading into this latest rally has left sector psychology fairly bearish. Traders are skeptical about gold stocks’ upside potential, wary of another serious selloff. The gold miners’ just-reported Q1’21 operating and financial results reveal whether their fundamentals support further big gains.
The first quarter of 2021 was rough for the gold stocks. Their leading and dominant benchmark and trading vehicle remains the GDX VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF. Its $15.3b in net assets in the middle of this week ran 31x bigger than its next-largest 1x-long major-gold-miners-ETF competitor. During Q1, GDX dropped a sizable 9.8%. The gold stocks were increasingly out of favor as gold itself also lost 10.0%.
The gold miners actually proved quite resilient last quarter, as the majors in GDX generally amplify gold’s material moves by 2x to 3x. Still you couldn’t give away gold stocks in early March as their last extended correction finally bottomed at GDX $30.90. As these miners’ earnings leverage gold price trends, their stocks got sucked into gold’s vexing momentum selloff. But as that passed, the gold miners caught a bid.
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Monday, May 17, 2021
Junior Gold Miners Should be Rallying – What’s Holding Them Back? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2021
Junior miners may soon suffer a breakdown of the short-term support line. So, what’s responsible for their underperformance of gold and stocks?
Today’s technical part of the analysis is going to be brief, as I have discussed multiple things this week and my comments remain up-to-date. There’s not much to add today, and we’ll go over only one technical chart – the one where we have trading positions – the GDXJ ETF chart. Unlike in the previous days, today I’m going to look at it from the more short-term point of view – through the 4-hour chart.
Before looking at it, please note that yesterday’s (May 13) session was relatively boring in the case of gold futures (they ended the day $1.20 higher), and quite positive for the GLD ETF, at least at first sight, as it closed $0.70 higher. The seemingly odd discrepancy between the two is just a result of different times that are taken into account for calculating both markets’ performance. All in all, yesterday’s session was positive for gold.
Monday, May 17, 2021
Stock Market - Should You Be In Cash Right Now? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
Sometimes there are very clear advantages to being in an all-cash position and avoiding the risks in the US/Global markets. For example, you should consider cash as a position when the markets begin to execute a broad market consolidation pattern that often results in many weeks or months of sideways, choppy price activity. You should also consider going to cash when a bigger shift in market trends takes place, putting your account at real risk should there be a 20% to 30%+ downside price trend setting up. Moving your assets away from these risks and into cash as early as possible can save thousands of dollars in unwanted – and worse yet totally avoidable – losses.
I know the rules of the game, and how everyone always says “it is better to ride out the trends and buy into the dips in the long run”. Well, we believe there is a better way to approach these bigger market trends that do not include riding out massive downside price trends – watching our wealth melt away as the markets collapse. We believe the purpose of actively managing your investments/trades should include a “cash position” as an active instrument in your portfolio. Why? Because moving your assets away from risks and into a cash position can often create a major advantage for all types of investors. We will get into more detail about this later.
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Monday, May 17, 2021
Learning the Financial Markets / Personal_Finance / Student Finances
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Sunday, May 16, 2021
INVESTING IN HIGH RISK TECH STOCKS - ALL OR NOTHING / InvestorEducation / Tech Stocks
There is a reason why I don't like discussing investing in high risk stocks and it's nothing to do with the fact that I DO invest in high risk stocks to a limited degree. And that reason is because most of the people I converse with DO NOT UNDERSTAND HOW TO INVEST IN HIGH RISK STOCKS! So my preference is to avoid the subject altogether and stick to discussing that which has a high probability of success and low relative risk of loss. Though the stock market being what it is one never know when the likes of for instance a BP is going to EXPLODE! So stocks can never be risk free no matter what the stock is.
So the starting point before I fire off a list of high risk tech stocks is to explain how I invest in high risk stocks and hopefully my Patrons will be able to incorporate what I am saying into how they view high risk stocks for I have given up on trying to explain to people in the real world, including highly intelligent doctors, as there tends to be a mental block where high risk stocks are concerned i.e. people tend to look in the rear view mirror and see how x or y stock has soared into the stratosphere and thus think it is easy to be placed in for instance the next Tesla or TSM or AMD or whatever. Without understanding the fundamental fact that even if by chance they had invested in say AMD at $2, they would NOT be invested in AMD today at $80 because their short-term mindset would have likely ejected then from the stock at $3 or $4. That's why the starting point has to be to explain how I actually invest in high risk stocks which given exchanges with people tends to be the exact opposite of how many investors perceive high risk stocks and likely why they don't end of up capitalising fully on their investments.
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Sunday, May 16, 2021
Is Stock Market Selling Madness About Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
The inflation scare amplified by CPI data has died down yesterday a little. Buying returned into the S&P 500, lifting Nasdaq ever so little too. VIX steeply rejected moving higher, and looks ready to decline today, but the put/call ratio doesn‘t share the optimism as obviously the bearish scenarios, powered by the inflation scare forcing a deflationary outcome in an overleveraged financial system is emboldened by the downfall‘s steepness since Monday and ineffective attempts to coutner it on Tuesday. While one swallow doesn‘t make a summer, the technical picture in the hardest hit tech is gradually improving, worthy of benefit of the doubt while you dance close to the Nasdaq exit door.
Credit markets have crucially improved, with the junk corporate bonds leading the way, and value stocks being soundly bought again. All it took was a decent daily stabilization in long-dated Treasuries coupled with an intraday upswing attempt – no issue that it fizzled out before the close, apparently. The markets are coming to terms with higher inflation, and the commodities hit starting with lumber, stretching to copper, and eventually also oil and soybeans yesterday, would likely recover – first those that hadn‘t been all that overheated.
Sunday, May 16, 2021
Crypto Bubble Bursts! Nicehash Suspends Coinbase Withdrawals, Bitcoin, Ethereum Bear Market Begins / Personal_Finance / cryptocurrency
NICEHASH the easy way to get in the the crypto mining with ones GPU boom has SUSPENDED withdrawals to COINBASE, which was an easy way to get ones mined profits off of Nicehash to spend or withdraw to ones bank accounts. This is clearly a sign that the crypto mania boom is coming to an END. as the likes of bitcoin and ethereum start rolling over into bear markets. So there is now no advantage to mining with Nicehash as one now needs to pay the block chain transaction fees to transfer funds form Nice hash to ones wallet. Which means many miners are going to move to direct mining which always paid 8-10% more for direct mining.
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Sunday, May 16, 2021
Budgies Birds of Paradise Indoor Grape Vine Singing, Chirping and Flying Parakeets Fun 3D VR180 UK / Personal_Finance / Animals & Pets
What happens when you put Budgies, Flowering Bird of Paradise plants and an indoor grape vine together. Find out in our latest UK budgie care video which is even more unique given that it is shot in VR 3D 180! So if have a VR headset such an Oculus Quest you can experienced being immersed with the budgies, if not a browser such as Chrome and Fire Fox will give you a taste of what you could be experiencing in the virtual world, Budgies in VR 3D 180 flying around a Bird of Paradise plant, flying between and settling on an Indoor Grape vine branches!
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Sunday, May 16, 2021
Wall Street Roiled by Hot Inflation Data: Is This REALLY “Transitory”? / Stock-Markets / Inflation
The Labor Department reported yesterday that the Consumer Price Index jumped 4.2% from the prior year. Although a big rise in the CPI had been expected, the actual number came in even higher than economists had forecast.
According to the CPI data, inflation in April accelerated at its fastest pace in more than 12 years. Higher prices showed up everything from used cars to lumber to energy to food.
If April’s rate of price increases were to persist for another 11 months, the annual CPI growth rate would be 10.3%. And that wouldn’t even account for items that the CPI excludes or understates.
Jerome Powell and other Federal Reserve officials have repeatedly insisted than any rise in inflation this year will be “transitory.” They cite base effects from last year’s economic lockdown and supply bottlenecks they expect to be temporary.
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Sunday, May 16, 2021
Inflation Going Stag / Economics / Stagflation
Stagflation in the offing, unless it’s not different this time…
As corporations continue to raise wages, market participants fear the Fed is wrong about supposedly “transitory” inflation, long-term Treasury bond yields resume the rally (bonds decline) manufacturers’ (ISM) costs keep rising, the Fed’s inflationary operation – a desperate monetary kick save if ever there was one – labors on.
The Fed has manipulated bonds and flooded the markets and the economy with funny munny created out of nowhere, as if by magic. As if by MMT (modern monetary theory) TMM (total market manipulation). So far, so good. Jerome Powell stands to be the first non-Bernanke winner of the Ben Bernanke Award for Heroism in the line of inflating a debt ridden economy.
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Saturday, May 15, 2021
CHIA Coins After 1st Week of Plotting 140 Plot 14tb Farm. Crunching the Numbers How to Win / Personal_Finance / Crypto Mining
How many CHIA coins did iI earn after first full week of plotting and farming resulting in 140 plots, 14tb farm. as a guide for what to expect when starting out in CHIA. Also I do the maths, run the numbers to calculate what's needed for profitable solo farming and whether farming with pools will work, as pools are expected to materialise in a few days time. So which this comprehensive video both if you are comptemplating starting CHIA farming or are already plotting away with little to show to date. Meanwhile the CHIA coin continues to go beserk, latest price is $1600 per COIN! Which is set againts pre-launch expectations of $20 of less than 3 weeks ago!
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Saturday, May 15, 2021
Tips to Create the Best Cross-Functional Teams / Companies / SME
Human beings are social creatures, and in our personal and professional lives, we seek communication and cooperation. Even if they are geographically apart, it should be easy to build teams. But it is often difficult, despite our inherent nature, to establish a collaborative working environment among dispersed teams. This is why companies invest in collaboration and remote software tools to improve efficiency and cohesiveness.
More people choose these solutions because remote work is perfect for companies and people who work for them despite its challenges. 85% of remote employees enjoy greater independence and the possibility of having their hours and living a healthy life. It is essential to equip these remote employees with the appropriate communication tools to make their efforts more productive, communicate frequently, share project updates and meetings online.
Friday, May 14, 2021
Gold: Lose a Battle to Win the War / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
Gold scored some victories over the past days, but it’s playing a risky game. One misstep and the yellow metal might lose the war.
Sometimes, a good strategist needs to give up a few battles to eventually win the war. Or, at least, convince their enemy that they’re defeated while preparing a counterattack. Just the same, a chess player may need to sacrifice a piece in order to checkmate a king. Sun Tzu has spoken, and the Art of War translates well here.
In the world of trading, the same rules often apply. A good investor needs to give up a few unfavorable days to eventually score a final victory. Again, controlling one’s emotions and adhering to patience are key. These principles are important when waiting out gold’s temporary upswings in a medium-term downswing, and also when waiting for gold’s eventual ascent. Don’t let short-term intraday moves cloud your vision.
Yesterday (May 11), I wrote that the rally in gold and stocks might have just burnt itself out, and the markets didn’t wait long to agree with me.
Is it 100% certain that the top is in? Absolutely not, as there are no certainties in any market, and sound position management should be utilized at all times. But based on what happened yesterday, and what we saw in today’s pre-market trading, the odds that the corrective top is already in have greatly increased.
Friday, May 14, 2021
Are You Invested in America’s “Two-Hour Boom” Fast Shipping Stocks? / Companies / Investing 2021
“It would have to sell every book being sold today to justify its stock price.”This ended up becoming one of the most laughable things ever said about Amazon (AMZN). And this line isn’t pulled out of some freebie city newspaper… it’s from a 60 Minutes special back in 1999.
Amazon’s stock price had surged 4,500% over the past two years. The internet shopping pioneer’s sales were soaring triple digits. CBS and 60 Minutes thought it was one giant bubble. Take a look at Amazon’s stock since then. How did a show that prides itself on facts and analysis get is so, so wrong?
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Friday, May 14, 2021
Gold to Benefit from Mounting US Debt Pile / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
Gold bugs are closely watching what happens with Treasuries. Last year, the gold price hit a record high of $2,034/oz, largely due to the fact that investors were piling into bonds as a safe haven against pandemic-related uncertainty. A descending US dollar and negative real rates (when bond yields minus the inflation rate fall below 0%) were also important antecedents.
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Friday, May 14, 2021
6 Solid Signs You Should Have Your Smart Device Repaired Right Away / Personal_Finance / Money Saving
Most of us rely heavily on our smart gadgets in our day-to-day lives, both personally and professionally. For that reason, it can be a total nightmare when your trusty device starts acting up. While it’s usually best to replace an old device before it gives up the ghost, not all malfunctioning gadgets are beyond repair. To avoid any major inconveniences that may disrupt your work or prevent you from communicating effectively with your loved ones, keep an eye out for the following six signs. If you experience any of these problems, consider it a warning that you need to repair your smart device right away.
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Friday, May 14, 2021
Ways to Finance Your Business Growth / Companies / Debt & Loans
Do you have a small startup business that you put in a lot of hard work and sweat into and you’re looking to take it to the next level? Many small businesses with great products or services and a comprehensive long-term business plan are not able to grow due to financial obstacles. Making more money requires putting some into improving processes or expansion which is something most small business owners don’t have the ability to achieve.
However, that doesn’t mean you should settle and not seek growth. There are several ways that you can turn towards to finance your business growth and ultimately implement your business plan.
Thursday, May 13, 2021
Cathy Wood Ark Invest Funds Bubble BURSTS! ARKK, ARKG, Tesla Entering Severe Bear Market / Personal_Finance / Tech Stocks
The stock market is now entering my forecast window for a significant correction which should present an opportunity to accumulate into most the AI mega-trend stocks many of which have galloped ahead to new all time highs this year, trending in the opposite direction to the much higher risk stocks such as those that heavily populate the media blitzkrieging Cathy Wood's ARK funds i.e. their biggest holding Tesla is down 4.5% year to date whilst AI numero Uno Google is up 32%! Which this analysis seeks to resolve in high probability buying levels in advance of an expected correction during May.
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Thursday, May 13, 2021
How Much CHIA Coins Profit from 100 Plot 10tb Farm? Hard Drive Space Mining / Personal_Finance / Crypto Mining
How much profit can one generate from farming CHIA coins on ones hard drives from a relatively small, easy to get to 100 plot farm. Found out in my latest crypto video of whether it is worth getting into CHIA farming right now, especially given the high price of CHIA hovering at around $1000 PER COIN!
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Thursday, May 13, 2021
Stock Market Bulls Getting Caught in the Whirlwind / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021
Seemingly uneventful and tight range day in S&P 500 gave way to extraordinary selling once the 4,220 intraday support broke – extraordinary by recent standards. The bulls obviously have quite some damage to repair before thinking about taking on new highs. Prices have moved back into the prolonged consolidation, in what isn‘t a true breakdown though yet.
Neither the smallcaps, nor the emerging markets, let alone S&P 500 fell on sharply rising volume, which speaks in favor of a bad day, chiefly driven by tech (yes, I‘m looking at you, $NYFANG) and weak credit markets. Look at market breadth – new highs new lows stunningly rose yesterday in spite of the 500-strong index losing quite a few dozen points.
Classic risk off positioning, if only the defensives as a group did a lot better – but it could have been worse had commodities joined in the melee. They didn‘t, and they are thus the dog that didn‘t bark, detracting credibility from yesterday‘s stock market plunge (unless they catch up next, that is).
Both copper and lumber reversed, but won‘t this turn out as another buying opportunity, especially in copper? Little has changed in the reflationary and reopening trades – financials managed to shake off the rising yields easily yesterday. True, VIX and put/call ratio aren‘t painting a picture of calmness, but especially the option traders are positioned a bit too bearishly at the moment. Again, it‘s a question of how long before the tech bottom hunters step in. Make no mistake though, growth is going to keep lagging behind value.
Gold, silver and miners are in a vulnerable position even though neither the technical nor fundamental reasons behind their rally changed. The rising yields are a testament of rotation out of stocks into bonds not having worked yesterday, and should commodities such as copper get hurt again, precious metals would land in hot water likely. Thus far though, no sign thereof – the momentum remains with the bulls overall, and higher time frames confirm that.