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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Stock-Markets

Friday, May 07, 2021

SPX Stock Market Correction Arriving or Not? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Monica_Kingsley

One more day of upside rejection in S&P 500, in what is now quite a long stretch of prices going mostly sideways. As unsteady as VIX seems at the moment, it doesn‘t flash danger of spiking in this data-light week, and neither does the put/call ratio. As I wrote yesterday about the selling pressure, these tight range days accompanied by 30-ish point corrections is as good as it gets when the Fed still has its foot on the accelerate pedal.

Yes, you can ignore the Kaplan trial baloon (have you checked when he gets to vote on the FOMC?) that spiked the dollar on Friday but didn‘t put all that a solid floor before long-dated Treasuries as seen in their intraday reversal.

Highlighting the key Treasury, inflation and reflation thoughts of yesterday, as these are still here to power stocks higher:

(…) the 10-year yield has been quite well behaved lately, closing at 1.65% only on Friday. The April calm seems to be over, and I‘m looking for the instrument to trade at 1.80% at least at the onset of summer. Then, let‘s see how the September price increases telegraphed by Procter & Gamble influence the offtake – will the price leader be followed by its competitors? That‘s one of the key pieces of the inflation stickiness puzzle – and I think others will follow, and P&G sales and profitability won‘t suffer. The company is on par with Coca Cola when it comes to dividends really.

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Personal_Finance

Friday, May 07, 2021

How to Invest in an Online Casino? / Personal_Finance / Gambling

By: Submissions

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Commodities

Thursday, May 06, 2021

Gold & Silver Begin New Advancing Cycle Phase / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Before going into detail regarding my latest research and cycle phases, I want you to think of these cycle phases as Advancing and Declining cycle trends.  They act as a “build-up of trend”, then an “unwinding of trend”.  In each instance, trends can be either Bullish, Bearish, or Neutral in nature.  My research team and I believe a new Bullish Cycle Phase has begun in Gold and Silver.  If our research is correct, the next Advancing Cycle Phase may prompt a broad rally in Gold and Silver.

Understanding Cycle Phase Analysis & Trends in Metals

We interpret these cycle phases as unique trend segments involved in a broader cycle scope.  For example, over a longer-term rally, we may see many Bullish Advancing and Declining cycle phases take place – one after another.  Conversely, we may see many Bearish cycle phases take place in an extended downtrend.  Another type of cycle phase can also exist, the Reversal Cycle Phase – where price Advances in one direction and Declines in the opposite direction.  This type of Rotation Cycle Phase exists as the current completed Cycle on the Gold chart, below.

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Economics

Thursday, May 06, 2021

Vaccine Economic Boom and Bust / Economics / US Economy

By: Stephen_McBride

By the numbers, the US looks much better than it did than a few months ago. Jobless claims dropped to their lowest levels of the pandemic; COVID-19 vaccine shots went into arms at a record rate.

But we’ve seen how this goes. The virus spreads in waves that recede and then return, often stronger. Some areas of the US are experiencing their fourth wave of coronavirus cases.

Vaccinations are supposed to break this cycle. And maybe they will. Unfortunately, that looks less likely as vaccine demand shows signs of peaking.

That means some establishments have, or will soon, close their doors … to mass vaccinations.

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Commodities

Thursday, May 06, 2021

USDX, Gold Miners: The Lion and the Jackals / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2021

By: P_Radomski_CFA

The USD Index let out a roar heard across all markets. The king of the financial jungle arrived, along with the greenback’s largest single-day gain.

Just as the African landscape sometimes needs to show the strongest of its inhabitants, so does the less remote but equally ferocious financial environment. This time, the USDX seems to have won the fight – its fangs and claws turned out to be the sharpest, and so are the rallies. There is nothing left for gold and its acquaintances than to run through the forest… run.

Sometimes, even jackals need to find shelter to lick their wounds in patience, waiting for a better time to come back to fight. However, they will come back eventually – they always do.

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Personal_Finance

Thursday, May 06, 2021

What If You Turn Off Your PC During Windows Update? Stuck on Automatic Repair Nightmare! / Personal_Finance / Microsoft

By: HGR

If you turn off your computer or it loses power while it's WIndows is updating does that automatically spell disaster?

Find out in this video !

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Personal_Finance

Thursday, May 06, 2021

4 Insurance Policies You Should Consider Buying / Personal_Finance / Insurance

By: Steve_Barker

The word insurance tends to scare off a lot of people. Most say that it’s a scam that drains you out of your money. On the other hand, other people say that the amount you spend for insurance isn’t equal to what you get for investing in it. However, insurance is definitely something worth spending your money on.

To say that insurance is a scam is a big mistake. True enough, there are some insurance policies and packages that aren’t worth it. Some are literal scams too. It all really depends on who you get your insurance from and what types of insurance you get for yourself or for your belongings.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, May 05, 2021

Fed Taper Smoke and Mirrors / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021

By: Monica_Kingsley

Once in a while, stocks closed in red – is that a reversal or the most the bears could hope for these days? Thursday‘s hanging man got its follow through, yet the bulls staged a rebound into the close. Perhaps that‘s as good as the selling pressure gets, for I think the path of least resistance is still higher in S&P 500.

If you look at the VIX or the put/call ratio, Friday‘s setback is readily apparent, and stocks seem ripe for an upswing now. Fed‘s Kaplan did its job s with the taper talk, yet I think he played the bad cop part – the Fed will really act ostrich in the face of not so transitory inflation, for as long as the Treasuries market doesn‘t throw a tantrum.

And the 10-year yield has been quite well behaved lately, closing at 1.65% only on Friday. The April calm seems to be over, and I‘m looking for the instrument to trade at 1.80% at least at the onset of summer. Then, let‘s see how the September price increases telegraphed by Procter & Gamble influence the offtake – will the price leader be followed by its competitors? That‘s one of the key pieces of the inflation stickiness puzzle – and I think others will follow, and P&G sales and profitability won‘t suffer. The company is on par with Coca Cola when it comes to dividends really.

Once there, we would progress further in the reflation cycle when inflation is no longer benign and anchored. We‘re though still quite a way from when the Fed tries to sell rising rates as proof of strengthening economic recovery – once the bond market would get to doubt this story though, it would be game over for its recent tame behavior.

Friday‘s retreating Treasuries though didn‘t lift gold, and neither helped miners – it‘s not that inflation expectations would be sending a conflicting signal, as these slightly receded too. Inflation at the moment is probably still too low for the complacent market lulled to sleep by the transitory story, but look for that to change.

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Economics

Wednesday, May 05, 2021

Global Economic Recovery 2021 and the Dark Legacies of Smoot-Hawley / Economics / Protectionism

By: Dan_Steinbock

In 2021, China’s economic momentum will drive global economic prospects. But new trade wars could derail global recovery, again.

In the 1st quarter of the ongoing year, China’s GDP rose to a record 18.3% year-on-year. Despite the base effect, due to the pandemic plunge a year ago, the performance reflects strong momentum. In April, China’s economy continued to boom, with strong exports and rising business confidence supporting the recovery.

U.S. economic growth accelerated in the 1st quarter, thanks to a rush of consumer spending. The GDP expanded at a 6.4% annualized rate; the second-largest since 2003. But it missed the estimates by 0.3 percent. Moreover, it was fueled by two rounds of huge stimulus payments, ultra-low interest rates and historical debt-taking.
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Companies

Wednesday, May 05, 2021

Utility Stocks Continue To Rally – Sending A Warning Signal Yet? / Companies / US Utilities

By: Chris_Vermeulen

We have experienced an incredible rally in many sectors over the past 5+ months.  My research team has been pouring over the charts trying to identify how the next few weeks and months may play out in terms of continued trending or risks of some price volatility setting up.  We believe the Utilities Sector may hold the key to understanding how and when the US markets will reach some level of stronger resistance as many sector ETFs are trading in new all-time high price ranges.

Utilities Sector Resistance At $71.10 Should Not Be Ignored

The Utilities Sector has continued to rally since setting up a unique bottom in late February 2021.  A recent double top setup, near $68, suggests resistance exists just above current trading levels.  Any continuation of this uptrend over the next few weeks, targeting the $70 Fibonacci 100% Measured Move, would place the XLU price just below the previous pre-COVID-19 highs near $71.10 (the MAGENTA Line).

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Currencies

Wednesday, May 05, 2021

ROIMAX Trading Platform Review / Currencies / cryptocurrency

By: S_N_Chatterjee

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Personal_Finance

Wednesday, May 05, 2021

Gas and Electricity Price Trends so far in 2021 for the United Kingdom / Personal_Finance / Household Bills

By: Dylan_Moran

With all of the major suppliers increasing their prices, consumers are becoming stressed in the United Kingdom. No one is certain what lies ahead and if the recent price increases will continue for the rest of 2021. With the average increases rising around £96 a year, people are feeling the sting to their wallets. Many are looking to experts to impart wisdom on what can be expected as the year goes on.

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Currencies

Tuesday, May 04, 2021

Crypto Bubble Mania Free Money GPU Mining With NiceHash Continues... / Currencies / Crypto Mining

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Here is another reminder if you have not already done so to consider crypto mining in the background on your desktop PC with Nice Hash Quick Miner (payout's in Bitcoin), it's safe to do so, I do it with my desktops yielding £150 per month per pc after electricity costs, the requirement being an Nvidia GPU with at least 6gb of vram. Whilst AMD GPU's can use the regular Nice Hash miner that uses third party algorithms.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 04, 2021

Stock Market SPX Short-term Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend:  There is some evidence that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009 and which could continue into the first half of 2021 before major cycles take over and it comes to an end.

SPX Intermediate trend:  SPX has completed the next phase of its intermediate uptrend and should correct.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which determine longer market trends.

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Commodities

Tuesday, May 04, 2021

Gold & Silver Wait Their Turn to Ride the Inflationary Wave / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: MoneyMetals

As President Joe Biden pushed massive new spending initiatives in his address before Congress, investors shrugged off rising inflation risk. They pushed the S&P 500 up to a new record close on Thursday.

Gold, meanwhile, continues to be capped under the $1,800 level – at least for the time being.  Silver shows a slight weekly gain and trades a little over $26 per ounce.

As trading closes out for the month of April, precious metals bulls will be hoping for a more fruitful May. Although May is typically a quiet month in markets – not known for producing major crashes or price spikes – it can represent a seasonal turning point.

The old adage, “sell in May and go away” is premised on the stock market entering a seasonally weak period that typically lasts through October. 

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Commodities

Tuesday, May 04, 2021

Gold Can’t Wait to Fall – Even Without USDX’s Help / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Gold started its decline without anyone’s assistance. And when the USDX takes off, that downhill tumble can only increase.

The USDX declines and the precious metals sit by idly, twiddling their thumbs. If they had the strength that’s being talked about, they should be soaring by now, or getting ready to. So, what’s their problem?

In the previous days, I discussed the signals coming from the precious metals market or for the precious metals market, as they kept on emerging, and we just received yet another round of indications. And yes, they also confirm the bearish outlook for the following weeks - or a few months.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 04, 2021

Stock Market Investor Psychology: Here are 2 Rare Traits Now on Display / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: EWI

Stock market newcomers revel in their ignorance

In the past year, the stock market has been flooded by inexperienced investors.

Here's a May 12, 2020 CNBC headline:

Young investors pile into stocks, seeing 'generational-buying moment' instead of risk

The message of that headline matches up with the sentiment among many investors that the stock market is at the start of a boom -- not near an end.

Yes, financial history shows that the same psychology has been on display before, i.e., the heralding of "The New Economy" in 2000 -- just as stocks were topping. And, if you want to go all the way back to the 1929 top, the proclamation of "A New Era."

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ElectionOracle

Tuesday, May 04, 2021

Sheffield Peoples Referendum May 6th Local Elections 2021 - Vote for Committee Decision's or Dictatorship / ElectionOracle / Sheffield

By: N_Walayat

The Sheffield's Peoples referendum is on May the 6th when Sheffielders get to decide who runs our city. Break the cycle of a defacto dictatorship, the strong leader model of governance. Where the leader of the council and their 9 hand picked besties form a cabinet and now this small group gets to decide what happens in our city.

Such as the maniac policy right in the midst of a climate emergency decides to fell tens of thousands of Sheffield's street trees that literally prompted the people of Sheffield to stand up and protest under threat of imprisonment against the strong leader dictatorship.

So what does the peoples referendum want to see happen?

Watch the video and find out.

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Personal_Finance

Tuesday, May 04, 2021

AlphaLive Brings Out Latest Trading App for Android / Personal_Finance / Trading Systems

By: S_N_Chatterjee

Leading cryptocurrency trading brokerage house AlphaLive has introduced its new trading app designs for all Android users. The latest version of the app featuring the most cutting-edge technology is available for free to traders worldwide, downloadable through Google Play.

AlphaLive’s spokesperson shared that the broker has been fine-tuning the mobile trading app for some time now as part of its effort to make crypto trading readily available for traders on all devices. Although fairly new, the trading app has been receiving rave reviews from clients, mainly for its user-friendly interface, which is ideal for beginners and seasoned traders alike.

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Politics

Monday, May 03, 2021

India Covid-19 Apocalypse Heralds Catastrophe for Pakistan & Bangladesh, Covid in Italy August 2019! / Politics / Coronavirus 2021

By: Nadeem_Walayat

India's covid-19 double mutant B.1.617 apocalypse continues with the actual numbers of deaths and infections many times the official numbers of 400,000 infected and 3,500 deaths per day as we witness the collapse of India's healthcare system. that could see the number of total number of deaths exceed 2 million before the end of May. Meanwhile indian politicians live in an alternative universe, making announcements that all indians over the age of 18 now being eligible for the vaccines, despite the fact that most of the vaccination centres have closed due to lack of vaccines which means only 10% of Indians have had 1 dose and 1.5% 2 doses. If those in charge of India had any sense of intelligence then they would be focused on vaccinating the most vulnerable i.e. the over 45's and not opening up vaccinations to all adults! Instead of which Indian's government is primarily focused on peddling misinformation in trying to hide the magnitude of the catastrophe underway which includes instructing twitter to delete tweets critical of their mismanagement of the pandemic.

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