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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Commodities

Wednesday, July 11, 2018

Bullish Gold Markets in the Big Picture? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the gold markets and sees the potential for a new "bull leg."

Our proprietary cycle indicator is now up.

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Politics

Wednesday, July 11, 2018

A Public Bank for Los Angeles? City Council Puts It to the Voters / Politics / Banking Stocks

By: Ellen_Brown

Voters in Los Angeles will be the first in the country to weigh in on a public banking mandate, after the City Council agreed on June 29th to put a measure on the November ballot that would allow the city to form its own bank. The charter for the nation’s second-largest city currently prohibits the creation of industrial or commercial enterprises by the city without voter approval. The measure, introduced by City Council President Herb Wesson, would allow the city to create a public bank, although state and federal law hurdles would still need to be cleared.

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Economics

Wednesday, July 11, 2018

Yield Curve Inversion a Remarkably Accurate Warning Indicator For Economic & Market Peril / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Dan_Amerman

Would you have appreciated a single number that could have given you a clear and unmistakable warning before the tech stock bubble collapsed? How about an unequivocal mathematical warning in 2006 that major financial trouble was on the way, well before the problems of 2007 and 2008?

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Currencies

Wednesday, July 11, 2018

An Elixir for Argentina’s Fiscal Dysfunction / Currencies / Argentina

By: Steve_H_Hanke

Argentina and its peso are in trouble, again. By officially replacing the peso with the U.S. dollar, Argentina’s peso nightmare would end. But, in a country in which fiscal fiddlers know many tricks, some fiscal rules must also be added to the prescription.

Dollarization should impose a hard budget constraint on Argentina. Under dollarization, which exists in 33 countries, hard budget constraints are imposed because dollarized countries must finance government spending by taxing or borrowing in either domestic or international bond markets. They cannot finance government expenditures by using a central bank, which issues a domestic currency. As a result, fiscal deficits, when they occur, tend to be relatively small. But, there has been one noteworthy, unusual case: Zimbabwe. This case merits our attention.

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Currencies

Wednesday, July 11, 2018

Argentina Should Scrap the Peso and Dollarize / Currencies / Argentina

By: Steve_H_Hanke

On July 9th, Argentina will celebrate its 202nd birthday. The biggest spoiler during the festivities will be the beleaguered peso. It’s not the first time the peso has been a spoiler. Since its founding, Argentina has been burdened with numerous economic crises. Most can be laid at the feet of domestic mismanagement and currency problems (read: currency collapses). To list but a few of these crises: 1876, 1890, 1914, 1930, 1952, 1958, 1967, 1975, 1985, 1989, 2001, and 2018(?).

By the time its 100th birthday rolled around, Argentina had experienced only three major economic crises. Alas, the next 102 years have been much more eventful, with eight currency crises, not counting 2018.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 11, 2018

Can the Stock Market Close Higher For a Record 10th Year in a Row? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The S&P 500 Total Return Index is slightly different than the S&P 500 Index in that it includes the dividend yield that companies throw off. Hence, the S&P 500’s Total Return Index tends to go up a little more than the S&P 500 each year.

As of the end of 2017, the S&P 500 Total Return Index has gone up 9 years in a row (2009 – 2017, inclusive). If the Total Return Index closes higher at the end of this year, it will set a new record for 10 years higher in a row.

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Politics

Tuesday, July 10, 2018

As Trade Wars Broaden, Europe Is the Key to Future / Politics / Protectionism

By: Dan_Steinbock

As the Trump White House has started the “biggest trade war” in history, diplomatic activity is escalating from the transatlantic axis to China and the EU – America’s next tariff target.

After the meeting of China and Central and East European (CEE) countries in Sofia, Bulgaria, Chinese Premier Li Keqiang rushed to the fifth round of intergovernmental consultations between China and Germany.

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Personal_Finance

Monday, July 09, 2018

Why Life Insurance Is A Must In Financial Planning / Personal_Finance / Insurance

By: Anwar_Hossain

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Commodities

Monday, July 09, 2018

Crude Oil Possibly Setting Up For A Big Downside Move / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our research team has identified a potential major price rotation setup in Crude Oil that may be one of the biggest opportunities for traders in a long while.  Traders need to be aware of this potential move because it could coincide with other news related to foreign markets/economies as well as supply/demand issues throughout the rest of this year.

Demand for Oil is tied to the economic activities throughout much of the globe.  When demand for Oil is high, one can perceive the global economy to be performing well and consumer demand for oil-based products rather high.  When demand for oil subsidies, it is usually due to economic constraints as a result of slower consumer and industrial demand.  The only time demand for oil typically skyrockets are when massive supply disruption takes place or war breaks out.

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Commodities

Monday, July 09, 2018

BREAKING: New Tech Just Unlocked A Trillion Barrels Of Oil / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: OilPrice_Com

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Currencies

Monday, July 09, 2018

How Trade Wars Penalize Asian Currencies / Currencies / Protectionism

By: Dan_Steinbock

Not so long ago, Asian currencies anticipated depreciation pressures to increase, due to monetary normalization. Yet, it is the trade wars that are now penalizing all currencies, particularly in exporting economies.

In January, I gave a global economic briefing on the outlook of the Philippines in the Nordic Chamber of Commerce in Manila. At the time, the peso was still about 50.80 to U.S. dollar. Among other things, I projected the peso to soften to 54 or more toward the end of the year, which I considered largely the net effect of normalization in advanced economies, elevated trade friction worldwide, as well as fiscal expansion (the Duterte investment program).

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 09, 2018

Another Stock Market Drop Next Week? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Brad_Gudgeon

I know most are getting bulled up here, but I’m thinking we go lower into the 12th before rocketing higher in the stock market. Notice the 16 TD tops on the SPX on chart below!

GDX and gold look lower into next week and perhaps the week after.  Typically, the PM's have been finding bottoms in July and December, so a short term buying opportunity looks forthcoming perhaps into at least August, maybe September.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 09, 2018

Why Trade Wars Are Really Good For The Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

If you read most of the analysis being published over the last two days, you would almost assume that the S&P500 should be crashing or be in a bear market. Yet, we are only 4% off the all-time highs struck early this year in the S&P, whereas the Nasdaq and Russell have made new higher highs this summer.

In fact, if you had read the analysis put out over the last two days when further tariffs went into effect, you would have to assume that Friday should have been a major down day in the US markets. This is just an excerpt from a bearish author’s recent article on the US market:

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 09, 2018

Are the Stock Market Bulls Starting to Run? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
 
Intermediate trend – In spite of  recent market action, the intermediate trend from 2873 have to extendits corrective phase.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

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Politics

Monday, July 09, 2018

Brexit Gross Incompetence / Politics / BrExit

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Here’s the lowdown: the EU’s single market mechanism dictates freedom of movement for labor, capital, services and goods. These are not divisible; you cannot have one without the other. Still, that’s precisely what Theresa May, again, is proposing. She basically wants to keep the UK in the single market for goods, and make other arrangements for the rest. The EU will not accept that because it could have 27 other countries coming with their own versions of single market à la carte.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, July 08, 2018

Breadth is Leading the Stock Market Higher. A Bullish Sign / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The NYSE’s Advance-Decline cumulative line is one of the best breadth indicators for the U.S. stock market. It adds the number of stocks that went up each day and subtracts the number of stocks that went down each day.

This is a long term leading indicator for the stock market.

The Advance-Decline cumulative line just made a new high even though the S&P 500 hasn’t. The Advance-Decline cumulative line hasn’t allowed the S&P’s pullbacks to push it down.

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Commodities

Saturday, July 07, 2018

Gold Price Selling Exhausting / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold has been afflicted by relentless selling over the past few weeks or so, forcing it to major lows.  While summer-doldrums weakness is typical, gold’s recent drop is on the large side even for this time of year.  It was fueled by truly-extreme short selling by gold-futures speculators, which is quickly exhausting.  That is paving the way for gold’s major autumn rally to start marching higher any day now, a very-bullish omen.

A month ago when gold was still near $1300, I published my latest research on its summer doldrums.  The first halves of market summers including Junes and early Julies have long tended to be the weakest times of the year seasonally for gold.  They are simply devoid of the recurring seasonal demand surges gold enjoys during most of the rest of the year.  With investors not interested in buying, gold languishes.

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Commodities

Saturday, July 07, 2018

Trump’s Trade Wars Could Spark Global Flight to Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: MoneyMetals

President Donald Trump’s “America First” trade policies are upending decades of global arrangements and entanglements. Globalists are aghast that the leader of the free world is openly confrontational toward NAFTA, NATO, the European Union, United Nations, and World Trade Organization.

In rebuffing the global community by pursuing unilateral tariffs and vowing to win trade wars against both rivals and putative allies alike, Trump is playing a high stakes game. Trump’s trade wars could test the U.S. dollar’s status as world reserve currency.

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Currencies

Saturday, July 07, 2018

The Euro, the British Pound and the Other Side of the Coin / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Nadia_Simmons

Analyzing the medium-term charts of the euro and the British pound, we see that currency bulls fought fiercely with their rivals during recent weeks. Despite several attempts to push both currencies lower, they successfully defended their main strongholds in both cases and defeated fans of the greenback. What does this mean for the U.S. currency and its European competitors?

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Personal_Finance

Saturday, July 07, 2018

Land Rover Discovery Sport What to Know Before Buying, 6 Month Owner Driver Review / Personal_Finance / Motoring

By: N_Walayat

This is my comprehensive review of the Land Rover Discover Sport after owning and driving a HSE Black trim for over 6 months, of what to expect if you are considering buying one as it does take a few months of real world driving before one is fully aware of the cars good and bad points, such as the pretty feeble plastic trim that tends to surround Discovery Sports, the rattling sound that many owners tend to experience again apparently due to poor quality trim / build.

So whilst the Discovery Sport looks great on the driveway and generally drives well, in many other respects my previous 11 year old Zafira was better i.e. the back two seats are seriously lacking in leg room, definitely not enough space for adults! And what's worse is that real world fuel economy will come nowhere near Land Rovers sales pitch of the DISCO doing 53.3 MPG. Then we have the fantasy of the first oil service change at 21,000 miles, when in reality the car will be requesting an oil change much sooner than that! So watch my 6 month real owner and driver review for what you need to beware of if considering buying one. Where this HSE Black was bought from Hunters Inchcape in Chester.

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