Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, May 06, 2011
Today’s Silver Scandal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Under-30 silver traders weren’t alive to see the billionaire Hunt Brothers bankrupted by silver trades, and those under-45 years old probably never read about it. The Hunts’ silver debacle occurred after the “soybean caper,” but before the CFTC fined them $500,000 in a July 1981 out of court settlement for blatant violation of commodities laws in their attempt to corner beans. The Hunts had borrowed money to buy silver and leveraged themselves in silver futures in an attempt to corner the market.
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Friday, May 06, 2011
Potash Prices Headed to $750? / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
With rising global demand for food comes escalating cash flows that enable farmers to purchase additional fertilizers to further boost yields. Dundee Securities Senior Analyst Richard Kelertas follows junior potash explorers that have been red hot for much of the past six months. In this exclusive interview with The Energy Report, Richard shares some names that he believes could develop into bumper-crop multiples for investors.
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Thursday, May 05, 2011
When a Gold Necklace Isn't Jewelry / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Jeff Clark, BIG GOLD writes: When it comes to supply and demand, what you’ve been told about gold jewelry is wrong. That’s a strong statement, but I’ve got a firsthand account to back it up.
Most industry organizations separate jewelry from investment when they tally the numbers on the uses for gold. This makes sense, of course, because one is a coin or bar purchased as a store of value and the other is something designed to be worn. But what if large populations around the world view them as serving the same purpose?
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Thursday, May 05, 2011
Gold, Sources And Remedies Of Financial Instability / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Excerpt: "The hour is late. At stake is the survival of the U.S. and world economy as we know it. Failure to act now would lead to a disaster comparable only to the collapse of the Roman Empire in the fifth century A.D. that was accompanied with a total breakdown of law and order, accompanied, significantly, by gold going into hiding."
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Thursday, May 05, 2011
Gold and Silver Sell Offs Are Precious Metals Bull Market Investment Opportunities / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
"One must take advantage of sell-offs in gold and silver miners; they are opportunities to get on board the secular bull market in precious metals."
The long awaited healthy pullback has come. However, do not forget that Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke will continue devaluing the dollar (UUP) by keeping interest rates at all-time lows and continue quantitative easing as we have not seen a major improvement in unemployment and housing. We are also entering an election year in which central banks do not want to rile the equity markets. Just because the S&P (SPY) has been soaring does not mean the economy is improving.
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Thursday, May 05, 2011
Silver Price Forecast to Trend to $83 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Though Markets often Rhyme they rarely repeat:
With everyone and their grandmother calling a blow-off top in Silver we thought it prudent to present an alternate perspective.
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Thursday, May 05, 2011
Silver for Volatile Times in Desperate Economic Conditions / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Here is an interesting theory on the recent silver run up and correction which someone pointed out to me this evening from a chatboard.
I do not know if his theory is valid of course, and the author allows as much, as more data is required. I doubt even the COT report this Friday will be of use. I like to follow Harvey Organ and Dan Norcini on these matters and will look forward to their weekend commentary.
Thursday, May 05, 2011
What it Takes to Truly Stop the Gold Bull / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
The odds of a long-awaited precious metals correction increased this week.Gold and silver have been setting new high after new high. Gold is up $100 and silver’s up more than $10 since President Obama ruled out significant spending cuts in his mid-April budget speech and the Fed chairman noted inflation will be “transitory.”
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Thursday, May 05, 2011
Gold Testing $1500, Silver Extends Worst Plunge in 24 Years / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
PRICES in LONDON's wholesale spot gold market briefly dipped beneath $1500 per ounce the first time in a week on Thursday in London, bouncing to $1509 – and recovering faster vs. the Euro and Sterling – as both the UK and Eurozone central banks held their interest rates unchanged, significantly below the rate of inflation.
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Thursday, May 05, 2011
Silver Paper Sell Off Confronted by Significant Physical Bullion Demand / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Gold stabilised in Asian and early European trading prior to a 1% fall, while silver’s sharp price fall continues and silver is now down 20% in USD terms in 5 days. The huge and unprecedented increase in margin in the paper silver market has forced some weak hands out of the silver market and allowed the concentrated shorts on Wall Street to press their advantage to the downside.
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Thursday, May 05, 2011
The Institutional Gold Rush / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
I have worked on Wall Street my entire life, and one thing I've learned is that large institutional investors, like pension funds and endowments, rarely veer from the herd. They manage too much of other people's money to stick their necks out alone - if their investments go bad, at least they can point to everyone else who fared just as poorly.
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Thursday, May 05, 2011
Reasons to Keep Riding the Silver Bull Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Peter Krauth writes: After watching silver's wild and relentless climb since last August, some high-profile investors have started taking profits.
That's caused silver prices to correct about 20%, down from $48.70 to $39.05 intraday yesterday (Wednesday).
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Thursday, May 05, 2011
Commodity Markets, Renewed period of bad news = good news? / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Renate van Ginderen writes: Generally, investors remain very bullish on commodity markets. No surprise there - the Fed is still inclined to pursue an extraordinary loose monetary policy. Should macro-economic data deteriorate in 2011, however, this could still be interpreted as positive to asset prices as in that case the Fed will be more likely to opt for a new round of quantitative easing. Therefore, one can expect upward pressure on commodity prices over the coming weeks to months, albeit probably with an intermediate correction, as explained below.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 05, 2011
Gold And Silver Storm The Fed / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
All the perplexities, confusion and distress in America arise, not from defects in their Constitution or Confederation, not from want of honor or virtue, so much as from the downright ignorance of the nature of coin, credit and circulation. John Adams (1735-1826), American President
America’s founding fathers would not be surprised at the dire state of the nation they created in1776. America was then an experiment. No similar form of government had ever been attempted; and even at its birth the founding fathers had doubts as to whether the American experiment would succeed.
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Thursday, May 05, 2011
Gold and Silver Parabolic Moves are Only Temporary / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
The past few weeks we have been seeing the US Dollar slide to new lows at an increasing rate. The strong devaluation of the dollar has sent precious metals like silver and gold rocketing higher out of control sending them parabolic!
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Thursday, May 05, 2011
Silver Leads Precious Metals Sell-Off / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
The iShares Silver Trust (SLV) is down 20% in 4 trading sessions. Let's notice that the SLV has given back ALL of its near-vertical upside blow-off type action ($37.00-$48.35) after the price structure hurdled the top of its 10-month bullish channel.
The SLV has returned to the vicinity of the extension of the upper channel line, which now serves as support starting at $38.30, into the area of the sharply rising 50 DMA ($37.85), which should contain and reverse current SLV weakness.
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Thursday, May 05, 2011
Commodities Bull Market and the Cheapest Money in History / Commodities / CRB Index
So the cheapest money in history played no role in killing the century-long downtrend in commodity prices...?
A LITTLE over three years ago, we published this chart here at BullionVault – now updated so you can see just how much mischief cheap money is causing...
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Thursday, May 05, 2011
How Low Can Silver Go? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Silver has posted an incredible first four months of the year, appreciating by over 60%! But we all know the adage that nothing goes up forever and silver proved it true by finally hitting a wall and correcting by 15% in just three days. The metal continued declining this morning and just tested the psychologically important $40 level.
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Thursday, May 05, 2011
Germany Urges Portugal to Sell its Gold as Mexican Central Bank Buys 100 Tonnes / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Gold is mixed while silver is down some 1.5% again today. Weakness is being attributed to profit taking, momentum-driven traders and rumours regarding selling of gold and silver by George Soros’s fund.
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Wednesday, May 04, 2011
Silver Plunges, Flirts with 20% Bear Market Level / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
THE PRICE OF GOLD held tight as silver prices sank once again in London on Wednesday morning, sitting above last night's two-session low of $1528 per ounce while silver dropped to new 3-week lows, flirting with the technical definition of "bear market".
New data showed the Bank of Mexico buying 93 tonnes of gold bullion for its reserves in Feb. and March, the heaviest central-bank buying since India's 200-tonne purchase from the IMF in Oct. 2009.