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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Monday, May 12, 2008

Precious Metals Correction to End in May / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Captain_Hook

Neither A Borrower Nor A Lender Be  - And most certainly, don't be a gold producer, as the deck is definitively stacked against you here too. We will get back to this subject in just a minute. But first, let's expand on that title, as it's a beauty given global monetary conditions appear to be progressing into a state of hyperinflation . Neither a borrower nor a lender be – is a line first penned by Shakespeare in reference to important lessons in life, which more recently has morphed into a forgotten mores rooted in lessons learned during hard times – or should I say ‘honest money times.' Honest money times – what the heck are ‘honest money times'? Such a terminology implies government and monetary authorities are attempting to pull a fast one in that they are issuing ‘dishonest money'. How can this be when foreigners accept our currency for manufactured ‘hard items', on top of the fact everybody has access to the information concerning currency debasement policies of the present day governing regime?

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Commodities

Monday, May 12, 2008

Gold Positive Fundementals as Western Economies Face Stagflation Threat / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

After last week's more than 3% gain in gold, gold surged to nearly $890.00 in early trading in Asia prior to succumbing to subsequent profit taking. The London AM Gold Fix at 1030 GMT this morning was at $887.25, £453.91 and €573.60 (from $863.50, £434.64 and  €556.74 on Friday).

It is hard to see gold falling significantly this week unless there is a sharp fall in oil prices and strengthening of the dollar – both of which seem unlikely. However, gold has surprised to the downside in recent weeks and further consolidation may be needed prior to challenging $900 again. With oil remaining well bid above $125 and geopolitical risk in Nigeria, Lebanon and Iran still of importance, gold looks likely to be well bid at these levels.

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Commodities

Monday, May 12, 2008

Gold Slips as Speculators Turn Bullish on the US Dollar  / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE SPOT PRICE OF GOLD slipped $10 early in London on Monday, trading below $890 per ounce as world stock markets ticked higher and government bonds sold off.

The Euro picked up 1.5¢ against the Dollar from last week's two-month beneath $1.5300.

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Commodities

Monday, May 12, 2008

Silver Correction Over and Gearing Up for Explosive Rally / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Clive_Maund

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSilver's corrective phase is believed to be complete, meaning that it is now in position to begin another major uptrend. In the last update, which was about 5 weeks ago, it was pointed out that silver was noticeably outperforming gold, and that this implied that if gold went on to drop to our target zone for its correction in the $830 - $850 area, silver might not react much further if at all, and this, as we now know, is exactly what has happened, for it has only dropped marginally below its late March lows, and has not broken below the zone of support that put a floor under it at that time - this is a sign of resilience.

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Commodities

Monday, May 12, 2008

Fool's Gold- Gold Sucker Rally? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Joe_Nicholson

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article“If the rotation trade fizzles and such a rally in gold materializes, while it would tend to discredit an impulse down, it may trap many longs into thinking the larger correction is over, whereas the chart shows we've likely only reached an intermediate term bottom after reaching previous resistance and oversold levels in the RSI. While silver can easily drop into it's 200-day sma near $15.35, it's also reaching oversold levels and should be due for a relief rally soon, in which case resistance at $17 and at the broken trendline will be crucial.” ~ Precious Points: All That Glitters, May 03, 2008

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Commodities

Sunday, May 11, 2008

Gold Correction Completing- Bull Market About to Resume / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Clive_Maund

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold's corrective phase is believed to be complete, meaning that it is now in position to begin another major uptrend. In the last update, which was about 5 weeks ago, we were looking for it to continue to react back to support in the $830 - $850 area above its 200-day moving average, and that is exactly what it has done.

On the 1-year chart we can see how the fine strong uptrend from last August, which broke down into a 5-wave sequence, culminated in a brief sojourn above the psychologically important $1000 level, accompanied by great fanfare in the press, before a classic 3-wave correction back towards the 200-day moving average set in.

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Commodities

Sunday, May 11, 2008

New Russian President, New Investment Opportunities? / Commodities / Russia

By: Martin_Hutchinson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNew Russian President Dmitry Medvedev wants better links with Europe. Judging by the performance of outgoing President Vladimir Putin , Europe should beware: The so-called "links" he's seeking may resemble those used to chain together prisoners in the Gulag.

On the other hand - though it's admittedly unpleasant to say so - there's a point at which the effects of high oil prices are so great that in the short run they far outweigh one's distaste for the thuggish Russian regime. And at $123 a barrel, we may be at that point.

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Commodities

Saturday, May 10, 2008

Gold Trend- What the Heck is Going On? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Merv_Burak

This is a difficult time for a gold analyst, especially when one doesn't REALLY know what the heck's going on behind the scenes. However, one must go on with whatever little intelligence one has and still make broad pronouncements. Let's see what the charts are telling us.

GOLD : LONG TERM
Having declared a P&F long term bear market last week there is no reason for suddenly turning around. What rally there was this week did nothing to the long term P&F chart. So, the P&F bear market continues.

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Commodities

Saturday, May 10, 2008

Soaring Crude Oil and Gasoline Prices Worry US Consumers / Commodities / Gas - Petrol

By: Jennifer_Yousfi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe effects of soaring oil prices are finally trickling down to the pump and consumers are feeling the pinch.

On Friday, oil futures hit a new record of over $126 per barrel. Prices jumped 7.4% last week, with crude oil for June delivery trading as high at $126.20 on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

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Commodities

Saturday, May 10, 2008

How to Survive the Gas / Petrol Crisis / Commodities / Gas - Petrol

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSean Brodrick writes: With gasoline prices up 15 cents a gallon in the last two weeks — and about 63% in the last 18 months — American drivers are feeling a pinch at the pump. Consumers are demanding that Congress "do something" to drive down the price of gasoline.

Two weeks ago, I listed seven things you could do to prepare for $200 per barrel oil . They included tips on getting the most miles from every gallon. Today, I have ideas for how we can get gasoline back to $3 per gallon — maybe even lower.

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Commodities

Saturday, May 10, 2008

Global Food Shock / Commodities / Food Crisis

By: Jennifer_Barry

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs an American, I've taken for granted that I can get just about any food I want at the supermarket. In fact, the number of choices are dizzying. I never really thought about the tenuous chain between myself and my food. Less than 1% of the U.S. population is employed in agriculture, and 40% of these farmers are 55 or older. 1 The chain of transportation that brings goods to the stores is tenuous and depends on a few key railways and truck drivers. Supermarkets could experience spot shortages if the proposed trucker strike gains momentum or more drivers quit the business.

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Commodities

Friday, May 09, 2008

Gold Bullion Becoming a Valuable Backstop for Wealthy Investors / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

"...Why are wealthy investors swapping gold futures for physical metal that they own outright...?"

A LITTLE LESS than 12 months ago, the world's biggest financial players suddenly found they could not turn some $1.3 trillion of their assets into cash.

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Commodities

Friday, May 09, 2008

Why the Gold Bull Market is Far From Over / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

Some talk of the end of the credit crunch. Some say that the gold bull market has suffered severe damage, which will affect its long-term prospects. If we were to accept these statements then it would appear that the gold ‘bull' market is over. But are these statements acceptable and do they reflect the true picture underlying the gold [and silver] markets? To get the proper perspective let's stand back and look at the ‘big' picture.

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Commodities

Friday, May 09, 2008

Soaring Gasoline, Diesel, and Crude Oil Prices / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: Zeal_LLC

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGasoline, usually taken for granted, is weighing heavily on consumer sentiment today. In the States, the AAA just reported that retail gas soared to an average of $3.65 per gallon nationwide! This all-time record high is motivating Americans to drive less, drive slower, and migrate to more efficient cars to save fuel.

As a student of the markets, I find gasoline fascinating. The impact of its pricing creates far-reaching ripples throughout the entire economy. And since transportation is such a basic necessity of life, everyone monitors gas prices on a regular basis. It is fun to watch and analyze such a widely-followed market.

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Commodities

Friday, May 09, 2008

Gold Rides Higher on Speculator Driven Crude Oil Surge / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

PHYSICAL GOLD BULLION reached a nine-session high at the AM Fix in London on Friday, nearing its first weekly gain in four as world stock markets fell hard and crude oil recorded yet another all-time high.

The US Dollar slid against all major currencies barring the British Pound.

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Commodities

Friday, May 09, 2008

Gold Price Positive Developments / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

A firm note tracked the Gold price overnight and it is currently $888.90. Closing above $880 adds to that positive tone and the next resistance level stands at $897. The London AM Gold Fix at 1030 GMT this morning was at $887.25, £453.906 and €573.604 (from $872.25, £445.48 and €568.61 yesterday).

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Commodities

Friday, May 09, 2008

OPEC Cartel Scuppering G7 Central Bankers Financial Sector Rescue Plans / Commodities / Credit Crisis 2008

By: Gary_Dorsch

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe “Group of Seven” central bankers, who control the money spigots in 2/3's of the world's economy, huddled with their colleagues from China and Russia behind closed doors in Basel, Switzerland this week, haunted by the “Crude Oil Vigilantes,” who threaten to unravel G-7 schemes to rescue troubled global banks. Earlier today, the price of West Texas Sweet traded as high as $124 /barrel, doubling from a year ago, and guiding Chicago Corn futures to all-time highs.

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Commodities

Friday, May 09, 2008

Gold and Silver Bull Market – The Fuse Is Lit! / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Peter_Degraaf

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMuch discussion has taken place in recent weeks, regarding the possibility that gold and silver might continue to sink to lower levels, as the summer doldrums set in.

Investors soon become shell-shocked with negative market analysis that looks at a half-full glass of water and refers to is as ‘half empty'.

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Commodities

Friday, May 09, 2008

Real Crude Oil Price Peaks Trigger Recessions / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Black_Swan

Crude oil has a $25 dollar premium built into the price - We are not making this up; it comes from IMF economist John Lipsky, quoted in a story today carried by Bloomberg:

“IMF research indicates that if the dollar hadn't fallen from 2002 to 2007, oil prices would be $25 a barrel lower. Crude oil futures surpassed $120 a barrel this week for the first time. Commodity prices excluding fuel would be 12 percent lower, Lipsky said.”

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Commodities

Thursday, May 08, 2008

Why a Top in Crude Oil is Bullish for Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTechnical analysis isn't just a study of price action of a single stock or market. It involves much more. It has been a while since I've written about intermarket analysis, which studies and compares the relationships between markets. Some markets will be weak if certain markets are in a bull trend. Some markets trend together. A simple example of intermarket analysis is that gold and oil (and most commodities) tend to rise together. Wouldn't that entail gold stocks rising as well? Wouldn't that mean rising oil is good for gold stocks?

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