Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, December 06, 2007
Russian Government and Investors Aggressively Buying Stakes in the Gold Industry / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Gold_Investments
Gold Gold was down $3.90 to $797.20 per ounce in New York yesterday but silver was up 3 cents to $14.30 per ounce. Gold has drifted downwards in Asian and early European trading and is trading at $786.50/787.00 per ounce at 1200 GMT. Gold also fell in pounds sterling and euro to £389 GBP (down from £394) and €541 EUR (down from €546).
The dollar strengthened to a monthly high against the euro and oil fell sharply to below $87 a barrel and this and technical selling is leading to gold's sell off. The recent lows at $775 per ounce should provide support and there could be range trading consolidation between $775 and $845 prior to a likely challenge of the record 1980 high in the coming weeks.
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Thursday, December 06, 2007
Gold Slides as Oil & Bonds Fall, Stocks Rally Ahead of Bush's 'Hope Now' Rescue for US Subprime Market / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Adrian_Ash
SPOT GOLD PRICES continued to slide early Thursday, falling more than 1% from Wednesday's New York close to trade at $786 per ounce by the time the Bank of England made the first cut to Pound Sterling interest rates in two years at midday in London .Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 06, 2007
Dow Jones-AIG Commodity Index rebalancing Generates Significant Price Movements / Commodities / Resources Investing
By: David_Urban
Every year, the Dow Jones-AIG Commodity Index (DJAIG) rebalances for the upcoming year. This is significant for investors in that the DJAIG is followed by many investors looking to obtain commodity exposure. Exposure can be obtained through various investment vehicles created to mirror the index and rebalancing of the indices can create significant price movement as they occur.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 05, 2007
US Economy Hurting, Days of Cheap Resources Coming To an End / Commodities / Metals & Mining
By: David_Vaughn
The well known and respected Gartman Letter remains “steadfastly bullish” on gold. The seasons are bearing down on us. Thanksgiving is now over a week behind us. Christmas is just around the corner and then we have a whole new year to follow these events in repetition. Gold appears to have very strong resistance around 790, but I doubt it will remain in that range for very long. The next major resistance for gold appears to be around 815. And when 815 – 825 is crossed we will probably observe gold making new highs. Always remember its 2 steps forward then 1 step back. I can live with those statistics.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 05, 2007
Why One Ounce of Gold (or Silver or Platinum) Can Cost More, or Less, Than Another… / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Mike_Clark
Have you ever noticed that two bullion coins which contain the exact same amount of the same precious metal, can sometimes sell for a different price?
For example, at the time of this writing, the spot price of gold is $787.50 per ounce. Yet, numerous dealers quote a selling price of $830.80 for the one-ounce American Gold Eagle, $826.90 for the one-ounce Canadian Gold Maple Leaf, and $819.00 for the one-ounce South African Gold Krugerrand.
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Wednesday, December 05, 2007
Gold Trades Above $800; Commodity Bull Market "Still in Early Stages" / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Adrian_Ash
SPOT GOLD PRICES held above $800 per ounce early Wednesday even as the US Dollar rose on the world's currency markets, while crude oil broke back above $90 per barrel after the Opec oil cartel agreed in Abu Dhabi to keep output quotas unchanged.
The resulting 2% jump in oil prices "spurred late buy-backs in gold" in Tokyo, according to Tatsuo Kageyama at Kanetsu Asset Management, helping the Gold Price on Tocom futures for delivery in Oct. '08 to gain 2% as well.
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Wednesday, December 05, 2007
Dow Jones Loses Global Purchasing Power Due to Dollar Devaluation / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Ned_W_Schmidt
The business media keeps telling investors to remain faithful. Paper equities, despite their continuing under performance, are they claim the place to put your wealth. A broken clock is right twice a day, and that seems to beat the record of most of gurus appearing in the business media. We are repeatedly told that the market is just shy of a high, making a high, or consolidating gains. What is important though is not the level of market or the price of an investment.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 04, 2007
Gold Continues to Consolidate Rally From Late August / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Gold_Investments
GoldGold was up $5.10 to $788.20 per ounce in New York yesterday and silver was up 9 cents to $14.07 per ounce. Gold rallied after the close in the New York Access Market and subsequently was flat in Asia before rallying again in trading in London to $794 per ounce at 1200 GMT.
Gold is trading at £384 GBP (up from £379) and €539 EUR (up from €534).
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Tuesday, December 04, 2007
Gold Recovers Overnight Dip as Euro Jumps on Rising Inflation; Subprime Home-Loan Bonds Downgraded / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Adrian_Ash
SPOT GOLD PRICES recovered an overnight dip by lunchtime in London on Tuesday, trading above $795 per ounce as European stock markets stood 1% lower for the day.US bond prices held near recent highs while the Euro rose on the currency markets, gaining almost one cent from last night's two-week lows to the Dollar.
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Monday, December 03, 2007
Crude OIl and Gas Tumble as DUG UltraShort ETF Rallies / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Mike_Paulenoff
My overall technical work in the ProShares Ultrashort Oil & Gas ETF (AMEX: DUG) treats all of the action from the 10/17 low at 37.17 to the 11/29 high at 46.56 as the first phase of an intermediate-term recovery rally. The plunge from the 11/27 high to Friday's low at 41.40 (so far) represents an intervening pullback that separates two major legs of a recovery phase.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 03, 2007
Goldman Sachs Recommendation to Sell Gold Based on Self-interest? / Commodities / Market Manipulation
By: Gold_Investments
GoldGold was down $12.10 to $783.10 per ounce in New York on Friday and silver was down 25 cents to $13.98 per ounce. Gold showed strength in early trading in Asia and rallied to $792 but in early European trading it has given up these gains and has traded back down to $783.50 per ounce at 1200 GMT. Gold is trading at £379 GBP (down from £385) and €534 EUR (down from €540).
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Monday, December 03, 2007
Gold and Oil Fall as Pressure Builds for European Interest Rate Cuts / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Adrian_Ash
THE SPOT GOLD MARKET slipped back from an overnight spike early Monday to hit $778 per ounce – a two-week low – just before the US open.
Asian stock markets were little changed, while European bourses began the week lower. Wall Street futures pointed down, capping their four-day rally, and crude oil futures dropped almost a dollar to trade at a one-month low beneath $88 per barrel.
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Monday, December 03, 2007
Silver Building Up to Resume Uptrend / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Clive_Maund
There are various general points set out in the Gold Market update, relating to the dollar, that are equally applicable to silver, so this Silver Market update will only focus on the detail differences particular to Silver.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 03, 2007
US Dollar Rally to Fail Before USD 80, Gold Correcting First Phase of a Major Up / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Clive_Maund
Some readers may have seen a trades list produced by Goldman Sachs recommending that investors short gold next year. This report has been allocated to the circular filing along with the government inflation statistics.
With the dollar rally predicted on www.clivemaund.com early on Thursday getting underway immediately afterwards, the question is how far this rally will carry, and how much further gold and silver will react as a result.
Monday, December 03, 2007
Gold Short-term Uncertainty But Long-term Bullish / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Merv_Burak
Well, Friday was five in a row. We had two previous five in a row down days this year. One was followed by a reasonable rally while the other was followed by a lateral move which then morphed into the Aug to Nov rally. Is there a rally ahead?Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 03, 2007
Crude Oil Headed Down to $70 For Historic Buying Opportunity / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Elliot_H_Gue
For the first time in more than a year, I'm a near-term bear on oil prices. I suspect that crude could fall to around $70 per barrel in the next three to four months, roughly a 30 percent correction from its recent highs. This move will be a correction of the long-term uptrend in crude, not the end of the bull market. This correction will mark a historic buying opportunity for both oil and oil-related stocks. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, December 02, 2007
Craze for Biofuel Causes Grain Prices to Soar / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
By: Joseph_Dancy
As the dynamic economies of China, India, and Asia continue to expand the size of their middle class – and the population in these areas continues a large scale migration to the major cities – global demand for basic foodstuffs has increased significantly over the last decade. A recent swine virus has adversely impacted Chinese herds, and globally meats and grain inventories are in short supply compared to historical levels.
Meanwhile, biofuels continue to make inroads in the developed countries. The cost of the biofuel feedstock – corn in many cases – has risen with demand. The cost of alternative grains such as wheat and soybeans has also increased.
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Sunday, December 02, 2007
Commodities Price Growth to Slow in 2008 / Commodities / CRB Index
By: Donald_W_Dony
KEY POINTS: • CRB Index expected to advance to new highs in 2008, but with slower growth
• Light crude oil finds solid support at $89; no weakness anticipated – target is $108
• Fed rate cut meeting on December 11 will send gold higher and drop the USD; target is US$875
• Weaker copper prices point to stalling economies; $3.80 is solid resistance
• Natural gas pinned under $8.50 resistance; little chance of growth until second half of 2008. Steady LNG supply should keep prices low.
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Sunday, December 02, 2007
Gold and Silver Analysis - Fairweather Friends / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Joe_Nicholson
“ With each passing week, the pressure on the Fed threatens to bubble over, and it's becoming more and more likely the FOMC will again find itself in a position where it's obliged to cut rates or risk a huge selloff in equities markets. Silver may be the first tell for the direction of the next move. $13.50 continues to look like solid support, if we get there, and with what looks like a five-wave move down off the recent highs, silver will some work to do to avoid slipping lower before attempting new highs. Gold… having penetrated the $750-775 support area mentioned in the TTC forums, it's possible the near term bottom is in here, but… making that bet is not a high risk/reward proposition.” ~ Precious Points: Bullion Bouillabaisse, November 17, 2007Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, December 01, 2007
Golds Friday Sharp Fall - A Conspiracy Theory? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Adrian_Ash
"... Trying to ride this bull market in gold often feels like trying to get your heaviest friend home after way too much beer..."
THE GOLD PRICE just closed out November '07 at an average of $806.25 per ounce, a new record high – and the third record month on the run.
Not that you'd know that from reading the newswires this weekend, however. And fair's fair.
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