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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Monday, February 19, 2018

Is a New Gold Bull Market on the Horizon? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

A read of the gold charts is indicating that a breakout and new bull market are simply a matter of time, says technical analyst Clive Maund. Gold continues to prepare to break out of its giant Head-and-Shoulders bottom pattern. As we can see on its 8-year chart below, this base pattern has been developing for getting on for five years now, so it has major implications. Upside volume has been building for a long time, driving volume indicators higher, a sign that a breakout and new bull market are simply a matter of time, and not much at that now.

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Commodities

Monday, February 19, 2018

Inflationary Pressures Building / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Donald_W_Dony

Inflationary pressures have been on the rise since 2016. The U.S. Inflation Rate currently sits at 2.20 percent up from 1 percent in early 2016.

Increasing economic growth both globally and domestically have aided the rise of inflationary pressures.

The rise or fall in commodity prices are a good reliable gauge on inflation.

But the biggest driver of natural resource prices appears to be the U.S. dollar.

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Commodities

Sunday, February 18, 2018

5 Reasons Why Commodities Are the Investment Place to be in 2018 / Commodities / Investing 2018

By: Richard_Mills

The stock market pullback of the last couple of weeks has shown that markets are jittery, and will likely be volatile for awhile as investors keep a vigil on rising bond yields (inflation) and potential interest rate hikes. In these uncertain times, one sector that appears to be holding its own, and then some, is commodities. Let’s examine why this is the case, and why commodities are going to be THE place to put your money in 2018.

The correction

The stock market correction (let’s not call it a crash) that suddenly saw everyone’s trading apps turn red on Monday Feb. 5 shocked investors. The S&P 500 was off 4.1% at 2,648 - the worst fall in 6.5 years. The rot spread to Asian stock markets the next day, with Japan’s Topix index falling 6.3%, South Korea’s Kospi losing 2.6%, and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 down by 3.7%.

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Commodities

Sunday, February 18, 2018

Gold: Another Month, Another Test Of Key Resistance – But This Time With A Difference / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: John_Rubino

Gold spiked in January, and looked to be headed even higher. But there were some problems. First, futures speculators – as tracked by the Commitment of Traders (COT) report – had gone overwhelmingly long, and since they tend to be wrong at emotional extremes, this was a red flag. Second, gold was approaching the $1360 level that had, since 2014, been the place where upward momentum went to die. For the relevant charts, see Gold Jumps To Crucial Technical Level. Important Action Coming Up.

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Commodities

Saturday, February 17, 2018

Crude Oil Prices: A Case of Dueling Narratives? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: WMA

There are indications Crude Oil prices are going lower. There are also indications that it’s going higher. Which narrative do you believe?

Oil Bears point to what they believe is over-supply caused by soaring US production, mostly from shale fields. With production increasing over +20% in less than two years, and drill rigs on the rise, the US now produces about as much Oil as the industry leaders, Saudi Arabia and Russia. According to the Oil Bears, the Saudi-Russia pact to restrain global production and export levels will break down in 2018, thereby leading to more supply than demand, causing lower prices. Moreover, the Bears are confident that alternative energy supply (e.g., solar/battery and uranium) will eventually win out as it is a cheaper and cleaner power source, and that Electric Vehicles are increasingly favored by consumers.

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Commodities

Friday, February 16, 2018

GDX Gold ETF Weathers Stock Market Selloff / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold miners’ stocks weathered the recent stock-market plunge really well.  As evident in their leading GDX ETF, they were already beaten down before stock markets started falling.  The resulting explosion of fear bled into GDX, forcing it even lower.  Nevertheless, no major technical damage was done.  GDX remained well within its consolidation trend channel and is still within striking distance of a major $25 breakout.

Gold stocks’ behavior during stock-market selloffs can seem capricious.  This small contrarian sector generally amplifies the price action in gold, which drives its collective profitability.  Gold tends to surge in the wake of major stock-market selloffs, which erode investors’ confidence in stocks’ near-term outlook.  That greatly boosts gold investment demand as investors soon rush to wisely diversify their stock-heavy portfolios.

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Commodities

Friday, February 16, 2018

Gold Up 3.8% In Week – If Closes Above $1,360/oz Will Be Biggest Weekly Gain In Nearly 2 Years / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: GoldCore

Gold rose as the dollar fell to near a three-year low against a basket of currencies on Friday, heading for its biggest weekly loss in nine months, as a slew of bearish factors including firming inflation and a fall in retail sales and industrial production hit the dollar.

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Commodities

Friday, February 16, 2018

Allow The Precious Metals Market To Prove Itself / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

We have been here several times before over the last year. The market has bottomed, provided us with a strong rally, but has failed to confirm the major break out for which we have been looking.

As I noted over the weekend, the 144-minute silver chart has been quite prescient in identifying turns in this market. And, it has still not yet failed us. But, the question is what type of turn are we seeing right now?

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Commodities

Thursday, February 15, 2018

Strange Link between Inflation and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

It was a strange day. Inflation surged yesterday. But gold dropped initially, only to quickly reverse the fall and fly into the air. What happened? And – importantly – will gold soar on the inflation fuel?

Inflation Rears Its Ugly Head (or Tries to, at Least)

The recent payrolls report showed that wages had jumped 2.9 percent in January on an annual basis. It was the best result since 2009, which awakened fears of inflation. That’s why investors awaited yesterday’s data on consumer prices. On Tuesday, we warned our readers: “(…) tomorrow, we will see the newest CPI report, which may affect the markets, given that inflation worries were one of the key reasons behind the recent stock market volatility.”

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Commodities

Thursday, February 15, 2018

For Gold, It's Goldilocks Inflation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Rudi Fronk and Jim Anthony, cofounders of Seabridge Gold, delve into the question of whether inflation is good for gold.

Is inflation good for gold? It depends. If inflation provokes a hawkish Fed to raise rates faster than inflation, not so much. But if the Fed is worried about the stock and bond markets and therefore won't raise rates fast enough to keep pace with inflation, that's good for gold. And that's where we seem to be now.

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Commodities

Wednesday, February 14, 2018

This Chart Says Gold Is Beginning a Long-Term Uptrend / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: GoldSilver

There aren’t many investment scenarios you can point to with any degree of certainty and say, “This asset is going to rise.” Saying so is usually fraught with risk, even if in hindsight it turns out to have been an accurate call.

But there are certainly times when you can see that the odds are heavily stacked in your favor. And we have one of those potential scenarios right now in gold.

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Commodities

Wednesday, February 14, 2018

Things Only a True Friend Would Say About Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

We live in very specific times. Getting a “like” on a post or picture becomes a necessary daily activity and means of self-validation. Not “liking” something that others posted or that is massively “liked” like may be frowned upon or even viewed as being disrespectful. Plus, it seems that no matter what you do, everyone gets offended very easily. When did honesty, independence and common-sense stop being virtues?

When it comes to gold investments and gold investment analysis, it’s surprisingly similar. You either like gold and think that it’s going higher right away or you’re “one of them”. “Them” can be anyone who tries to manipulate gold or silver prices, “banksters”, or some kind of unknown enemy. “Analyst’s” goal is often no longer to be as objective as possible and to provide as good and as unbiased analysis as possible, but to simply be cheering for gold and provide as many bullish signals as possible regardless of what one really thinks about them. The above may seem pleasant to readers, but it’s not really in their best interest. In order to make the most of any upswing, it’s best to enter the market as low as possible and to exit relatively close to the top. What happens before a price is as low as possible? It declines. Why would something like that (along with those describing it) be hated by gold investors? It makes no sense, but yet, it’s often the case.

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Commodities

Wednesday, February 14, 2018

Understanding Crude Oil Behavior / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

On Monday, oil bulls extended gains after Friday's invalidation of the breakout, which together with the buy signal generated by the Stochastic Oscillator suggest further improvement. A least at the first sight. But does watching the room through the keyhole give us a full picture of what's inside? We also think so, therefore, we invite you to analyze a broader picture of crude oil.

Let’s analyze the charts below (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

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Commodities

Tuesday, February 13, 2018

Gold and Silver Long-term Buy, Short-term Sell Signal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest movements in the gold and silver markets.

Our proprietary cycle indicator is down.

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Commodities

Tuesday, February 13, 2018

Gold Key Change That Nobody Talks About / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Last week, everyone focused on the stock market sell-off. Reasonably enough, given the pace of the declines. But the analysts failed to pay enough attention to the very important shift. That change may be more important than Trump’s victory in the presidential election. Will the critical switch make gold shine – or dull?

Three Important Legacies of Yellen’s Fed Tenure

A crucial change is behind us. Powell is the new boss. Yellen is out. For better or worse, she doesn’t serve as the Fed Chair any longer. Although economists rated Yellen’s tenure very highly, President Trump didn’t renominate her for the position. Rightly or not? We don’t care. Let journalists debate endlessly – we will analyze the crucial Yellen’s imprints on the Fed, which could affect the gold market in the future.

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Commodities

Tuesday, February 13, 2018

Gold Stocks Groundhog Week / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

The physical metals will continue to outperform mining shares until there is some stabilization in the global arena, posits precious metals expert Michael Ballanger.

In the "I hate to say I-told-you-so" category, it looks like the Punxsutawney Phil came out of his den last week, took one look at the state of the global stock markets, and decided to go back to bed for six years. One short week after I posted "Never Underestimate the Replacement Power of Equities Within a (HYPER) Inflationary Spiral," complete with a chart with five smiling faces of those that would be responsible for "Dow 25,800," we have lost a very quick 2,000 Dow points and 105 for the S&P 500. The VIX (CBOE Volatility Index) has moved from around 9 to nearly 50 and the UVXY [Proshares Trust Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF] ("the divorcee-maker" since 2009) went from $8.52 topping over $30 on Monday.

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Commodities

Monday, February 12, 2018

Platinum Looks Poised for Surprising Gains This Year / Commodities / Platinum

By: MoneyMetals

Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in Greg Weldon, CEO and president of Weldon Financial. Greg has over three decades of market research and trading experience, specializing in the metals and commodity markets, and even authored a book in 2006 titled Gold Trading Boot Camp, where he accurately predicted the implosion of the U.S. credit market, and urged people to buy gold when it was only $550 an ounce. He is a highly sought after presenter at financial conferences throughout the country, and is a regular guest on financial shows around the world, and it's great to have him back here on the Money Metals Podcast.

Greg, it's nice to talk to you again, and thanks for coming on.

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Commodities

Monday, February 12, 2018

Gold Mining Stocks Have Been The Most Frustrating Trade For The Last Year / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

For those that follow me regularly, you will know that I have been tracking a set up for the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSEARCA:GDX), which I analyze as a proxy for the metals mining market. I believe that the GDX can outperform the general equity market once we confirm a long term break out has begun, and I still think we can see it in occur in 2018. But, after last week’s break down below the December 2017 low, the set up will have to be resurrected first in the coming months.

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Commodities

Monday, February 12, 2018

What Does the Stock Market Decline Mean for Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

It was a rough week for investors in stocks and stocks of all kinds. The S&P 500 lost 5%. Emerging Markets also lost 5%. Gold Stocks, which had weakened before the broader equity market have been hit hard. They (GDX, GDXJ) also lost 5% last week. The HUI Gold Bugs Index (which excludes royalty companies unlike GDX) lost 7%. After a strong start to the year, gold stocks have essentially given back all their gains. Nevertheless, we remain extremely optimistic on gold stocks over the next 12-18 months as trends in the economy and stock market should begin to support Gold after the second quarter.

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Commodities

Friday, February 09, 2018

Mars and Mercury Decide the Fate of the U.S. Dollar and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The U.S. dollar has been bleeding recently, despite all the Fed’s tightening efforts and the passage of Trump’s tax cuts. An accelerating economy, rising interest rates and pro-growth reforms should logically drive the value of the American currency. But they didn’t.

Given the strong negative correlation between the greenback and gold, finding the cause behind the dollar’s wounds is highly critical. The most common explanation among analysts is Trump the Destroyer. It shouldn’t be surprising, as the U.S. President is known for his passion for trade protectionism. He also explicitly favors the weak currency to help the exporters. So maybe Trump just got what he wanted?

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