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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Wednesday, April 23, 2008

Gold Bull Market Drivers: Cheap Money, Rapid Inflation / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe two primary engines pushing the US Dollar down are extraordinarily low borrowing costs and extraordinarily high monetary growth. Money is very cheap to borrow, which encourages speculation for basic reason that many investments are rising in price. That covers the demand side for money. The money supply is growing out of control. It is hard to describe any modern day monetary event as like Weimar German times, but this is becoming close. The supply of new money is growing so fast that it is causing internal problems that are not fixable. Prices are rising broadly in the US Economy, since the nation imports everything. Too bad then nation cannot import leaders for government, the financial sector, economic counsel, regulatory bodies, debt rating agencies. While you are at it, import a free press network system.

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 23, 2008

Gold and Silver Bull Market Chart Bonanza! / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn today's chart update I'm going to review the precious metals sector. First I would like to debunk some of the reasons given why the bull run in precious metals is over.

1) The Fed will be done cutting rates.

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 23, 2008

Gold Continues Healthy Consolidation Before Next leg Higher / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold remains in lockdown and is range bound in a narrow channel between $910 and $926. A close above or below this channel will likely see gold test support at $880 or challenge resistance at $950 (see Technical Analysis below).

Gold was up $7.40 to $922.10 per ounce in trading in New York yesterday and silver was up 27 cents to $17.61 per ounce. The London AM Gold Fix at 1030 GMT this morning was at $916.25, £ 459.50 and €573.95 (from $ 920.75, £464.21 and €576.98  yesterday).

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 23, 2008

Gold Weakens as Euro and Crude Oil Retreat from All time Highs / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES gave back an overnight rally in early London trade on Wednesday, dropping 0.9% to a low of $914.60 per ounce as the Euro and crude oil both slipped from their new record highs vs. the Dollar.

World stock markets lacked direction in volatile trade, while US Treasury bond prices fell for the eighth day running.

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 23, 2008

The Mysterious Case of the Commodity Conundrum, Securitization of Commodities and Systemic Concerns (Part 2) / Commodities / Derivatives

By: Mack_Frankfurter

Part 1
Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"The theories which I have expressed there, and which appear to you to be so chimerical, are really extremely practical—so practical that I depend upon them for my bread and cheese." — Sherlock Holmes, A Study in Scarlet (1888)

The mysterious case of the commodity conundrum is sure to elicit passionate debate on either side of the equation—is the commodity boom due to speculation or fundamentals? By the time you read this, a battle in this dispute will have taken place on April 22, 2008 with the CFTC roundtable on agricultural markets.

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 22, 2008

Encouraging Action for Gold Bulls / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Chip_Hanlon

When discussing gold and commodities on CNBC last month , I said I expected gold to underperform commodities such as energy, base metals and agriculture for a period of time. While that scenario has played out and will likely continue to for a little while longer, gold bugs should be encouraged by how the precious metal has performed in recent weeks; while gold was quite overbought on a short-term basis a month ago, it has very quickly moved to a less overbought state while giving back only about 10% of its price as we speak. That's bull market action.

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 22, 2008

The Mysterious Case of the Commodity Conundrum, Securitization of Commodities and Systemic Concerns- Part 1 / Commodities / Derivatives

By: Mack_Frankfurter

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"The theories which I have expressed there, and which appear to you to be so chimerical, are really extremely practical—so practical that I depend upon them for my bread and cheese." — Sherlock Holmes, A Study in Scarlet (1888)

The mysterious case of the commodity conundrum is sure to elicit passionate debate on either side of the equation—is the commodity boom due to speculation or fundamentals? By the time you read this, a battle in this dispute will have taken place on April 22, 2008 with the CFTC roundtable on agricultural markets.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Tuesday, April 22, 2008

Gold Ticks Higher on Nigeria Crude Oil Blockage / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES ticked higher in the first-half of London trade on Tuesday, holding 0.6% above Monday's low of $912.50 per ounce as crude oil rose to a new record high and government bond prices fell sharply, pushing longer-term interest rates higher.

Mining and oil stocks rose in Europe, but banking shares fell after a private-sector rescue of a leading "pfandbrief" lender to Germany's federal-state governments.

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Commodities

Monday, April 21, 2008

Gold Diverging from the US Dollar? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHave gold prices (NYSE: GLD) stopped responding to the weakness in the dolllar? Lately, it certainly would appear so. Let's notice that since mid-March, the Euro actually has carved-out a "rising wedge" pattern, which depicts a series of horizonal rally peaks (around 1.59.00/85 juxtaposed against a series of rising pullback lows), which are putting upward pressure to thrust the euro above 1.6000 into new all-time high territory. Conversely, we have gold prices ignoring the still-bullish pattern in the euro/$, and instead, in the grasp of a downside correction that points towards additional weakness beneath the 4/01 low at $872 on the way to $850/$820. Why the divergent action?

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Commodities

Monday, April 21, 2008

Energy Sector Outlook: Bullish Oil and Gas Trends Still in Place / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Joseph_Dancy

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe price of crude oil hovered around $100 a barrel last month, while natural gas futures pushed toward $10 per thousand cubic feet. Both are impressive due to the fact we are in ‘shoulder season' – a time when moderating weather tends to weaken prices. Long term demand and supply trends remain powerfully bullish. Last month the following events occurred in the energy sector:

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Commodities

Monday, April 21, 2008

Global Grain Prices Reach Record Levels– Fuel Boom In Agricultural Sector / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Joseph_Dancy

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe upward trend in grain and food prices continued last month. Many exporting countries limited agriculture exports, or raised export taxes, to insure adequate domestic supplies. Global inventories of most grains remained at low levels – levels not seen in decades.

Should adverse weather in any of the major global grain producing regions impact this summer's crop, a crisis may erupt in the agriculture sector – which is already under enormous strains. Last month the following developments occurred:

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Commodities

Monday, April 21, 2008

Gold Volatile Following Last Weeks 4.5% Plunge / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE PRICE OF GOLD whip-sawed in a volatile $8 range early Monday, twice spiking above $923 before sliding back below last week's close to record an AM Fix in London today of $915.75 per ounce.

" Gold [in Dollars] is really struggling to make much headway after Friday's [4.5%] fall," noted Tom Kendall of Mitsubishi Corp. to Reuters earlier. "It wouldn't be a surprise to see a test of the downside support around $905." Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, April 21, 2008

Gold Volatile Monday Trading / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

In volatile and choppy indeterminate trade in Asia and Europe gold has traded in tight range between $915 and $923. The London AM Gold Fix at 1030 GMT this morning was at $915.75, £461.64 and €577.40 (from $942.25, £472.19 and €592.31 Friday).

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, April 21, 2008

G.O.L.D. (Gold, Oil, Libor , Dollar) / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Joe_Nicholson

“Support and resistance at the moving averages has so far contained the rallies in gold, but prevented new lows. This situation may be about to change.”~ Precious Points: The Power to Move You, April 13, 2008

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Commodities

Sunday, April 20, 2008

Gold Downtrend Technical Update / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis is a quick update of the Gold forecast trend to between $800 to $830. For the background to the forecast see the two previous articles -

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Commodities

Sunday, April 20, 2008

Derivatives - The Real Dangers to Commodities! / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

The visible dangers of derivatives have been well documented on the internet, as the dangers of their collapse have the same potential as the sub-prime crisis is having now, but the long-term upward drive in commodity prices should limit the threat to a process of de-leveraging, as we have already seen in the large lowering of net speculative long gold positions on COMEX. But we are going to highlight a potentially more destructive facet of derivative here.

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Commodities

Sunday, April 20, 2008

Gold Fails at Resistance Triggering Downtrend / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Merv_Burak

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt looked for a while there like gold could break above its previous rally high but a weak momentum and weak volume action put a halt to that idea. Now what?

GOLD LONG TERM
With the action over the past week or so and especially on Friday one might wonder where the long term P&F chart is now. Well, it has changed little since presented last in this commentary on 04 April 2008 . It is in a serious downward trend and has given us down side projections, once a reversal has been confirmed, but the reversal has not yet been confirmed, by my criteria. The price of gold would have to drop to $870 for a reversal to be confirmed. Should that happen then the projections to $840 and $660 come into play.

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Commodities

Saturday, April 19, 2008

How to Profit from the Worlds Vanishing Seafood- "Live Gold!" / Commodities / Resources Investing

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAll the Johnny-come-latelies are finally waking up to some of the things I've been warning you about — and helping you profit from — for years now ...

For example, the world's deepening water crisis, which I brought to the surface way back in August 2005, even being one of the first, if not the first analyst to coin the term "blue gold."

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Commodities

Saturday, April 19, 2008

Why Gold Was 'Hacked' Friday- and How / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Alex_Wallenwein

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe market delivered a huge"drubbing" to gold and silver Friday– or at least that's what thefinancial powers want you to think.


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Commodities

Saturday, April 19, 2008

Investors Pick Your Poison Now / Commodities / Resources Investing

By: Kurt_Kasun

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe "true grit" of the American investor was on display today as earnings from JP Morgan and Coca-Cola buttressed earnings from Intel, and the tech sector lead all of the indexes higher in today's commendable rally as a result. Never mind endlessly exploding oil prices, a beige book report which confirms the further deterioration of the economy across much of the nation, and a housing report that shows that new starts have plunged to the lowest level in 17 years.

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