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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Wednesday, June 21, 2017

This Chart Proves That Low Oil Prices Can’t Stop US Shale Oil Surge / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: John_Mauldin

By Geopolitical Futures, Mauldin Economics : The US has benefited from the shale revolution more than any other country. Not only does it have vast shale formations, most of its wells are located within its territory. That means producers don’t have to compete for jurisdiction or share their profits.

Shale oil is enmeshed in shale rock, which is located thousands of feet beneath the Earth’s surface and is generally less permeable than other rock types—making deposits more difficult to access.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 21, 2017

Your Future Wealth Depends on what You Decide to Keep and Invest in Now / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

  • Millienials look for instant gratification
  • Spend half of their income on leisure
  • Instant gratification doesn’t work if need to save for the future
  • Savings rates falling, few have retirement funds
  • Important to understand marginal difference between spending and pleasure
  • Future wealth depends on what you decide to keep and invest in now
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Commodities

Wednesday, June 21, 2017

Gold Price is Facing Trend Line Support / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Franco_Shao

After breaking below the bullish trend line from 1214.17 to 1258.92 at 1270 on its 4-hour chart, XAUUSD started a bearish movement from the June 6 high of 1295.94, and the bearish movement extended to as low as 1241.25. Further decline is still possible after a minor consolidation and next target would be at around 1230.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 21, 2017

GOLD Bullish at 3 Degrees of Trend! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Enda_Glynn

My Bias: Long towards 1550
Wave Structure: ZigZag correction to the upside.
Long term wave count: Topping in wave (B) at 1550
Important risk events: USD: Existing Home Sales, Crude Oil Inventories.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 21, 2017

Strength in Gold and Silver Mining Stocks and Its Implications / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Yesterday’s session was not like the previous ones – in the previous days, the precious metals sector moved lower together and mining stocks were leading the way. Yesterday, gold and silver declined, but miners were barely affected. Does this strength indicate a likely turnaround?

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 20, 2017

CRUDE OIL UPDATE- “0.30 risk is cheap for changing implication!” / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Stephen_Cox

Here are 5 charts of WEEKLY CRUDE OIL, telling their interesting MRI 3D story (TIME, PRICE and DEPTH of 4 chart frames) on MAJOR WEEKLY TURNS. Some of these examples presented potentially low risk to high reward implications. The latest example was presented by CRUDE ADC (Daily) CLQ 17 (44.33) Monday.

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 20, 2017

Crude Oil Verifies Price Breakdown – Or Is It Something More? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

On Friday, the black gold gained 1.15% and climbed to the previously-broken lower borer of the trend channel. Is this a verification of the earlier breakdown or something more?

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 20, 2017

Elliott Wave Outlook for GOLD and USDJPY / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Enda_Glynn

My Bias: LONG
Wave Structure: rally in wave [C]
Long term wave count: wave [C] is underway, upside to above 136.00
Important risk events: JPY: N/A. USD: FOMC Member Fischer Speaks, Current Account, FOMC Member Kaplan Speaks.

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 20, 2017

GDXJ Gold Stocks Massacre: The Aftermath / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017

By: The_Gold_Report

Veteran investor Bill Gross' investment strategy offers lessons to all investors, says Lior Gantz, editor of Wealth Research Group.
GDXJ Rebalance

PIMCO (Pacific Investment Management Company) is the largest American-based, private investment company focused on bonds.

As of its last filing, it had over $1.51 trillion in assets under management—that is significant, and the man who founded the company, Bill Gross, has a lot to do with it.

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Commodities

Monday, June 19, 2017

7 Signs You Should Add Gold To Your Portfolio Now / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: HAA

Stephen McBride : Gold got crushed in the post-election rally, but a little over five months into 2017, the yellow metal is up 10.5%—making it one of the best-performing assets of the year so far.

While the outlook for the US economy is more positive than it was 12 months ago, if we zoom out for a moment, the big picture “ain’t so rosy.”

Gold has historically done well in times of uncertainty and panic… and with these seven worrisome signs, there could be plenty ahead.

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Commodities

Monday, June 19, 2017

Bullish Palladium Supporting Commodities / Commodities / Palladium

By: ElliottWave-Forecast

The world is hooked on ‘Palladium’ because of its uses as an industrial metal and catalyst, the consumers are mainly automobile producers as it’s widely used in gasoline-based engine cars to curb harmful emissions from vehicles. Palladium surged +34% this year on expectations that supply will lag demand for a sixth straight year, beating the rest of commodities, combined with last year gains it results in an impressive 95% rally.

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Commodities

Monday, June 19, 2017

Gold Will Start Heading Higher On “Dwindling” Supply / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

James Rickards via Daily Reckoning

Gold was down after the Fed’s hike, but I expect it to start heading higher again. Too many powerful forces are driving it behind the scenes. Dwindling physical supply is a major one.

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Commodities

Monday, June 19, 2017

Gold Proprietary Cycle Indicator Remains Down / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the gold and silver markets, noting signs that gold stocks are near the end of their corrective consolidation.

Our proprietary cycle indicator is down.

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Commodities

Sunday, June 18, 2017

Return of the Gold Bear? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

It was exactly one month ago we discussed our posture as a “bearish Gold bull.”

The gold mining sector hit a historic low nearly 18 months ago but this new cycle has struggled to gain traction as metals prices have stagnated while the stock market and the US Dollar have trended higher. Unfortunately recent technical and fundamental developments argue that precious metals could come under serious pressure in the weeks and months ahead.

First let me start with Gold’s fundamentals, which turned bearish a few months ago and could remain so through the fall. As we have argued, Gold is inversely correlated to real interest rates. Gold rises when real rates fall and Gold falls when real rates rise.

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Commodities

Saturday, June 17, 2017

Reflation, Deflation and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

One of the most important economic debate today is whether the economy will experience reflation or deflation (or low inflation) in the upcoming months. Has the recent reflation been only a temporary jump? Or has it marked the beginning of a new trend? Is the global economy accelerating or are we heading into the next recession? It goes without saying that it is a key investment issue because of the implications for different asset classes, including the precious metals. Let’s try to outline the macroeconomic outlook.

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Commodities

Friday, June 16, 2017

Gold Bullish on Fed Interest Rate Hike / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold reversed sharply lower after the Fed’s latest rate hike this week, on heavy selling from speculators and investors alike.  Bearish sentiment flared on traders’ long-held belief that higher rates spell trouble for zero-yielding gold.  But market history reveals the opposite, that Fed rate hikes are actually bullish for gold.  This week’s Fed-induced gold dump is likely to flag gold bottoming just before a major new rally erupts.

There’s nothing gold-futures speculators fear more than Fed rate hikes.  Their rationale is simple and logical.  Gold pays no interest or dividends, it’s a sterile asset with returns solely dependent on capital gains.  So as interest rates rise and boost yields for bonds and stocks, gold struggles to compete.  Thus gold investment demand wanes as yield differentials grow between it and major competing asset classes.

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Commodities

Friday, June 16, 2017

Heating Oil Bottom Is In.(probably) / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Stephen_Cox

MRI Trading Signals has identified a high probability of a HEATING OIL LOW, at least for awhile.  It may be a stretch to see the nearby HON 17 (141.13) close above the previous week’s close 143.70, requiring a 2.57+ net change on Friday.  IF that happens then HO is confirming the WEEKLY TIME SETUP in the ACL and LCL Closing Line Chart Frames- 3D, 5(F)A, 13(F)a and 30(G)a to WK 07 NOV’16 and 45(G)a to WK 25 JUL’16.  

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Commodities

Friday, June 16, 2017

Is There Gold “Hype” and is Gold an Emotional Trade? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

– Very little hype in gold

– Sentiment is important in the gold market as is other markets particularly stocks

– Article ignores the large body of research showing gold is safe haven asset

– Gold may struggle to breach $1,300 in short term

– Trading gold and short term speculation is high risk and for professionals

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Commodities

Thursday, June 15, 2017

How Precious Metals Can Help Protect Your Wealth from Hackers / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: MoneyMetals

Could your wealth be hacked? It’s a threat most investors overlook. But they do so at their own peril.

If elections can be hacked, then so can bank and brokerage accounts, as well as any online platforms for digital currencies.

More than five months into Donald Trump’s presidency, the “Russia hacked the election” conspiracy theories still won’t go away. They’re expanding to also implicate Russian hackers for meddling in elections in France and elsewhere. The latest Russian hacking story centers on Qatar.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 15, 2017

Gold-Silver Ratio: Debunking The Myth / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Kelsey_Williams

A 16-to-1 gold to silver ratio has been the Holy Grail of some silver investors since the mid-sixties.

Unfortunately, fifty years later, it is a quest that continues unabated without success.

In fact, there is evidence that contradicts and widens the chasm that separates wishful thinking from reality. 

In the Mint Act of 1792, the U.S. government arbitrarily chose a 16 to 1 ratio of gold prices to silver prices.  The actual prices were set at $20.67 per ounce for gold; and $1.29 per ounce for silver.

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