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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Friday, September 22, 2017

Fed Quantitative Tightening Impact on Stocks and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Zeal_LLC

This week’s landmark Federal Open Market Committee decision to launch quantitative tightening is one of the most-important and most-consequential actions in the Federal Reserve’s entire 104-year history.  QT changes everything for world financial markets levitated by years of quantitative easing.  The advent of the QT era has enormous implications for stock markets and gold that all investors need to understand.

This week’s FOMC decision to birth QT in early October certainly wasn’t a surprise.  To the Fed’s credit, this unprecedented paradigm shift had been well-telegraphed.  Back at its mid-June meeting, the FOMC warned “The Committee currently expects to begin implementing a balance sheet normalization program this year”.  Its usual FOMC statement was accompanied by an addendum explaining how QT would likely unfold.

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Commodities

Friday, September 22, 2017

Will North Korea Boost Gold Prices? Part I / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

In August, tensions between the U.S. and North Korea rose after Trump’s famous remarks that threats to the U.S. from Pyongyang would be met with “fire and fury”. The relations between these two countries have not been so tense for a long time. What does it imply for the gold market?

Let’s start with the no-brainer: the conflict about Korean Peninsula is a very old one. It implies that investors are used to it and will not panic after the first dramatic news. Some level of hostile relationships and geopolitical conflicts between countries are inevitable and already priced into the yellow metal. The best example may be the Cold War, i.e. a state of geopolitical tensions between two nuclear powers, the U.S. and the Soviet Union, which lasted from 1947 to 1991, but it did not support the gold prices all the time. Actually, the yellow metal entered a bear market in the 1980s.

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Commodities

Friday, September 22, 2017

Gold: Often, Simple Forecasting Tools Are All You Need - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: EWI

Gold: Often, Simple Forecasting Tools Are All You Need - Video
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Commodities

Thursday, September 21, 2017

Gold Price Moved Below Major Support Trend Line / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Franco_Shao

XAUUSD failed to break above the descending trend line from 1357.45 to 1334.29 on its 4-hour chart and extended its downside movement to as low as 1293.25.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 21, 2017

4 Reasons Gold is Starting to Look Attractive as Cryptocurrencies Falter / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Boris_Dzhingarov

Gold is gradually regaining its shine after cryptocurrencies, particularly Bitcoin entered turbulent waters in the last couple of weeks. 2017 was already shaping up to be the year that gold went into oblivion as an investment and as a safe haven asset. The main reason investors weren't particularly interested in gold at the start of the year was the yellow metal seemed to have underperformed cryptocurrencies which are being marketed as digital gold.
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Commodities

Wednesday, September 20, 2017

Precious Metals Sector is on Major Buy Signal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the gold and silver markets.

Our proprietary cycle indicator is up.

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Commodities

Monday, September 18, 2017

Most Investors Won’t Be Buying Gold & Silver until AFTER Big Gains Occur / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: MoneyMetals

Physical demand for bullion rounds, coins, and bars remains somewhat soft in the U.S. This year’s run higher in prices as well as rising geopolitical tensions has whet the appetites of some investors, but it has not yet triggered broad participation.

With strong gains both this year and last, metals prices have been responding to a host of issues – from unrestrained federal borrowing to the prospect of nuclear exchange. But they haven’t moved up as much as many expect.

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Commodities

Monday, September 18, 2017

Gold Price is Facing Trend Line Support / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

XAUUSD stays below a bearish trend line on its 4-hour chart and remains in the short term downtrend from 1357.45. As long as the price is below the trend line, the downside movement could be expected to continue.

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Commodities

Sunday, September 17, 2017

Australian Dollar vs Japanese Yen Signalling Commodity Inflation / Commodities / CRB Index

By: Submissions

The $AUD Australian Dollar continues to strengthen against the $JPY, Japanese Yen. All the commodity currencies are strong against the $USD also. Below is a weekly chart of $AUDJPY showing a break of the downtrend, a backtest and now price moving higher. We had a yearly cycle low last June, so the next yearly cycle low is not due until mid 2018, so there is plenty of TIME for the $AUDJPY to continue to strengthen.

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Commodities

Sunday, September 17, 2017

Gold Up, Markets Fatigued As War Talk Boils Over / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: The_Gold_Report

By Jan Skoyles:

  • North Korea threatens to reduce the U.S. to ‘ashes and darkness’
  • Markets becoming used to ongoing provocations from North Korea
  • Russia and China continue to support watered down versions of sanctions on Kim’s regime
  • Both NATO and Russia running war games on one another’s borders
  • Putin says Russia will give a suitable response” to NATOs threatening behaviour
  • Gold set to climb as fears over economy and war will drive safe haven demand
Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Saturday, September 16, 2017

Gold And The Need To Explain Price Action / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Kelsey_Williams

People are obsessed with the price of gold. And the demand for answers to the question “Why?” continues to grow. Why did gold go up/down $20.00 today? Why?

All too eager to provide the answer, journalists respond as follows: 

Quote: “A weak U.S. inflation print may be just what gold prices need to finally stay above $1,300.” …WSJ Aug 2016

Seriously? I thought higher gold prices were the result of inflation.

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Commodities

Saturday, September 16, 2017

Gold GLD ETF Investment Resuming / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold has surged dramatically to major breakouts since its usual summer-doldrums lows.  That’s naturally rekindled interest in this leading alternative investment, despite the record-high stock markets.  Investors are starting to return to gold again to prudently diversify their stock-heavy portfolios.  That’s very bullish for gold, as investment capital inflows can persist for months or even years.  This shift is most evident in GLD.

The American SPDR Gold Shares is the world’s leading and dominant gold exchange-traded fund.  Since its birth way back in November 2004, it has acted as a conduit for the vast pools of stock-market capital to migrate into and out of physical gold bullion.  The marginal gold investment demand, and sometimes supply, via GLD can be big and varies wildly.  Thus GLD-share trading is often gold’s primary short-term driver.

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Commodities

Saturday, September 16, 2017

Will Eurozone Growth Boost Gold Prices? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The euro has appreciated about 13 percent against the U.S. dollar so far this year, as the chart below shows. Although it seemed ready to reach parity with the greenback or even to break up, the shared currency was the top-performing currency in the G10 in the first half of the year. Now, there is a hot debate about the future of the euro. As the EUR/USD exchange rate is one of the crucial drivers of gold prices (see the chart below), let’s analyze the outlook for the Eurozone and its currency.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 14, 2017

The $10 Trillion Resource North Korea Can't Tap / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: OilPrice_Com

North Korea may not have proved petroleum reserves, but it’s estimated that the secluded belligerent nation sits on reserves of more than 200 minerals—including rare earth minerals—worth an estimated up to US$10 trillion.

Of course, there are no official reports on how much North Korea’s mineral wealth really is, but according to rough estimates from earlier this decade, Pyongyang’s deposits of coal, iron ore, zinc, copper, graphite, gold, silver, magnesite, molybdenite, and many others, are worth between US$6 trillion and US$10 trillion, as per South Korean projections reported by Quartz.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 14, 2017

Mike Maloney: The Top 10 Reasons I Own Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldSilver

When the average investor thinks about gold, they may view it as an inflation hedge. Or maybe as crisis insurance. Or perhaps solely as a portfolio diversifier.

These are all good reasons to own gold—but those are always good reasons to buy precious metals. Mike Maloney’s reasons to own gold and silver at this point in history are very different than what passes as standard arguments.

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 13, 2017

Massive Equifax Hack Shows Cyber Risk to Deposits and Investments Today / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

  • 44% of US population affected by Equifax hack
  • Hackers took names, birthdays and addresses, Social Security and driver’s license numbers
  • Steve Mnuchin “concerned about the global financial system and keeping it safe,”
  • Hacks is a reminder of the vulnerabilities created in a connected world
  • Cyber security is a major threat to both banking and financial industry
  • Investors should hold physical gold as insurance against hacking and cyber attacks
Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Wednesday, September 13, 2017

Precious Metals Bull Analogs Update / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

We started employing analog charts during the latter stages of the seemingly forever bear market in precious metals. Comparing current to past trends by using price data is not considered technical analysis but it is extremely valuable because history tends to repeat itself. It also helps us identify extremes as well as opportunities. For example, in 2015 it was clear the epic bear market in gold stocks was due for a major reversal. Today, precious metals appear to be in the early innings of a cyclical bull market and the analogs suggest there is plenty of room to run to the upside.

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 12, 2017

Gold And The Coming Collapse: Are We Close To A Major Monetary Event? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Hubert_Moolman

It really should be clear that a major international banking crisis is inevitable, and likely to occur fairly soon. Due to the extreme debt levels, many banks are close to that point of failure.

An event like a stock market crash is likely to push many banks to that point of failure, since the pressure it would create (on cash resources), would expose their inability to fulfill their obligations.

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 12, 2017

Crude Oil Price Invalidated Breakout – What’s next? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

On Friday, crude oil moved sharply lower and lost over 3% after investors digested the EIA report and reacted to the increase in crude oil inventories. Thanks to these circumstances, light crude invalidated the earlier breakout above the resistance area and slipped well below $48. What does it mean for the commodity?

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 12, 2017

Silver Lags Gold But Signs Point to End of Bear Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Clive_Maund

Technical analyst Clive Maund finds that signs are emerging that silver is getting read to break out. On its long-term 10-year chart silver superficially looks like it may still be in a bear market, but on more careful inspection we can see that a large Head-and-Shoulders bottom pattern is completing, which is tilted compared to the similar pattern that is completing in gold, because silver tends to underperform gold at the end of bear markets and the beginning of bull markets. As we can see, unlike gold, it is still some way from breaking out of this base pattern, but should do so not long after the dollar breaks down from its Broadening Top, that we look at in the parallel Gold Market update.

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