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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Monday, April 28, 2008

Gold's March Through $1000 Halted by Feds Creative Policy Towards Creating Liquidity / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Joe_Nicholson

“The rally in gold since December was almost entirely speculative, flight to quality and dollar hedging that will unwind very quickly when conditions change. If a reversal in the dollar has indeed begun, oil will move lower, but not as much as gold. Gold has now defined a clear range and taking any large positions while inside that range is no better than gambling. In the 900-955 area both counts are still valid, which suggests playing the break of the range in whichever direction.” ~ Precious Points: G.O.L.D. (Gold, Oil, Dollar, Libor ), April 20, 2008

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Commodities

Sunday, April 27, 2008

Crude OIl Hits $119- Ways to Profit From Peak Oil / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: Martin_Hutchinson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleVenezuelan President Hugo Chavez said a few months ago that if the United States invades Iran , we could expect to see oil at $200 a barrel. With oil already approaching the $120 mark, we may get there even without invading Iran.

[Perhaps President Chavez could be tempted out of his chaos-causing rule in Caracas with the offer of a rich and perk-filled oil-analyst's job at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. ( GS )].

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Commodities

Sunday, April 27, 2008

Gold Threatens Break of $870 to Trigger Long-term Bear Signal / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Merv_Burak

That was another week we could have done without. Gold and gold stocks seem to be sitting on top of support levels. This next week just might be a very interesting week as far as telling us if the downside continues or if we may see a rise.

GOLD : LONG TERM
The long term P&F chart, shown in these commentaries a few weeks back, has now come back to the $885 level, where it rallied from earlier. However, a further drop to $870 will break below its up trend line and two previous lows to give us a long term BEAR signal. Should that happen the previous projections would become operative with an initial move to $840 and then on to $660. This new move, should it occur, would provide a further projection to $600, so we have potential projections all over the place, and all of them would be P&F valid IF gold should drop to the $870 level (based upon the June 2008 futures contract). Sounds ominous but let's see what the normal charts and indicators are telling us.

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Commodities

Saturday, April 26, 2008

Global Food Crisis Investing Special / Commodities / Food Crisis

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe food riots across the world illustrate the degree to which the world is seeing a shift from cheap food to the early stages of a mega trend in the agricultural sectors that is set to continue for many years. This impact is not just limited to the developing world but people in the developed world have seen their food costs soar by as much as 50% over the last 12months.

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Commodities

Saturday, April 26, 2008

Silver and Gold at Critical Juncture / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Roland_Watson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFirst let me say the email response to my previous article "The Death of Gold?" was unanimous - everyone disagreed with me. Whether that is a contrarian sell signal I do not know. I hope to follow up that article but since I mainly write about silver, allow me a few comments on the silver situation. The chart below sums it up I think - we are at a critical juncture for silver. Indeed the situation is so precarious; a resolution either way may already be underway by the time you read this article.

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Commodities

Saturday, April 26, 2008

Gold and Silver Fall Out of Favor / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: David_Morgan

It seems many once notable gold and silver bugs have abandoned the precious for what? In these uncertain financial times selling precious metals may look wise in the short term but what investment class is doing better? It appears the U.S. dollar is going to swim against the main downward forces and stage a counter trend rally through perhaps the summer and that may just be the opportunity that savvy precious metals investors are looking for to accumulate.

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Commodities

Friday, April 25, 2008

Should Gold Investors Worry on Dip Below $900 on Dollar Strength? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Andy_Sutton

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen in doubt….Fundamentals - There appears to be a need for reassurance right now. A three-day rally in the Dollar has sent Gold below $900/oz. and Silver below $17/oz. There are whispers of currency market intervention, gold market intervention and talk of a Dollar rally. Rest assured, any rally will be a countertrend rally, most likely brief, and mean almost nothing in the grand scheme of things. Ironically, history suggests that the Dollar will rally, based on the unavoidable fact that we are now in a recession. I believe that history will rhyme, but not repeat. The fundamentals to support a sustained Dollar rally simply are not there. Moreover at a fundamental level, nothing has changed. Let's review the major themes and check our scorecard.

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Commodities

Friday, April 25, 2008

Crude Oil Bull Market is Sustainable Due to Supply Fundamentals / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Zeal_LLC

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCrude oil is one of the hottest commodities on the planet these days. Almost without respite, it has surged 16% in April alone! It closed at new all-time record highs on 8 of the past 11 trading days. Pushing $120 per barrel now, the fabled $100 price point that the markets feared for so many years now seems modest.

Commodities bulls have been long oil and oil stocks for many years now, so oil's strength isn't too surprising. Naturally we attribute its powerful advance to a global supply and demand imbalance. Oil demand is simply growing a lot faster than oil supply, so higher prices are the only way to retard demand and accelerate production until a new equilibrium price is reached.

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Commodities

Friday, April 25, 2008

US Hot Dry Summer Forecast Bullish for Energy and Agricultural Investments / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Joseph_Dancy

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSeveral of the sectors we are invested in are extremely weather dependent. The fortunes of the firms in these sectors will hinge to some extent on weather conditions 3-6 months in the future. Firms operating in the agriculture sector are the obvious ones that will be impacted by weather conditions. Less obvious is the impact weather has on the natural gas sector.

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Commodities

Friday, April 25, 2008

Gold Falls to Test Strong Support at $875 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold was down $19.40 to $886.80 per ounce in trading in New York yesterday and silver was down 50 cents to $16.66 per ounce. The London AM Gold Fix at 1030 GMT this morning was at $883.50, £446.51 and €566.38 (from $900.75 £455.85 and €572.09 yesterday).

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Commodities

Friday, April 25, 2008

Crude Oil Heading for $134 During 2008 Despite Near-term Weakness / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Donald_W_Dony

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThursday's downward trading of oil brought some relief to the equity markets. Don't expect the decline to last. Technical models are indicating short-term downward pressure until the end of April. As May unfolds, increasing upward pressure should return. The first level of support is at $110 followed by solid support at $100.

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Commodities

Thursday, April 24, 2008

Plunging Resource Supplies Results in Soaring Profits / Commodities / Resources Investing

By: Yiannis_G_Mostrous

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe most powerful stories in fiction, as well as in investing, have always been simple: love, hate and war for the former; demand, supply and basic needs for the latter. And no story fits the bill better than food and agriculture, for which demand is ever present.

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Commodities

Thursday, April 24, 2008

Gold Follows Euro Lower On German Economic Confidence Numbers / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD slipped to a fresh three-week low beneath $898 per ounce early Thursday in London , as a sharp bounce in the US Dollar forced a drop in equities, crude oil and the Euro.

Short-term US Treasury bonds also capped their eight-day losing streak, however, pushing the two-year yield down to 2.20%.

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Commodities

Thursday, April 24, 2008

Crude Oil Bulls Show Technical Signs of Weakening / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Black_Swan

There’s not a whole lot of technical analysis you can do when an underlying security or asset is shooting straight up through uncharted territory, record high after record high.

But regardless of the situation, you can always analyze price action one day at a time.

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Commodities

Thursday, April 24, 2008

How to Protect Yourself and Profit from the Global Food Price Crisis / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: William_Patalon_III

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen the leader of the United Nation's World Food Programme warned that a "silent tsunami" of hunger is sweeping the globe because of soaring food prices, a lot of folks probably viewed it as just another clever sound bite tossed off by a bureaucrat.

Don't you believe it.

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Commodities

Thursday, April 24, 2008

Gold Falls to Support at $900 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold broke down from its range bound channel yesterday and quickly fell to support at $895-$900 as anticipated. Should gold fall below $900 we could again retest the support of the early April lows of $880. We expect strong support at these levels but there is a possibility that should gold close below $880 we could retest previous resistance at the 1980 nominal high of $850 per ounce.

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Commodities

Thursday, April 24, 2008

Crude Oil Tops $119! What's Next ... / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSean Brodrick writes: Since trading as low as $50.53 early in 2007, oil prices have exploded higher, stunning the world. Just yesterday, crude jumped to a new all-time high above $119 a barrel!

Consumers would probably be happy just to see oil fall back to $100 a barrel. How sad is that?

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 23, 2008

Gold Bull Market Drivers: Cheap Money, Rapid Inflation / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe two primary engines pushing the US Dollar down are extraordinarily low borrowing costs and extraordinarily high monetary growth. Money is very cheap to borrow, which encourages speculation for basic reason that many investments are rising in price. That covers the demand side for money. The money supply is growing out of control. It is hard to describe any modern day monetary event as like Weimar German times, but this is becoming close. The supply of new money is growing so fast that it is causing internal problems that are not fixable. Prices are rising broadly in the US Economy, since the nation imports everything. Too bad then nation cannot import leaders for government, the financial sector, economic counsel, regulatory bodies, debt rating agencies. While you are at it, import a free press network system.

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 23, 2008

Gold and Silver Bull Market Chart Bonanza! / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn today's chart update I'm going to review the precious metals sector. First I would like to debunk some of the reasons given why the bull run in precious metals is over.

1) The Fed will be done cutting rates.

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Commodities

Wednesday, April 23, 2008

Gold Continues Healthy Consolidation Before Next leg Higher / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold remains in lockdown and is range bound in a narrow channel between $910 and $926. A close above or below this channel will likely see gold test support at $880 or challenge resistance at $950 (see Technical Analysis below).

Gold was up $7.40 to $922.10 per ounce in trading in New York yesterday and silver was up 27 cents to $17.61 per ounce. The London AM Gold Fix at 1030 GMT this morning was at $916.25, £ 459.50 and €573.95 (from $ 920.75, £464.21 and €576.98  yesterday).

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