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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Monday, July 14, 2008

Inflation and Oil Ratio Bullish for Precious Metals / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Captain_Hook

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDon't tell this to the price fixers though. Apparently it's fine and dandy to let all other ‘commodities' rise in allowing this inflation thingy blow-off, but not gold, and especially not silver since it's so easily controlled. What kind of a message would that send to the investment world? If silver were allowed to rise, well, then it wouldn't make a lot of sense for gold to be odd man out considering its vital role in the economy, that being the ultimate measure of currency. In fact, if other vital commodities are rising sharply, already it makes little sense gold has not risen further, especially with the world's present ‘reserve currency' the fiat dollar in decline. So again, it would be especially troubling if silver were to begin rising impulsively and gold was left behind from this perspective.

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Commodities

Monday, July 14, 2008

Tokyo Gold Breaks 25-Year High on Fannie-Freddie Bail Out / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE SPOT PRICE OF GOLD slipped 1% against the US Dollar at the London opening on Monday, giving back one-third of Friday's $23 surge as crude oil dropped and government bond prices fell.

Credit spreads – a measure of investor concern over the risk of default – also ticked lower after Sunday's promise of unlimited tax-funded support for Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, the $5 trillion US mortgage companies, from the Treasury in Washington .

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Commodities

Monday, July 14, 2008

Silver Breakout Above Resistance- Strong Buy Signal / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Clive_Maund

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast week both gold and silver staged important breakouts from base areas to commence major uptrends. This is a development that we had been expecting for quite some time. In this update we will concentrate on the differences worth remarking on in the silver chart, and readers are referred, as usual, to the Gold Market update for the general arguments applicable to both metals.

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Commodities

Monday, July 14, 2008

Gold Major Breakout on Freddie & Fannie Catastrophe / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Clive_Maund

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast week both gold and silver staged important breakouts from base areas to commence major uptrends. This is a development that we had been expecting for quite some time. On the 1-year chart for gold we can see how it first broke out from the 3-arc Fan Correction that we earlier delineated with the biggest one day rise for many years - itself a very bullish development. After that it reacted back from the clear line of resistance dating back to late March that marked the top of the base area. This reaction served to ease the short-term overbought condition. Then late last week it blasted through the resistance, this move synchronising with a breakdown by the dollar in response to the Fannie - Freddie catastrophe.

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Commodities

Sunday, July 13, 2008

How to Use Gold to Protect Your Portfolio and Profit / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Money_Morning

Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: One of the things people don't understand about buying gold for diversification is that it doesn't work all the time.

It works over time. That means that you can't simply switch from one asset class to another when the going gets tough and expect miracles. Nor can you expect higher returns.

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Commodities

Sunday, July 13, 2008

Gold and the Credit Crisis / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Roland_Watson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt could not have escaped your attention that the financial sector is undergoing a crisis of confidence just now as the sub-prime loan debacle continues to ripple out to what was once thought as impervious sectors of the banking world.

Having watched the spectacle of bank runs, bank failures (i.e. takeovers), a falling housing market, increased cost of credit, emergency Fed loans and banks trying to boost capital through rights issues, investors are naturally concerned that even their deposit accounts are under threat. Well so far I am not aware of any major loss of funds by depositors as the Federal Reserve steps in to stabilize the cash flow of vulnerable banks and guarantee the deposits of customers via the FDIC scheme.

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Commodities

Friday, July 11, 2008

Gold Resting Ahead of Next Upleg / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mike_Paulenoff

In the event of the world's financial, geopolitical and energy-related problems are NOT solved over the weekend, classic pattern analysis in the streetTRACKS Gold ETF (NYSE: GLD) argues for rest-digestion-pullback into the upside breakout area at 94.00-93.50, followed by a powerful upside pivot reversal that commences a new upleg. Should such a scenario unfold, then we should expect the GLD to head for 96.50 and then 100. Only a break below 92.00 will begin to compromise the upside breakout scenario.

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Commodities

Friday, July 11, 2008

Crude Oil Demand Destruction Stops at the US Border / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Peter_Schiff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs the price of oil reverses course again and closes in on the unheard of price of $150 per barrel, Americans are finally responding to the pressure and have cut back on gasoline consumption.  According to a report this week, Americans used 3.3% less gasoline than at the same time last year and usage now stands at a five-year low.  Although the relative merits of slowing energy consumption is a subject upon which reasonable minds can disagree, the drop is nonetheless an extremely rare event in American economic history.  Many on Wall Street are cheering the possibility that further “demand destruction” will ultimately lead to significantly lower oil prices.  After all, this is basic economics.  Prices are a function of supply and demand, and as demand drops, prices must follow.  This is simple logic, wrongly applied.

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Commodities

Friday, July 11, 2008

The Big Secret about Peak Oil and the US Military / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Mike_Stathis

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThose of you who do not believe Peak Oil Theory should first make sure you fully understand it. According to this theory, after a reservoir has been depleted by half of its total volume, the output begins to plateau or remain constant for some unknown period. At some later time (which is unpredictable) the output begins a permanent decline of variable duration (which is also unpredictable) until the remaining quantity of oil is no longer economically feasible to extract with current technology. Therefore, Peak Oil Theory does not state that the earth is running out of oil per say. It states that the earth is running out of inexpensive oil, otherwise known as conventional oil – the high-grade oil that comes out by drilling on land and requires minimal refinement costs.

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Commodities

Friday, July 11, 2008

Gold Soars on Rumours of Imminent Israeli Attack on Iran Nuclear Facilities / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES came within one dollar of a 15-week high early Friday in London, jumping 2.6% from yesterday's low as European stock markets fell for the sixth time in nine sessions.

Crude oil prices meantime shot $4 to a new record high of almost $146 per barrel after the Jerusalem Post quoted Iraqi sources saying that Israel is practicing and preparing air strikes on nuclear sites in Iran .

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Commodities

Friday, July 11, 2008

AMEX GOLD BUGS INDEX (HUI): Another Golden Opportunity to Buy Gold Shares? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Peter_Zihlmann

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTwo major gold indices dominate the market - the Philadelphia Stock Exchange's XAU and the AMEX's Gold BUGS Index (HUI).

The major difference between the two is that the BUGS index is made up exclusively of mining stocks that do not hedge their gold positions more than a year-and-a-half into the future. This makes the BUGS Index much more profitable than the XAU when gold prices are rising, but can also compound its losses when gold declines. BUGS is an acronym for B asket of U nhedged Gold Stocks. The index was introduced on March 15, 1996 with a starting value of 200.

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Commodities

Friday, July 11, 2008

High Gas Prices Investment Opportunities / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Hans_Wagner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleInvestors who seek to beat the market look for opportunities that indicate changes in market sector trends. The recent rise in the price of oil and along with it the price of gasoline is causing serious problems for people and the economy. In the past we when we have experienced spikes in the price of gasoline, it eventually fell back down as supply outstripped demand. However, there are forces in place that will keep this happy event from taking place this time. As a result, you should consider adjusting your investing themes to recognize that the price of gasoline will remain high, and likely go higher from now on.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 10, 2008

Gold Rally Approaching Key Resistance / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mike_Paulenoff

As we speak the streetTRACKS Gold ETF (NYSE: GLD) is pushing up against a 3-month resistance plateau around 93.30/40, which if hurdled should trigger upside acceleration of the March-July rounded base-like pattern. All of the action between March and July represents a correction that turned out to take the form of a high-level rounded base formation as well, which is exerting intense upward pressure on a series of rally peaks that occurred since March. If (when) hurdled, the GLD should accelerate towards 99-100.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 10, 2008

Gold Jumps as European Equities Sink / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE PRICE OF GOLD leapt 1% to a one-week high at the US opening on Thursday while oil prices struggled near $136 per barrel and European stock markets caught up with the S&P's latest 2% drop.

The Dollar was little changed against the Euro and British Pound, despite news of a 53% jump in US home foreclosures last month from June '07.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 10, 2008

Gold Homing in on $1000 Barrier as Stocks Deliver Zero Growth over Last 10 Years / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold  finished trading in New York yesterday at $926.30 , up $ 5.40 and silver  was up to $18.07 , up 23 cents . Gold  rose again  in the New York Globex electronic market  and in early trading in  Asia  and has remained firm in early European trading .

With geopolitical risk remaining high and financial risk elevated (as seen with U.S. financial stocks yesterday experiencing their largest one day fall since the start of the current financial crisis nearly a year ago - meaning that the benchmark S&P 500 is officially in a bear market) gold is again receiving safe haven and inflation hedging investment flows which is resulting in higher prices. 

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Commodities

Thursday, July 10, 2008

Gold's Underlying Truth and Dow Jones Potential to Fall by 75% / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Brian_Bloom

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs a reasonably intelligent man of 61 years of age, this analyst is not unmindful of the fact that his recent preoccupation with the wisdom of the Ancients has been raising eyebrows – if not questions as to his sanity – amongst regular and (previously?) loyal readers. What possible linkage could an understanding of the Ancients have with investment and making money?

Those who have been puzzled may rest assured. I have not been going off with the pixies. There are solid reasons; and one of these reasons flows from the fact that, in today's markets, everyone and his brother is a technical analyst.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 09, 2008

Crude Oil Minor Recovery Bounce Underway / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Purely from a near-term technical perspective, today's geo-political "strength" in crude oil and its ETF the US Oil Trust (AMEX: USO) has the look of a minor recovery bounce rather than the start of a new upleg in the aftermath of the $6 and 5.5% decline since the July 2 high of 117.94 in the USO (to yesterday's reaction low at $111.63).

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 09, 2008

Gold Corrects After Recent Bullish Run as Iran Tests Long-range Shahab-3 Missile / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE SPOT PRICE OF GOLD gave back a 1% rally in London on Wednesday, trading $20 per ounce below this time last week as crude oil managed only a slight bounce on news of an Iranian missile test.

Already subject to international sanctions over its nuclear research program, Tehran said today it successfully fired a Shahab-3 missile overnight, capable of reaching Israel.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 09, 2008

Osama Bin Laden's Oil Price Victory Fueling Red-Hot Inflation / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSean Brodrick writes: Sometimes your worst fears come back to bite you in the rear. Case in point: In the New York Times, on October 14, 2001 the managing director of an oil consulting firm warned: "If Bin Laden takes over and becomes king of Saudi Arabia, he'd turn off the tap ... he wants oil to be $144 a barrel."

At the time, oil traded at $23, and $144 a barrel seemed downright impossible. Well, terror mastermind Osama Bin Laden, safe in his undisclosed rat hole, must be grinning like a Cheshire cat, because last week oil soared past $144 a barrel.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 09, 2008

Gold Forecast to Rise to £1,800 (GBP) / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold  finished trading in New York yesterday at $920.90 , down $ 5 and silver  fell to $17.8 4 , down  1 cents . Gold  again traded down in the New York Globex electronic market  and in early trading in  Asia  prior to rallying in late trading in Asia and and early European trading  back above it's opening price in New York yesterday . 

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