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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Monday, December 09, 2013

Gold ETF Selling Continue, Futures Bearishness Marks "Possible Turn in Sentiment" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

The PRICE of wholesale gold held steady around $1230 per ounce in London trade Monday morning, ticking upwards as European shares slipped but Asian stock markets closed higher after strong data from China.

The Euro rose to 6-week highs vs. the Dollar on the FX market, capping gold priced in the single currency beneath €900 per ounce.

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Commodities

Monday, December 09, 2013

Gold Cycle Bottom Coming Due / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Jim_Curry

For the near-term action in the gold market, there are several key cycles that are coming due right now with the gold market, with both the daily weekly cycles due for a bottom of some degree. Whether that low will end up as anything meaningful remains to be seen, though at least a short-term bottom is expected to materialize, with the daily cycles looking for the same on or around the December 6th date. Take a look at the chart below:

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Commodities

Monday, December 09, 2013

HUI Stocks to Gold Ratio Charts..When is Enough Enough? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Rambus_Chartology

Tonight I would like to show you some HUI to gold ratio charts that could give us a place to look for the ultimate low for the big cap precious metals stocks. So far these charts have been playing out for over five years. The first chart is a 5 year daily line chart that shows the blue 5 point triangle reversal pattern. That 5 point blue triangle reversal pattern has led the big cap PM stocks lower forming one consolation pattern after another.

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Commodities

Sunday, December 08, 2013

Silver Price Letting The Market Speak / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Michael_Noonan

We are not a source for or fans of endless statistics, like the number of ounces purchased from one period over another, how many ounces are available at the Comex, how many ounces have been mined, the demand for v the production of silver, etc, etc, etc. Too boring.

It may satisfy many to know this information, but we are more interested in what translates into results, where can a market turn be determined, where price is likely to go, etc, etc, etc? This is where the challenge lies, for it comes down to timing in order to enter or exit a market, seeking profit opportunity in the process.

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Commodities

Saturday, December 07, 2013

OPEC Warned On 2014 Crude Oil Supply Glut / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Andrew_McKillop

TIMELY ADVICE TO OPEC
Leo Drollas, the head of the Saudi-backed, London-based Centre for Global Energy Studies in a 3 December interview with New Europe on the eve of the 4 December OPEC meeting, itemized several supply-side reasons why present high oil prices are not forever. Apart from the USA's record-breaking output of oil driven by its shale-oil production, Drollas said: “Next year, Iraqi oil will increase by 300,000 barrels a day, we think at least, there will be 250,000 more from Venezuela, there will be possibly 1 more million barrels from Iran, when Iran comes back, and Libyan oil should return”.

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Commodities

Saturday, December 07, 2013

Gold And Silver - Your Economical Survival Depends On Them / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Michael_Noonan

We had planned on writing about China's emergence as the world's new superpower, while the United States keeps sliding into Third World status, but we cannot escape the more cogent political implications/ramifications of the diverging paths between the two countries. Actually, the United States has turned direction from a positive influence to a negative one with almost all other countries in the world.

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Commodities

Friday, December 06, 2013

Gold ETF Selling Waning / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold’s worst year in memory was largely the result of extreme gold-ETF selling.  A flood of gold supply hammered gold prices as stock investors around the world aggressively dumped gold ETFs.  They were rotating out of gold to chase the Fed-driven stock-market levitations.  But as toppy stock markets inevitably reverse, so will capital flows.  Gold-ETF outflows are already waning, and will soon shift to accelerating inflows.

This is a very bullish omen for battered gold prices.  They are determined by supply and demand, like everything else traded in financial markets.  When supply exceeds demand, prices retreat until a new equilibrium level is reached that balances buying and selling.  Fundamentally, this year’s extreme gold-ETF selling is responsible for literally all the world’s excess gold supply.  That vanishes and gold soars.

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Commodities

Friday, December 06, 2013

Gold Reverses Sharp Drop on Strong US Jobs Report / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

WHOLESALE gold in London reversed a sharp drop Friday lunchtime, recovering a $20 plunge on the release of US jobs data to trade back above $1230 per ounce, heading for a 1.7% drop on the week.

Versus analyst forecasts of 180,000 net hiring last month, the US economy added 203,000 jobs according to the official Non-Farm Payrolls report.

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Commodities

Friday, December 06, 2013

Circling Back to Silver Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Beyond the typical underlying changes in money supply there are very important elements of demand that continue to push the price of physical silver higher and higher. This is despite the fact that silver has been money for much longer then gold.

One element is the elasticity of demand for silver, particularly in the manufacturing of electronics.

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Commodities

Friday, December 06, 2013

Two Factors Suggest Gold Market Problems Will Get Bigger / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: DailyGainsLetter

Mohammad Zulfiqar writes: Gold bullion prices are taking a big hit. The precious metal continues to slide lower, and sits at the lowest level since July; negativity towards it is exuberant. There’s a significant amount of noise that says gold bullion prices will go much lower, and those who are against it can be found saying that it’s not worth the investment—those who are bullish on the precious metal are ridiculed.

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Commodities

Friday, December 06, 2013

Massive Silver Trading Opportunity / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Investmentscore.com

Some of the biggest, most profitable trading opportunities only come around once every thirty years or so and we think this may be one of them. Why do we think we have spotted a massive trading opportunity?

  1. We believe a thirty three year overhead resistance level may be broken in the near future and the big money is made in the big trends.
  2. We believe a precedent for this breakout has already been set.
  3. We believe there may be an early "buy signal" in the current setup.
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Commodities

Friday, December 06, 2013

Forget About Trying To Get Rich With Gold… You’re Going To Need It To Survive! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Submissions

Mike McGill writes: With the precious metals market in the doldrums and at the bottom of a thirty month correction, there has definitely been some hand wringing and a whole bunch of moping from investors who purchased gold and silver at or near the 2011 highs. This is natural and to be expected. Nobody wants to lose money. People purchase investments ostensibly to make money – hopefully, a lot of it.

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Commodities

Friday, December 06, 2013

Government Price Manipulation Happening Now! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

In 2013 the Indian Government raised import duties to 15% on gold. It then prevented the import of gold unless 20% of that gold was exported. Now this is blocked too. What impact has this had on the gold price? Here we look at the relevance of these moves to both the London and New York gold prices, which dominate the gold world.

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Commodities

Friday, December 06, 2013

Crude Oil Price Outlook / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

In our previous essay we focused on the oil-stocks-to-oil ratio and its implications for oil stocks. However, at the end of November we checked this ratio to find out what impact it could have on future crude oil's moves. At that time we wrote the following:

(...) the first thing that catches the eye on the above chart is a strong negative correlation between the ratio and the price of light crude.(...) the ratio remains in the gap between the April 2009 low and May 2009 high (...). In all previous cases, such a position of the ratio triggered a correction, which resulted in higher prices of light crude. Additionally, the ratio has approached the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level (based on the entire 2009-2011 decline), which is a strong resistance level. Taking the above into account, if history repeats itself once again and the ratio declines, we will likely see the bottom of the current correction.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 05, 2013

Gold Bull Over? Time for Goldbugs to Admit Defeat? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Jeff_Clark

After a 12-year run, it looks like gold's wave has truly crested, and many bears are arguing that it's all downhill from here. A quick glance at a long-term gold price chart can certainly seem to confirm this impression.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 05, 2013

Capitalising on Gold Strong Fundamentals Using Options / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: J_W_Jones

Throughout most of 2013, gold futures have been under major selling pressure. Gold opened the year trading around $1,675 per ounce. As of the 12/02/13 close, gold futures were trading around $1,220 per ounce which would mean that thus far in 2013, gold futures have lost more than 27% of their value.

Looking back to September of 2011, gold's all time high came in around $1,923 per ounce. In a little more than 2 years, gold prices have dropped around $700 per ounce representing a total loss of more than 36% based on the 12/02/13 closing price. I would say most analysts would agree that gold has been in a bear market over the past two years.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 05, 2013

Gold Mining Stocks Suggest Further Declines / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: P_Radomski_CFA

In our last essay we examined the situation in the US Dollar Index (from many perspectives) and the Euro Index, as many times in the past it gave us important clues about future precious metals’ moves. Back then we wrote that the implications for the precious metal market were bearish just as the outlook for the Euro Index and just as it was bullish for the USD Index.

On the next trading day, after the essay was posted, gold, silver and mining stocks declined along with the European currency and hit their fresh monthly lows. Does it mean that the final bottom for the decline in gold, silver and mining stocks is already in?

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 04, 2013

No Evidence for Gold and Silver Price Manipulation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: John_Mauldin

Grant Williams

This is an early warning. I'm going to be talking about gold (again) this week, so those amongst you who just kinda wish I wouldn't do that may be excused.

There. Now it's just us.

On November 1, 1961, an agreement was reached between the United States and seven European countries to cooperate in achieving a shared, and very clearly, stated aim.

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 04, 2013

Evidence on Why Gold Is Falling on the Verge of a Dollar Implosion - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Casey_Research

By Bud Conrad, Chief Economist

Bud Conrad, Casey Research chief economist, predicts in this fascinating interview with Future Money Trends that the US dollar will implode and be replaced with a new currency, quite possibly one backed by gold. Then why is the gold price dropping like a brick in the face of dollar devaluation? Watch the video for Bud's eye-opening answer…

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 04, 2013

Gold Culture - The Eastern Lust For Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Peter_Schiff

Having replaced savings with debt on both the national and individual levels, I think it's well past time for Westerners to take a few lessons from our creditors in the East. Many Americans consider gold a "barbarous relic," but in Asia, the yellow metal remains the bedrock of individual savings plans. This means that either greater than half of the world's population are barbarians, or they've held onto an important tradition that our culture has forgotten.

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