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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Wednesday, September 12, 2018

For Gold, It's All About the Dollar / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Rudi Fronk and Jim Anthony, cofounders of Seabridge Gold, discuss the factors that they believe could cause a powerful rally in gold.

Positioning, sentiment and market structure favor a powerful rally in gold. The COTs released by the CME on September 7, 2018, show the gross speculative short position grew 1.3% to 213,259 contracts, just shy of the all-time record set two weeks ago. On a net basis, speculators are short 13,500 contracts, the largest short position since December, 2001. The commercial net short position collapsed into negative territory for the first time since December, 2001 at -6,525 contracts. In other words, commercials are now net LONG, a very rare occurrence historically seen only at major turning points.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Tuesday, September 11, 2018

Gold Price Trend Analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is the second article in a series of 5 to conclude in a detailed trend forecast for the Gold price for the whole of the remainder of 2018.

  1. Gold Price Trend 2018 Recap
  2. Trend Analysis
  3. Seasonal Analysis
  4. US Dollar
  5. Forecast Conclusion

However the whole of this analysis was first made available to Patrons who support my work on the 9th of September. So to get immediate First Access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 11, 2018

The Downside For Oil Price Is Limited / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

More than two weeks of nearly uninterrupted price gains for crude oil ended this week, with the rally running out of steam. The question is what happens next?

Oil prices posted steep losses just as the bulls were back on the march. WTI briefly topped $70 per barrel in recent days and Brent was flirting with $80. But the rally was kneecapped by a variety of factors, and it could be challenging to break above those key pricing thresholds in the near future.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Tuesday, September 11, 2018

ALERT: Gold-to-Silver Ratio Spikes to Highest Level in 27 Years! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Jason_Hamlin

The gold-silver ratio has been one of the most reliable technical ‘buy’ indictors for silver, whenever the ratio climbs above 80. The gold-to-silver ratio has now spiked above 85, which is the highest level of this entire 18-year bull market! In fact, you have to go back 27 years to 1991 for the ratio to be higher than it is today. Amazingly, the ratio is currently higher than it was at the depths of the 2008-09 financial crisis (circled in the chart below).

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, September 10, 2018

Gold Price 2018 Trend - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

In this series of 5 videos I will conclude in a detailed trend forecast for the Gold price for the whole of the remainder of 2018. However the whole of this analysis was first made available to Patrons who support my work on the 9th of September. So to get immediate First Access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Sunday, September 09, 2018

Gold Price Balanced on a Knife Edge at $1200 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Gold price that began 2018 strongly continuing it's bull run from a Mid December 2017 swing low of 1238, rising to a February peak of $1365 before correcting to a March low of $1309 that set the scene for a trading range of $1365 to $1309 pending a breakout higher. Then two further attempts at breaking above $1365 failed to materialise, instead resulting in the Gold price breaking below $1309 support during May which put the Gold price on a decidedly downwards trend trajectory where each rally off each subsequent low failed to follow through, thus resulting in a relentless downtrend all the way to what at the start of the year would have seemed a completely unimaginable price for Gold to trade down to by Mid year of $1167.

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Commodities

Sunday, September 09, 2018

The Gold Price Rally is Finally Here! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Austin_Galt

Pattern – price looks to have capitulated into a low at $1162 and I am now looking for price to trade down and set up a higher low.

Bollinger Bands – price fell just short of the upper band and is now back at the middle band which has been providing support. I expect this support to give way with price pushing into the lower band to set up the higher low.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Saturday, September 08, 2018

Long Term Gold and Currency Charts / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Rambus_Chartology

Today I would like to update some of the PM charts we’ve been following to see how they’ve been progressing starting with the massive ten year H&S top on gold. Since the price action broke below the neckline several weeks ago it’s a week to week observation to see how the backtest is playing out. The backtest to the neckline comes in around the 1225 area with this weeks high at 1212.70 so the backtest held for another week. What we need to see next for the current move lower to continue is to see a new weekly close below the previous weekly low.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Saturday, September 08, 2018

The Bullish CoT Setups in Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

You may know me as the guy using weird planetary alignments while assigning proper fundamentals to the gold sector, and recently even doing the same with a somewhat subjective and philosophical view of gold as an important counterweight or insurance component to a sensible portfolio. Or you may know me as the guy who confuses you with too many market indicators or annoys you with too many exposés of the more promotional and/or manipulative entities out there.

Or you may not know me at all.

If that is the case, let me introduce myself. My name is Gary and today I have a very simple post for your consideration. We will look at the now compelling views of the Commitments of Traders (CoT) data for gold and silver. While the prices of the metals are and have been technically bearish and the fundamentals are and have been poor, sentiment (CoT is ultimately a sentiment thing, after all) setups like those shown below should not be ignored. We are talking historic in silver and merely compelling in gold.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Friday, September 07, 2018

Congressmen Introduce Bill to End Taxation of Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: MoneyMetals

Washington, DC (September 7, 2018) – The battle to end taxation of constitutional money has reached the federal level as U.S. Representative Alex Mooney (R-WV) today introduced sound money legislation to remove all federal income taxation from gold and silver coins and bullion.

The Monetary Metals Tax Neutrality Act – backed by the Sound Money Defense League, Money Metals Exchange, and free-market activists – would clarify that the sale or exchange of precious metals bullion and coins are not to be included in capital gains, losses, or any other type of federal income calculation.

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Commodities

Friday, September 07, 2018

Record Gold and Silver Shorts! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold and silver were thrashed this past summer, relentlessly pounded to deep new lows.  That has fueled extreme bearishness, with traders convinced the precious metals’ fundamentals are rotten.  But epic all-time-record futures short selling by speculators was the real culprit.  These unprecedented shorts must soon be covered with proportional buying, which is super-bullish for gold and silver prices in the coming months.

Traders generally assume fundamentals drive short-term price action, that real imbalances in supply and demand push prices to market-clearing levels.  Unfortunately these core underlying dynamics are heavily distorted in gold and silver.  Futures speculators who never own these precious metals are able to wield wildly-disproportional outsized influence over their prices.  The main reason is extreme leverage inherent in futures.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Friday, September 07, 2018

Gold Asks: If Not Recession, Then What? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

We are on the verge of recession. The Fed tightens and in the past it has never ended well. Yield curve is almost flat. When it inverses, it will be the end. All the bubbles will burst, pushing the global economy into another crisis. It will be more serious than all the previous cases, especially given that Trump will trigger a trade war or maybe even a conventional one.

Have you heard these gloomy prophecies? We have. Many times, probably too many times. But what if they are wrong? Let’s run our imagination wild and think what if this time is really different. We know, we know: it isn’t. But, as a counterweight for all these pessimistic narratives, let’s see what is the most rosy scenario for the world – and what does it imply for the gold market.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Friday, September 07, 2018

Gold Miners Setting Up for Big Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

The recent rally attempt of the gold stocks fizzled out as the December 2016 lows failed to hold. Now the miners are making new lows. As they pine for the next support they figure to be even more oversold as more bulls throw in the towel. These are the conditions needed to engender a significant counter-trend rebound. While we aren’t predicting it yet, look for a bullish reversal to begin sometime in the next few weeks.

The gold stocks have lost their December 2016 support but strong support is not too far away. The breakdown in GDX below $21 projects to a measured downside target of roughly $16.50. That aligns with the next strong support level on the chart. The breakdown in GDXJ projects down to the $23-$24 area. That is very close to the next strong support level around $24-$25.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, September 06, 2018

Crude Oil Price Likely To Find Support In Uptrend / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Chris_Vermeulen

I have focused my attention on the recent price rotation in the Crude Oil market.  I believe the recent downside rotation in price, while technically still in a bullish trend, is an excellent opportunity for traders to identify entry positions for a potential price rally to levels near of above $70~71 ppb.

My proprietary price modeling systems and price cycle systems are clearly illustrating that Oil prices should find support, bottom and rotate higher within the next 5~7+ days.  I rely on these proprietary indicators and modeling systems to help understand when opportunities exist in the markets.  When I can determine that price is moving counter to a primary trend and creating what I call a “price anomaly”, where enhanced opportunity exists for a profitable outcome, I attempt to determine if this trigger warrants alerting our followers.  In this case, I believe the opportunity for upside price action following this price rotation is exceptional.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, September 06, 2018

Gold-Acquiring Foreign Powers Put Petro-Dollar in Jeopardy / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: MoneyMetals

President Donald Trump’s administration is playing a game of high-stakes international chess with Russia, Iran, Turkey, China, and other countries viewed as adversaries in trade and geopolitics.

It’s not necessarily the case that tariffs, sanctions, and blustering will result in a hot war. More likely, escalating strife between the U.S. and a bloc of much more populous adversaries will push them to unite more closely to undermine and ultimately dethrone King Dollar.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, September 06, 2018

Are Bitcoin and Gold Bottoming? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Bitcoin plunged from 7385 to 6830, or 7.5%, Wednesday in reaction to a Business Insider report that Goldman Sachs has decided to drop a year-ago decision to create a crypto-currency trading desk.

Apparently, Goldman is "uncertain" about the regulatory environment. Hmm, really? Since when has Goldman shied away from forging a new path while it influences the architecture of a new regulatory environment?

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Wednesday, September 05, 2018

Precious Metals Sector Now on a Long-term Sell Signal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

In his weekly precious metals market update, technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the gold and silver markets.

Our proprietary cycle indicator is down.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Wednesday, September 05, 2018

Why Would You Even Think About Buying Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

Gold is a relic of the past. There is no interest from the millennials for gold. The cryptocurrencies are taking demand away from gold. Central banks have been selling gold over the last few years. Interest rates do not support a rally in gold. Gold funds have been closing of late, which evidences the lack of demand for gold.

We have heard so many reasons as to why no one should buy gold. In fact, the people you speak with about gold either view it with disgust (those who own it) or complete indifference (those who do not).

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 05, 2018

Gold and Silver’s Stormy September / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

There were only a few analyses that we started with a quote, and there were even fewer that we began by quoting a song. It may even be the first one ever.

I am the storm and I am the wonder
And the flashlights, nightmares
And sudden explosions

  • Royksopp, “What Else Is There”

And you will have all the above in September. At least if you’re going to pay attention to gold, silver and mining stocks.

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Commodities

Tuesday, September 04, 2018

Gold Price Analysis: 3 Ideas Make Tough Trading / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: WavePatternTraders

If you have been following Gold over the last few years you are probably frustrated like most Gold bulls are, essentially Gold and Gold stocks have gone nowhere for the past two years, although you could argue that the many Gold stocks have a downwards bias the past two years, but Gold is still above the Dec 2016 lows.

There are a number of patterns that I am currently watching and no one idea has a strong foothold, although if any upside fails to move above $1340, then it will make a better case for Idea 3 and a large triangle has been in progress over the last 2 years.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


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