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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Wednesday, November 21, 2018

Have We Seen The Worst of the Gold Bubble Burst? / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Harry_Dent

You know I’ve been fighting the gold bugs for a long time. Gold is an inflation hedge, not a deflation hedge. Turn to gold for safety during a deflationary period and you’ll get your ass handed to you on a golden platter!

Gold is simply another commodity and it burst in the 30-year cycle top between 2008 and 2011, just like it did after the 1980 top.

But my bubble model projected that gold would fall to at least $700 and possibly as low as $400 to $450 per ounce…

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 21, 2018

Powell and Gold between Inflation and Global Slowdown / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Powell is apparently between a rock and a hard place. Inflation surged, while the global economy slowed down. What will he do? And how will gold react?

Inflation Jumps in October

The consumer price index climbed 0.3 percent last month, after rising 0.1 percent in September, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. It was the biggest rise since January, and it was mainly caused by an impressive surge in the fuel oil (+3.7 percent) and gasoline indices (+3 percent). However, the core CPI, which excludes food and energy, also rose, advancing 0.2 percent in October, following a 0.1-percent increase in September.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 20, 2018

Can We Expect A Major Rebound In Crude Oil Prices? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

After declining by more than 20 percent from the October peak, oil prices are showing some signs that they have now bottomed out.

WTI hit a low point at $56 per barrel on Wednesday and Brent hit a low just below $65 per barrel. Both crude benchmarks regained some ground at the end of the week, despite the huge increase in U.S. crude oil inventories. In fact, rising prices in the face of the 10-million-barrel increase in crude stocks suggests that oil may have already hit a bottom. “[Y]esterday’s price reaction to the US inventory data shows that negative news is now largely priced in,” Commerzbank said in a note. “This is the only way to explain why an increase in US crude oil stocks of a good 10 million barrels failed to put further pressure on prices.”

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 20, 2018

Commodities - What Do You Need To Know? / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Submissions

When dealing with the buying and selling of commodities, there are things which you need to know. It can be a complicated business, and this means that people who buy and sell products can fall into some of the common pitfalls and experience issues.

However, commodities can cover a wide range of different goods and services, so there are things that you're going to need to know. To try and make sure that you've got a good understanding of how things work, we're going to be taking a look at a few of the things you need to know about commodities.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 20, 2018

Precious Metals Moving In Unison For A Massive Price Advance / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Are the metals markets ending a price correction in unison and preparing for a massive price advance?  This is the question we asked our research team to investigate and their findings may help skilled traders identify great opportunities in the future.  This multi-part research article will share our most recent opinion about the metals markets as well as share some critical new data that can shed some light into what we believe will become a massive upside price rally in the metals markets. Let’s get into the data.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 20, 2018

Handicapping the Precious Metals Through Year-End / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses the recent rise in precious metals prices and what he sees ahead for the metals. As many of us have grown to appreciate over the years, forecasts tend to be nothing more than "educated guesses" and no matter what methods one uses, predicting directional and amplitudinal movements in economics or finance or asset prices is analogous to standing in the paddock at Woodbine racetrack with a copy of the racing forum and a cup of black coffee, trying to determine whether Stormy's Revenge or Gluewagon is going to take the fifth in the mud. I spend literally hours upon hours drawing lines on charts and reading other people's forecasts in a desperate attempt to handicap the next $50 move in gold and I must confess that even without the nausea brought about by countless interventions and manipulations, it is an extremely difficult exercise.

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Commodities

Monday, November 19, 2018

Gold & Silver Corrective Rally is Almost Over / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Strong words, aren’t they? And yet, we are not afraid to put them right in the title. The number of factors (and their importance) that point to a nearby reversal and continuation of the major decline is too significant to believe in the bullish case, even though gold, silver, and mining stocks moved higher in the last few days.

We emphasized it many times and we will continue to do so, as it’s very easy to forget about it when things get volatile on a day-to-day basis. The long-term signals are far more important than the short-term ones. In a fight, it’s not always the bigger guy (or gal) that has the advantage, but in certain circumstances it’s obvious that weight matters (please keep this picture in mind while reading about the possible counter-trend upswing in the short run – that’s the little guy while the big guy are the powerful long-term factors). That’s exactly the case with the weight and importance of long-term signals when comparing them to the short-term ones. Surely, we could get a 1-2% upswing, but so what, if a 15% decline is just around the corner? And in particular, if it could take place right away?

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Commodities

Saturday, November 17, 2018

Gold vs Several Key Investments / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

Let’s take an in-day snapshot of gold vs. several key competitors (for your investment dollars/euros/yen, etc.) and check the progress in turning the macro from risk ‘on’ to risk ‘off’, cyclical to counter-cyclical.

Gold/Commodities motors along above the SMA 200. The move has been hysterical, and thus looks impulsive. That could mean something as we look back in hindsight one day.

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Commodities

Saturday, November 17, 2018

GDX Gold Mining Stocks Q3 18 Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

The major gold miners’ stocks remain mired in universal bearishness, largely left for dead.  They are just wrapping up their third-quarter earnings season, which proved challenging.  Lower gold prices cut deeply into cash flows and profits, and production-growth struggles persisted.  But these elite companies did hold the line on costs, portending soaring earnings as gold recovers.  Their absurdly-cheap stock prices aren’t justified.

Four times a year publicly-traded companies release treasure troves of valuable information in the form of quarterly reports.  Companies trading in the States are required to file 10-Qs with the US Securities and Exchange Commission by 40 calendar days after quarter-ends.  Canadian companies have similar requirements at 45 days.  In other countries with half-year reporting, many companies still partially report quarterly.

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Commodities

Saturday, November 17, 2018

Is Gold Under or Overpriced? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Have you heard about the Everything Bubble? Some analysts believe that after the dot-com bubble of the 1990s and the housing bubble of the 2000s, we are in the middle of a price bubble in virtually all asset classes simultaneously caused by the Fed’s unusually easy monetary policy with ultra low interest rates. Although we agree that the US central bank maintained federal funds rate too low for too long, the narrative about a dangerous bubble inflating in a wide variety of countries, industries, and assets does not make sense. The bubble means that the price of an asset deviates from the fundamental value, increasing excessively, to a much greater extent than on other markets. It should be now clear that the existence of overvalued assets necessarily means that other assets are undervalued, so there can’t be the ‘everything bubble’. Sorry, but those who wait for the total asset apocalypse might be disappointed.

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Commodities

Friday, November 16, 2018

Pound Falls 2.5% Against Gold as UK Government in Turmoil Over Brexit / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: GoldCore

The pound plunged against the euro, the dollar, gold and all leading currencies today as Theresa May’s UK government appeared vulnerable to collapsing and political turmoil risked creating a hard Brexit.

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Commodities

Friday, November 16, 2018

The New China and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

China has developed tremendously in recent years. But what’s next? Is the country entering the growth recession? And how it will affect the world and the gold market?

A New Chapter in China

We have not analyzed the publications of the World Gold Council for a while. Let’s make it up, starting with the newest edition of Gold Investor. The report is about China and its remarkable transformation in the context of the gold market.

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Commodities

Friday, November 16, 2018

Gold Oil and Commodities …Back to the Future ? / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Rambus_Chartology

Before we look at tonights charts I would like to take a minute to discuss trading the three X leveraged etf’s. Leveraged etf’s aren’t for everyone as they can be very volatile. These instruments are for those that can take a bigger risk and still come out OK when they go against you. For the average investor a 1 X leveraged etf is all they can handle and that should be fine. When you start playing with the 2 X and 3 X leveraged etf’s your risk factor goes up very fast.

Placing a sell/stop in the correct place works great for the 1 X leveraged etf, but when you are in a 3 X leveraged etf setting the sell/stop is a totally different game. Very rarely do I let the original sell/stop be hit before I will exit the trade as you have to give the stock some wiggle room when you first take a position. As more information becomes available you can start to make adjustments to your sell/stop mentally. A 3 X etf can get away from you in a heartbeat so one has to pay very close attention at all times.

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Commodities

Friday, November 16, 2018

Investors And Analysts Know Nothing About Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

There were several developments in the gold market last week. First, we heard of another trader who has pleaded guilty to “manipulating” the metals market. And, everyone is up in arms again about how gold was manipulated to drop from $1,921 to $1,040 during 2011-2015.

And, yes, they are all again saying “ah ha – you see, we were right.”

But, as I have said so many times before, what this trader did was akin to a paper cut in the market. And, to claim that these types of actions caused the market to drop from 2011 to 2016 is akin to claiming that a paper cut caused the market to bleed to death.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 15, 2018

Is A Top Forming In Natural Gas? / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The recent upswing in NG prices has been an incredible trade for many, yet we believe a top is now forming in Natural Gas that could catch many traders by surprise.  The recent upside gap in price and upward price volatility would normally not concern long traders.  They would likely view this as a tremendous success for their long NG positions, yet we believe this move is about to come to a dramatic end – fairly quickly.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 15, 2018

Is Gold Silence Golden? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

People say that speech is silver, silence is golden. Well, not always. The recent FOMC monetary policy statement is the best example. Lets’ read out today’s article and find out why.

Nothing Changes in November

On Thursday, the FOMC published the monetary policy statement from its latest meeting that took place on November 7-8. In line with the expectations, the US central bank kept the federal funds rate unchanged at the target range of 2 to 2.25 percent:

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 14, 2018

Investors Set To Move and Store Gold In Dublin Due To Brexit Risks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: GoldCore

– Investors in Ireland, the UK and internationally can for the first-time own gold in a secure and liquid way in accredited, professionally managed, fully insured, institutional grade vaults – Secure gold investment in Ireland for first time as global risks intensify and Dublin will compete with London as a favoured gold storage location

– Brexit will likely impact the 300bn London gold market as investors move gold to other jurisdictions including Dublin

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 14, 2018

Gold Stocks vs. Gold – Cryin’ Time Again / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Kelsey_Williams

When will people wake up to the fact that investing in gold mining shares is not a good idea?

What are the experts seeing and thinking when they talk about the “positive outlook for mining shares”? For the life of me, I just don’t get it.

And, as far as gold stocks outperforming gold, well, just forget about it. 

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Wednesday, November 14, 2018

JPMorgan Chase Trader Pleads Guilty to Gold Manipulation, Turns State's Evidence / Commodities / Market Manipulation

By: MoneyMetals

Gold and silver investors got a rare bit of good news on the enforcement front last week.

A trader from JPMorgan Chase pled guilty to rigging the precious metals futures markets.

John Edmonds admitted to cheating the bank’s clients and plenty of other people naive enough to expect fair treatment on the COMEX and other exchanges.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 13, 2018

Warning: Precious Metals’ Gold and Silver Prices are about to Collapse! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Silver just moved to its 2018 bottom. Not somewhat above it, not relatively close to it – silver’s Friday’s close of $14.14 equals the previous lowest closing price of 2018 that was formed on September 14th. That’s not yet a breakdown, but the implications are severe.

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