Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, May 13, 2013
The Hidden Crisis in the Gold Business / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Michael_J_Kosares
Barrick CEO Jamie Sokalsky has some things to say about the gold mining business that will come as a revelation to many gold owners. In a speech at the London Bullion Market Association’s conference in Hong Kong last November, Sokalsky wades into a largely hidden crisis in the gold business — static mine production that has not responded positively to the rising prices over the last several years, and is unlikely to ramp up even if prices go higher from here.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 13, 2013
China’s Consumption of Gold and Acquisition of Gold Mining Stocks Continues / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: GoldCore
Today’s AM fix was USD 1,429.75, EUR 1,102.52 and GBP 931.19 per ounce.
Friday’s AM fix was USD 1,449.25, EUR 1,114.12 and GBP 941.62 per ounce.
Monday, May 13, 2013
Gold and Silver Price Crash is Not Over, New Bear Market? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: EWI
As I write this email, gold is down more than 3% for the morning of Friday, May 10.
Major pullbacks like Friday's are often followed by big bounces, but as gold and silver threaten to breach the recent April lows, many investors have an important question in mind:
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 13, 2013
Gold and Silver Fall as US Dollar Holds onto Gains / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Ben_Traynor
SPOT MARKET gold bullion prices fell to $1430 an ounce Monday, 1.2% down on where they ended last week, as stock markets also fell and the US Dollar held onto most of its gains from last week.
Silver fell to $23.70 an ounce – 0.8% down on last week's close – as other commodities also fell, with the exception of copper.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 13, 2013
The Catalyst That Could Cause Platinum Price to Skyrocket / Commodities / Platinum
By: Money_Morning
Tony Daltorio writes: Thanks to the hit gold prices took in mid-April, other precious metals also got caught in the downdraft - but some still look to be among the best investments of 2013.
Take platinum, for example.
It is currently trading at about $1,500 an ounce, well off its 52-week high of $1,734 an ounce. During the height of the selloff last month, it touched a low of $1,381 an ounce.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 13, 2013
The Role of GLD and SLV Gold and Silver ETF's / Commodities / Exchange Traded Funds
By: Alasdair_Macleod
In August 2011 I wrote to the Financial Services Authority to seek confirmation that the London-based custodians of SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) and iShares Silver Trust (SLV) were being regulated as custodians, despite the fact that physical bullion is not a regulated investment. After some chasing on my part I finally got a response, kicking my letter firmly into touch. The FSA accepted that the custodians (HSBC Bank USA NA for GLD and JP Morgan Chase Bank NA London Branch for SLV) were regulated, but appeared to be unwilling to do anything about it other than to pass my letter on to "the supervisors of the relevant firms".
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 13, 2013
The Big Fallacy Silver Trading More Like A Base Metal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Steve_St_Angelo
The notion that silver has been recently trading more like a base metal is more a fallacy than fact. Some of the top technical analysts have been stating that the reason why the price of silver has not held up as well as gold is due to the fact that silver trades more like copper than gold. Basically, if the "King" of the base metals suffers... so will silver. While this makes good press, the reality is much different if we look at the data below.
Sunday, May 12, 2013
Will Crude Oil Futures Stop the Fed’s QE Program? / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: J_W_Jones
The sell-side analysts and economists are reminding retail investors that risk assets in the United States have been on quite a tear to the upside recently. A correction now lasts a matter of days, if not hours before the bulls push equity prices even higher.
The Federal Reserve is winning the reflation war using cheap money and massive levels of liquidity to help drive risk assets higher and interest rates artificially lower. Unfortunately for domestic investors searching for yield, they find that they are forced to incur higher levels of risk in order to satisfy their growth and income needs. There are significant risks associated with higher than average fixed income returns and the cost will be felt should we see any correction in the future.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, May 11, 2013
Europe's Forced Reappraisal Of Shale Gas / Commodities / Natural Gas
By: Andrew_McKillop
EYES SET WEST
European policymakers at Commission level, in European Council of ministers meetings, and in national governments now curtly say that the shale gas issue is "very political", because the subject will not go away. Allowing shale gas extraction by hydraulic fracturing to move ahead is already politically correct - in some countries such as Poland - and may soon also become correct in the UK, France, Germany, Spain and Italy. The logjam is breaking.
Saturday, May 11, 2013
Gold and Acts of Desperation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Jesse
"It is not at all uncommon for someone to arrive at a scene of brutality or injustice and, with a sympathetic murmur or heroic flourish, attack the victim."
Renata Adler
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, May 11, 2013
Gold And Silver Sell Off Could Get Uglier And Take Longer / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Michael_Noonan
The realistic general consensus is that the spot prices for gold and silver are no longer relevant. Yet, what remains the one price on which focus has intensified for each? There simply is no other alternative, at present. A distinction is made concerning the purchases by China, Russia, India, et al, paying a larger premium over spot gold, prior to the sell-off, and prices paid by those purchasing single ounce coins or even kilo bars, "the people," as it were.
Friday, May 10, 2013
Really Real Rates vs. Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Adrian_Ash
Quantitative easing and zero rates haven't worked. So let's have much more of 'em, eh...?
GOLD attracts investment capital when other asset classes fail to deliver.
So now equities have clearly regained their appeal after more than a decade of what finance professionals would rather we called "sub-optimal" returns, gold investing has lost its urgency for money managers. Indeed, it's become a neat little "short" to trade against whilst picking the next winner in the S&P's all-time high dash.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 10, 2013
At the Beginning of Gold and Silver Bear market? Special Report / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: EWI
As I write this email, gold is down more than 3% for the morning of Friday, May 10.
Major pullbacks like Friday's are often followed by big bounces, but as gold and silver threaten to breach the recent April lows, many investors have an important question in mind:
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 10, 2013
Gold Stocks Are Leading Gold Bullion Price Lower / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: P_Radomski_CFA
T.S. Eliot called April “the cruelest month” in his famous poem, and without a doubt April was cruel to many gold investors. Sunshine Profits subscribers who followed our suggestions in April avoided a share of the pain. Probably no one suffered more than hedge fund manager John Paulson. He is joined by hedge fund manager David Einhorn whose Greenlight fund took a big hit on its gold miners ETF holdings. Einhorn said recently what we would consider an understatement: "We were somewhat surprised by the swift decline in the price of gold in April." If they were following fundamental valuations and analysis only, then that’s not surprising. Paying attention to the breakdown below the key support level at that time provided a sell signal.
Friday, May 10, 2013
Intrinsic Value and the Final Battle for Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
When looking at the intrinsic value of hard currencies like silver relative to that of paper fiat currencies like the U.S. Dollar, some serious questions need to be asked and answered.
Here is one series of questions that can be used to initiate such an analytical process and some rational answers:
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 10, 2013
Gold Price Could Retest $1322 Low / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Ben_Traynor
SPOT MARKET gold bullion prices fell to two-week lows Friday, drifting lower towards $1440 an ounce during this morning's London session before dropping sharply through that level, as stocks gained and most commodities fell as the Dollar strengthened against major currencies.
Silver fell to $23.34 an ounce, while copper prices ticked higher.
"The risk [for gold] is a break through support [will] test the $1322 low," say technical analysts at bullion bank Scotia Mocatta, who cited $1440 an ounce as a key support level.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 10, 2013
Has the Great Gold Crash Divorced Bullion from Futures Prices? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Money_Morning
Peter Krauth writes: In mid-April, a black swan crash-landed on the gold market. Over just two trading days, gold futures prices shed 13%, falling from $1,575 to $1,375.
That $200 cliff dive was the largest two-day drop in 33 years.
Gold prices already had been in steady consolidation mode for 18 months. But the magnitude and swiftness of this dramatic move were rare...to the point of suspicion.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 10, 2013
Is Buffet Right About Not Buying Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Julian_DW_Phillips
Who is Warren Buffet? He's 'Yoda' of the financial world. He is a man brilliantly skilled at making profits with considerable expertise in the U.S. economy and its corporations.
Gold is, as he says, a dormant item pulled out of the ground and stored in vaults thereafter. It is not for 'just making profits because it is an entirely different animal to corporations.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 10, 2013
Is It Time to Look Away from Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: InvestmentContrarian
George Leong writes: Lately, I’ve been reading about all of this buying of gold bullion by central banks around the world.
Some would say the move is bullish for the precious metal, but I’m not convinced. I was encouraged by the recent bounce after the price fell below $1,400 an ounce, but it has since stalled, based on my technical analysis.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 09, 2013
Silver Bull Market Following Structure Of 1970's Bull Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
By: Hubert_Moolman
The 70s silver bull took place during a period from a major peak in the Dow/Gold ratio (1966) to a major bottom in Dow/Gold ratio (1980). The silver bull market started in 1971 and ended at the beginning of 1980.The current silver bull market also started after a major peak in the Dow/Gold ratio (peak was at the end of 1999).The current silver bull market started in 2001, and it is also likely to end when the Dow/Gold ratio makes a major bottom. See the chart below, as illustration:
Read full article... Read full article...