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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Tuesday, June 26, 2007

Crude Oil Prices - Politics and Inflation / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Mike_Hewitt

Oil is the commodity that the majority of people are most aware of. A 10% increase in the price of crude oil makes the headline news. One cannot drive down Main Street without seeing a sign for the latest gas price.

But how many are aware that lead has risen 155% over the last year? During that same time, tin has gone from US$3.48 a pound to US$6.49 – an 86% increase. Nickel was already surging before last summer but using the same timeframe shows an increase of 122%.

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 26, 2007

Uranium Funds Points to Near-Term Price Decline / Commodities / Uranium

By: James_Finch

Nuclear Market Review (NMR) editor Treva Klingbiel reported in this week's issue, “Two sellers that were evaluating bids in response to their auctions have concluded their evaluations and have decided not to sell at this time.” She added, “Both sellers preferred to make delivery in June while most bidders were seeking delivery for several months out.” The U3O8 Weekly Spot Price Indicator, as published in NMR, remained unchanged at US$138/pound.

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Commodities

Monday, June 25, 2007

Gold and Silver Analysis - Precious Points : Gold a Threat to the Fiat Currency System / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Joe_Nicholson

“So as we continue to tread water in what was expected to be a period of ennui in the metals markets, we'll continue to monitor key support and resistance levels, as well as moves in the bond markets and trends in the Fed's open market activities.” ~ Precious Points: Enjoy it While it Lasts ?, June 17, 2007

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Commodities

Sunday, June 24, 2007

Weekly Gold and Silver Technical Analysis Report - 24th June 2007 - Technically Precious with Merv / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Merv_Burak

Gold just can't seem to get any steam for a good rally. Weakness seems to be the direction of least resistance.

GOLD : LONG TERM
Still no movement in the long term P&F chart so the last analysis of 25 May 2006 remains valid, i.e. a long term bull with projections to $780 and then to $915. As mentioned at the time, these projections look like pipe dreams but that's what the long term P&F chart is saying. With the present chart I still need a move to $600 before I can invalidate the bull signal and go to a bear.

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Commodities

Saturday, June 23, 2007

Gasoline Prices - It's all about the Refineries ... For Now / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Tim_Iacono

If you've been wondering why gasoline prices have been so high lately with crude oil trading at only $66 per barrel, the answer can be found at the refineries.

This week's TWIP (This Week in Petroleum) from the Energy Information Administration has some interesting commentary and, as always, abundant charts to tell the story of how retail gasoline prices have fallen for the second consecutive week, down five cents to $3.16 per gallon.

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Commodities

Friday, June 22, 2007

Industry Expert Expects Junior Uranium Stocks Washout / Commodities / Uranium

By: James_Finch

Yellowcake Mining director Dr. Robert Rich speaks out on NYMEX uranium futures, the upcoming uranium price adjustment, junior uranium companies washing out, and why he believes his company will survive in the years ahead. A long time nuclear energy veteran with a PhD in economic geology from Harvard University, Dr. Rich has been affiliated with BHP Billiton (NYSE: BHP), the Japanese conglomerate Sumitomo and Yankee Atomic. He presently resides in Massachusetts.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 21, 2007

Eric Bolling's Agriculture Commodities Stock Market Play: Is it Too Late? / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Michael_K_Dawson

My jaw hit the ground last week when Eric Bolling, of CNBC's Fast Money, stated that his agriculture play was up 59% year to date. It hit the floor a second time when he mentioned how he was playing the sector. I have been trading commodity stocks for awhile, primarily gold, energy and base metal producers. The soft commodities (coffee, sugar, grains) have caught my attention on occasions. However, I couldn't figure out how to trade them via the stock market and I wasn't interested in the futures market.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 21, 2007

Gold Continues to Strengthen / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: David_Vaughn

Gold does continue to strengthen regardless of what you think.

Gold Continues to Strengthen Below is the action in gold this past Tuesday. Is gold on the verge of crashing? Gold will crash the day the United States pays off all its debts to China and Asia . Will that day come any time soon? Don't think so.


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Commodities

Wednesday, June 20, 2007

Analysis of the Seasonal Variations in the Price of Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Michael_J_Kosares

Bargain Buying: Use Seasonal Price Trends to Your Advantage USAGOLD-Centennial Precious Metals

One of the more intriguing curiosities of the current bull market in gold has to do with the annual buying opportunity which seems to crop up in the depths of the summer doldrums.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 20, 2007

Gold Thoughts: Continuing Inflation Means Gold will Continue to Outperfom Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Can double digit inflation exist in the headline number and “core” inflation remain muted? Does the cost of energy and food influence the cost structure of the world? Will China suddenly quit importing oil and food, causing prices to fall?

Will the real world ever become known to the statistically challenged individuals creating government estimates of inflation?

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 20, 2007

Palladium the Rodney Dangerfield of Metals / Commodities / Palladium

By: Money_and_Markets

Sean Brodrick writes: I call palladium the Rodney Dangerfield of metals because it gets no respect, I tell ya, no respect at all. It's like the forgotten stepsister in the platinum group of metals — platinum commands princely prices and investor interest, while palladium toils away in silence.

But what if I told you that palladium looks ready to stage a rally this year … a rally so strong that it would be the equivalent of gold going as high as $900 or even $1,000 an ounce? In other words, palladium might be on the verge of getting some respect.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 20, 2007

Commodities are For Crafty Not Crazy Investors / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: Dudley_Baker

Remember my 'Crazy Like A Fox' subscriber? (See my previous articles entitled, “A Crazy Man's Rant or Right On” and “Crazy Man's Rant – He's Crazy Life A Fox”). He continues (like many of us) to be a proponent of investing in commodities and gold, silver, uranium, oil and gas in particular and he continues to prosper. Many people have wondered how he has been so successful so I asked him recently. Below are a few comments regarding his approach to investing both in the past, now and the foreseeable future.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 20, 2007

Seasonal Pattern Points to Higher Oil Prices in Late Summer / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Donald_W_Dony

Oil has traded over the past five years with a distinct seasonal pattern. There is an annual low in December or January and a price peak in August or September. But along the path to the top, this commodity often consolidates during April, May and June. The trading action in 2007 is matching exactly this pattern.

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 19, 2007

Central Bankers - What's their long-term plan for Gold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Tim_Iacono

Last week, the Bank of Switzerland announced that they plan to sell 250 tonnes of gold bullion into the market over the next two years. This comes shortly after news that the Bank of Spain had dumped more than 100 tonnes of the metal and word of additional sales by Belgium.

With the words "global inflation" on the lips of billions of people around the world and a rising price of gold sure confirmation of such, you have to wonder what the long-term plan is for Western central banks and their gold.

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Commodities

Monday, June 18, 2007

Weekly Gold and Silver Technical Analysis Report - 18th June 2007 - Technically Precious with Merv / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Merv_Burak

With 93% of the “quality” stocks on the rise and only 40% of the gambling variety on the rise this was a “quality” week in the precious metals universe. Will it last?

GOLD : LONG TERM
Still no movement in the long term P&F chart so we continue in a P&F long term BULLISH trend.

As for the normal indicators, gold closed above its still slightly positive sloping moving average line. Price momentum (strength) is still in its positive zone but with a negative trigger line indicating the pressure is towards the down side. The long term volume indicator is below its trigger line and the line has turned down. Putting it all together the indicators remain just slightly better than last week so I will remain with last week's BULLISH view of the long term gold position.

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Commodities

Monday, June 18, 2007

What Use is Gold Indeed! / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Andre_D_F_Oosthuizen

What use is gold? Gerry Hiles raised the question, June 7, 2007. Good question indeed and all the points raised are true and thought provoking up to a point.

What follows is another interpretation of the utility of gold.

Mr. Hiles in fact answers all his questions by asking them but not following it through with the logical conclusions.

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Commodities

Sunday, June 17, 2007

Will More Central Bank Gold Sales Be Announced or is this All we are going to see? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

Since our inception we have run this table on Central Bank gold sales under the Central Bank Gold Agreement. We have always differentiated between the sales decided upon earlier and sales about which no announcement was made.

We have done this for a reason, despite the fact that while the first “Washington Agreement” stated from the outset, that they would only sell gold from sales “already decided”, the second Central Bank Gold Agreement stated differently, that gold would be sold from “sales already decided and to be decided ”.

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Commodities

Sunday, June 17, 2007

Gold and Silver Analysis - Precious Points: Enjoy it While it Lasts? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Joe_Nicholson

When it comes to the metals, bears hibernate for years, but bulls just retest the 5- and 50-day moving averages! This week's retail sales data will be critical… New figures for CPI and PPI will also be watched closely. Given the delicate balance of forces and the high level of emotion in this market, any surprise in these numbers is likely to set off a big move… Either way, metals have still not failed the support levels consistently outlined in this update over the past several weeks and highlighted … until they do, the outlook will remain decidedly bullish, even if a sustained rally is still always just over the horizon. ~ Precious Points, Don't Go Gentle Into That Goodnight , June 10, 2007

So Goldilocks is back, but where's gold? Stocks are sailing again, how about silver?

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Commodities

Sunday, June 17, 2007

Summer Outlook for Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

To understand why gold is "lagging" we need to compare it to other sectors of the market.

The following chart shows that gold and gold stocks are "leading indicators." This is confirmed by the fact that neither gold nor gold stocks have made a new high in 2007, while other market sectors have made new highs this year. These areas (stock market, continuous commodity index, base metals and the oil stocks) are close to topping if they already have not topped.

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Commodities

Saturday, June 16, 2007

Silver and its Long-term Cycles / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Tim_Wood

There are two long-term cycles in silver that have historically proven significantly meaningful. The first is the 5-year cycle and the second is the 10-year cycle, with the 10 year cycle being the more dominate of the two cycles. It is important to understand that cycle analysis is nothing more than a method of quantifying market trends of similar degree. Because market cycles ebb and flow and are not rigid, we have to look at the common denominators and develop averages. We can then use these common denominators and averages as a guide for what might be expected in the future.

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