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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Wednesday, August 29, 2007

GOLD THOUGHTS - How Big will the US Housing Market Losses Be? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

The question seems to have changed. No longer does the question deal with whether or not U.S. housing market has bottomed. It has not. Now the question is far different. The depth of the U.S. mortgage market collapse is the question. How big will be losses? Which hedge fund will be next to burst into flames? In Germany, U.S. mortgage market collapse is likely to force a near complete structuring of banking industry. In the U.S., pink slips seem to be the primary output of housing and mortgage markets. The giant liquidity abyss created by this financial fantasy, and values were indeed a fantasy, is forcing central banks to sell U.S. government and agency debt. In the past three weeks, they sold more than $24 billion. U.S. dollar has massive overhead supply that will depress it for years.

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Commodities

Wednesday, August 29, 2007

Spot Gold Prices Rally in London as Asian Stocks Dive, Eurozone Money Supply Surges / Commodities / Money Supply

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES rallied in the first-half of London trade on Wednesday, adding $4 per ounce from the overnight low to hit $666 after Asian stock markets ended the day sharply lower.

A UK hedge fund said it may have to liquidate $6 billion in assets due to the ongoing global credit crunch. The European Central Bank announced that growth in its M3 measure of the Eurozone's money supply surged to a quarter-century record in July, rising by 11.7% from a year earlier compared with 10.9% growth in June.

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Commodities

Tuesday, August 28, 2007

Gold Investments Market Update / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mike_Clark

Mark O'Byrne writes: Spot gold was trading at $668.00/668.50 an ounce as of 1215 GMT.

Gold has traded sideways to slightly up in Asia and Europe after yesterday's very slight sell off.
Previous resistance at $660 is now the first level of support and very strong support is seen at $640. The next level of resistance is at $675 which we believe will be challenged in the coming weeks in gold's seasonally strong period.

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Commodities

Tuesday, August 28, 2007

Gold, Newmont Mining Rising Out of Double Bottom / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Instead of reviewing spot gold, or the streetTRACKS Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) today, let's have a look at Newmont Mining (NYSE: NEM), which is the second largest component of the GDX (Market Vectors Gold Mining ETF).

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Commodities

Tuesday, August 28, 2007

Gold Rises for US Investors on Fresh US Dollar Decline / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

Gold Rises for US Investors on Fresh US Dollar Decline; Analysts Target $700 as Tokyo Plans for Gold ETF in Early 2008

SPOT GOLD PRICES moved steadily higher against the US Dollar early Tuesday, recording an AM Fix in London – the world's main gold bullion market – of $667 per ounce.

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Commodities

Tuesday, August 28, 2007

Elliott Wave Analysis of the AMEX Gold BUGS Index / Commodities / Elliott Wave Theory

By: David_Petch

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAfter publishing the HUI last week, I have had a number of questions about my count. Surprisingly, out of 50 emails received, some 20 were wondering how valid the count was if it was analyzed in semi-log format. Most of the work I do for constructing wave counts are based upon analysis on the weekly charts in semi-log format. The software that I use for displaying the Elliott Wave charts does not have a semi-log function, so I must display them in linear format. With all of the emails, the entire article from last week is presented to hopefully subdue any queries (and my email box) anyone may have.

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Commodities

Monday, August 27, 2007

Gold and the Subprime Cancer / Commodities / Subprime Mortgage Risks

By: David_Vaughn

GOLDGold is slowly moving back to its previous equilibrium. A lot of buying and selling went on in the markets last week

And why did the price of gold momentarily drop a little in price during this perilous time?

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Commodities

Monday, August 27, 2007

ScotiaBank & Silver: Ted Butler's Call To Action / Commodities / Market Manipulation

By: Ed_Steer

On August 21, 2007, silver analyst Ted Butler came out with one of his most important commentaries to date. I urge you to take the time to read it from one end to the other. Here's the GATA dispatch on Butler's essay ...

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Commodities

Monday, August 27, 2007

Weekly Gold and Silver Technical Analysis Report - 27th August 2007 - Technically Precious with Merv / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Merv_Burak

Good week but on pathetic daily trading volume. Professionals still on vacation ??? Let's see where we are.

GOLD : LONG TERM : Semi-Log Scale

I was sort of unsure which long term chart to show this week, a bar (or candlestick) chart or a P&F chart. However, the P&F chart shown with the 03 Aug 2007 commentary has still not budged. It is still as it was then. All that action over the past few weeks made not a smidgeon of effect on the P&F chart. For those interested in what it looks like you can go to the archives of some web sites publishing these commentaries. I will show the P&F again one of these weeks, especially if there is some movement in the chart.

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Commodities

Saturday, August 25, 2007

Gold and Silver Analysis - Precious Points: The Question of Deflation / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Joe_Nicholson

“Gold perfectly held the 50-week moving average long watched here as strong, critical support. Resistance in the 665/70 area will be crucial to any recovery next week. Silver could now be mired in a lower trading range for the near term. At the very least, silver will likely face considerable resistance before new highs can even be contemplated. The Fed has been working behind the scenes … as it shepherds domestic growth through this decidedly difficult period. Growth... is still the outcome Bernanke seems to favor strongly.” ~ Precious Points: Gold Got Sold, but Should You Hold? , August 18, 2007

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Commodities

Friday, August 24, 2007

Will Gold Benefit from Calmed or Crippled Confidence? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

The gold price has continued to look solid in the $650 area. Confidence in the banking, not just the mortgage system was given quite a blow last week. The $ rallied, but is in the process of turning down again. What lies ahead and why? Here are some of our views, which were published in the latest edition of the Gold Forecaster last week. These views are now being expanded there, with a closer look at the two types of "liquidity" supply.

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Commodities

Friday, August 24, 2007

Credit Crunch Bites HUI Gold Bugs Index; Carnage Amongst Junior Miners / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Zeal_LLC

After weathering a consolidation running for 16 months now, the remaining precious-metals-stock investors and speculators are a pretty hardened lot. Used to being the ridiculed black-sheep contrarians, it takes quite a bit to faze us. Yet the brutal downside action in the HUI last week certainly fit the bill.

Between Monday the 13th and Thursday the 16th, the HUI unhedged gold-stock index shed 18% of its value on an intraday basis. Wednesday and Thursday were the particularly nasty days, with 3/4ths of these losses occurring between the open Wednesday and the first couple hours of trading on Thursday morning.

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Commodities

Friday, August 24, 2007

Inflation Beating Savings: Gimmick or a Good Deal? / Commodities / Savings Accounts

By: MoneyFacts

Rachel Thrussell, Head of Savings at Moneyfacts.co.uk – the money search engine, investigates:“A new breed of savings accounts has emerged over the last month with Leeds BS and National Counties offering products that promise to beat inflation. But how do they fare in the current market? Are they a good deal or just a gimmick?

“Savers may be fooled into thinking these inflation beating accounts offer something special over and above a standard savings account, but if inflation remains under tight control (within 1% either way of the official 2% target), a best buy fixed deal could offer an equal or better return in the longer term.

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Commodities

Friday, August 24, 2007

Gold Rallies to $662 as Calls Mount for US Rates Cut; Foreign Investors Reduce Bond Holdings / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES moved sideways in London on Friday morning, dipping to an AM Fix of $659.75 before rising to touch $662 per ounce by lunchtime.

"People are nervous and not sure how gold is going to react," says Matthew Turner, an analyst at Virtual Metals. "It depends so much on the outside market.

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Commodities

Thursday, August 23, 2007

Phase II of the Natural Resources Boom Is About to Burst onto the Scene / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article

Larry Edelson writes : Is it ugly out there in the markets or what? Unfortunately, things are likely to get worse before they get any better.

The good news is that I also see a massive profit opportunity coming directly ahead. More on that in a moment.

First, you need to understand what's happening right now …

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Commodities

Thursday, August 23, 2007

Gold and Stocks Rise on Fed Interest Rate Cut Expectations / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES rose to a one-week early Thursday, gaining $2.50 from the previous night's US close and recording a Morning Fix of $662.25 per ounce in London

Gold leasing rates also rose strongly, hitting their highest level since Nov. 2003, as London 's largest bullion banks demanded a greater rate of return for lending their gold over the coming 12 months.

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Commodities

Wednesday, August 22, 2007

Gold Recovers Early Dip; China 's Copper Demand Doubles in 12 Months / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES recovered an overnight dip early Wednesday, regaining the previous night's US close after recording an AM Fix in London of $657.15 per ounce.

"The credit worries are not over and the [gold] market will not really have much clue what the true credit liquidity dynamics are for some time," says metals analyst Michael Jansen at J.P.Morgan.

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Commodities

Wednesday, August 22, 2007

Investing in the Arctic Tundra - Diamonds are Forever / Commodities / Arctic Resources

By: Money_and_Markets

Sean Brodrick writes: When I wrote you last week, I had just joined my hosts in the diamond exploration camp in the Canadian Arctic. I was taking my first trips out on the tundra, looking for kimberlite, which is the host rock for diamonds.

In the picture, I'm standing with Nick, one of the locals. One of his many jobs was making sure I wasn't eaten by grizzlies. His bear rifle is in the blue bag on his shoulder!

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Commodities

Tuesday, August 21, 2007

Gold Recovers Early Dip After "Black Monday" Hits US Bonds; European Banks Fail to Sell Key Loans / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES pulled back after rising into the London opening on Tuesday, recording a Morning Fix of $655.50 before recovering $3 per ounce as European stock markets gave back their own early gains.

"The rebound in equities [has] helped support gold," reckons Wallace Ng at Fortis Bank in Hong Kong . "We also saw a bit of physical demand coming in this morning."

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Commodities

Monday, August 20, 2007

Gold Starts Week Unchanged as Crude Oil Falls , Further Fed US Interest Rate Cuts Expected / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES dipped before rebounding early Monday, recording an AM Fix in London of $658.50 per ounce, virtually unchanged from Friday's US close.

"Some people are still afraid there might be more bad news ahead, and liquidity in the gold market is poor because most of the traders are not back from their summer holiday," said Ng Cheng Thye, head of Standard Bank's precious metals desk in Singapore , to Bloomberg earlier.

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