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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Wednesday, January 22, 2014

Gold Fix, Gold Market Rigging / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Jesse

Gold fell back to test its 50 DMA in light trade today, and silver followed.

There was a little movement in and out of the Comex warehouses on Friday, but nothing of significance.

This is a holiday shortened week in the US, and trading will be even lighter than usual in the first part of this week thanks to winter storm Janus. Janus as you may recall is the two-faced Roman god of transitions, beginnings and endings. He might very well be the god of choice for politicians in the modern era as well.

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 22, 2014

A Dozen Gold, Copper, Phosphate and Uranium Stocks / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: Metals_Report

Amanda Van Dyke of Palisade Capital is confident that China's reforms will ensure that the commodity supercycle will continue for some time to come. In this interview with The Mining Report, Van Dyke argues that investors should worry less about the right balance of specific commodities and more about the right mix of early-stage, development-stage and producing companies. She expands on a dozen she believes have the right stuff to succeed.

The Mining Report: In December Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke announced a $10 million ($10M) cut in monthly quantitative easing (QE). He also said that interest rates would remain at zero for the foreseeable future. What effects will these decisions have on the economy and on precious metals?

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 21, 2014

Cocoa Commodity Price Corrective Retracement In Uptrend / Commodities / Cocoa

By: Gregor_Horvat

On the cocoa-futures chart we see a nice uptrend since July. As such, we definitely want to stay with a trend, meaning that we will be anticipating even higher levels in this market. But first we need to identify the end of a corrective retracement that now appears to be in progress. We are talking about red wave 4 that may reach the 2.560/80 area before the uptrend resumes.

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 21, 2014

OPEC Warned On 2014 Crude Oil Supply Glut / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Andrew_McKillop

TIMELY ADVICE TO OPEC
Leo Drollas, the head of the Saudi-backed, London-based Centre for Global Energy Studies in a 3 December interview with New Europe on the eve of the 4 December OPEC meeting, itemized several supply-side reasons why present high oil prices are not forever. Apart from the USA's record-breaking output of oil driven by its shale-oil production, Drollas said: “Next year, Iraqi oil will increase by 300,000 barrels a day, we think at least, there will be 250,000 more from Venezuela, there will be possibly 1 more million barrels from Iran, when Iran comes back, and Libyan oil should return”.

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 21, 2014

Silver Game Changer - Institutional Buying / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Steve_St_Angelo

The key to investing in silver is getting in before the big gains are made.  Even though the price of silver is up substantially in the past decade, it has only kept in par with the rise of the cost of energy.

In 2004 the price of a barrel of Brent crude was $38 and silver was $6.67.  Today the price of silver is $20.50 and Brent crude trading at an average $110 for the past month.  Basically, the price of both have tripled in the past decade:

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 21, 2014

Gold Stocks Long Wave Winter / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: The_Gold_Report

As the Fed runs low on ammunition to further suppress the gold price, Ian Gordon, founder and chairman of the Longwave Group, is extremely bullish on gold. In this interview with The Gold Report, he recounts his history of the manipulation of the gold price and its implications for the global economy. He also expands on research showing that juniors are more effective and cost efficient at making discoveries.

The Gold Report: Gold was among the worst performing assets in 2013. How have its trading patterns and performance over the last two years informed your predictions for 2014?

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Commodities

Monday, January 20, 2014

Gold, Silver and Stock Market Swapping Trends / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The two trend reversals everyone has been waiting a year for are about to take place, but they have not yet started.

While I do think 2014 is the year we see gold, silver, miners and many other commodities rally, it is important to follow the trend and wait for a reversal to form before getting overly excited and long commodities.

Each time we see the daily charts form some type of bullish pattern gold market traders become instantly bullish. And each time this happens they get another reality check about their trading technique of trying to pick a bottom.

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Commodities

Monday, January 20, 2014

Inside Story of Gold Price Manipulation - The Naked Gold Shorts / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Paul_Craig_Roberts

Dr. Paul Craig Roberts and David Kranzler: The deregulation of the financial system during the Clinton and George W. Bush regimes had the predictable result: financial concentration and reckless behavior. A handful of banks grew so large that financial authorities declared them “too big to fail.” Removed from market discipline, the banks became wards of the government requiring massive creation of new money by the Federal Reserve in order to support through the policy of Quantitative Easing the prices of financial instruments on the banks’ balance sheets and in order to finance at low interest rates trillion dollar federal budget deficits associated with the long recession caused by the financial crisis.

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Commodities

Monday, January 20, 2014

Gold and Silver - A Reversal of Fortunes for Precious Metals Stocks? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Rambus_Chartology

It's always amazing to me how market sentiment can move from one extreme to the other taking the herd with it. Chartology is the study of charting and investor psychology which when you put to two together can give one an edge on where you are at any given point within a bear or bull market.

Back in the first week December of 2012 the sentiment was very bullish for the precious metals sector especially the precious metals stocks. Gold and silver both had rebounded off of the bottom rails of their six point blue rectangles that had been building out since they both topped out in 2011. It's easy to forget how bullish sentiment was back then after a year of falling prices in 2013.

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Commodities

Sunday, January 19, 2014

Gold and Silver Major Buy Signal Over the Next 2-3 Weeks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Toby_Connor

It's been my opinion for the last several weeks that gold formed an intermediate degree bottom on December 31. That being said I'm still a bit nervous that the sector could suffer another manipulation event (like the flash crash two weeks ago) so I haven't been willing to enter a firm long position just yet.

However there are definite signs that this bear market is probably over. The large momentum divergences on the weekly charts are one.

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Commodities

Sunday, January 19, 2014

Silver Price – The Power Of Thought Will Ultimately Previal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Michael_Noonan

It has become universally recognized that the power of thought can change anything.

Silver remains incredibly undervalued, and that bodes well for all of us silver stackers. The fact that silver and gold have purposefully been suppressed by the moneychangers makes the future for the next price rise to be greater than ever. Any time anything has been artificially manipulated, it makes the ultimate outcome far worse than was planned by those doing everything possible to prevent a rise in prices. Central planning always fails.

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Commodities

Saturday, January 18, 2014

Gold Disconnect Between Fundamentals And Price - Perception Rules / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Michael_Noonan

What will it take to turn the gold market around? One would think it would be obvious that fundamentals are not the answer, while so many believe that fundamentals rule. We are reminded of the fundamentalists, especially "value investors" whose financial world was literally turned upside down when the stock market crashed in 2008. While "value" and "fundamentals" were considered the economic bedrock of the stock market, it turns out that everything is really steeped in perception, for they changed dramatically.

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Commodities

Friday, January 17, 2014

Gold Drives Silver Price - Expecting Incredibly Bullish 2014 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Zeal_LLC

Investors’ interest in silver is starting to rebound after last year’s carnage.  As capital prepares to return to this beaten-down asset, many investors are wondering how to game silver price action.  Gold is the key.  The white metal closely mirrors and amplifies the price action in the yellow one.  Gold is not only silver’s primary driver, but its overwhelmingly dominant one.  Gold is critical for timing silver buying and selling.

The more years you spend trading precious metals, the more self-evident this truth becomes.  Gold drives silver, full stop.  After my 14 years of closely watching gold and silver price action in real-time all day every day, I simply take this ironclad relationship for granted.  I can scarcely even write about silver without mentioning it in passing.  Gold drives silver is a core trading axiom much like buy low sell high.

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Commodities

Friday, January 17, 2014

Something’s Afoot in Gold and Silver Market… / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Alasdair_Macleod

Almost unnoticed, Open Interest in gold futures has taken off spectacularly, increasing by over 35,000 contracts since the beginning of the month, which is shown in the following chart.

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Commodities

Friday, January 17, 2014

Gold Bull Market Ahead - Ten Key Charts / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldCore

Mark O’Byrne writes: Today’s AM fix was USD 1,241.00, EUR 912.63 and GBP 754.68 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,237.25, EUR 908.61 and GBP 757.19 per ounce.

Gold climbed $1.90 yesterday, closing at $1,240/oz. Silver slipped $0.12 closing at $20.10/oz.

Gold bars (1 oz) premiums are between 4.75% and 5.5% and are trading at $1,309.36. Gold bars (1 kilo) premiums are between 3% and 3.5% and are trading at $41,301.81. Premiums are steady.

Gold is marginally lower today after gaining yesterday on the U.S. inflation data that showed that the cost of living in the U.S. increased by the most in six months. This increased the appeal of gold as an inflation hedge.

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Commodities

Friday, January 17, 2014

Gold Outlook for 2014 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: James_Turk

Before looking at the year ahead, it is useful to look back at the year just passed. This adage is particularly true now because little has changed. Three major markets - stocks, bonds and gold - will again be driven this year by the same forces that shaped 2013, but the outcome will be different in one key respect. This year the price of gold will rise.

In January 2013, my outlook for the year ahead focused on three specific events. These were a rising yield on the 10-year Treasury note, growth of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet, and a decline in the gold/silver ratio.

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Commodities

Friday, January 17, 2014

The End of Gold and Silver Price Market Manipulation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Seasoned and long term investors are familiar with the effects of price suppression. Very few traders can manage the complex positioning required to profit from egregious interference. And the consensus is that it will go on forever, because it has. This very consensus is perhaps the most bullish reason that it simply will not.

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Commodities

Friday, January 17, 2014

Silver Prices When Monetary Demand Trumps Industrial Demand / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

It is crystal clear to anyone willing to go a few steps beyond the headlines that massive intervention and ignorance of risk act as massive governors to progress, real economic growth and natural capital formation. Nevertheless, what is less clear is how these failures will manifest in precious metals - especially the silver market.  

The catalyst for much higher prices will be of a monetary, rather than an industrial, demand-led series of events.

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Commodities

Friday, January 17, 2014

Was Mini Flash Crash Bearish for Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Submissions

Boris Mikanikrezai writes: Let me start by wishing you a very happy new year! I would like to go back on what happened on January 6, 2014.

February 2014 Gold Futures on January 6, 2014

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Commodities

Friday, January 17, 2014

Brent Crude Oil Price Faces Headwinds in 2014 / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: EconMatters

EIA Petroleum Report

In reviewing the EIA weekly petroleum report, the oil imports figure came in at 6.889 (Million Barrels per Day) for the week ending 01/10/14. This number compared to a year ago 8.030 (Million Barrels per Day) puts a nice cap on the downtrend which really started gaining steam in 2010 onward.

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