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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Thursday, December 31, 2015

Fueling Gold Price 2016 Upleg / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold certainly had a rough year in 2015, grinding inexorably lower on Fed-rate-hike fears and investor abandonment.  But gold is poised to rebound dramatically in this new year, mean reverting out of its recent deep secular lows.  The drivers of gold’s weakness have soared to such extremes that they have to reverse hard.  The resulting heavy buying from dominant groups of traders will fuel gold’s mighty 2016 upleg.

Investment demand, or lack thereof, is what overwhelmingly drives the gold price.  Investment certainly isn’t the largest component of gold demand, a crown held by jewelry at roughly 4/7ths of the total.  But that is somewhat misleading, as gold’s investment merits are the primary reason Asians flock to gold jewelry.  But since global jewelry demand is fairly consistent, it’s not what drives the gold price on the margin.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, December 31, 2015

Crude Oil and Gold – What Can We Infer from This Relationship? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Trading position (short-term; our opinion): Short positions (with a stop-loss order at $39.12 and an initial downside target at $33.66) are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

Although crude oil moved higher yesterday, the key resistance lines continue to keep gains in check. What does it mean for the commodity? Will the oil-to-gold ratio give us more clues about future moves?

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Commodities

Thursday, December 31, 2015

Gold and Silver 2016 Outlook / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

The precious metals sector will close 2015 entrenched in a seemingly forever bear market. Most of the sector has been in a bear market for over four and a half years. Gold’s bear market will reach four and a half years in a few months. Meanwhile the US Dollar’s bull market remains strong and is likely to continue. In this article we discuss our 2016 big picture outlook for the US Dollar, Gold and gold stocks.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Wednesday, December 30, 2015

The Crude Oil Price 2016 Prediction Game / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: EconMatters

Anybody who tells you they know where the oil market is headed for 2016 is inexperienced, too stupid to realize there are far too many variables in play that are unknowable to predict with any accuracy their effects on other variables in the oil equation, talking their own respective books, just piling in with the recent herd mentality on the street, giving an opinion about as valid as the best paint color for a room, or like to see themselves on television talking about the hot market moving topic du jour.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Wednesday, December 30, 2015

$10 Trillion Investment Needed To Avoid Massive Oil Price Spike Says OPEC / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

OPEC says that $10 trillion worth of investment will need to flow into oil and gas through 2040 in order to meet the world’s energy needs.

The OPEC published its World Oil Outlook 2015 (WOO) in late December, which struck a much more pessimistic note on the state of oil markets than in the past. On the one hand, OPEC does not see oil prices returning to triple-digit territory within the next 25 years, a strikingly bearish conclusion. The group expects oil prices to rise by an average of about $5 per year over the course of this decade, only reaching $80 per barrel in 2020. From there, it sees oil prices rising slowly, hitting $95 per barrel in 2040.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Wednesday, December 30, 2015

Gold a Safe Harbor on an Ocean of Excess Reserves / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Michael_J_Kosares

"We had initially asked to pay interest [in 2006] on reserves for technical reasons. But in 2008, we needed the authority to solve an increasingly serious problem: the risk that our emergency lending, which had the side effect of increasing bank reserves, would lead short-term interest rates to fall below our federal funds target and thereby cause us to lose control of monetary policy. When banks have lots of reserves, they have less need to borrow from each other, which pushes down the interest rate on that borrowing — the federal funds rate." Ben Bernanke, The Courage to Act

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Tuesday, December 29, 2015

Gold Price $1071 Cap - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Gary_Savage

Gold is being capped at the 1071 level. This may or may not lead to one final attack to drive it to 1030 before the paper shorts get out of the way and let another bear market rally begin"

Transcript Excerpt:
today's commentary I'm going going to go over what's happening in the gold market
in the morning discuss the manipulation the gold market extensively in the last two videos I'm
just gonna chill down a little bit into what's happening right now we've got a
break this supports the intermediate low in July and it's become pretty clear

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 29, 2015

Gold and Silver Kabuki Bonus Time / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Jesse

There were no silver deliveries reported, and JPM took another slug of gold for 'delivery.'

The Bucket Shop is little more than a betting parlor these days.

There were some little movements in the inventories as reported below.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Tuesday, December 29, 2015

Economic Lessons from the Age of the Pharaohs / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

“Joseph urged the Pharaoh to set aside one fifth of the crop in the good times and store the grain to ease the famine in the bad times, because if he didn’t do that, the good times would be forgotten and all the people would remember was the bad times. This wouldn’t be politically good for the Pharaoh.”

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Tuesday, December 29, 2015

Gold and Silver COTs Feature Short Covering / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dan_Norcini

As suspected, the gains seen last week in both gold and silver ( and copper for that matter) were primarily the result of short covering. My view is that the bulk of this was tied to year-end book squaring ahead of Christmas and the New Year's holiday.

Starting with gold...

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 29, 2015

Gold and Silver Forecast 2016 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: MoneyMetals

Clint Siegner writes: Looking Ahead to 2016

Forecasting today's volatile, high-frequency machine driven and manipulated futures markets using fundamental analysis is futile, as a great many precious metals bulls will attest. To complicate matters, an obsession with Fed policy dominates all markets. Officials at the Federal Reserve are often less than forthcoming and are just as bumbling as the Soviet bureaucrats when it comes to centrally planning our economy.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, December 28, 2015

Silver Price Tradeable Rally Probable / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Gary_Savage

I'm of the opinion that the metals have probably formed at least an intermediate bottom, and are ready to generate a trade-able rally over the next 4-8 weeks"

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, December 28, 2015

Do the Consumer Reports Drive the Gold Price? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

GDP, employment and inflation are a Holy Trinity of economic indicators. However, reports on consumer activity are also extremely important for the financial markets. It is not surprising: consumers are the ultimate rulers of the economy and their actions affect GDP, corporate profits and stock prices, labor market, inflation, the housing market and so on. There are several ways of measuring consumer activity, but it is the Personal Income and Outlays report that is the most widely watched data on consumer spending. The report includes data both on personal income and personal consumption expenditures (PCE). The latter primarily measures consumer spending on goods and services in the U.S. economy. It indicates the economic growth, since it is released monthly (while GDP is published quarterly) and it accounts for about two-thirds of the final domestic spending. Therefore, it should move very closely together with the GDP. Does it really do so? Let’s look at the chart below.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Wednesday, December 23, 2015

Gold Market Manipulation - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Gary_Savage

I explain how and why I think the gold bear market is artificial, and due to manipulation by a few big banks in the paper market. I discuss the market reaction that will confirm I’m correct. The analysts that for a couple of years have been trying to deny manipulation are ultimately going to look like idiots, and the Sinclairs of the world are going to have the last laugh, and will be proven correct in the end.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Wednesday, December 23, 2015

Congress Eliminates U.S. Export Oil Ban / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: BATR

If you want to know how the “so called” Free Trade exponents think about exports, just analyze the impact and actual beneficiaries of the US House passes bill to lift 40-year ban on oil exports.

“The crude export restrictions were introduced in the US in 1975 in the middle of the energy crisis. They followed OPEC’s oil embargo of the US and other countries backing Israel during the Arab–Israeli war of 1973. In the face of embargo-related high oil prices, Washington eased the limits on oil imports and ordered an export ban.”

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Wednesday, December 23, 2015

Investors Gear Up for a Violent Uranium Price Spike / Commodities / Uranium

By: The_Energy_Report

The price of uranium is still in the doldrums, but that will change soon—and violently, says Rob Chang of Cantor Fitzgerald Canada. In this interview with The Energy Report, he explains that electric utilities will begin to run short of fuel even before 2020, when 33 additional reactors are expected to come on line. With that in mind, Chang predicts that prices could triple in the next few years, and highlights a half-dozen equities that will likely supply the increased demand and thereby deliver multiples to investors.

The Energy Report: Does cheap oil depress uranium demand?

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 23, 2015

HUI GOLD Ratio Chart…Another Grizzly Year! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Rambus_Chartology

I was just going over some old charts and came across this one which is a ratio chart that compares the HUI to gold going all the way back to the bear market low that was made back in 2000. I use to show this chart quite a bit when the blue triangle on the right side of the chart broke down. This chart shows you a good example of how weak the HUI has been vs gold. The initial impulse move out of the 2000 bear market low shows the HUI really kicking gold’s butt until late 2003. The ratio then declined into the 2005 low which ended creating a double top hump.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Tuesday, December 22, 2015

Gold and Silver: A Positive Big Picture View of Risk vs. Reward / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Gary_Tanashian

While routinely following the precious metals as one of many sectors in NFTRH, we have mostly left it alone with respect to public writing over the last few years.  That is because it is in a bear market and since I am not a slick short-term trader, I have felt it is best to mostly just let it play out to the bear’s will without overly active involvement.

But several indicators have us on alert that 2016 is going to be the year that the bear ends in gold and gold stocks.  So why not publicly discuss the shiny rock a bit more in anticipation?  I am still 100% in line with the value aspect of a monetary metal that is historically sought after in times of doubt about the Monetary Politburo’s (Central Bankers’) ability to manipulate the global macro backdrop as desired and to positive effect over the long-term.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Tuesday, December 22, 2015

Gold Price Not Signaling a Long-term Bear Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Toby_Connor

Gold isn't doing anything unusual. It's not signaling a long-term bear market. It's just doing what every D-wave except one has done by retracing to test the previous C-wave top.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Tuesday, December 22, 2015

Four Mining Stocks that Can Survive Gold $1,050 and Silver $15 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: The_Gold_Report

The price of gold has see-sawed since the Federal Reserve raised interest rates on Dec. 16, and market experts debate if the action is good or bad for gold. Rob Chang of Cantor Fitzgerald Canada believes that after the small rate hike doomsayers are overstating their case and that gold should sell in 2016 for about $100/oz more than today. In this interview with The Gold Report, he argues that in today's climate cash costs of $1,000/oz are the bare minimum necessary for survival. Happily, Chang highlights three gold producers and one silver producer that have what it takes.

The Gold Report: Some say the price of gold has for some time been suppressed by fear of a Federal Reserve rate hike. What do you think?

Read full article... Read full article...

 


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