Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Friday, January 08, 2016

Natural Gas Prices Signaling Oil Bottom for Investors / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: EconMatters

Everyone is trying to figure when the oil markets will bottom. Well lost in all the crazy action in markets globally is the nice resurgence off the bottom for natural gas prices. Natural Gas prices have essentially gone from $1.68 per MMBtu to $2.40 per MMBtu rather rapidly in the midst of a mild winter so far. The reason is that all those rig reductions are starting to affect the production of the commodity, less natural gas is coming to market relative to expectations.

Friday, January 08, 2016

That`s the Bottom in the Crude Oil Price, Clear Out Weak Hands in the Market / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: EconMatters

On Wednesday the oil market sold off to $33.77 on large product`s builds, China`s devaluation of its currency, and a substantial selloff in equities. Sure Oil can go a dollar below this low, but for all intents and purposes this is the bottom in the oil selloff that was predicted for the start of the year. This move down was as predictable a move as there is in financial markets, and we called this down move to start the year with a piece we issued in December.

Friday, January 08, 2016

Gold Price Higher In Most Currencies in 2015 – Up 4% This Week / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

- Gold acts as safe haven in 2015 … for those who need safe haven
- Gold gains in CAD, AUD, NZD, ZAR, RUB & most emerging market currencies
- Gold essentially flat in EUR (-0.3%) as ECB QE supports gold
- Gold lower in USD, GBP, CNY, INR, JPY, CHF
- Of 18 major currencies, gold was higher in 11 currencies and lower in 7
- Hallmarks of market bottoming and bodes well for 2016
- Gold over 4% higher in USD, EUR and GBP so far in January 

Thursday, January 07, 2016

Why are Gold Stocks Outperforming? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Even a cursory review of U.S. stock market indices over the past year shows sharp differences in the character of the first half of last year and the latter half. A clear discontinuity occurred in the path of that market. That a Part A and a Part B existed cannot be ignored. The fantasies and dreams of Part A were dashed in Part B. For whatever the reason, the character of markets changed.

Table that follows shows end of July 2015 values for a number of market indices and investments, the recent value for the same, and the percentage change for that period. One question comes to mind after reviewing this table. Why are the Gold stocks outperforming?

Thursday, January 07, 2016

Perth Mint Silver Coins Sales Surge 56%, Gold Sales Drop 16% In 2015 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Perth Mint’s sales of silver coins surged 56%, while gold sales fell 16% in 2015, as silver stackers continued to accumulate silver coins and bars and the new silver nugget or kangaroo bullion coin (1 oz and 5 oz) saw very high levels of demand.

The Perth Mint’s gold sales rose in December from the prior month, but annual sales slid by nearly a fifth in 2015. Gold sales in December rose to 40,096 ounces from 31,664 ounces in November, the mint said on its website on Wednesday as reported by Reuters.

Thursday, January 07, 2016

Crude Oil Price Breakdown! / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Trading position (short-term; our opinion): Short positions (with a stop-loss order at $39.12 and an initial downside target at $33.66) are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

On Tuesday, crude oil lost 2.47% as a stronger greenback pushed the price lower. As a result, light crude extended losses and broke below important support line. What impact could it have on future moves?

Thursday, January 07, 2016

Crude Oil Price Tanks but Oil Tankers are Filling Up and Raking it In / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Sol_Palha

"A man, when he wishes, is the master of his fate." ~ Jose Ferrer

While oil continues to drop, there is one sector connected to the oil market that is doing rather well. It is the oil tanker sector, and while oil is trading at 11-year lows, many stocks in this sector are already posting double digits gains over the past 12 months. This sector looks appealing both from the Contrarian and Mass psychology perspective for the following reasons.

Wednesday, January 06, 2016

Gold Price Up On Mid East, Asia Risk – January Best Monthly Performance / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

- Gold up 2.5% in January on stock falls, Korea nuclear test, Middle East tensions
- Gold up an average of 4.4% in January over past decade
- January positive month for gold and silver

Gold prices hit a four-week high today over $1,088 per ounce, extending gains for the third day and leading to a 2.5% gain year to date. Deepening concerns over the indebted Chinese economy saw falls in stock markets again and tensions rose in Asia and the Middle East.

Wednesday, January 06, 2016

Gold Market, Two Charts / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Denali_Guide

As you build a model of the trend  you want to find in a Sector or stock that has a trend you can find.  Better yet if you can catch it while it changes trend from down to up.
            Compare the left chart, GIMBO with the RIGHT hand chart, DIMBO. If we are constructing a model of a chart of a stock or sector we want to buy into, which one typifies the best situation that can be there for us : Bottoming, ready to move up, LEFT HAND SIDE, or CRESTING or ROLLING OVER with no decisive trend outlined.

Wednesday, January 06, 2016

Investors Green Energy Trend Is Your Friend / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: The_Energy_Report

David Talbot of Dundee Capital Markets forecasts uranium demand growth of about 6% compounded annually through 2020, which ought to be more than enough to kickstart depressed U3O8 prices. Nuclear energy is part of a growing trend away from fossil fuels toward green energy and things like lithium-ion batteries for cars and energy storage. Talbot explains that lithium demand is expected to grow even faster than uranium demand, and the market is already undergoing a supply deficit. In this interview with The Energy Report, he offers his top picks in the uranium and lithium spaces, as well as a graphite name, all poised to ride the green energy trend higher.

Tuesday, January 05, 2016

Silver Rides a Runaway Expense Train / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: DeviantInvestor

The US government will spend nearly $4 Trillion this fiscal year – starting last October 1.  Of course it projects a massive deficit, increasing national debt, uses “funny” accounting, and does not address unfunded liabilities.

Business as usual…

Examine the last 100 years of US government expenditures and national debt – on a log scale in $ millions.  Note that official government expenses have increased from about $750 million to about $4 Trillion, an increase by a factor of over 5,000.

Tuesday, January 05, 2016

DJ-UBS Forecast: Can it get worse in 2016 for Commodities? / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Submissions

Ken Ticehurst writes: The commodities complex ended 2015 with another poor year, the Dow Jones Commodity Index ended down 25%. Unfortunately as far as we are concerned the downtrend is set to continue for the foreseeable future there appears very little evidence of a capitulation or a bottom forming.

We are currently in a small oversold bounce which we do not expect to last too long as the index itself has spent the last few months in a controlled descent. Rather than an uncontrolled crash the index has moved steadily lower which can sometimes indicate a lower for longer pattern is unfolding.

Tuesday, January 05, 2016

Hedge Funds Remain Bullish Crude Oil Price / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Dan_Norcini

Just as the case with Silver, so do the hedge funds remain stubbornly long in crude oil.

Here is the updated COT chart as of last Tuesday, December 29, 2015.

Tuesday, January 05, 2016

Gold and Silver Investors Betting on Deflation May Be a Huge Mistake. Here's Why... / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: MoneyMetals

Precious metals investors heading into 2016 worry the dollar will continue marching ahead, right over the top of gold and silver prices. The Fed is telegraphing additional rate hikes throughout the year, and commodity prices – led by crude oil – are falling. There have been tremors in the biggest beneficiary markets of all when it comes to the Fed's QE largesse – U.S. equities and real estate. And the possibility of a recession is growing, both in the U.S. and around the world.

Tuesday, January 05, 2016

Gold Bull Trap / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Ed_Carlson

For most of December, gold has acted as if it is forming a base from which to rally but gold had a rough week last week losing $16.90/oz. and closed at 1,060.30. In addition, gold printed an engulfing bearish candlestick on the weekly chart. Cycles point to a low this week which could be followed by the kind of rally we would all like to catch but be careful; a 4 year cycle low is not due until later this year making any rally now a likely bull trap.

Monday, January 04, 2016

Saudi Arabia and OPEC Manipulate Oil Prices to Eliminate It’s Competition / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Chris_Vermeulen

About eighteen months ago the international price of WTI Crude Oil, at the close of June 2014, was $105.93 per barrel. Flash-forward to today; the price of WTI Crude Oil was just holding above $38.00 per barrel, a drastic fall of more than 65% since June 2014. I will point out several reasons behind this sharp, sudden, and what now seems to be prolonged slump.

Monday, January 04, 2016

Gold Bullion Price 2016 Upleg / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Happy New Year. Thank you for all your support in 2015 and wishing you and yours a healthy, prosperous and happy 2016.

Adam Hamilton of Zeal Intelligence has looked at gold’s prospects in 2016 and he thinks the worst may be over for the yellow metal.

Monday, January 04, 2016

Technical Analysis of the Lumber Commodity Market / Commodities / Lumber

By: EconMatters

Housing Demand Thesis

The last two years rents have been rising primarily due to supply and demand issues. There hasn`t been enough multifamily housing to keep up with the demand, and as the employment levels go up and more millennials move out of their parent`s house, I expect the housing market to continue to be on the slow but steady upswing of the last several years for 2016.

Monday, January 04, 2016

Gold Advanced During 2015 in Most Major Currencies / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Jason_Hamlin

Sentiment towards gold has been so bearish lately that you might think the yellow metal declined by 50% or more during 2015. In fact, it was only down 11% in U.S. dollar terms and gold actually advanced in most major currencies. Out of the 17 currencies tracked, gold was up in 10 of them and down in only 7 of them.

Gold advanced in both Canadian and Australian dollars, rocketed higher in Argentine pesos and Brazilian real, climbed higher in Mexican pesos, Russian Rubles, South African Rand, Turkish Lira and Ukrainian Hryvnia.

Saturday, January 02, 2016

Dollar Collapse Gold Price Forecast 2016, Monetary Experiment - Audio / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: John_Rubino

Gold is down in the US but rising in most other places. Could this be the start of the next bull market in precious metals and mining stocks? Meanwhile, the shape of next year's monetary policy is becoming more clear, and it's unlike anything seen since, well, biblical times. You'll be amazed and probably shocked.