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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Commodities

Wednesday, January 10, 2018

Gold Hits All-Time Highs Priced In Emerging Market Currencies / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: GoldCore

– Gold at all time in eight major emerging market currencies
– A stronger performance than seen when priced in USD, EUR or GBP
– As world steps away from US dollar hegemony expect new gold highs in $, € and £
– Gold is a hedge against currency debasement and depreciation of fiat currencies

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Politics

Wednesday, January 10, 2018

Small Business Tax Reform / Politics / Taxes

By: BATR

One aspect of the Republican Tax Reform that everyone can agree upon is that it is not perfect. Fox business reports in What tax reform really means for small businesses.

"Instead of lowering the tax rate on all pass-through businesses, the final bill allows pass-throughs to deduct up to 20% of income. But who can deduct how much depends on what type of business you run and a corresponding formula".

Stop right there. It should be entirely clear that the political realities and influence of corporate lobbyists supersede that of ordinary businesses.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, January 10, 2018

TMV : 3X Leveraged Short on US Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Rambus_Chartology

TMV is a 3 X short the TLT 20 year treasure bond etf. This trade is based on the TLT. For well over three years now the TLT has been building out what looks like a massive H&S top with the top of the right shoulder now in play. I’m going to take an initial position and buy 250 shares of TMV, 3 X short the TLT, and buy 250 shares at the market at 18.83 with the sell/stop on a daily close below the right shoulder low on the daily chart for the TMV at 17.35. I’m anticipating the the right shoulder high on the TLT will be the ultimate high. There will be several more entry points if this trades starts to workout.

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 10, 2018

Here are the Key Levels in Gold & Gold Miners / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

The rally in Gold and gold mining stocks easily surpassed our expectations and targets. The strength has been far more than we anticipated. The gold stocks blew past their 200-day moving averages while Gold blew past $1300/oz. Now it is time to take a technical look and focus on the key support and resistance targets.

The strength of the rebound pushed the miners well beyond their 200-day moving averages and to their June and October highs. GDX is consolidating just below $24 while GDXJ is consolidating just below $35. If this consolidation turns into a correction then GDX and GDXJ could find support at their 200-day moving averages which are at $22.71 and $33.37 respectively. As you can see, should GDX and GDXJ be able to exceed recent peaks then they could rally towards important resistance levels. Those are $25.50 for GDX and $38 for GDXJ.

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 10, 2018

Outlook for Crude Oil Prices / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Donald_W_Dony

Traders for Light crude oil continue to see higher price levels over the near term. Front-month futures prices reflect their bullish outlook (chart 1).

The expectation is for $63 to $65 per barrel by late Q1.

The one caveat is that U.S. production appears set to explode later this year.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 09, 2018

Investment Advice That Probably No One Gave You Before / Stock-Markets / Investing 2018

By: John_Mauldin

BY PATRICK WATSON: Welcome to 2018.

Now is the time for New Year’s resolutions, so you might have important financial decisions to make.

If so, here’s a suggestion: Pay attention to that ugly prospectus, policy, or other disclosure that comes with your new stock or fund purchase. As you’ll learn in this article, it could save you from making a costly mistake.

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Companies

Tuesday, January 09, 2018

Blockchain Makeover of a Penny Stock / Companies / BlockChain

By: EconMatters

Blockchain can sure blow smoke in your face mistaking a dog for a super model, at least in the case of Long Island Ice Tea Corp (LTEA) now rebranded to Long Blockchain (LBCC) on Nasdaq.

What would you do if you are the executive of a Nasdaq-listed company getting a “deficiency notice” from Nasdaq threatening to delist your company unless the market value rose above $35 million for 10 business days in a row?  Long Island Ice Tea did receive such warning in October.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 09, 2018

S&P 500 Sets Another Record, But This May Be Short-Term Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our Monday's intraday trading outlook was bearish. It proved partly wrong, because the S&P 500 gained just 0.2% following slightly lower opening of the trading session. The broad stock market continued its short-term uptrend, but it remained within a relatively narrow trading range. There have been no confirmed negative signals so far. However, we can see some clear short-term overbought conditions along with an overly bullish investors' sentiment. Therefore, intraday short position is favored today. Stop-loss is at the level of 2,765 and potential profit target is at 2,710 (S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish today. Our short-term outlook is neutral, and our medium-term outlook is neutral:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral

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Currencies

Tuesday, January 09, 2018

USD/JPY: Bank of Japan’s Yield Curve Control Could Weigh / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Submissions

Two years ago, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) took financial engineering into a whole new level by introducing the concept of “yield curve control” in an attempt to rescue the country’s declining economy. Basically, this policy aims to keep the central bank’s 10-year government bond yield at zero. In order to do this, BoJ has opted to buy enormous amounts of Japanese government bonds at 0.110 percent.

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Politics

Tuesday, January 09, 2018

Failure of War Party Foreign Policy / Politics / US Politics

By: BATR

The continuous foreign policy failures of the entrenched establishment goes back well over a century. Notwithstanding, the missed opportunity with the collapse of the Soviet Communism has emboldened the war party of the American Empire to become the main existential threat not only to our own country, but to much of the rest of the world. The militarists who chant "Thank You for your Service" are actually committed to expand the Wounded Warrior dupes, who are expendable. The United States never learned the lessons of Viet Nam. Volunteering to fight in unnecessary foreign adventures has caused more gratuitous suffering than any improvised explosive device that blows off limbs.

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ConsumerWatch

Tuesday, January 09, 2018

Buying a Land Rover Discovery Sport HSE Black - Interior Review / ConsumerWatch / Motoring

By: N_Walayat

Thinking of buying a Land Rover? New or what about used? Well in this series I cover the real customer experience of what to expect when buying an approved used land rover. In today's video shot on day 1 of owning a 15 month Discovery Sport HSE Black we take a look at what to expect in terms of interior and what to check out for when viewing to buy.

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InvestorEducation

Tuesday, January 09, 2018

How a Simple Line Can Improve Your Trading Success / InvestorEducation / Technical Analysis

By: EWI

Elliott Wave International's Jeffrey Kennedy explains many ways to use this basic chart tool

The following trading lesson has been adapted from Jeffrey Kennedy's eBook, "Trading the Line -- 5 Ways You Can Use Trendlines to Improve Your Trading Decisions."

"How to draw a trendline" is one of the first things traders and investors learn when they study technical analysis. Typically, they quickly move on to more advanced topics and too often discard this simplest of all technical tools.

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 09, 2018

Gold Prices Choppy after Payrolls / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The U.S. economy added only 148,000 jobs in December. Gold prices reacted in a choppy way, confusing some analysts. Why?

December Payrolls Disappoint

Total nonfarm payroll employment increased only 148,000 in December, the slowest pace in three months. The employment gains were generally widespread, but the biggest employers were construction (+30,000), leisure and hospitality (+29,000), education and health services (+28,000), and manufacturing (+25,000). The latter rise is a particularly bright spot, given the not-so-distant problems of the sector.  On the other hand, retail trade cut 20,000 jobs, which confirms that some traditional brick-and-mortar stores struggle.

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 09, 2018

More Important Than Gold’s Bottoming Price  / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Time is more important than price. That’s what we – investors – are often made to believe regarding the future price movement. And rightfully so. The price could reach a bottom several dollars ahead of the predicted price target or it could break through it, leaving investors wondering, if there was a breakdown and thus they should expect to see another big downswing shortly. With time, things are clearer. The time for a given move is up and the price reverses. When is gold likely to finally bottom?

Between August and October 2018. That’s the most up-to-date estimate based on the data that we have right now. Here’s why (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 09, 2018

Getting Bullish on Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Rudi Fronk and Jim Anthony, cofounders of Seabridge Gold, discuss gold's recent moves and potential signs of a bull market.

Gold is up nine of the last 12 Januaries with an average gain of over 4%, and the trend has continued in 2018 with gold reaching an intraday high of $1,327 so far this year. From December 19 of last year, gold rose 10 trading days in a row. Is this another rally destined to disappoint investors or the resumption of the gold bull market?

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, January 09, 2018

US Interest Rates Walking on Narrow Ledge / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Michael_Pento

There is a huge shock in store for those who have been lulled to sleep by a stock market that has become accustomed to no volatility and only an upward direction. And that alarm bell can be found in the price action of Bitcoin, which recently tumbled over 40% is less than a week. For the implosion within the cryptocurrency world foreshadows what will happen with the major averages as the Federal Reserve futilely attempts to stop monetizing the exploding mountain of U.S. debt.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 09, 2018

Share Market Is One Of The Most Encouraging Opportunity For Young And Old Alike To Make Profitable Investments / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Kavinesh_A

Taking a count on the number of people who have benefited from the amount of shares that have been purchased, there are many certain levels of ideal benefits in investing for shares. The profit is one thing but the thrill of waiting is another level altogether. The ups and downs are always there but when it comes to the very foundation of having a stern yet disciplined outlook on investment, things can get quite real and always will suffice the very ideology of fulfilling desires of monetary value. In realizing the importance of shares, one needs to be really on top of the game that will garner them enough support in making it easily possible for anyone to breathe easy on terms of realizing the very possibilities of profitable investments.
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Stock-Markets

Monday, January 08, 2018

Stock Market Close Call... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

SPX opened down…and in the nick of time, since the current Wave structure is invalidated above 2743.80. The alternate Wave structure goes much higher, thus my hesitation in writing until the open.

One measure that I missed is that Super Cycle Wave (b) is 2.618 time the size of Super Cycle Wave (a) at 2720.56. Again, using Elliott Wave, one must compare the Waves at the same degree. This is a flaw of Northman Trader that many will not pick up on.

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Companies

Monday, January 08, 2018

If You Hold VT Or Any Other Global ETF, You’ve Put All Your Eggs In One Basket / Companies / Emerging Markets

By: John_Mauldin

BY OLIVIER GARRET : The growth of ETFs since the Global Financial Crisis has been staggering.

Total ETF assets under management is now approaching US $5 trillion, a 400% increase from the $1 trillion held in 2009.

Investors now have access to over 7,000 ETF/ETP products. To put that number in perspective, there are only 2,400 stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange.

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Politics

Monday, January 08, 2018

Why Trump’s Tax Plan Might Be Counterproductive / Politics / Taxes

By: John_Mauldin

Whether you like Trump or not, the new administration is making some good things happen.

The combined impact of deregulation, tax cuts, and (possibly) infrastructure spending will push back against the Fed’s monetary tightening and keep the economy on roughly the same course as in 2017.

If the Republican tax bill isn’t what you wanted, join the club—I was a charter member as my Thoughts from the Frontline readers know.

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