Sunday, August 06, 2017

Predicting The Price Of Gold Is A Fool’s Game / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Kelsey_Williams

It is frustrating at times to see the attention focused on predictions for the price of gold. The more sensational and spectacular the price forecast, the greater the cacophony.

It is worth taking a look back at a few of these predictions to help put things in perspective. 

HEADLINE: Gold Forecast $6000, And Gold Mining Analysis Through Visualisation  23Jan2012

Sunday, August 06, 2017

Asda Sales Collapse and Profits Crash! UK Retailer Sector Crisis 2017 / Companies / Retail Sector

By: Nadeem_Walayat

In a series of videos I have been explaining why the likes of Tesco and rest of the already depressed retail sector were facing a perfect storm of rising brexit producer prices, falling consumer disposable earnings whilst at the same time continuing to haemorrhage customers to the discounters. All of which would culminate in increasing pressure on profit margins and balance sheets. Which ultimately warns to expect a woolworth's moment, i.e. a retail giant going bust, whilst in the meantime the crisis will at the very least translate into many job losses and the mothballing of many unprofitable stores, the closure of huge super markets, something that is unthinkable to most will likely become a reality as distressed retailers attempt to bolster profit margins by cutting costs by closing super markets that are no longer able to operate at a profit.

Saturday, August 05, 2017

Parallel Lives: The U.S. Stock Market and The New York City Subway - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: EWI

The NYC Subway and the Stock Market: See Amazing Parallel Trends and Turns For Yourself.

Saturday, August 05, 2017

Four Maps That Show How Russia Could Strike Back Against US Sanctions / Politics / Russia

By: John_Mauldin

BY GEORGE FRIEDMAN, XANDER SNYDER, EKATERINA ZOLOTOVA : The US Congress has passed new sanctions targeting Russia’s energy companies.

Recognizing that a vital sector in its economy has even less chance of relief than it once had, Russia has retaliated. It has reduced the number of diplomats it has in the US and has seized property used in Russia by US diplomats.

Energy sales are an important source of revenue in Russia. But it’s more than that. For Russia, energy is also an instrument of geopolitical power. They give Moscow considerable influence over the countries dependent on Russian energy exports.

Saturday, August 05, 2017

Why Switching to a Roth IRA May Be the Best Investment Decision You’ll Ever Make / Personal_Finance / Pensions & Retirement

By: John_Mauldin

By Terry Coxon : Should you convert your traditional IRA or 401k to a Roth? Or are you better off sticking with what you already have?

Either way, you stay plugged into the same powerful, wealth-building advantage that makes an IRA such a good thing to have—continuous compounding of investment returns unhindered by the drag of taxes.

Saturday, August 05, 2017

Gold Stocks’ Autumn Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold miners’ stocks have suffered a lackluster year so far, mostly lagging gold’s solid new upleg.  But that vexing underperformance should soon give way to a big catch-up surge.  The deeply-out-of-favor gold stocks are now entering their strong season, which starts right about now with a powerful autumn rally.  That generates major gains on average in bull-market years, and this year’s upside potential is exceptional.

Seasonality is the tendency for prices to exhibit recurring patterns at certain times during the calendar year.  While seasonality doesn’t drive price action, it quantifies annually-repeating behavior driven by sentiment, technicals, and fundamentals.  We humans are creatures of habit and herd, which naturally colors our trading decisions.  The calendar year’s passage affects the timing and intensity of buying and selling.

Saturday, August 05, 2017

China’s Growth Driven By Shadow Banking Is Potential Trigger For Next Global Recession / Economics / China

By: John_Mauldin

China is unstoppable.

GDP growth has slowed down to 6.9%, according to official numbers. The numbers are likely inflated, but the boom is still underway.

Reasonable estimates from knowledgeable observers still have China growing at 4–5%, which is rather remarkable given China’s size.

Saturday, August 05, 2017

CABLE leads the way in a major turn for USD / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Enda_Glynn

My Bias: short below parity in wave (5).
Wave Structure: continuing impulsive structure to the downside in wave (5)
Long term wave count: decline in wave (5) blue, below parity
Important risk events: GBP: N/A. USD: Average Hourly Earnings m/m, Non-Farm Employment Change, Unemployment Rate, Trade Balance.

Cable took a beating today with the first bearish action in two weeks.
We got a slight new high overnight as expected,
And then a very impulsive looking decline this morning.

Saturday, August 05, 2017

Gold Consolidates On 2.5% Gain In July After Dollar 5 Monthly Decline / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

– Gold consolidates on 2.5% gain in July as the dollar has fifth monthly decline
– Trump administration and vicious “civil war” politics casting shadow over America and impacting dollar
– All eyes on non farm payrolls today for further signs of  weakness in U.S. economy
– Gold recovers from 1.7% decline in June as dollar falls
– Gold outperforms stocks and benchmark S&P 500 YTD

Saturday, August 05, 2017

The Crisis of World Automation  / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Christopher_Quigley

“Money is an amazing, device without which modern civilization could not function but its introduction and development as a debt-credit accountancy system in the context of an increasingly labor-displacing, intensive capital producing system, involves a number of fundamental issues of which we must become aware of and for which we must compensate through a new economic orthodoxy. Keynesianism is dead. Let us actively bury it and move on, rather than let the corpse rot and its disease destroy the natural creative resourcefulness of nations”.

Friday, August 04, 2017

NZDUSD Broke Above 0.7484 Resistance / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Franco_Shao

After breaking above the resistance of the September 2016 high of 0.7484 high, NZDUSD pulled back from 0.7557, suggesting that a short term top had been formed on the daily chart.

Friday, August 04, 2017

This Just Changed Everything: Marijuana Green Profits Are Being Unleashed / Commodities / Cannabis

By: The_Gold_Report

Kenneth Ameduri, founder of Crush the Street, discusses why he believes now is a good time to take advantage of cannabis investing opportunities.
There is nothing wrong with being part of bubbles. It's the formation and expansion of a bubble that you want to be positioned in.

Friday, August 04, 2017

Iran: Public Image Versus Historical Reality Part 2. Iran: The Last Century to the Present / Politics / Iran

By: Raymond_Matison

Iran: Part 2. Iran: The Last Century to the Present is a sequel to the first part of this report on Iran. The reading of both parts is necessary for a more complete understanding of how Iran has evolved to its present media perceived status in the world, and how reality diverges from popular perceptions. Part I, traces historical events which have shaped Iran’s evolution and development from its great Persian empire of over two thousand years ago to those taking place in the 20th century.

Friday, August 04, 2017

Silver Analogies – Invalidated? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Some time ago we discussed the analogies in the silver market and the implication of the analogies was that a big decline should follow. However, we have not seen anything epic on a medium-term basis – only a local (yet powerful) intra-day slide. Was the analogy invalidated and did the outlook become bullish?

Let’s take a closer look at the silver chart (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com) and begin today’s analysis by reminding ourselves the analogies that we are going to discuss in greater detail.

Friday, August 04, 2017

How to Win Against the Dangerous Stock Market Investor "Herding Impulse" / Stock-Markets / Learning to Invest

By: EWI

We all love a bargain...

...Except when it comes to stocks.

The reason boils down to uncertainty. We know what our fruits and vegetables should cost at the grocer's -- but we're far less certain about how much to pay for a blue-chip stock or shares in an S&P 500 Index fund.

So how does our mind work in decisions that involve certainty vs. uncertainty?

Friday, August 04, 2017

The Books You Most Likely Read about Investing Taught You Nothing about Investing / InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest

By: John_Mauldin

BY JARED DILLIAN : Lots of people ask me for good beginner books about finance.

That’s one of the hardest questions I get.

I think back to when I was learning about finance—one of my Coast Guard shipmates had these things called “mutual funds,” so I found some free literature about mutual funds and started reading.

Friday, August 04, 2017

US Military May Soon Deploy Millions Of Drones—Which Presents A Big Investment Opportunity / Politics / US Military

By: John_Mauldin

BY PATRICK WATSON : If you were to ask me what the most inefficient US market sector is, I would probably say defense.

Now, that’s something no one likes to hear.

How come the one sector the US government spends the most money on—the FY 2018 defense budget is $824.7 billion, more than that of the next nine countries combined—is the most inefficient?

Friday, August 04, 2017

Every Investor Is One Misstep Away From Losing Everything—And It Has Nothing To Do With Crashes / Portfolio / Financial Markets 2017

By: John_Mauldin

BY OLIVIER GARRET : The US has become a very unfriendly place for successful people.

Not just for the uber wealthy, but entrepreneurs, investors, and the family next door. Anyone with even a modest net worth is a potential target.

Our country has just 5% of the world’s population yet is home to 80% of its lawyers. The US spends 2.2% of its GDP on legal costs. That is an eight-fold jump per capita (inflation adjusted) since the 1950s.

Thursday, August 03, 2017

Ethereum vs. Tangibleum: Why Cryptocurrencies Can Never Replace Physical Gold / Currencies / BlockChain

By: HAA

Shannara Johnson : On June 11, 2017, Bitcoin reached its all-time high of $3,025.47… followed by a 27.7% plunge only four days later.

By July 12, it had lost a total of $12 billion off its value within a month.

Ethereum, another popular cryptocurrency, increased its market share from a mere 5% at the beginning of the year to a breathtaking 30% in June, only to plummet 65% from its record-high by mid-July.

Thursday, August 03, 2017

Copper Price Cycles Update / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: SurfCity

My gut tells me that Copper will likely test the $3 level before its 5-6 month Intermediate Cycle tops out. The daily RSI is in the nosebleed section, however, as we are approaching the 3 month mark in its current uptrend.

Nearer term, my Trading Cycle count is a bit cloudy but my preferred count is day 31. We have formed a swing low once again but we did so last week only to move slightly higher.