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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Thursday, March 12, 2015

U.S. Dollar, Euro May be in a Reversal / Currencies / Euro

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The US dollar hit its Master Cycle high overnight, rising to 100.05 before dropping down to an early morning low of 98.65. The reversal is coming very late at day 254 in the current Master Cycle. This leads me to believe that there may be a strong down draft in USD over the next 3 weeks.

USD/JPY is retreating this morning. It is still at 120.94 after reaching a high of 122.02 on Monday. The Yen carry trade will likely start to unwind beneath USD/JPY 120.00.

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Currencies

Thursday, March 12, 2015

U.S. Interest Rate Hikes Already Priced into the US Dollar Index / Currencies / US Dollar

By: EconMatters

Buy the Rumor, Sell the News

All those bemoaning what rate hikes could potentially portend for the US Dollar need to get a grip, the rate hikes are already priced in. That`s how markets work, buy the rumor and sell the news or actual event. Moreover, not just one 25 basis point rate hike, taking a look at that chart, several rate hikes have already been priced into the US Dollar Index.

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Currencies

Wednesday, March 11, 2015

Is There a Shortage of U.S. Dollars? Will it Sink the Global Economy? Again? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mike_Shedlock

Reader Patricia is wondering about a recent ZeroHedge article, The Global Dollar Funding Shortage Is Back With A Vengeance And "This Time It's Different".

The last time the world was sliding into a US dollar shortage as rapidly as it is right now, was following the collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2008. The response by the Fed: the issuance of an unprecedented amount of FX liquidity lines in the form of swaps to foreign Central Banks. The "swapped" amount went from practically zero to a peak of $582 billion on December 10, 2008.

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Currencies

Wednesday, March 11, 2015

Forex Traders: The Only Question You Should Be Asking / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: EWI

Elliott wave analysis foresaw the USDJPY's recent rally. Find out what else we're expecting for the world's leading forex markets (plus stocks, gold, oil and bonds) -- absolutely FREE

I can't help it. Whenever I read the mainstream financial news, I feel like I'm eavesdropping on a job interview at Microsoft.

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Currencies

Wednesday, March 11, 2015

China wants to have a Reserve Currency / Currencies / China Currency Yuan

By: BATR

Common wisdom has China as the future model for the Globalist economy. Also, conventional thinking has the Western financial debt created money system as the backbone of the New World Order. The big question is, are both components of the same intentional plan? When China Has Announced Plans For A ‘World Currency’, the world is put on notice that a fundamental shift is about to take place.

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Currencies

Wednesday, March 11, 2015

How Low Can The Euro Go? Or Is That The Wrong Question? / Currencies / Euro

By: John_Rubino

The euro is tanking again, as the ECB starts buying bonds for its long-promised "whatever it takes" QE program. Today's exchange rate move is dramatic enough to generate headlines like this, from Forbes: Euro Nears Parity With U.S. Dollar

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Currencies

Wednesday, March 11, 2015

Market insight: U.S. Dollar at 11-Year High Against Euro / Currencies / Euro

By: EWI

And why now may not be the best time to bet on the greenback

By Elliott Wave International

Editor's note: You'll find a text version of this story below the video.

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Currencies

Tuesday, March 10, 2015

Bitcoin Price Still Holding Above $250 / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: no speculative positions.

Luqin Wang and Yong Liu, researchers at the NYU Polytechnic School of Engineering, have come up with a paper on the evolution of Bitcoin mining. Their work tackles various aspects of how Bitcoin miners have changed over the life of the network. In a subsection on solo miners, we can read:

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Currencies

Tuesday, March 10, 2015

Euro Damaged, Kiwi Panics / Currencies / Euro

By: Ashraf_Laidi

A new 12-year low in the euro against the US dollar and another hit to the New Zealand dollar re-emerged in global markets as Greece and the EU put off talks to another day, while stock traders let the shine of Apple's iWatch presentation wane after it was revealed that the battery life of the much awaited accessory lasted no more than 18 hours.

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Currencies

Tuesday, March 10, 2015

Gold, Dollar and the Swiss Surprise / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Let's step back in time. As we all remember, on January 15th, a surprise decoupling from the euro peg caused the Swiss franc to rally up to 23%, an unprecedented move in the currency market. Why was the peg introduced and later removed?

The SNB pegged the franc to the euro on September 6th, 2011, in the very middle of the Eurozone debt crisis. A few peripheral countries, whose debts had been downgraded to junk status, asked for bailouts. Therefore, investors ran from euros and moved into the Swiss franc, a traditional safe haven. The SNB introduced a minimal exchange rate at CHF 1.20 per euro (0.83 euro per franc) in order to resist the currency appreciation (the CHF gained 28% since the beginning of the Global Financial Crisis). Although gradual appreciation is positive and reflects the strength of a currency, sudden capital inflows and exchange rate fluctuations may be quite detrimental, and therefore the SNB began printing and selling francs to keep the currency from exceeding 0.83 euro.

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Currencies

Monday, March 09, 2015

Currency Wars Deepen - IMF Concedes End to U.S. Dollar Hegemony / Currencies / Currency War

By: GoldCore

- Dollar has declined as reserve currency over past decade from 70% of global reserves to 61%

- Chinese yuan is growing in stature as international currency

- IMF deputy director calls for de-dollarisation in emerging markets

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Currencies

Thursday, March 05, 2015

Mr. Ponzi – Patron Saint / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: DeviantInvestor

Mr. Ponzi was a charming con-artist who operated about a century ago in the United States and Canada.  He enticed investors to contribute new money to his investment scheme (100% return in 90 days), skimmed a portion for his luxurious needs, and used the remaining money to pay off prior investors.  The system worked marvelously until it collapsed and people realized that his postal reply coupon investments could not produce the profits that supposedly paid off early investors.

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Currencies

Wednesday, March 04, 2015

U.S. Dollar Strategic Backfire On U.S. Government Policy / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jim_Willie_CB

It is very difficult to find a foreign policy deployed by the United States Govt that has been successful in recent years. In fact, almost all aggressive foreign policy initiatives have resulted in profound losses either in financial strategic position or in alliances with previous staid allied nations. They have almost uniformly backfired, while bravado has mixed with stupidity, while arrogance has blended with futility. The USGovt without given it thought, appears to be acting in reckless manner toward losing its entire set of advantages from a century. The nation has become hollowed out industrially by outsourcing, defrauded in housing mortgages, undermined in banks by derivatives, contaminated in USTreasury Bonds by the wildly applauded QE bond purchase wreckage, tarnished by exported terrorism, tainted by prevalent espionage, and shamed by reliance upon war to defend the USDollar. The US is fast becoming recognized as a rogue nations, but worse, as a nation with stupid leadership. The more aggressive the leadership led by the Manchurian sock puppet plus stage entourage and legion of legislators bound by bank donations, the more rapid the failures, the more rapid the development of USD workarounds, the more rapid the frayed lines to allies, the more rapid the isolation of a once great nation, the more rapid the systemic failure. Witness the climax of the Fascist Business Model, which almost no other analyst seems to emphasize or notice. The effect of fascism upon the financial platforms and economic structure has been profoundly negative. Like all fascist regimes, the attacks are directed to enemies first in direct thefts, then to allies in frauds recognized later, finally to the citizens in hidden pilferage and lost rights. The result is always the same, except for the rhyme of its ruin. The implosion is as loud as the escape flights for leaders, along with their protected off-shore accounts.

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Currencies

Wednesday, March 04, 2015

Canada’s Central Banks Orders End to ‘Spocking’ Of Canadian Dollar - Defacing Debasing Currencies / Currencies / Canadian $

By: GoldCore

- From “Spocking” in Canada to overtly political imagery in Greece, paper currency is growing in popularity
- Outpouring of affection for Leonard Nimoy has inspired the phenomenon of “Spocking” in Canada
- Greek artist Stefanos alters euro notes to deliver a political message
- Defacing notes is illegal and a criminal offence in the EU, U.S. and most countries
- Disgruntled citizens defaming already debasing currencies … this may catch on …

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Currencies

Sunday, March 01, 2015

US Dollar Remaining Strong / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Dan_Norcini

A quick update on the USDX is in order after a strong surge to the upside on Thursday of this past week.

I have marked this chart with some shaded rectangular boxes that correspond to periods in which the Bollinger bands were contracting. For those who are not familiar with how to interpret the bands, when the width is widening out, volatility is increasing. Generally speaking, when a market is trending in one direction or the other, the bands will be widening. When a market is consolidating or moving sideways in a range, the bands will be contracting.

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Currencies

Thursday, February 26, 2015

Currency Wars, Again / Currencies / Currency War

By: Steve_H_Hanke

The specter of currency wars rises like a phoenix once again. This time around, most of the warriors reside in Washington, D.C.. The strong dollar has inflamed the currency warriors (read: mercantilists) led by Democratic Senator Chuck Schumer from New York and Lindsey Graham, a Republican Senator from South Carolina. These mercantilists argue that “cheap” foreign currencies give the U.S.’s trading partners an “unfair” advantage, something worth doing battle over.

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Currencies

Tuesday, February 24, 2015

Bitcoin Price Might Stay below $250 / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

Briefly: speculative short position, stop-loss at $273, take-profit at $153.

Rakuten, a Japanese electronic commerce company, with $5.3 billion in revenue for 2013, might be warming up to Bitcoin, we read on the Wall Street Journal website:

Japanese e-commerce giant Rakuten is considering accepting the virtual currency bitcoin as payment, founder and Chief Executive Hiroshi Mikitani said.

"We are thinking about it, and we probably will," Mr. Mikitani said at the Rakuten Financial Conference in Tokyo, where panelists discussed crypto-currencies and other alternatives to cash and credit cards. "We would like to be open."

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Currencies

Sunday, February 22, 2015

Who Decides What Is Money? / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: John_Rubino

The following is an edited excerpt from The Money Bubble: What To Do Before It Pops:

During a 2011 congressional banking subcommittee hearing, Texas congressman Ron Paul - long a champion of gold's role in the financial world - asked Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke if gold is money. "No," replied Bernanke, "It's an asset." Video of this exchange went viral in the gold-bug community, because the difference between money and an asset is, to people who care about such things, both profound and crucial to the future of the global financial system.

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Currencies

Friday, February 20, 2015

Bitcoin Price Drifting Towards Depreciation / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: speculative short position, stop-loss at $273, take-profit at $153.

A new security standard for cryptocurrencies has been proposed by the Cryptocurrency Certification Consortium, we read on CoinDesk:

A group composed of developers and security professionals has proposed a set of rules aimed at standardizing security protocols used by companies that handle or store digital currencies for their clients.

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Currencies

Friday, February 20, 2015

USD/CHF Extends Rally - For Now / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Nadia_Simmons

Earlier today, the U.S. Department of Labor reported that the number of initial jobless claims in the week ending February 14 dropped by 21,000, beating analysts' expectations for a fall by 11,000. Thanks to these bullish numbers, USD/CHF extended rally, but how much more room for further gains does the exchange rate have?

In our opinion, the following forex trading positions are justified - summary:

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