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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Sunday, January 09, 2011

The Nomadic Nature of Money / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Richard_Daughty

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI was intrigued that a guy named David Thurtell, of Citigroup, surprisingly said, “The liquidity pumped out by central banks means that there is a lot of money sloshing around that needs to find a home.”

I was so intrigued that I was tempted to use it as the basis for my first report to the new supervisor for this quadrant of the galaxy, Karpus Klegg the Implacable, at his new office at Intergalactic Headquarters after the “palace coup” and interstellar personnel shake-up that I just found out about.

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Currencies

Thursday, January 06, 2011

Destruction of the U.S. Dollar, The Real Reason Paul Volcker Wants Out / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jeff_Berwick

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe news that Paul Volcker plans to step down from a "panel of experts" advising Barack Obama today will likely whip market participants into a bit of a frenzy analyzing what this could possibly mean.

But, the problem with their conclusions will be that they are starting from an incorrect premise.  The great majority of market participants believe that Paul Volcker was responsible for ending the inflation of the 1970s.  And, as usual, the great majority of market participants are wrong.

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Currencies

Thursday, January 06, 2011

Euro Currency New Year, New Challenges / Currencies / Euro

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne interesting aspect of todays blow out +297K rise in Dec ADP is the cautious interpretations circulated for Fridays release of Dec Nonfarm payrolls. Recall the disappointing 39K increase in Nov payrolls from +172 in Oct despite the unexpectedly strong +92K ADP in Nov. Nonetheless, both the US dollar and 10 year yields are rallying across the board of further growth recovery in the US. Noting that Fed Chairman Bernanke will testify to Congress 1 hour after Friday's jobs report, we would expect the Chairman to reiterate the case for buying the entire $600 bln in QE2 even in the event that Dec payrolls show a blowout number with similar proportions to today's ADP (above 220K-250K). Yet despite those reiterations of QE2, bond yields will likely hold on to their upward trajectory eyeing 3.80% before ultimately regaining 4.10-15% in late Q1, which should help support USD vs. EUR, GBP and JPY.

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Currencies

Wednesday, December 29, 2010

Aussie Dollar, the Japanese Yen, Euro and Cable all have a different story to tell / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Bari_Baig

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFirst up we look at USD/JPY: The economic data out from Japan was encouraging today as Industrial production as well as retail sales both exceeded the streets guesstimates. This further put a bid on Japanese Yen and prices tumbled to just below 82. This is the region where Bank of Japan first started to tout that it would intervene in the market and as we have said before now that BoJ has made its mark on the market by actually intervening therefore it is high time that it should continue to weaken Yen. We went buyers of the pair at 82 flat and we intend on holding the position.

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Currencies

Thursday, December 23, 2010

The Faults of Fractional Reserve Banking / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Thorsten_Polleit

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn a November 1, 2010, blog post titled "Could the World Go Back to the Gold Standard?," Martin Wolf, the Financial Times chief economics commentator, comes to the conclusion that "we cannot and will not go back to the gold standard."

Among a number of mainstream-economics arguments leveled against the desirability and feasibility of the gold standard, Mr. Wolf puts forth a line of reasoning that can serve particularly well as a starting point for debating his position. Mr. Wolf writes,

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Currencies

Thursday, December 23, 2010

Euro, British Pound Down as US Economy Improves / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: LiveCharts

According to a recent survey by CNN Money, top economists are projecting a 3.1 per cent gross domestic product (GDP) for the United States economy during the final quarter of 2010, after a 2.6 per cent third quarter increase.

The fourth quarter project is an upward revision from previous forecasts and the report also indicates expectations are high for a steady growth throughout 2011.

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Currencies

Wednesday, December 22, 2010

Europe's New Plan to Save the Euro / Currencies / Euro

By: STRATFOR

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEurope is on the cusp of change. An EU heads-of-state summit Dec. 16 launched a process aimed to save the common European currency. If successful, this process would be the most significant step toward creating a singular European power since the creation of the European Union itself in 1992 — that is, if it doesn’t destroy the euro first.

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Currencies

Monday, December 20, 2010

Is this the week which brings “bad” fortune to Euro? / Currencies / Euro

By: Bari_Baig

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt seems just about everyone has forgotten about the EU Debt Crisis which couldn’t get enough air time several weeks ago. Now, all of a sudden everyone’s attention is towards U.S or as the holiday season is approaching no one wants to look at the bad side of the picture [But] does that mean all is well?

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Currencies

Friday, December 17, 2010

The U.S. Dollar Threads a Needle / Currencies / US Dollar

By: John_Browne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePre-holiday cheer is certainly evident in the financial markets. The overwhelming consensus is that the Congressional agreement to not raise taxes while extending hundreds of billions in new stimulus will finally allow the recovery to take hold. The good feelings are underscored by less-than-awful employment reports and modest slowdowns in foreclosures. Another point of optimism is the continued buoyancy of the US dollar, which has weakened over the past few months, but has not collapsed.

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Currencies

Wednesday, December 15, 2010

Is The U.S. Dollar Too Big to Fail? Gold and Silver Lifeline / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Lorimer_Wilson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThose in the U.S. power structure know what the plan is should the U.S. dollar fail. They are not admitting publically that there is even the remotest chance that it could happen but, rest assured, there is a plan.  There is always a plan.  To paraphrase Franklin Roosevelt, nothing happens by chance in government, so don’t be caught up in such a ‘surprise’ event - whatever it may be and whenever it occurs.

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Currencies

Tuesday, December 14, 2010

Post Mortem for the world's "Reserve Currency" / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePaul Volcker is worried about the future of the dollar and for good reason. The Fed has initiated a program (Quantitative Easing) that presages an end to Bretton Woods 2 and replaces it with different system altogether. Naturally, that's made trading partners pretty nervous. Despite the unfairness of the present system--where export-dependent countries recycle capital to US markets to sustain demand---most nations would rather stick with the "devil they know", then venture into the unknown.  But US allies weren't consulted on the matter.  The Fed unilaterally decided that the only way to fight deflation and high unemployment in the US, was by weakening the dollar and making US exports more competitive. Hence--QE2.

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Currencies

Monday, December 13, 2010

U.S. Dollar Forecast 2011, Ways to Profit Despite the Greenback's Expected Struggles / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBy Larry D. Spears writes: The U.S. dollar faces a long list of challenges in the New Year.

The U.S. greenback could strengthen in 2011-but only against the European euro and other currencies with heavy exposure to the European debt crisis, including the British pound sterling. Against virtually every other currency, however, the U.S. dollar is likely to be the loser.

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Currencies

Sunday, December 12, 2010

The Debt-Dollar Discipline: Part II - Conservation & Release / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ashvin_Pandurangi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePart I in this series introduced Michel Foucault's theory of disciplinary society, laid out in his book Discipline and Punish, and the application of this analysis to the "debt-dollar discipline" formally imposed on global society by the Bretton Woods Agreement of 1945 (establishing the dollar as the global reserve currency). It should come as no surprise that this global financial discipline is currently in the process of being revoked.

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Currencies

Friday, December 10, 2010

Ominous Euro Divergence From Rising US and European Equities / Currencies / Euro

By: Ashraf_Laidi

China's latest action to raise banks' reserve requirement ratios is no longer weighing on market sentiment as participants expect the more aggressive option of higher interest rates (borrowing and lending). The overnight decision to hike RRR for the 6th time this year is seen as part of a broader tightening.

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Currencies

Friday, December 10, 2010

Can Fiat Paper Currency Bring Prosperity? / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Mike_Hewitt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA short description of money and historical examples where forms of which were not a good store of value ended in economic disaster.

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Currencies

Friday, December 10, 2010

Will Aussie Dollar Overtake U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Bari_Baig

Green back was not strong nor weak it was neutral at best with mild bias towards the red territory a perfect example of undergoing consolidation. However, the U.S Dollar really was materially weak against the Aussie Dollar as the data out from Canberra of employment beat not just the streets estimates but also beat previous induction of “full time” workers. The employment rose by 54,600 for the month of November for full time workers. Australia has the highest interest rates of all the developed nations and keeping in view such high employability the already tight monetary policy would certainly have to be tightened even further.

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Currencies

Thursday, December 09, 2010

Why the Eurozone and the Euro Will Not Collapse, But Will Change / Currencies / Euro-Zone

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

There appears to be just over one week left for the Eurozone Finance Ministers to resolve the Eurozone debt crisis or face a collapse of confidence in it and the euro. This need not lead to a collapse of the two though. In perhaps an underestimated situation, the discord among the members of the "Europe United" bloc, the seeming inability to permanently resolve the crisis is well on the way to that end.

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Currencies

Wednesday, December 08, 2010

U.S. Dollar and Euro, Two Flawed Currencies / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: John_Browne

Despite America's economic problems, the US dollar has maintained its respected status the world over - and has even managed to maintain value in comparison to other currencies. It appears that the dollar will likely finish 2010 at the same levels that it started. Even today's announcement of more tax cuts and stimulus, which will guarantee widening federal deficits for years to come, could not put a dent in the dollar. The dollar's charmed life stands in strong contrast to the euro, which is currently suffering from its internal flaws and the Europeans' unfortunate recognition of reality.

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Currencies

Wednesday, December 08, 2010

What Happens When Currencies Go Bust? / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Richard_Daughty

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI was telling the doctor that I distinctly heard a popping sound inside my head when I saw that the foul Federal Reserve had created, last week alone, another $24.2 billion in Fed Credit, which was instantly turned into money when the Fed bought $24.2 billion of US government securities, and all in One Freaking Week (OFW)! It made a kind of "sizzling" sound.

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Currencies

Tuesday, December 07, 2010

EUR/USD Targets 1.25 / Currencies / Euro

By: Bari_Baig

Last week on Dec 2nd after the ECB’s press conference Euro found additional strength on news that three months were being extended in the QEI program and by Friday’s close Euro had traded upward to 1.343s. Euro then rallied from 1.298s to 1.343s which is 5 Big figures and we had termed the move a bounce even before it took place as we wrote in our article [The Good Days [Euro] dated Dec 1st on www.marketprojection.net and [Euro, USD, Gold, and Stock Index Analysis] on Dec 1st on www.marketoracle.co.uk that “Edited note “summary”: coming two days would be good for Euro and we are “Bulls” as we find Euro extremely over sold at this point however, after 2 days the downside opens up even more and we’d therefore sell on strength” regardless of what we had anticipated we are willing to give all this credit to Mr. Trichet. Why? Because the only obvious effect of Mr. Trichet’s statement was on Euro and it too was further aided by weak employment data from the U.S on Friday which resulted in U.S Dollar falling fast.

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