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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Thursday, May 12, 2011

A ‘New Normal’ how Fed policy influences global financial markets / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: ECR_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article

The consequences of the ‘new normal’ (coined by El-Erian of PIMCO) are not limited to the US, but have profound implications how we need to analyze the world economy and financial markets.

The time has passed that the rest of the world followed the US economic cycle closely. The growth dynamic in especially the emerging markets have become much more important, for the rather simple fact that US consumption growth isn’t the single locomotive for the world economy any more. And if we should believe economists, the US consumer will not regain this position in the foreseeable future. They will be too busy paying down debt and saving for retirement. Hardly any economist will disagree with this.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, May 12, 2011

Banking in Darkness FDIC System Insures $7trillion Deposits with Dwindling Insurance Fund / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Submissions

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJohn Rolls submits : MyBudget360: Americans are offered close to zero percent interest rates to stuff their money into this banking vortex.

The American banking system is based on pure faith.  Usually when the topic comes up in conversation I will ask someone if they know what backs the green cash in their wallet.  One of the common responses is “there is gold in Fort Knox” or another typical response is that it is backed by U.S. assets.  Unfortunately both of these answers are incorrect.  In fact all of our money deposited in the banking system is backed by the pure faith in our U.S. government. 

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, May 10, 2011

Resurgent Greek Debt Crisis Stokes Concern, Causes S&P to Lower Rating / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDavid Zeiler writes: Concern that the Greek debt crisis is far from resolved led Standard & Poor's to lower that troubled country's debt rating even deeper into junk territory yesterday (Monday).

The S&P cut Greece to B from BB- with a warning it could downgrade further.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, May 09, 2011

Ireland's Future Depends on Breaking Free From E.U. Bailout / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Christopher_Quigley

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOPINION: Ireland is heading for bankruptcy, which would be catastrophic for a country that trades on its reputation as a safe place to do business, writes MORGAN KELLY 

WITH THE Irish Government on track to owe a quarter of a trillion euro by 2014, a prolonged and chaotic national bankruptcy is becoming inevitable. By the time the dust settles, Ireland’s last remaining asset, its reputation as a safe place from which to conduct business, will have been destroyed.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, May 08, 2011

Emerging Markets Monetary Policy Tightening Still Running Strong / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: CentralBankNews

The week ending the 7th of May saw continued emerging market monetary policy tightening, with developed market central banks holding off from further tightening. Of the central banks that made decisions on monetary policy settings this week, those that increased were: India +50bps to 7.25%, Philippines +25bps to 4.50%, and Malaysia +25bps to 3.00%.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, May 06, 2011

ECB Interest Rates, Nothing New, No Problems / Interest-Rates / ECB Interest Rates

By: Axel_Merk

After raising interest rates by 0.25% a month ago, the European Central Bank (ECB) left interest rates unchanged at today's meeting of its Governing Council. The press conference that followed was held in Helsinki; Finland just elected a new government that may block the aid package put together for Portugal. Adjusting to the Nordic spirit of not wasting time with small talk, ECB head Trichet was very much to the point with his answers:

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, May 01, 2011

U.S. Treasury And Fed Put Out Cash, Raising Fist Pumping Crowd For Ben / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Lee Adler at the Wall Street Examiner : The market waltzed through a week of heavy Treasury auction supply, but it did not have to pay the piper until Friday and Monday, May 2, when all the new paper was due to settle. Thursday’s settlement actually saw bills paid down by $11 billion. That and $16 billion in POMO gave the markets plenty of juice for Ben’s coming out party. The US Government, just like Colonel Kadaffy, sent out wads of cash to its minions to insure that cheering, fist pumping crowds would show up for Ben’s appearance before the scripted, adoring mob of ink stained wretches. It was sickening. And I’m not even talking about the so called reporters in the room with him. I’m talking about the security market apparatus. Anyone who dared protest that the market show had gone too far was beaten to a pulp. Even venerable bear David Rosenberg of Gluskin Sheff was cowed into submission.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, May 01, 2011

Emerging Markets Central Banks Continue Trend of Tightening Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: CentralBankNews

The past week saw 11 central banks announce monetary policy decisions, with just 3 making adjustments to interest rates. All 3 policy moves were tightening from emerging markets: Colombia + 25bps to 3.75%, Vietnam +100bps, and Russia +25bps to 8.25%. Meanwhile those that held rate unchanged were: Israel 3.00% Botswana 9.50% US 0.25% Namibia 6.00% New Zealand 2.50% Japan 0.10% Hong Kong 0.50% and Egypt 8.25%.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, April 29, 2011

Fed Launches the Most Fraudulent Market Manipulating Scheme Yet / Interest-Rates / Market Manipulation

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Federal Reserve is up to its fraudulent games.  In this latest round of open market operations, the Federal Reserve is not only engaging in manipulation of the credit default swap market, but also paying off its allies in the ultimate scam of creating low-risk, high returns for hedge fund managers.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, April 28, 2011

Plummeting U.S. Dollar, A New Wave of Treasuries and Toxic Waste / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Bob_Chapman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe believe there will be something similar to a QE3 by another name and the Fed will probably have to create some $2.5 trillion to buy Treasuries, Agencies, and toxic waste and perhaps inject funds into the economy. Japan certainly won’t be a buyer and probably will be a seller. China has indicated that they won’t be purchasers in the future either. The question also arises concerning the continued purchase of these securities by countries in the oil producing Gulf States, which are in turmoil. The three countries make up 45% of Treasury purchases.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, April 28, 2011

Did Ben Bernanke Hint at QE3 During Fed Press Conference? / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeith Fitz-Gerald writes: While the first press conference ever held by U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke grabbed most of the headlines this afternoon (Wednesday), it was the post-meeting statement issued earlier in the day that grabbed my attention.

In particular, I zeroed in on the part about the policymaking Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) regularly reviewing "the size and composition of its securities holdings in light of incoming information and is prepared to adjust those holdings as needed to best foster maximum employment and price stability."

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, April 28, 2011

US Debt Limit Cognitive Dissonance / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Brian_Bloom

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCognitive dissonance is an uncomfortable feeling caused by holding conflicting ideas simultaneously. The theory of cognitive dissonance proposes that people have a motivational drive to reduce dissonance. They do this by changing their attitudes, beliefs, and actions.[2] Dissonance is also reduced by justifying, blaming, and denying. It is one of the most influential and extensively studied theories in social psychology. (Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognitive_dissonance )

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, April 28, 2011

Fed Holds Policy Rate Steady, Signals Intention to Complete Asset Purchases and Maintain Balance Sheet Size / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleYesterday's post-FOMC meeting analysis has two components:  policy statement and Chairman Bernanke's press conference.  Starting with the policy statement, the Fed held the federal funds rate unchanged at the narrow band of 0 to ¼ percent.  There were no dissents, although in recent speeches, Fed Presidents Plosser and Fisher (both voting members) had voiced their concern about imminent inflationary pressures.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, April 27, 2011

U.S. Debt Saturation and Money Illusion / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Gordon_T_Long

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMost of the clearly evident financial problems that surround us today stem from one cause - Debt Saturation.

Most, intuitively, sense this to be a correct assessment but few can either prove it or articulate it to the less sophisticated. Let me arm you to be the "Nostradamus" amongst your friends and colleagues in explaining the problem and what the future therefore foretells.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, April 27, 2011

Financial Press Talking Heads Focus on Bernanke's QE2 Money Printing Speech / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe mainstream press talking heads that repeatedly rely on near always wrong ivory tower academics that is further regurgitated at length by the BlogosFear will today be focused on the latest utterances from Fed Chairman, Ben Bernanke, as if by magic he is going to pull new rabbits out of the hat that will surprise the financial markets with rumours of the early end of QE2.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, April 27, 2011

Nominal Yield (minus) TIPS = Inflation Expectations / Interest-Rates / Inflation

By: Tony_Pallotta

One way to determine inflation expectations is to take the treasury or nominal yield (not inflation adjusted) and subtract the TIPS or real yield (inflation adjusted). The difference of the two is the expected inflation.

Nominal Yield (minus) TIPS = Inflation expectation

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, April 26, 2011

What Exactly is the Function of the Federal Reserve Bank? / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhat exactly is the function of the Fed? If it's to help the U.S. economy grow steadily, then how come in 2007-2009 we had the biggest stock market crash in decades followed by "the Great Recession" and a worldwide financial crisis?

For answers, let's turn to someone who has spent a considerable amount of time studying the Fed and its functions: EWI's president Robert Prechter.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, April 26, 2011

How the Fed Could Kill the U.S. Dollar Tomorrow / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: Months or years from now, when analysts are studying the death of the U.S. dollar, they'll look back and see that the greenback's demise began on a specific day - Wednesday, April 27, 2011.

As in ... tomorrow.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, April 25, 2011

U.S. Waking Up to Economic Realities / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Dr_Ron_Paul

Last week the financial markets were roiled by Standard & Poor's announcement that they will change their outlook on the fiscal health of the United States over the next two years from "stable" to "negative". The administration decried this decision as political. However, it seems the only political thing about this decision is the fact that it took so long. The Washington Post recently reported that the White House and the Treasury Department put tremendous pressure on S&P not to do this.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, April 25, 2011

Warning: Investors Still Confident in the US Bond Market / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Bill_Bonner

First let us catch up with a news report from earlier this week. Bloomberg:

April 18 (Bloomberg) – Standard & Poor’s put a “negative” outlook on the AAA credit rating of the US, citing a “material risk” the nation’s leaders will fail to deal with rising budget deficits and debt.

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