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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Tuesday, September 27, 2011

Governor Raskin's Remarks Contain Noteworthy Observations about Credit Markets / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Asha_Bangalore

Fed Governor Raskin’s comments today were largely devoted to soft and worrisome labor market conditions and a justification of the Fed’s unconventional policy actions. She also presented her views about credit availability pertaining to households and small businesses.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, September 26, 2011

Euro-zone Debt Crisis Contagion Has Spread / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Capital3X

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA chart is worth a thousand words and therefore we focus on charts and analysis. So with a few introductory words, we will present the charts.

The problem for the policy makers is that risk is being repriced faster than they counteract.The EU banking system is under-strain because they are being denied funding and also deposits are moving elsewhere. The speed of the adjustment is difficult for the banks to maintain their solvency. The confidence virus is a self-reinforcing one that requires an entity to backstop it just as the Fed did it during 2008. The under-capitalised EU banks are being required to de-leverage faster than they can re-capitalise.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, September 26, 2011

FED’s Adjusted Monetary Base / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Tony_Caldaro

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen the FED started increasing the monetary base exponentially in 2008 we started tracking its growth in Elliott Wave terms. Our first piece on this topic was published in November 2010: http://caldaro.wordpress.com/2010/11/29/feds-adjusted-monetary-base/. Then, we expected the monetary base to bottom just under $2 tln and expand to $2.5 tln in the coming months. We followed that piece with an update in April as the base was reaching the targeted level: http://caldaro.wordpress.com/2011/04/01/feds-adjusted-monetary-base-2/. This weekend, with the current economic situation in mind, we reviewed the FED’s recent chart to determine if it could provide any clues of another Quantitative Easing program in the near future. It did, and more!

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, September 24, 2011

Operation Twist Paves the Way for QE III / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Peter_Schiff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEarlier this week the Federal Reserve ignited a firestorm in the global markets by admitting that the U.S. economy is facing downside risks. Although it continues to sugar coat the unpleasant reality, never has such a stunningly obvious statement resulted is so much turmoil.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 23, 2011

U.S. Treasury 10-year Note Yield Hits Record Low, Will it Last? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe 10-year Treasury note yield was trading at 1.73% today, record low for this security. The Fed’s Operation Twist aims to bring down long rates such that it will spur economic activity by rendering a reduction in cost of home mortgages and new ventures of entrepreneurs and making replacement cost of machines and equipment less expensive. The 10-year Treasury note closed at 1.88% on September 21 after the Fed announced the launching of Operation Twist. Thus, the Fed appears to have succeeded, but the rally in the U.S Treasury market today is largely a flight to safety. The durability of this low reading is tied to the persistence of a weak global economy; incoming data point to slowing economic conditions in several major economies of the world.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 22, 2011

Hello Global Economic Recession 2011 / Interest-Rates / Double Dip Recession

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIf you did not know it before, you should know it now: The global economy is in recession.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 22, 2011

Federal Reserve Board: Operation Twist, "Significant Downside Risk"' to the Economy / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Jesse

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNothing unexpected in today's Fed release. It was Operation Twist, with about $400 billion in Treasuries being rolled into the longer end of the curve from 6 to 30 years.

The Fed will be rolling over its Agency debt as it matured.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 22, 2011

Greek Debt Crisis in Perspective / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Andrew_Butter

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe only solution for the European debt crisis is if the ECB prints a trillion Euros and does a “Fed” by buying up dodgy bonds, and then puts them in cold storage; if it doesn’t do that, soon, then something nasty is going to happen.

The negotiations as we speak are to find a piddling $8 billion to pay the salaries of the Greek public sector in October; it’s that close to the wall. Meanwhile the European political process is paralysed and the ECB does not have the power to do anything; Europe runs on consensus and rules, when the consensus disappears and the rules get broken, what’s left? Don’t expect a TARP or a TALF.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 22, 2011

FOMC Engages in Operation Twist, Another Unconventional Step / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Asha_Bangalore

The Fed left the federal funds rate unchanged, as expected, at 0.0-0.25%. The much awaited action called “Operation Twist” was part of the policy announcement. It was not an unanimous vote, three Fed Presidents -- Richard Fisher of Dallas, Narayana Kocherlakota of Minneapolis and Charles Plosser of Philadelphia – who are concerned about inflation dissented. These three Fed officials opposed the FOMC's August 9, 2011, decision that included an assurance of holding short-term interest rates near zero until mid-2013.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 21, 2011

Fed's Operation Twist a "Visual" Success, 30-Year Treasury Bond Yield Drops 17 Basis Points / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Shedlock

Curve Watchers Analysis is following the Operation Twist Story.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 21, 2011

QE3: What are The Implications of Critical Warnings To Bernanke? / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: DK_Matai

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTop Republican lawmakers in both chambers of Congress have warned Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke to refrain from further extraordinary intervention or additional quantitative easing after today's meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). Questioning the efficacy of the first two rounds of monetary easing:

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 21, 2011

Has the FED Lost Control of Long End of the Yield Curve? We think so! / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Capital3X

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere is nothing more scary for the FED than to look at the 30 year yield sticky and stubborn. The only reason why FED would need to do a QE is to take control of 30 year yield. The short end is near zero and there is very little that can be done at this end. The 20/30 year yield now is where the absolute need if for a QE. The problem now is not whether the QE is of few billions or more. The FED has no option but to do: QE ad infinitum.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 21, 2011

Today's FOMC Meeting Will Prove That Team Bernanke is Out of Ideas / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKerri Shannon writes: If you're handicapping the U.S. Federal Reserve's two-day Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting that concludes today (Wednesday), you can make the following two predictions - and you'll almost certainly be right:

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 21, 2011

Europe's Botox Bailouts on a Corpse / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Gary_North

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"It's a bit like botox. It looks good for a while but will eventually start to sag again." ~ Katherine Garrett-Cox

Mrs. Cox is the chief executive of England's Alliance Trust investment fund. She has dismissed Europe's attempts to solve its debt crisis as "economic cosmetic surgery", warning there is "more pain" to come over the next few months. So we read in the London Telegraph.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 21, 2011

Central Banks Can Increase the Money Supply, Even If Banks Do Not Lend / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Thorsten_Polleit

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI. The Relation between Bank Credit and Money Growth

In today's fiat-money world, money is mostly produced through bank lending. Whenever a commercial bank provides credit to, say, consumers, firms, and government entities, it issues new money, thereby increasing the economy's money stock.

Economists from the Austrian School of economics call this kind of money production "money creation out of thin air," as the increase in money through bank circulation credit doesn't require the existence of real savings.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 21, 2011

Fed Target Must be 5% Inflation / Interest-Rates / Inflation

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

The Federal Reserve may engage in what has been mocked by investors as “the twist,” a bond buying program intended to reduce long-term borrowing costs by soaking up long-dated Treasury issues.  Of course, no matter the short-term goal, the real goal is to monetize the entirety of the US debt loads.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 21, 2011

Details to Note Prior to Fed Announcement on September 21 / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Asha_Bangalore

It is widely anticipated that the Fed will announce new monetary policy support following the 2-day FOMC meeting on September 21, 2011. The Fed is expected to put in place “Operation Twist” to bring down rates at the long-end by purchasing long term U.S. Treasury securities to replace U.S. Treasury securities of short maturities in its portfolio. A large percentage of the Fed’s holdings are of 1-5 years maturity (see Chart 1).

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, September 20, 2011

How Greece's Debt Issues Are Becoming a Global "Black Hole" / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJon D. Markman writes: The extremely volatile markets of late stem in part from news suggesting Greece's debt issues have made a default imminent - creating a global black hole that's sucking in a growing number of other economies with it.

Default fears intensified last Friday when European finance ministers announced they would delay a decision on whether or not Greece was eligible for its sixth tranche of bailout funds. Greece was scheduled to get the next $11 billion (8 billion euros) installment of its $152.6 billion (110 billion euros) aid package by the end of September, but now must wait at least until October.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, September 19, 2011

EU Bonds Rollover Debt with a Chinese Bailout / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: BATR

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe financial press is inundated with the most ominous reports of an EU meltdown. The downturn in economic activity and little growth all comes down to the unsustainability in servicing the debt obligations. Sovereign countries bailouts only pile on even more debt. European banks are tied to a Euro dominated currency, while the political union is anything but unified. Any serious student of European history inescapably concludes that the perennial ambition to orchestrate a single patchwork of diverse cultures and interests into a pan European brotherhood is always doomed. A consensus fraternity based upon socialistic economics feeds the inevitable default. However, never fear the banksters will not suffer, as the globalists prepare to use their next crisis, to consolidate their grip of world dominance.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, September 18, 2011

The EU Debt Bubble: The Eurozone is Crumbling / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Bob_Chapman

There are those who make excuses for the Federal Reserve and for the European Central Bank as well. Both are controlled by the banking community and are only interested in enriching themselves. These central banks take their orders who own or control these central banks. In the case of the ECNB and other sovereign banks, they are responsible for the terrible state of finances in the euro zone. Yes, we know the banks, and sovereign bans made the loans or brought the bonds, but the ECB has a direct connection into these institutions. The ECB president Jean-Claude Trichet is supposed to be a very bright banker. If that is so, why did this happen on his watch? We will tell you why. It is because he serves the bankers and not the people. He is just another front man for the Illuminists, just as Mr. Bernanke is. Mr. Trichet has only 2-months to go and then he can rejoin his banker friends.

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