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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Monday, February 26, 2007

Gold Bullish Breakout Confirmed / Commodities / Forecasts & Technical Analysis

By: Clive_Maund

Gold has gone and done it - after first breaking out upside from its 3-arc Fan Correction in January, a major positive technical development celebrated in the article Gold powering up for major uptrend - SECTORWIDE BUY ALERT , last week it smashed through the ceiling of resistance at and towards $680, with subsequent solid action confirming that this was a genuine breakout.

In the Gold Market update of 23rd January it was stated "The situation is now very finely balanced with an army of traders either sat on the fence, or, depending on which way it breaks, on the wrong side of the trade. When it does break out - and it is beginning to look like it will be to the upside, there will be a stampede and an upside breakout from here could thus easily involve a $20 - $30 up day for gold." As you all know, that is exactly what we saw last week.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, February 26, 2007

A Perfect Storm in Metals - Gold and Silver Breakouts / Commodities / Forecasts & Technical Analysis

By: Dominick

After long fall and winter seasons of expecting only gradual upward trends in the metals, with suspicion of large, fast moves, the bias of this update shifted two weeks ago as we described all the bullish fundamentals aligning in favor of the metals complex. We warned traders that a breakout had not yet occurred and that, while there was enough demand to prevent an all-out selloff, buyers should look for favorable entry points (we even took the opportunity to do a little shameless self promotion and mention our proprietary trend charts).

Specifically, we said:

"Even with bullish seasonality, money supply inflation, higher demand and geopolitical instability all creating a floor beneath gold and silver, it's still going to take a decisive catalyst to send these metals rocketing back to last May's highs and beyond."

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Sunday, February 25, 2007

Uranium: The New Precious Metal / Commodities / Analysis & Strategy

By: James_Finch

A record number of uranium bidders competing for a small amount of uranium drove up the price by a record dollar amount to the highest price in history. Uranium has now become a precious metal.
Newly mined uranium remains ‘highly sought after' maintains Nuclear Market Review (NMR) editor Treva Klingbiel in the February 23rd issue of the weekly trade magazine, servicing the utility and nuclear fuel industry. It was no more evident than at this past week's spot auction for U.S.-mined uranium.

The record $10/pound price increase, reaching a new spot uranium record of US$85/pound, was, according to Klingbiel, “the single largest (dollar) increase recorded since prices were first published in 1968.” TradeTech posts the weekly spot uranium price, as reported in NMR, on the consulting service's website.
Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Friday, February 23, 2007

Gold through the roof! Here's what's next for Gold Oil and the Stock Market / Commodities / Forecasts & Technical Analysis

By: Money_and_Markets

Larry here, with an urgent update on key markets, starting with gold.

The yellow metal went through the roof yesterday ... chalking up a stunning $23 gain on the day, blasting through its July peak ... and launching a price explosion that could easily send it to new, all-time highs very quickly.

Ditto for oil, which surged $1.22, and is now poised for a major new bull market.

Gold through the roof! Here's what's next for Gold Oil and the Stock Market

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, February 22, 2007

Silver Investment Strategy - Knowing when to Sell / Commodities / Forecasts & Technical Analysis

By: Roland_Watson

As we anticipate the next and final leg of phase I of the precious metals bull market, investors need to be ready with their exit strategies if they wish to unload all or part of their assets in a profitable manner.

Not all holders of gold and silver will be of this mind, each has their own reason for holding or not holding any part of their investment. Either way, you need to be sure what you are going to do as silver begins to move in leaps and bounds towards the next major price peak.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Wednesday, February 21, 2007

Gold Surges to $680 as Commercials on the Ropes Cover Short Positions / Commodities / Forecasts & Technical Analysis

By: Clive_Maund

Some people thought I was mad posting a GOLD and SILVER BREAKOUT ALERT on www.clivemaund.com on the 19th, what with the Commercials being so heavily short gold, and with yesterday's action I began to wonder myself, which is why it didn't get posted on public websites on the 20th as originally planned. The reason for posting that breakout alert was that a rare technical setup exists that actually makes the Commercials' huge short position wildly bullish.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, February 19, 2007

Coffee Futures Bull Market Opportunity Brewing / Commodities / Forecasts & Technical Analysis

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Whilst other commodity markets have recently raced a head, Coffee has been marking time. What we now need to know is whether the time is now near for Coffee to to shift gears and start its own bull run to much higher prices. Most recent price action has taken coffee down from 130 to 113 (March 07), with the immediate trend still down, giving us the opportunity to enter at the earliest price trigger coming off of a low.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, February 19, 2007

Gold Analysis : The Best Risk/Reward Trade Available / Commodities / Forecasts & Technical Analysis

By: Dominick

“The expectation therefore is that the action of a single day will not to buck the larger trend, which is for yields to continue their move lower.”

For the last two weeks, this update has been alerting readers to the fact the U.S. economy needs lower interest rates, in the form of bond yields, and household liquidity, in the form of a higher stock market. The effects of these moves would be to encourage buyers' working off the housing supply glut and to save the mortgage lending industry from collapse. It must be simply a coincidence that the pace of both these trends, lower yields and higher stocks, accelerated last Wednesday on Chairman Bernanke's testimony.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Sunday, February 18, 2007

Weekly Gold and Silver Technical Analysis Report - 18th Feb 2007 - Technically Precious with Merv / Commodities / Forecasts & Technical Analysis

By: Merv_Burak

Butting heads with that $675 resistance level gold just couldn't get enough steam to get anywhere this past week. Maybe this coming week – or maybe not.

GOLD : LONG TERM On the long term P&F chart we are now at that $675 resistance level previously mentioned. Depending upon which long term chart one uses ($10 or $15 units) will depend upon what level would be considered the break-out. Since I have switched over to the $15 unit charts some time back, due to the high price level of the activity, that break-out would be on a move to the $690 level. As mentioned last week we do have a bullish upside break by gold's lower resistance break so one would be a cautious long term bull based upon that but still waiting for the next confirmation break.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, February 15, 2007

Gold is looking overbought in the short-term and could correct lower to $630 / Commodities / Forecasts & Technical Analysis

By: Clive_Maund

We have seen the breakout predicted in the last Gold Market update, although so far subsequent gains have been modest as gold continues to be restrained by the strong resistance level shown on the 1-year chart in the $655 - $680 zone. Although we have seen limited gains so far following this breakout, it was nevertheless an important technical development that is viewed as marking the start of a major uptrend which is still in its infancy.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, February 15, 2007

Silver showing signs of weakness as failing to breakout higher / Commodities / Forecasts & Technical Analysis

By: Clive_Maund

Silver is believed to be slowly limbering up to take out the resistance at and towards last year's highs, an event that can be expected to lead to a major advance. However, shorter-term the picture is not so bright.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, February 15, 2007

Gold, Google Hits and Market Tops / Commodities / Google

By: Roland_Watson

It has been a while since I last published how our gold and silver sentiment indicator has been getting on. To remind readers, for the past year now I have been collecting the number of Google hits on key phrases relevant to the gold bull market. Care has been taken that one does not end up with hits related to the latest fashions in gold jewelry or what the latest theories are on some gold artifacts found in archaeological digs. We are only interested in the gold bull market and I hope the hits collected over that time reflect that.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Wednesday, February 14, 2007

Metals ready to explode higher ! - Gold, Silver, Uranium / Commodities / Investing

By: Money_and_Markets

I spent last week at the Money Show in Orlando. As usual, I was frantic — trying to race between speakers, my own presentation, and sit-down interviews with some of the best little natural resource companies you never heard of (yet).

And the metals markets were just as frantic last week! Silver was leading gold higher, but gold had such a strong Thursday and Friday that the yellow metal might be taking over as lead dog now.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, February 12, 2007

Crude Oil - Will it go down to $40 or up to $100 / Commodities / Forecasts & Technical Analysis

By: Hans_Wagner

If you knew the answer to this one, you could make a lot of money and beat the market . So let's take a look at the issues and see what can be determined. First, demand is going to increase over time as an energy-hungry developing world needs more and more energy. Take a look at this chart from the Bank Credit Analyst showing the percentage of global oil consumption that comes from China and India. It is going from the lower left to the upper right, and only slowed during the slowdown in global growth around 2001.

Global Oil consumption, china and india

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Commodities

Sunday, February 11, 2007

Weekly Gold and Silver Technical Analysis Report - 11th Feb 2007 - Technically Precious with Merv / Commodities / Forecasts & Technical Analysis

By: Merv_Burak

Do you believe the world wide attention the death of Anna Nicole has been receiving? No wonder gold was moving higher and higher almost every day this week.

GOLD : LONG TERM
The long term prognosis is looking better and better every day, except for momentum. It is still under performing the price move but IS moving higher. While the price is just about ready to breach its $677.50 resistance from the June/July rally high, momentum is still some distance below its high level. Volume, however, is ready to move into new all time highs although the daily action still leaves a lot to be desired. The price continues above its moving average line and although the line is only slightly in the positive direction it is turning more so.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Saturday, February 10, 2007

Gold Breakout and HUI Index Set to Advance to between 700 - 900 / Commodities / Forecasts & Technical Analysis

By: Clive_Maund

The title of this article was designed to get you to click on it and open it, and now that you're here, you should stick around because you are probably going to find this interesting.

In this game the most important things to observe are often the simplest - many people get lost in a quicksand of detail so that they can't see the woods for the trees, and thus end up losing sight of the big picture. So today we are going to keep it simple and to the point, which is easy because the market itself is giving us some very clear indications.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, February 08, 2007

Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee (GATA) Attack EMail on Article about Gold Price Manipulation / Commodities / Strategic News

By: Clive_Maund

After my article Gold price manipulation - DOES IT MATTER? was posted yesterday on www.clivemaund.com and The Market Oracle, I was somewhat surprised to find myself the subject of a personal attack by a Chris Powell, who is apparently the Secretary/Treasurer of an organization going by the acronym of GATA (Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee), that was delivered in the form of an Email circulated to the "Friends of GATA and Gold", the contents of which are reproduced unedited below.

This unwarranted attack, which was foolishly made not just against myself but against Dennis Gartman of The Gartman Letter and Technical Analysts generally, is something I feel entitled and obliged to respond to, and you will find my response lower down the page, but first read the contents of Mr Powell's Email...

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, February 08, 2007

Crude Oil Production Means Investment - Iran and Venezuela are Failing to Invest / Commodities / Analysis & Strategy

By: Elliot_H_Gue

Here's a challenge for you: Name the top three largest oil-producing countries in the world.

If you're like most investors, you probably know that the world's largest oil producer is Saudi Arabia. In 2005, Saudi Arabia churned out more than 11 million barrels of oil per day, roughly 13.5 percent of the world's total supply. And you may have guessed the world's second-largest producer: the Russian Federation. In 2005, Russia chipped in about 9.5 million barrels per day, a bit more than 12 percent of the total global production.

But guessing the world's third-largest producer is more of a challenge. If you guessed Nigeria, Venezuela, Iraq, Iran, the United Kingdom or Canada, you're incorrect. The third-largest oil producer in the world is the US. The US produced 6.8 million barrels of oil per day in 2005, edging out Iran by more than 2.75 million barrels per day.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Wednesday, February 07, 2007

Gold Price Manipulation - Does it Matter ? / Commodities / Forecasts & Technical Analysis

By: Clive_Maund

There has been more talk in recent weeks on the subject of gold price manipulation. The purpose of this article is not to attempt to go into the details of whether or not there is manipulation, or how much there is, or who is doing it or why, because all of this is has been raked over by other writers in considerable detail. The purpose of this article is to examine what difference it makes to us as investors and traders, and how best to live with it.

The first point to make clear is that to whatever degree there is gold price manipulation/suppression, there is nothing much the ordinary investor can do about it - you are going to have to live with it, like taxation - so there's no point in losing any sleep over it.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Tuesday, February 06, 2007

Market Mania in Crude Oil, Base Metals, Tokyo Gold, Yen and China / Commodities / Analysis & Strategy

By: Gary_Dorsch

The name “Einstein” is synonymous with great intelligence and genius. Albert Einstein was named Time magazine's "Man of the Century,” because he transformed humankind's understanding of nature on every scale, from the smallest to that of the cosmos. Einstein's theory of relativity is embodied in all motion throughout the universe, and the nature of energy, matter, motion, time, and space.

Unfortunately, Einstein didn't take a fancy to studying the daily motion of commodity and stock markets, where wild and erratic gyrations often seem to have no logical explanation. Why did the zinc market soar nearly 400% due to fast shrinking supplies, only to surrender a third of its gains, over the past two months? How do some copper miners defy the laws of gravity and climb to record highs, even after the price of copper has dropped by almost 50% below its all time highs?
Read full article... Read full article...

 


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