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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Friday, November 22, 2013

Gold QE Tapering Hysteria / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Zeal_LLC

Already beleaguered, gold suffered another sharp drop this week.  When the minutes from the Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting implied it might slow its QE3 bond-buying campaign “in coming months”, futures speculators responded with heavy selling.  But their extreme gold bearishness is highly irrational, they are missing the forest for the trees.  Taper or not, quantitative easing remains super-bullish for gold.

Quantitative easing is the fancy name for the Fed’s massive and unprecedented bond-buying programs of recent years.  In order for normal investors to buy bonds, they first have to raise the necessary cash by selling something else.  But when central banks like the Fed buy bonds, they conjure the cash out of thin air!  The Fed pays the bond sellers with new money that never existed before, which is then immediately spent.

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Commodities

Friday, November 22, 2013

Stock Market Boom Sees Gold Down 25% in 2013 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

FOUR-MONTH lows in gold continued vs. the Dollar and Euro in London on Friday, with the metal heading for its lowest weekly finish in British Pounds since early August 2010.

World stock markets rose meantime, extending 2013's 30% gain on the MSCI index, as did commodities and government bond prices, after the Dow Jones index in New York ended last night above 16,000 for the first time.

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Commodities

Friday, November 22, 2013

Gold 2014 - U.S. Dollar 30 Year Slide May Be Gold's New Life / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldCore

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,241.75, EUR 918.59 and GBP 766.75 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,248.50, EUR 929.64 and GBP 775.76 per ounce.

Gold fell $1.50 or 0.12% yesterday, closing at $1,243.20/oz. Silver climbed $0.14 or 0.71% closing at $19.99/oz. Platinum rose $4.60 or 033% to $1,389.50/oz, while palladium climbed $3.78 or 0.53% to $714.75/oz.

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Commodities

Friday, November 22, 2013

Final Plunge in Gold and Silver is Underway / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Two weeks ago we penned Gold Bear to end with a Bang, and noted the increasing probability that precious metals could be headed for a plunge to new lows ahead of a final major bottom. Two weeks later we continue to hold that view. The forthcoming charts present levels at which the more than two year old cyclical bear market could end. At the least, these support levels can provide a point at which short positions and hedges could be liquidated.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 21, 2013

The Coming Bust of the Great Bakken Oil Field / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: Steve_St_Angelo

There has been a lot of Fanfare on the huge increase of oil production coming from the Bakken Field located in North Dakota.  There are many stories of people moving to the state to take advantage of the new OIL BOOM.  It seems like everyone is going there to start a new life and make it rich in one of the coldest areas in the United States.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 21, 2013

Bad News Bias Sees Gold Price Near 3-Year Lows / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

LONDON dealing in gold saw prices retreat towards last night's new 4-month lows Thursday morning, failing to rally above $1250 per ounce as world stocks markets held flat – and major government bonds continued to slip – following publication of minutes from the US Federal Reserve's last policy meeting.

For Dollar investors, gold came within 5% of end-June's 3-year low at $1182, and stood only 2% above that level for Eurozone traders.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 21, 2013

Can Oil-Stocks-to-Oil Ratio Tell Us Crude Oil Price Future Moves? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

In our essay on oil stocks from Nov. 14, we focused on the connection between the XOI and the general stock market to find out what impact the S&P500 index could have on the oil stock index's future moves. Back then, we also wrote about the relationship between the oil stocks and crude oil:

(...) crude oil has remained in the narrow range, but yesterday it climbed above $95. What's interesting, at the same time the XOI increased slightly above an important resistance. Although they moved in the same direction after weeks of negative correlation, this positive correlation might be just another temporary phenomenon - especially when we factor in the weekly outlook.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 21, 2013

China's Big Gold Buyer / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

Private Chinese demand for gold has leapt ahead of economic growth...

ONE MAN'S investor is, apparently, another's middle-aged housekeeping auntie in China.

"Yang Cuiyan," says Bloomberg, "a 41-year-old housekeeper from Anhui province, is one reason China is poised to topple India as the world's top consumer of gold, even as investors desert the metal."

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 20, 2013

Gold Stocks are the Greatest Investment Opportunity in 30 Years / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Jeff_Clark

I caught myself daydreaming last week…

It's October 27, 2008, and Silver Wheaton (SLW) just hit $3 per share. I buy 10,000 shares, more than I've ever devoted to any one stock. I sell half when it hits $33 per share and pocket $150,000 after a 1,000% gain. I pay off the mortgage, and my wife quits work—and I still have 5,000 shares…

Not a bad daydream, eh? I don't know how many investors actually had the intestinal fortitude to plunk down a big lump of cash on a stock at that time—but Silver Wheaton did indeed offer that 1,000% return, and more.

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 20, 2013

Don't Bet on China Sustaining the Commodity Super Cycle / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Submissions

Justin Pugsley writes: China, the world's number one consumer of so many raw materials apparently looks set to carry on buying following bold reforms announced at the third plenum of the communist leadership. But it could be a long wait before they buoy commodity currencies if indeed they ever will. 

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 20, 2013

Weak US Inflation Sees Gold at 5-Week Low / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

WHOLESALE gold fell to new 5-week lows Wednesday lunchtime in London, dropping below $1257 for a 2.5% loss so far this week after new data showed US consumer prices falling last month from September.

Year-on-year, inflation in the US CPI fell to 1.0%, its lowest level since the deflation of 2009.

US stock markets rose after the news, while European equities cut earlier losses.

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 20, 2013

Will 2014 be the Year for Gold Bullion Investors? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: InvestmentContrarian

Sasha Cekerevac writes: Last week’s testimony by Janet Yellen, President Obama’s choice for the next head of the Federal Reserve, was quite interesting. What I also found fascinating was the reaction in various markets.

Yellen was testifying in front of the Senate Banking Committee, and when asked about the possible formation of bubbles as a result of the Federal Reserve’s quantitative easing program, she stated point-blank, “By and large, I would say that I don’t see evidence at this point in major sectors of asset price misalignments.” (Source: Bloomberg, November 15, 2013.)

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 20, 2013

Ultimately Gold and Silver Will Be The Ultimate Currency Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldSilverWorlds

In his latest interview, David Morgan from The Morgan Report gives his view on the gold and silver outlook for 2014, how the dollar is steadily losing trust, why mainstream loves to talk down gold, and whether this is a good time to accumulate physical precious metals.

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 20, 2013

Are Canadian Energy Stocks Set for a Rebound? / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: OilPrice_Com

As Canadian energy stocks are finally seeing a bit of a push, and demand for Canadian commodities looks set to rise, juniors are confident that economics will ensure that Canadian oil—the cheapest in the world—will find its way to more markets, with or without Washington’s approval of Keystone XL. In the meantime, some sweet spots in the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin, like the Montney shale formation—are showing promise as gas turns into oil for the bigger players, while the juniors are hoping to piggyback on this new success. 

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 19, 2013

Will Crude Oil Stocks Pause in Their Rally? / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: Nadia_Simmons

In our previous essay, we examined one of the most interesting relationships in the crude oil market – the one between oil stocks and other stocks, to find out if there's something else on the horizon that could drive oil stocks higher or lower in the near future. Back then, we wrote that there were periods of time when the S&P 500 Index was stronger than the oil stock index and that such divergences had triggered declines in both indices before.

Since that essay was published, we’ve seen similar price action. In the previous week, the S&P500 index broke above the previous high and hit a fresh all-time high. Meanwhile, although the XOI moved higher, the move ended slightly below the 2013 high.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 19, 2013

Is It True? Fed Official Apologizes for “Greatest Backdoor Wall Street Bailout of All Time” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: InvestmentContrarian

Sasha Cekerevac writes: One of the most amazing things occurred the other day: a former Federal Reserve official apologized for being part of the quantitative easing program!

Andrew Huszar was an integral member of the Federal Reserve team put in place to launch the most aggressive, unprecedented quantitative easing program in the history of America.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 19, 2013

Jim Rogers on QE, Currency Wars, Gold and Inflation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Submissions

BGG writes: In this revealing interview with Birch Gold Group, Jim Rogers, legendary investor and author, explains just how badly Quantitative Easing and ongoing currency wars are damaging the U.S. economy, and why it’s so important for any person to protect their savings with physical gold and silver.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 19, 2013

Understanding High-Grade Lump Graphite / Commodities / Graphene

By: The_Gold_Report

Four graphite ore samples are placed on a conference room table. Straight from the earth, which one can be used to write on a piece of paper? Answer: the lump graphite sample. In this interview with The Gold Report, Paul Ogilvie, CEO of the newly formed Saint Jean Carbon, explains the distinctive advantages of lump graphite from a mining and marketing perspective and describes his plan to create a profitable company from an uncommon form of high-grade graphite deposit. Read how the company is educating investors on this highest-grade form of graphite while restarting world-class mines using modern technology and an experienced business team.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 19, 2013

Gold, Silver Prices and Mining Stocks Sector Have Not Bottomed Yet / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Bob_Kirtley

As a bull on both gold and silver I do expect that this sector will shine once again, hopefully in the not too distant future. However we are still of the opinion that this gold bull market remains in a bear phase for now. The timing of market directional changes is critical to the success of any investment. We all know that it is impossible to pick the very top or the very bottom of the market and so enter and exit the market with absolute perfection. That just does not happen, but it is incumbent on us to try and get as close as possible to these turning points in order to maximise our profits.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 19, 2013

Gold, Silver Prices and Mining Stocks About To Sell Off Again / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Chris_Vermeulen

A couple weeks ago I posted these same charts talking about the pending breakout (in either direction) with silver, gold and mining stocks. Fast forwarding to this week its clear this sector continues its struggle to rally. Key support levels are now being tested and if these levels fail prepare for a sharp correction with mining stocks showing the most downside potential of roughly 25% for the GDX ETF trading fund.

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