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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Interest-Rates

Thursday, March 23, 2017

Low Interest Rates Helping Australia Transition from the Mining Boom / Interest-Rates / Austrailia

By: Nicholas_Kitonyi

Australia’s transition from its reliance on mining exports to other sectors appears to be gathering pace as more businesses continue to take advantage of the low interest rates.

The Reserve Bank of Australia reduced the base interest rate, popularly referred to as the cash rate, twice last year from 2% to 1.75% and again to 1.5%. The cash rate remains fixed at 1.5%, which when compared to many developed countries is still one of the highest.
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Politics

Thursday, March 23, 2017

This is About So Much More Than Trump and Brexit / Politics / Religion

By: Harry_Dent

I’ve been writing a lot about what I see as the mega trend right now… and what will make this economic winter season different from the 1930s.

We’re not just seeing a classic debt and financial asset bubble that will unravel into a deflationary depression, as occurred in the 1930s and many times throughout history.

We’re not just seeing a populist revolution, as we saw with Hitler and Mussolini in the 1930s and World War II, and as has occurred about every 84 years throughout history.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, March 22, 2017

Trump Stock Market Rally Over? 20% Bear Drop By Mid Summer? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The stock market has been on a tear since Donald Trump surprised nearly everyone by winning the November 2016 US Presidential election, including the markets. Since which time the Dow has gone from a November low of 17,883 to an early March high of 21,200. That's a near 19% bull run in just 4 months! During which time America's Alt-Reality thin skinned President has often stepped forward to claim success for the stocks bull market rally under his Presidency.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, March 22, 2017

Trump Added $3 Trillion in Wealth to Stock Market Participants / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The “talking heads” in the media are saying that the markets are “not supposed to be this high”. Analyst are just now raising their targets for the SPX for the rest of 2017. My long-term target, as of now, is 2550 and possibly even higher. It is now heading into a corrective wave pattern before beginning its’ next new impulsive wave UP.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, March 22, 2017

What's Next for the US Dollar, Gold and Stocks? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Axel_Merk

Two rate hikes since last year have weakened the dollar. Why is that, and what's ahead for dollar, currencies & gold? And while we are at it, we'll chime in on what may be in store for the stock market...

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, March 22, 2017

MSM Bond Market Full Nonsense Mode as ‘Trump Trades’ Unwind on Schedule / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Gary_Tanashian

I’ve been watching the herds to try to determine just when the interest rate topic among the best and brightest (as chosen by the media) would start to pivot from ‘rising rates!’ hysterics that have been locked and loaded in the public psyche since the US election to a sort of ‘rut roh, maybe we got played again… ‘ realization that Rome – and a Great America – are not built in a day.

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Commodities

Wednesday, March 22, 2017

Peak Gold – Biggest Gold Story Not Being Reported / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

– Peak gold – Biggest gold story not being reported
– Gold ‘Mining Zombie Apocalypse’ caused miners to slash exploration budgets
– Decline in gold production at world’s top 10 gold mining companies – Byron King
– “No new big mines being built in the world today” – Glencore CEO Glasenberg

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Politics

Wednesday, March 22, 2017

Return of Sovereign France, Europe’s Changing Landscape / Politics / France

By: Dan_Steinbock

In France, President Hollande’s utter failure to foster broad consensus for structural reforms has paved the way for a contested election. While public debate focuses on Emmanuel Macron as the savior of France, the real story is that Marine Le Pen's agenda has shifted the French political landscape.

Before TV debates, the French presidential election featured 3-4 viable candidates, which together accounted for 85-90 percent of the total vote. Until recently, the leader of the Front National, Marine Le Pen, and the centrist Emmanuel Macron, have garnered about 25 percent in the polls, followed by the center-right François Fillon (20%), and the socialist Benoît Hamon (15%).

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, March 22, 2017

G20 Dilemma: Falling Trade, Soaring Stock Market, Looming Contraction / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets

By: Dan_Steinbock

There is a deep chasm between America’s historical rebuff of G20 efforts, which seek to re-ignite trade, and markets, which remain at record heights. This rift is untenable.

Historically, Baden-Baden’s spas are famous for their healing waters, which have healed ancient Romans’ arthritic aches, Prussian queens’ rheumatism and European aristocrats’ paralyses. Nevertheless, the G20 Summit is fresh evidence that even Baden-Baden cannot do miracles.
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Personal_Finance

Wednesday, March 22, 2017

Stocks & Shares ISAs Delivering Strongest Performance Since 2009/10 Tax Year / Personal_Finance / ISA's

By: MoneyFacts

  • The average stocks & shares ISA fund has grown by 15.8% during the 2016/17 tax year so far, the highest return since the 2009/10 tax year.
  • This compares with an average cash ISA rate of 1.01% over the same period.
  • The average stocks & shares ISA has delivered positive growth in eleven of the 18 tax years since the introduction of ISAs in 1999.
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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, March 22, 2017

Trump Stocks Bull Market Rolling Over? You Were Warned! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The stock market has been on a tear since Donald Trump surprised nearly everyone by winning the November 2016 US Presidential election, including the markets. Since which time the Dow has gone from a November low of 17,883 to an early March high of 21,200. That's a near 19% bull run in just 4 months! During which time America's Alt-Reality thin skinned President has often stepped forward to claim success for the stocks bull market rally under his Presidency.

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Commodities

Wednesday, March 22, 2017

An OPEC Oil Deal Extension Isn’t As Simple As It Sounds / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

It’s been six months now that oil prices have been reacting to OPEC, first to the possibility of an agreement, and then to the production cut deal itself, forged by OPEC to rebalance the market. The deal--initially aired as ‘an agreement to agree on a deal’ in September and signed at the end of November—will likely impact the market for at least the next six months.

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Politics

Wednesday, March 22, 2017

In Japan, Russia and China Find Common Ground / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: STRATFOR

For the first time in three years, Russia and Japan have revived an avenue of negotiation that had stalled in the face of enduring tension between the two nations. Foreign and defense ministers from both countries met in Tokyo on Monday to hold 2+2 talks on security issues in the Asia-Pacific region. As expected, Japan took the opportunity to question Russia's recent attempts to bolster its defenses on the southern Kuril Islands, to which Tokyo has long laid claim. Russia fired back with its own objections to Japan's desire to build up its ballistic missile defenses as North Korea pushes ahead with its nuclear program.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, March 22, 2017

Stock Market Charts That Scream “This Is It” - Here’s What to Do / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: David_Galland

By Stephen McBride: The S&P 500 and DJIA haven’t seen a 1% drop since October 2016. For some perspective, Hillary Clinton was the presidential frontrunner the last time markets fell 1%. This is the longest such streak for both indices in over 20 years.

In February, the DJIA recorded its longest “winning streak” since 1987. It closed 2,000 points above its 200-day moving average for the first time ever.

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Economics

Wednesday, March 22, 2017

Raising the Minimum Wage Is a Jobs Killing Move / Economics / Employment

By: David_Galland

By Stephen McBride: In January, 19 US states raised their respective minimum wages. Washington was among the most generous, hiking by $1.53 (bringing it to $11 per hour). Arizona got an increase of $1.95—their “bottom rung” now sits at $10 per hour.

In all, 4.3 million workers are slated to receive a hike as they earn less than the new minimum wage in their respective states. Well, that’s what’s meant to happen. Judging by the fallout from recent hikes, it seems things aren’t going according to plan.

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Commodities

Wednesday, March 22, 2017

Potential Bottoming Patterns in Gold and Silver Precious Metals Stocks Complex... / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017

By: Rambus_Chartology

There is a combo chart for the PM complex I've been following, on the short term 10 month daily look, which shows a potential H&S bottom forming. I put a neckline symmetry line on the charts to get a feel for where the low for the right shoulder may form. Some are fairly parallel to the neckline like GLD, SLV and the HUI with GDXJ and SIL being the most unparalleled. The CDNX is showing the most weakness as it probably has to do with some of the small cap energy companies.

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Economics

Tuesday, March 21, 2017

UK Stagflation, Soaring Inflation CPI 2.3%, RPI 3.2%, Real 4.4% / Economics / Inflation

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The implications of sterling's sharp drop in the wake of the Brexit vote were inflationary resulting in an an increase the price of imports and therefore has been exerting upwards pressure on shop prices as suppliers restock at the worse exchange rate that already depressed retailers such as the big supermarkets had delayed fully implementing that is likely to result in a crisis for the retail sector during 2017 that literally faces a perfect storm, that could even result in a Woolworth's moment...

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, March 21, 2017

Aggressive Stock Market Sell Signals / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has now violated the neckline. This gives us our sell signal in SPX. Confirmation may come with the violation of the Broadening Wedge trendline at 2345.00.

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Commodities

Tuesday, March 21, 2017

The Demise of the Gold and Silver Bull Run is Greatly Exaggerated / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017

By: Peter_Degraaf

A few analysts are once again beating the drums for much lower gold and silver prices - supposedly just around the corner. They mistake the testing of a recent breakout for a turnaround in the main trend. In the process they are sowing confusion. Here are some charts that show the main trend, along with reasons why the price of gold and silver is on track for a sharp rise, thanks to bullish fundamentals.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, March 21, 2017

SPX turns at the half-Cycle interval / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

This morning’s action may add credence to a 43-hour decline from the 2390.01 top and the probable Master Cycle low on Friday morning, as discussed this morning. The SPX turned exactly at the 21.5 hour interval. Wave [iii] may be underway.

There is no signal from the VIX or the Hi-Lo. They will likely be in place as SPX declines through the neckline.

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