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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Commodities

Friday, August 26, 2016

The GLD vs GOLD / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: James_Anderson

The case for owning precious metals has already been made. We live in a world of unprecedented and ever expanding debt, devaluing fiat currencies and negative interest rates. Even Wall Street’s heralded “Bond King”, Bill Gross, now admits the world will continue to have difficulty paying its debts without further price inflations.

Investors wisely seeking exposure to precious metals must deliberate between the convenience of buying shares of an electronically traded fund (ETF) and the ultimate security of owning physical gold and silver bullion. We tasked ourselves to take a closer look at each to understand their important distinctions.

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Commodities

Friday, August 26, 2016

GDX Has Just Made a Powerful Bull Flag / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

The GDX daily chart below shows a powerful xyz e-wave bullish flat that is projecting to 35.42 by September 1, two trading days past the Mercury Stationary/Retrograde date of August 30. As of August 25th, GDX has closed at 27.31 off the earlier low of 26.64. A 29% increase on GDX and a nearly 90% increase on NUGT in one week seems likely based on the information on the chart from the August 25th close!

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Stock-Markets

Friday, August 26, 2016

Stock Market Is Crazy and Crazy Means Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The SPX has completed its’ “Broadening Topping Pattern”
…the next trend is DOWNWARDS!

The current pattern is suggesting that a significant top is at hand. I fully believe both in patterns and indicators and right now the current pattern is suggesting that a significant top is at hand.

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Commodities

Friday, August 26, 2016

Could A Lithium Shortage De-Rail The Electric Car Boom? / Commodities / Lithium

By: OilPrice_Com

We’ve gone electric, and there’s no going back at this point. Lithium is our new fuel, but like fossil fuels, the reserves we’re currently tapping into are finite—and that’s what investors can take to the bank.

You may think lithium got too popular too fast. You may suspect electric vehicles are too much buzz and not enough real future. You may, in short, be a lithium skeptic, one of many. And yet, despite this skepticism, lithium demand is rising steadily and sharply, and indications that a shortage may be looming are very real.

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Commodities

Friday, August 26, 2016

Gold Futures See Massive $1.5 Billion “Non Profit” Liquidation In “One Minute” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: The_Gold_Report

Gold futures saw a massive $1.5 billion liquidation in one minute yesterday which had all the hallmarks of a “non profit” liquidation – a large seller trying to manipulate gold futures lower rather than maximise profits.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 25, 2016

New Stock Market Downtrend Or Just More Consolidation Before Another Leg Up? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is now neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

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Companies

Thursday, August 25, 2016

Brexit Effect works to Boost Diageo shares / Companies / BrExit

By: Submissions

Alexander Bowring writes: After the referendum result was announced, Diageo CEO Ivan Menezes went on to say the decision was “better for the UK, better for Diageo and better for the Scotch whisky industry that we remain in.” This begs the question, why have Diageo’s shares risen dramatically immediately following the leave vote? Sitting at under £18 prior to the result, they jumped to almost £20 each, signalling a new high for the last 12 months.

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Commodities

Thursday, August 25, 2016

Need-to-Know Tips for Safeguarding Your Precious Metals / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: MoneyMetals

Gold and silver investors have strong opinions about third-party storage of metals. Privacy, the lack of counterparty risk, and precious metals’ role as “crisis money” are among the most attractive features of physical bullion. So it is no surprise that many investors are totally committed to storing metals at home or someplace else that is both private and accessible 24/7.

We wholeheartedly agree with that sentiment and always recommend personal possession when it comes to at least some of your metals. However, there are a number of circumstances where third-party storage makes a heck of a lot of sense. Let’s take a look at the most common…

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 25, 2016

Can Stocks Survive Without Stimulus? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Clif_Droke

A fiery debate rages among investors over the question of central bank stimulus.  The question is whether the stock market needs stimulus in order to advance, and is stimulus only creating a bubble which will burst at some point and lead to depression? 

Regardless of the philosophical rectitude of central bank intervention, there can be no denying its efficacy.  The most fundamental truth of the financial market is that “liquidity, liquidity, liquidity” is the market’s lifeblood.   Financial stimulus contains the seeds of recovery and will cure any bear market in equities, as I’ll attempt to prove in this commentary.  The truth of this assertion can be found in the very wisdom of King Solomon, who in the book of Ecclesiastes wrote that “money answers all things.”  Stocks will always, without exception, respond positively to stimulus – provide there are no countervailing obstacles in the way [e.g. tax increases, margin requirements]. 

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Politics

Thursday, August 25, 2016

Why Putin Might Be on His Way Out / Politics / Russia

By: John_Mauldin

BY GEORGE FRIEDMAN : Russian President Vladimir Putin recently did three very interesting things.

First, he fired his long-time aide and chief of staff, Sergei Ivanov, and moved him to a lower position. A few weeks earlier, Putin fired at least three regional governors and replaced them with his personal bodyguards.

Removing that many governors is a bit odd. Replacing them with bodyguards is very odd. Then removing someone like Ivanov is extremely odd.

Second, Russia raised pressure on Ukraine. The Russians claimed that Ukrainian special forces attacked Russian-held Crimea. They announced that they sent S-400 anti-air missiles to Crimea. With a 250-mile range, these missiles can reach deep into Ukraine.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, August 25, 2016

Bond Guru Gary Shilling - The Bond Market Rally of a Lifetime / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: John_Mauldin

In 1981, as inflation and Treasury yields were screaming to new heights, my good friend Gary Shilling announced, “We’re entering the bond rally of a lifetime.” He was right. That bond rally is already 35 years old, and I think it will continue.

Gary also thinks the rally is still underway. He backs up that claim with a compelling case for Treasurys and for the “long bond” (the 30 year).

Gary recalls his famous public debate on stocks versus bonds with Professor Jeremy Siegel of Wharton, in 2006. This was just before the Great Recession kicked in and sent Treasury prices sky-high. Siegel remarked to the audience, “I don’t know why anyone in their right mind would tie up their money for 30 years for a 4.75% yield” (the then-yield on the 30-year Treasury).

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Politics

Thursday, August 25, 2016

Here’s the Real Reason Behind Closer Russia-Turkey Ties / Politics / Turkey

By: John_Mauldin

BY GEORGE FRIEDMAN : Russian President Vladimir Putin and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan met on Tuesday. It is not clear what came of it, but it is clear what is at stake.

Russia is weakening. The state of the economy is now the main issue (read my extensive overview of Russia’s geopolitical situation) Ukraine remains at the center of its strategic concerns. Turkey is an emerging power. It is managing its internal crisis effectively, if brutally.

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Economics

Thursday, August 25, 2016

Protectionism in 21st Century Is More Dangerous Than Most People Think / Economics / Protectionism

By: John_Mauldin

A monster debate has been going on in economic circles on the reasons for Brexit/Trump/Sanders and the developed world’s rejection of the status quo.

There are many explanations, but it all goes back to my thesis that the benefits of globalization have been unevenly handed out. Those who have been on the short end of the distribution curve are pushing back.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 25, 2016

A Zombie Financial System, Black Swans and a Gold Share Correction / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: The_Gold_Report

Bob Moriarty of 321Gold says that since the crash of 2008, the financial system has become a zombie, and he urges investors to pay attention to when they take some money off the table.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 25, 2016

The World’s Monetary System Is Broken & Costing Overseas Business / Stock-Markets / Global Financial System

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Low and negative yields mean that no one has the confidence to invest in real capital projects. Investors would much rather lose money over a 10-year horizon than invest in building dams, repairing pipes, creating better grids, starting new businesses, etc. A new monetary order must replace the existing one, and as soon as possible. It will likely be one that China is determined to dominate this time around.

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Commodities

Thursday, August 25, 2016

OPEC’s Output Freeze: What Has Changed Since Doha? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

It’s possible that OPEC is crying wolf with hints of an output freeze next month in Algiers; but it’s also possible that they are ramping up production to take the sting out of a freeze. This is a delicate balancing act that the Saudis need to play very carefully.

The official chatter is that the OPEC meeting in Algeria from September 26 to 28 could conclude with an agreement to freeze production by the member nations, with even Russia joining forces in a freeze that may prevent further oil price erosion. But everyone’s a bit gun-shy after the false hopes of the last round in Doha—even if a freeze at levels that existed then wouldn’t have meant much either—and it’s hard to blame them. The question is, how many times can the Saudis cry wolf without forever losing the ability to leverage this chatter to affect a rise in oil prices?

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 24, 2016

Stock Market Sloppy Pullback Day, but Still a Positive Close / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had an up day, but they closed near the low end of the range, and the S&P 500 closed at the low for the day. It was such a strong gap up in the morning that it ended profitable on the session, but wasn’t a good close.

The day started out with a big gap up, they ran up to test the old, 52-week highs and all-time highs on both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, but fell short of both, and sold off until midday when they bounced. They were unable to do anything, and sold off again, finishing near the lows for the day, but, still, it was an up day.

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Economics

Wednesday, August 24, 2016

Proof Positive the Economic Recovery Is a Myth / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Graham_Summers

For years, I’ve been warning that all claims of economic “recovery” in the US are complete fiction.

We now have definitive proof in the form of tax receipts.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 24, 2016

Are Central Banks Secretly Preparing For Another Financial Crisis? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: Graham_Summers

A major crisis warning signal just hit.

It concerns “behind the scenes” liquidity for Central banks.

Here’s how it works.

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Commodities

Wednesday, August 24, 2016

Crude and the Commodity Cycle / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Tony_Caldaro

Over the years we have written many times about the 34-year commodity cycle. Generally commodities rise as a group in a 13-year bull market, which is followed by a 21-year bear market. Each specific commodity has its own particular cycle which generally fits within the broader 34-year commodity cycle.

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