Tuesday, March 08, 2016
The Great Quickening - Finance & Currency / Currencies / Fiat Currency
The quickening has begun in earnest. The end game might have begun in November with events picking up speed, remedy engaged in progressive steps, and geopolitical balance of power shifting in serious manner. The following are major events and factors in the Global Currency RESET in progress. The sequence of future events might become frightening, as the new financial structure comes into view. The potential for disruption to the USDollar- based supply chain and inventory system remains a high risk. The onset of the return of the Gold Standard to trade, banking, and currencies is upon us. The following are frequent topics within the Hat Trick Letter, within each and every monthly report.
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Monday, March 07, 2016
Is This Whole Stock Market Bounce Just One Big Trap? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
I don’t trust this rally.
Few analysts realize that the sharpest, most aggressive rallies occur during bear markets. The reason for this is that during bear markets, investors tend to go short (borrow shares to bet on a collapse).
So when the market rallies even a little bit, it often will go absolutely vertical as these individuals panic and cover their shorts (which increases the buying).
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Monday, March 07, 2016
Free Trade Is the Path to Prosperity / Economics / Economic Theory
Georgi Vuldzhev writes: The political circus of the 2016 presidential election has revived and reinvigorated popular belief in age-old protectionist fallacies. Currently both Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders, are both in favor of expanding protectionist trade policy, with both of them arguing that free trade “destroys” jobs and hurts domestic workers and producers by exposing them to foreign competition. Both candidates espouse an utterly misguided zero-sum view of economics, in which one side to an exchange wins only when the other side loses. Both men are, of course, completely wrong.
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Monday, March 07, 2016
The Rebound in Stocks Won't Last / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
After taking a beating in January the S&P 500 has rebounded by about 5% in February, and this uptrend has continued into March. But before you think it's safe to jump back into long positions, it's important to realize why the market went down in the first place, and why February's rebound won't last.
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Monday, March 07, 2016
Gold Price Next 10% Move is Down, Not Up / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Gold has been on a tear since the start of this year. It is the best performing asset with a 16% rise in 2 months, however, if you are planning to enter gold at these current levels, you are likely in for a big surprise. Gold is overbought and technical analysis is pointing to a drop in gold price to the $1150/oz. level, a good 10% lower from the current levels.
The equity markets are in a bounce/rally mode and likely to remain buoyant till end of March. Oil prices, which were causing a scare worldwide are also on the mend, the bottom is likely in place at $26/barrel.
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Monday, March 07, 2016
Stock Market SPX Index Below Key Supports / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The SPX Premarket declined beneath the 2-hour Cycle Top at 1994.33 and the weekly mid-Cycle support at 1993.04 this morning.
ZeroHedge Reports, “In the aftermath of last week's disappointing G-20 Shanghai summit, there was much riding on this weekend's start of the China's People's Congress, and specifically what if any stimulus announcement Beijing will make; sadly for stimulus addicts Chinadisappointed and after the unimaginative scope of growth proposals none of which it will come remotely close to hitting, it is hardly surprising that European stocks and US equity futures have taken a leg lower, even if Chinese stocks rose and certain commodities such as Iron Ore soared overnight on hopes China will either "rationalize" capacity or at least build some more roads to nowhere. Others, such copper were less lucky.”
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Monday, March 07, 2016
Future Gold Prices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
The internet is filled with predictions for the price of gold, from $500 to $50,000 per ounce. It depends on your world view.
If you are a central banker or a powerful financial player which often supplies loyal employees to serve as Secretary of the U.S. Treasury, the low gold numbers look good.
Or, if you understand the incredible $200+ Trillion of debt the world has accumulated and realize it can’t be repaid, then gold at $10,000 probably looks inevitable. Crashes occur and sovereign debt markets look like paper bubbles with disastrous potential to send gold much higher.
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Monday, March 07, 2016
Gold ETF Suspends Issuing Shares Due To “Surge” In Demand / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Gold ETF, the iShares Gold Trust, had to stop issuing new shares in its $7.7 billion on Friday as a “surge” in investment demand for gold caught out the provider of the ETF and the world’s largest money manager, BlackRock Inc.
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Monday, March 07, 2016
Stocks Bear Market to Begin in Earnest / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Ken Ticehurst writes: Our forecast algorithm is currently predicting a global stock market rout to begin in earnest over the next few weeks and months, below is our monthly forecast for the S&P 500 which we believe is about to enter a correction lasting until early 2017.
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Monday, March 07, 2016
SP500 Stock Market Index Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Interesting charts to present today with the S&P 500 Index, which is probably a better market to follow to reflect global economy. As we are all aware, the US Dollar still remains the reserve currency of the US Dollar and with that privilege, it extends into the US stock market. As uncertainties build around the globe, money will look for a home...it may not be the prettiest home, but it is likely the securest.
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Monday, March 07, 2016
Convenient Bank Overdrafts Borrowing – But at What Cost? / Personal_Finance / Debt & Loans
Borrowing from current account overdrafts is fast and convenient, but the cost of doing so has escalated in recent years, leaving many consumers to pay over the odds for their quick borrowing fix.
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Monday, March 07, 2016
Facebook TOP Formation - Stock Market Crash Condition Signal Recorded / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
This article presents an analysis of Facebook stock price. The novel mathematical technique adopted here is an exciting new way to analyze price movement.
- A new market timing technique has been developed by the author to identify significant top and bottom events in price movement.
- The new market timing tool shows that Facebook has a single 14 week window of opportunity from late January to late April for a significant top to be recorded in 2016.
- An additional mathematical model has been developed by the author to predict and identify stock market bubbles and crashes.
- The bubble identification model shows a current score of 96% for Facebook indicating that the top of the bubble has been reached or is close at hand, and a crash condition is now in effect.
- The model predicts that all bubbles must deflate back to the point where the bubble started to grow, which will mean a drop of at least 30% to 50% for Facebook over coming months.
- This technique was originally used to successfully identify the top of Apple Inc. and has also been used to propose a recent US stock market top in late Spring 2015.
Monday, March 07, 2016
Gold GDX - What and where are the STRAITS of HELL, / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
and why does anyone care, anyway ?They are located and easily found btwn $HUI 280 and 300. Created by selling enough paper contracts to equal TWO (2) years of Newmont's production, in ONE DAY[1], THEY cleaned out all the bids from ceiling to floorboards, like a dust explosion. Clearly UN-Economic that was a signal from HELL that GOLD was doomed, from, in my opinion, THE POWERS THAT BE [ TPTB ]. We shall see.....
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Monday, March 07, 2016
China: A 5-Year Economic Plan And 50 Million Jobs Lost! / Economics / China Economy
China never had an actual economic model or growth model. It simply printed an obscene amount of money, especially after 2008, and used it to build factories, 30-story see-through apartment blocks and highways into nowhere cities, without giving much if any thought to where this would lead when their formerly rich western customers had less to spend on its ever increasing amount of ever more useless products, or when its workers would stop spending ever more on apartments as investments, or when no more roads and bridges were needed because nowhere was already in plain sight. Or all of the above. It was ‘to infinity and beyond’ from the start, but that’s a line from a kids’ fantasy story, not a 5-year plan or an economic model.
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Monday, March 07, 2016
Do We Need To 'Rebuild The US Military'? / ElectionOracle / US Military
The Republican presidential debates have become so heated and filled with insults, it almost seems we are watching a pro wrestling match. There is no civility, and I wonder whether the candidates are about to come to blows. But despite what appears to be total disagreement among them, there is one area where they all agree. They all promise that if elected they will "rebuild the military."
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Monday, March 07, 2016
Gold and Silver Not a Flag / Pennant, But a Top - New Longs About to be Fleeced... / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Many analysts and writers have described the pattern forming in the past couple of weeks in gold as a "bull Flag or Pennant" with some appearing to be "playing to the gallery" - i.e. telling their audience what they want to hear, which is that gold will continue to go up. I, on the other hand, decided that the triangle that had formed was not a continuation pattern, but a top, and said so about a week ago. So, as you will readily understand, I was not looking good when gold seemingly broke out upside on Thursday, and came in for considerable flak. However, on Friday there were some dramatic developments across the sector which look set to vindicate my stance.
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Monday, March 07, 2016
Gold Has Topped, Higher Highs Expected in the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The SPX 8 TD top was due Thursday and we are in the mid band of the Sun translation to Neptune, Saturn and Jupiter on Friday (TD 9). This reversal band has a 10 TD reversal time frame from March 4th, which points to March 18 (OPEX) as the latest we could see a top in the stock market. My chart and indicators corroborates a March 18th top and an early April first low. The 16 TD low is due Monday, so a pullback Monday would not surprise me and we could go as low as 1959 to as high as the 1971/82 area. A 76 point rally from Monday into Wednesday looks likely. June looks likely to be a nesting of lows for the next move down and then late October after that.
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Monday, March 07, 2016
Walkers Crisps UEFA Game Ready Promo Over? Now Near Impossible to Win Prizes / ConsumerWatch / Freebies and Comps
It's increasingly looking like the Walkers Crisps Game Ready UEFA Promo is over for what was a good chance of winning t-shirts, sharing bowls and footballs, well before the 25th April end date for final entries. So it may now prove a waste of time and money buying the multi-packs and trying to win by entering the promo codes, find out why in our latest video in the Walkers Crisps UEFA Champions League series.
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Sunday, March 06, 2016
Stock Market Max Projection Complete - Distribution Should Start / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend: Severe correction underway.
SPX: Intermediate trend – .618 retracement reached. End of rally likely.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, March 06, 2016
Stocks About To Collapse Or Rally To All-Time Highs? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
It really is as black-and-white for stock markets: stocks will either collapse in a 2008-alike fashion or shine soon at all-time highs, at least that is what our data points are telling us. Let’s review our key indicators in order to forecast which scenario is playing out right now.
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